Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Trending & Sideways market Trading

Every trader needs a trend to make money. If you think about it, no matter what the technique, if there is not a trend after you buy, then you will not be able to sell at higher prices..."Following" is the next part of the term. We use this word because trend followers always wait for the trend to shift first, then "follow" it.
One of the first rules of trend following is that price is the main concern. Traders may use other indicators showing where price may go next or what it should be but as a general rule these should be given less weightage. A trader need only be worried about what the market is doing, not what the market might do. The current price and only the price tells you what the market is doing.
Money Management: Another decisive factor of trend following is not the timing of the trade or the indicator, but rather the decision of how much to trade over the course of the trend.
Risk Control: Cut losses is the rule. This means that during periods of higher market volatility, the trading size is reduced. During losing periods, positions are reduced and trade size is cut back. The main objective is to preserve capital until more positive price trends reappear.
Rules: Trend following should be systematic. Price and time are pivotal at all times.
A Predictive market trading algorithm or Trading System is defined as a calculable set of trading rules that uses either technical analysis and/or Elliott wave analysis and results in entry, exit and stop loss trade price points. Trading algorithms are not exclusive to swing trading and are also used for day trading and long term trading. Trading algorithms/systems may lose their profit potential when their strategies obtain enough of a mass following to curtail their effectiveness: "Now it's an arms race. Everyone is building more sophisticated algorithms, and the more competition exists, the smaller the profits,"
The markets are said to be trending sideways most of the time. During this time they can be quite volatile. It is for that reason that many traders have come to loath them. However some traders actually prefer sideways trending markets over trending markets.
The bulls and the bears are in this together, scratching their heads and wondering what’s going to happen next. Up and down, down and up. As soon as you think you know where the stock market is going, it doesn’t…An increasing amount of money has been flowing into fast-trading (and often short-selling) hedge funds that may be whipsawing the market with their staccato trading patterns…What’s a small-time investor to do? Perhaps it sounds facile, but the best thing to do with a sideways trending market is “not much.”
Sideways trends can be found inside support and resistance levels that are near each other. Inside the trading trend line the price still fluctuates, but with rather small ups and downs. A sideways trend is said to be broken when the price goes outside the previous limitations of the trend line. You might like to make sure that the price goes outside the barrier of the trend line twice before being sure the sideways trend is broken.


ranjan said...

Hello ilango ji
i visited ur blog every day but hadnot read this section ever.But today i read it.If traders follow these mantra they wil not loose even a single buck.

vicky.. said...

ilango sir,the market gone twice in the range of is this the confirmation that sideways trend is broken??
kind regards....

sridhar said...

Dear Mr.Elango,
I have started trading for the last one month,can u give me an brief idea about stock trading particularly on Nifty futures and options trading.
with regards,
sridhar r.b

Mak said...

could you please help me about the data.base.A.xls file ?
I'm not able to find it out on your blog.


Paul said...

thanks for this post. This post makes a great point about focusing your efforts.

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