Friday, March 23, 2012

Nifty INtraday Update-I

89 comments:

Ilango said...

"5278-5256" may be the "i"st wave dn of the 5th wave dn.

80% of it comes @ 5274.

Keeping below 5274, it would open dn for the iiird dn.

Piyush Sharda said...

thanx gauresh bhai for reminding abt

BHAGAT SINGH, RAJGURU and SUKHDEV


my salutation to the patriots
may the coming generations remember them
more that actors and cricketers

Ilango said...

@ Parminder,

5363 was the start of 3rd wave. 4th wave retraces the 3rd wave.(meaning this bounce is correcting the fall from 5363 to 5206.)

Hence, retrace for 5363 to 5206.

Parminder said...

Thanks Master for explaining

POWERTRADE said...

Summa Ameen ... :)

Dinesh Rishi said...

Good Morning Master and copy to All

Wish you all Happy "Gudi Padwa" and "Ugadi".

Today Is Ist Navratri Fast
(My family will be on Fast for 9 days)


May Ma Durga Shower blessing on All

http://images.indiascanner.com/image/2012/03/navratri-wallpaper-free-download.jpg


Now EE reminds us by singing

"Fruit Hai Re" :D

Ilango said...

As suggested yesterday, "Learn to spot the unfolding of 5s and 3s" through Nifty Intraday Live-2min.chart

I was able to spot the clear 5 waves dn from 5278 to 5256 and the subsequent 3 waves and the commencement of the 3rd wave.

Did you...?

Traveller said...

Master you are simply great, awesome, superb :)

Ilango said...

When you find your desired "earnings" is done for the day and you wish to keep your trading simple, take your money and run as after the opening session which obeys previous day's study, rest of the day is all "guess work".

Ilango said...

"iiird" wave done at 5220.

ivth is on.

After the "v"th wave is done, time to go long for "Intraday" initially.

Ilango said...

Above "5250-55" in the next few minutes would be strength.

bb said...

whats the target for the vth wave?

Anil said...

NF turnover 44000 cr...too strong numbers...for only 1.5 hrs of trading...

POWERTRADE said...

@BB

Tricky ... It will Range between 5157 - 5170 .. If i am Right

Unknown said...

@Anil

its 4000cr for NF

prakashbkc said...

GM Master,

Can 5th wave be end lower than today 3rd wave bottom
5220?

Rajvada said...

sir, 3rd being 47 points, 5th should be smaller than that,if we take start of 5th at 5248, the low for the day could restrict at 5202 or above. Going long around 5202-5210 would be advisable ?

bb said...

Ilango what is the upside?

SAM said...

NF turnover at present....3196 Cr

Smita said...

@bb ,

Since 3rd wave was extended , vth should be equal to wave 1 .
1 was 57 points ( 5386-5329) . But If this 5th started from 5278 then target comes to just 5221 which is less than what 3rd wave travelled ( 5206) . So am confused here ..as to how to proceed in such scenario . Sir can you pls guide .

Anil said...

@irfan

sorry...
posted wrongly..its total F&O turnover...

shabsaif said...

Good Morning..................

Rajvada said...

4th had not yet penetrated 1st low. downside possibility fro 5th intact.

Rajvada said...

i within 5th completed, look 5th also will sub-devide.

mynac said...

GM Everybody and wishing A Vert Happy Gudhi Padwa to everybody…

Randhir said...

Dear Smita

Guideline of wave equality say that wave 5 is related to wave one
either equally or through Fib . numbers. This means with wave 3 extended
wave 5 has multiple possible. wave 5 can be 100%, 123%,
138%,150%,161% of wave 1. Also wave 5 can be 61.8% of entire wave
that is from wave 1 to wave 3. Now match this 61.8% with above
fib ratio and u will get common or very close numbers and this
will be u r eave 5 target. Also use Elliott channel for
additional support.

Thanks

mynac said...

Dear Ilango I was going to run away after reading your following comment.:)
“take your money and run as after the opening session which obeys previous day's study, rest of the day is all "guess work". But come with wishes on this Festive Day….

buggie advani said...

Guys just a thought
NS in 5min chart is trending in
a channel,that might give Ew guys a
better look.

Shradha Saburi said...

good morning sir all Gems of JN
Einstien Said.
'To understand theory of relativity
you have to sit on the hot pan'.
half knowledge is always dangerous....proverb
happy gudipadawa to all

Smita said...

Thanks Randhir

Ilango said...

@ bb,

It should be below 5205, yesterday's low.

Below 5205, 5180,5165,5155 are Week's S2, 200sma, MEma.

