Friday, March 23, 2012

Nifty Intraday Update-II



59 comments:

shriram said...

Reposting from my FB wall::

Ok , goin out for some work. C u guys @ 2:30

In the meanwhile ppl interested in STOCHASTIC MODELLING of Trades, pls google Peter Steidlmayer market profile

Basics: He says 68% of price Trades r within 1 Std Dev of the price trade of highest frequency (funda of BELL CURVE or BINOMICAL DISTRIBUTION) ...

If CMP is trading outside 1 Std Dev, look @ VOLS.
if vols r high, it means --> Market is on look out for a NEW MEAN.
if vols r low, it means --> Market, will return to within 1 Std dev of Current Mean!

Time, price & vols all roled in one : this is meant for Algorithmic or computer Trading, Lots of Wall street number crunchin maniframes r dedicated to this ...

cheers

Mehar said...

That observation of +ve Div on NF 5 mts charts with STS,
sorry for inconvenience

buggie advani said...

grinder is on

oru_indian said...

A small H&s break in 2 mnt chart for a bigger plunge below 5240
rgds~Ajith

Nakshatra said...

GA master and all.

Wish you all a very happy Gudi Padwa.

Is triangle broken on downside?

Sir mail sent pls check.

Thanks

Waquar said...

Nope not yet, looks like completed "d" , wave "e"
pending...

Ilango said...

Ilango said...
A contracting triangle in 4th, as suggested by "bizagra".

If so the last upmove of that triangle may be on from 5225.30 now.

It should end below 5263...may be @ 5250-55 and then...for the 5th down.

All TA points down. down only.

Only above 5295-DEma, the first reversal sign(as of now)
March 23, 2012 12:34 PM

Ilango said...

@ Waquar,

:D ..same wave length..!!

While I was posting in "Update-I", you did it here.

Badri said...

Ilangoji, since 5240 broken and 'iii' is on, is your 'alt. view' in place now?

Ilango said...

@ Badri,

5250-55 is the resistance again as in a "Contracting triangle of the 4th".

5263 should be the SL.

Badri said...

ok master.

SAM said...

Test :)

Dinesh Rishi said...

SAM said...
Test :)

=========

When is da result

SAM said...

This is the result :)D


Dinesh Rishi said...

SAM said...
Test :)

=========

When is da result
March 23, 2012 1:01 PM

Waquar said...

Sir,

Contracting Triangle invalidated ??

Unknown said...

Master please check my mail...
Thank you for all the guidance..

Sanjay said...

Sujatha sis if cross todays high then wait for only 20 points ns. after desired trend.

Fire said...

@Waqar,

In Triangle, E has a tendency to give a false breakout above/below A-C line. It also must be lesser than C. So below 5273, Triangle possibility as Master said, remains valid.

Fire said...

Spammed. :(

Reposting -

@Waqar,

In Triangle, E has a tendency to give a false breakout above/below A-C line. It also must be lesser than C. So below 5273, Triangle possibility as Master said, remains valid.

STOCK4SURE said...

considering either days low or high have been made
and considering 100pt intraday range then 5320 or 5180 may be
trgts...40 pts move either on break of days hi or low

Waquar said...

Thanks Fire :))

Fire said...

@Waqar,

In Triangle, E has a tendency to give a false breakout above/below A-C line. It also must be lesser than C. So below 5273, Triangle possibility as Master said, remains valid.

Fire said...

Why this kolaveri with me. Either getting spammed or comment getting posted as something else. :(

shivanGupta said...

@Fire c is from 5220-5263 =43 points and e started from 5225 -5270= 45 so this way e wave has already exceeded c wave?

Randhir said...

Fire

With e crossing c the contracting tringle gets invalidate
This means something else is forming. As per guideline the
"Right Look " is important for pattern to be valid.

Thanks

The_Unprejudiced_Observer said...

@ Ashish Agarwal
Yest it was abc developing at 1.30... today is it wave 5
starting..??

Fire said...

@Shivangupta,

Yes, some other count must be in work. Master will give us that guidance.

STOCK4SURE said...

200ema which gave res to last two upmoves may lend supp now

Fire said...

@Randhir,

Following Master's lessons, this upmove from 5225 is also looking like 5 waves. Not allowed in Triangle. So something else is going on. Waiting for Master to give us further guidance.

Fire said...

On the other hand, 5270-80 is a very strong resistance zone. It must be overcome for the bulls.

Randhir said...

On 60 min yesterday fall look like wave 1 and todays rise
wave 2 on 60 min. This means their is more subdivision
and Subdivion retrace only 38.2% or 50% in extreme case.
Wave 2 on 60 min is flat means wave c equals to wave a.

Talking of Nifty Future. wave c equal to wave a ends at
5393 and this also matches 38.2% retracement of subdivided
wave 2.

Hence on this rise 5393 offers good shorting point with stop loss
above 5300.

Those looking to play safe can wait for small 5 wave down rally
from 5393 on 1 min chart and then go short at its retracement

Thanks

chetas said...

Ashish,
Sesex high in morning was 17356, now it went till 17352

Unknown said...

while everyone is waiting for 5171, market may run in opposite direction as ususal

suresh said...

ns fall only if < 5250

Anil said...

alarming addition in 5200 PE...almost . 17 lacs OI addition from lows...

Nilesh Deshpande said...

NIFTY FUTURE PREMIUM IN THE MEAN TIME HAS COMPRESSED.

POWERTRADE said...

Anil

that can be buying toooo :)

Unknown said...

march end nav prop up and expiry will take market to 5800 in next 7-8 days

chetas said...

Ashish!

It seems google was warning us in advance. :)

Manish said...

@ DR Ji

SAR triggered for BN ?

Pl advise for fresh positions.

Sanjay said...

ready 1...2...3

Anil said...

y'day bulls got stripped, today bears...wow what a day..in the end whose tuen now...????

bb said...

Ilango, your thoughts on the market direction. Now it is up?

Regards

Anil said...

Bears need to act, or BULLs need to take it up..sab 5295 ki maya hain....

cooldent said...

bb

sir said

All TA points down. down only.

Only above 5295-DEma, the first reversal sign(as of now)
March 23, 2012 12:34 PM

Anil said...

5 DMA 5282....

Sanjay said...

if cross below 5220 fast will come 5150

Nilesh Patil said...

@Cooldent,
I think its time ride towards 5400+++

shreyunik said...

5295 crossed! :(

Anil said...

wow that was yummy move...i m just loving it..now seat belt on...

suresh said...

ns has run up too far and too fast

Anil said...

F&o turnover so hot....

116,800 cr...
still almost 1hr to go.....

Fire said...

Master's lesson -

Selling at 61.8% RT with SL @80% RT can be a good low risk-high reward trade.

Nakshatra said...

Bears screaming PT(Nimesh bhai).....pls help them.

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

(I have very bad "NET".)

POWERTRADE said...

@Nakshatra

LOLZZZZZZ ....


4th is on and may spill over to monday as said by Ilango sir ... No need to Worry ...

Anil said...

ohhh yeh kya ho raha haih..
5300 & 5400 ke writers active ho gaye..sabere se so rahe the...
5300 PE - 8lacs OI added from lows
5400 PE - 2 lacs OI added from lows..

HARISH TAHKKAR said...

Sir,
Golden ratio 5303 point to sell with 20 slo ?

Unknown said...

big volatility this week.

now only below 5210 market can go down.
strong support built.

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