If the lows come now, it means the 4th wave is still continuing and the 5th wave will unfold later.

Hence, I suggested strength above 5250-55.

As you get to label "minute waves", errors could creep in at some point.

POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac,

Wish you too the same ... Me also planning the Same ... but the Waves have been really thrilling
to ride :D

Rajvada said...

iii of 5th also seemd to be sub-deviding now !!

Ilango said...

Read it as "If the lows don't come now,"

bb said...

Thanks Ilango- it helps

shriram said...

Illango ji,

developing HrLEMA @ 5251 @ 11:00 Am ??

abhishek said...

Dear Mynac...

***गुढीपाडव्याच्या हार्दिक शुभेच्छा***

Smita said...

EE done ...
bye sir and JNfamily

STOCK4SURE said...

ns,bank index and midcap index all faced res at 200ema in

5day 5min charts in morning upmove

cmp of 200ema in ns is 5260

nifty may fall after testing of 200ema

STOCK4SURE said...

200ema in BN is 10250

mynac said...

अभिषेक,आपल्याला सुद्धा गुढीपाडव्याच्या मनःपूर्वक शुभेच्छा.

Ilango said...

TT updated for 11.00AM.

@ Shriram,

HLEma at 11.00AM is 5248.

oru_indian said...

Dear Ilango sir,

Can we conclude iv is over at 5255 and v started as
5s ? Of the 5s i is over at 5236 ?

rgds~Ajith

Fire said...

Only someone who has spent hundreds of hours on EW can really really appreciate the wizardry of Master as he is displaying in the live market. Its like Tendulkar explaining, giving his reasons & thoughts behind his every shot while batting amidst the field. I have seen some great traders at work, but know none else who would even dare to do this. A totally separate class.

Master,

I can't find words to describe my appreciation properly...Please just take my heartfelt pranam...

Fire said...

Spammed. So reposting -

Only someone who has spent hundreds of hours on EW can really really appreciate the wizardry of Master as he is displaying in the live market. Its like Tendulkar explaining, giving his reasons & thoughts behind his every shot while batting amidst the field. I have seen some great traders at work, but know none else who would even dare to do this. A totally separate class.

Master,

I can't find words to describe my appreciation properly...Please just take my heartfelt pranam...

shriram said...

Thanks illango ji,

we r now for 1st time today trading above the HrLEMA!!

As i said ysday, pls check if we can COMBINE this lead indicator with Fibbo EMAs on even smaller T/fs like 5,30mins!!!!

May give us CONFIRMATORY buy/sell signals on various T/Fs, wot do u feel sir?

urs

Fire said...

Twice posted. Twice spammed.

Rajvada said...

looks iv of 5th is still on until it does not go above 5255.

Ilango said...

@ oru indian,

As said earlier, it is now guess work.

2 scenarios at work:

1. "abc"(3 waves done from 5386 to 5206 and a retracing upmove is on now. Hence, strength above 5255.
2. 4th wave is still on. Negates @ 80% or 5329.

Atul Mehrotra said...

Hi,
Ilango sir wat can b tgt of the extended 4th as lows are saved?

Rajvada said...

if we trade above 5257,the bigger 4 is still on in in uptrend upto 5300-5305 to comlete c'

shriram said...

like a fluid flowing river, TREND changes @ EVERY INSTANT, much like LIFE

if one sees on 30mins T/F, 8EMA (currently @ 5267) has become a bugbear Resistance to Nifty.

If we close @ 12:00 above Developing HrLEMA & 8EMA, may be we can play a High probability up trade to 21/ 34EMA (currently @ 5295 / 5302) ??

Just random thoughts from a fuzzy brain :-)

Ilango said...

@ Atul Mehrotra,

If Nifty move above 5255, it is possible to attempt day pivot-5273 & 5DEma-5290.

Only an Hour close above either 21 hr sma or 34 Hr sma would alarm the bears as a 1st danger sign.

Sanjay said...

Dear Ilango Sir & Blogmates,

OI Update at 11:00 Noon

Thanks & Regards

oru_indian said...

Thank u sir.
May I know the time frame u r referring for the above ?
rgds~Ajith

Ilango said...

@ oru indian,

All in the day...today..may spill over to Monday a bit.

oru_indian said...

thx sir

Atul Mehrotra said...

@Ilango Sir,

Thanks for the reply.

Billgates said...

hi sir as u said it was easy to spot 5's and 3's one more issue
as u told yest also problem is even i save the settings
for 5 min chart.then also one needs to plot technicals
of 34 and 21 period again on each refresh did u found
any other way to avoid it.
it gets irritating to keep on adding techincals on
each refresh

Ilango said...

@ Billgates,

Once set, Book mark it. It should be okay.

Also try the link given under "Live market to watch" - Nifty spot-Live.

Traveller said...

Looks like 4th abc done at 5262

bizagra said...

Ilango sir..triangle forming in 4th????

POWERTRADE said...

@Traveller

4th will be tricky and it can turn to be and Extension also ... So sir has told ..

Can spill to Monday tooo

Ilango said...

@ bizagra,

If it is a triangle, this current upmove should limit itself below 5278.

shriram said...

High probability Intra day long trade is ON,

if we close @ 12:00 above 5260 Developing 8EMA, 30mins (will also imply close above HrLEMA, DLEMA & WkLEMA) !!

Tgt: 21EMA , 34EMA : 5287 / 5297

million $$ Q is : will we close above 5260 @ 12:00 noon :-D

Ilango said...

Alt.View:

5278 to 5220: "i"st of 5th
5220 to 5263: "ii"nd of 5th
From 5263, the "iii"rd is on..Conf. below 5240.

Hemant Harke said...

Sir,

As per cam
reached HL3 is done
now expecting LL3 :)
regards

Ilango said...

ALt.View is deadly and has deep cuts..

cooldent said...

PT

pls break 5240

Goa very expensive

Parminder said...

That is Masters choice
deadly cut

shriram said...

yes sir...

infact if Nifty doesnt cross 5260-5265 by 12:00

may be in for a fast fall set up on intra-charts !

Shikhartimby said...

To save the settings on Google Finance:

Just login to Google account. The settings will appear whenever you open the page.
no need to edit it again.
regards,

POWERTRADE said...

@Cooldent,

Ayeaga 5170 ko touch karne ... Fir dekhenge waha pe :) Mere Liye Kuch Jaam le ke Ana Waha se :)

Immortal said...

Going & gone!

Manish said...

@ Master

As per Google 2minute chart

MACD Divergence deep cut seems coming

Please guide further

Rajvada said...

c of C of 4th ine making now ? target 5240 +43=5283. one probability for 4th to complete.

shriram said...

No man's land @ 12:00 :-(

Sujatha said...

PTTTTTTTTTTTT - dishyum, dishyummm if u want deep cut then u know where "the BN will be" any idea??? ask DR-ji .. becoz all this upmove "lead leader is BN only then CNX IT index i feel" BN has still having some sort of support..IF BN - shows the way for downstairs - done - i will join with you till then i am with my "DOWNSIDE SL" tightly.. sensex + NF so far supporting the level. break will give "i am not able to imagine the fall" yeah.. heavy

POWERTRADE said...

@Sujatha,

BN - DR sir is the Master ...

Nifty one low please .. the will buy with SL 5157
EOD basis ...

Mehar said...

a small +ve Div on 5 mts charts with STS

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

My "Net" is quite slow and also breaking. "Bear" with me.

shriram said...

Ok , goin out for some work. C u guys @ 2:30

In the meanwhile ppl interested in STOCHASTIC MODELLING of Trades, pls google Peter Steidlmayer market profile

Basics: He says 68% of price Trades r within 1 Std Dev of the price trade of highest frequency (funda of BELL CURVE or BINOMICAL DISTRIBUTION) ...

If CMP is trading outside 1 Std Dev, look @ VOLS.
if vols r high, it means --> Market is on look out for a NEW MEAN.
if vols r low, it means --> Market, will return to within 1 Std dev of Current Mean!

Time, price & vols all roled in one : this is meant for Algorithmic or computer Trading, Lots of Wall street number crunchin maniframes r dedicated to this ...

cheers

eevra said...

thx Sir ::

Nakshatra said...

GA master and all.

Wish you all a very happy Gudi Padwa.

Is triangle broken on downside?

Sir mail sent pls check.

Thanks

Ilango said...

"5262" is 50DMA for the day.

Only a close above this would confirm completion of corrections and resumption of upmove.

Ilango said...

A contracting triangle in 4th, as suggested by "bizagra".

If so the last upmove of that triangle may be on from 5225.30 now.

It should end below 5263...may be @ 5250-55 and then...for the 5th down.

All TA points down. down only.

Only above 5295-DEma, the first reversal sign(as of now)

Ilango said...

@ Waquar,

:D Same wave length..!!

Manish said...

Nifty has not crossed it's 34EMA as per the Google chart
since opening today morning.

Currently the 5min 34ema is 5250

MACD is in negative and RSI also not going beyond 60-70

Unknown said...

Master please check my mail...
Thank you for all the guidance.

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