Friday, March 16, 2012

Nifty Intraday Update-II

104 comments:

Fire said...

After spambaba graced my first attempt, reposting -

DR sir,

From what little I have experienced Cam levels, as H4 is the breakout level, price can get exhausted a bit reaching there or test it multiple times there by forming candles with no real body above it, only tails. So, a better approach could be taking longs only if a candle (5/10) closes above it.

Words from an illiterate must be certified or rejected by STI (Sujatha Technical Institute). :D

Sujatha said...

Sushil - i fell bull party not yet over :P :(

Unknown said...

(Sujatha Technical Institute)
lol

Sujatha said...

sorry - read it as "i feel' :D typo

Fire - No more 'CAM' comments from 'STI" hereafter as the 'CAM' ball in "senior's court" you all hv to tell now :) let me see how i am gng to "maintain this promise" :D :D

Sujatha said...

Jiigs - all are making fun of me today.. donno especially SAM :) the highest. :) what's special day today?? ROF :)

Anil said...

kya bull or kya bear dono taraf bajao...

STOCK4SURE said...

left of left shoulder of developing inv H &S pattern
was made in a day

right of right shoulder is developing

will it be completed in single day too??

then range can be 5338-5510

Prabhat said...

Income tax slabs relaxed.
Income below 2 lacs = no tax
income between 2-5 lacs = 10%
5-10 lacs = 20%
above 10 lacs = 30%

Fire said...

Sujatha,

Not done. "SAM" comments are ok but "CAM" comments are not?

How will we learn then? :D

cooldent said...

my god

Ilango said...

Keep "5428" for intraday reversal to Longs, if shorted @ 5408 or 5402.

Sujatha said...

bet for this hour - 50 points of UP CANDLE or 40 pnts of DOWN cadle??

fire - lolz..

POWERTRADE said...

STT the much awaited news is out ... discounted now )

looks like southwards now )

shreyunik said...

Spike due to STT reduction to .1% from .125% on delivery transaction
.... just to hit my SL :(

Yogavidya by Parimal Devnath said...

@Sujata Mam
for POSITIONAL trade do i use weekly or monthly numbers
in Camarilla
thanks and regards

prakashbkc said...

thanx master for providing SAR level of 5428 for shorting done at 5402

POWERTRADE said...

A non event day now ..... Ye kya ho gaya ...

buggie advani said...

below days pivot
after good news not
good sign
cheers

Nilesh Patil said...

@Sis,
Bull Party will still on.
caz jnsar with indiavix is with us.

sushil said...

To sujathamam,
mam if this is iii wave of c bear party begin

Sujatha said...

PT -= "Trivedi Express" derailed by Mamta didi Pranab Bank can't fulfill the deficit :P ..mkt waiting for a "another blah blah" for an upmove??? may be second half.. hope he need some "juice" go and help :)

Nilish - gridingggggggggggg for Nice "medhu vada" ??:)

Sujatha said...

ha haha - got 40 pnts candleeeeeeeee

noorie said...

ohh my jnsar trade just got skipped...

Sujatha said...

TOT - AMIT - r u observing??? both side opportunities pakka guaranteeBut once the down complete and upside comes the target is ........:) :)

Have a good day to all.
March 16, 2012 9:06 AM

r u here??? fine tune the "hour"

Prabhat said...

@Sujatha Ma'm: CAn we go long for a 40 pts up candle now :)

NSB said...

@Sujatha Sis

is it good time to go long?

buggie advani said...

hour Cam is in play
cheers

Indus said...

JNSAR triggered

Geet said...

@ Illango ji,

JNSAR 5373, can we take it now or wait till 3.15pm
Question is there due to event volatility and not a doubt
regarding JNSAR.

Thank you

STOCK4SURE said...

ns may trgt 5500+ if 5338-5327 range is protected

Ilango said...

Pre-Market's 5340 & 5440 done for intraday trades.

POWERTRADE said...

Square one .. back to basics

Sujatha said...

STOCK4 - done protect that area and give me bonus of 30 pnts extra on closing basis too :)

SAM said...

Lagta Hai DIDI ne DADA ko Chit kar diya. :) D

buggie advani said...

pre market rocks

noorie said...

sir,
jnsar filter hit...are we long again?

Akash Patel said...

hello jn007. what will be closing any idea? thanks.

buggie advani said...

guys it is SIS (Sujatha)
lets leave the nick name calling
cheers

noorie said...

seniors pls guide...sir may be busy...

Sanjay said...

sujatha sis if hold above 5456 your target,s right. illana bear bear bear.

Sujatha said...

Sanjay - y this Illana or Iliyana (hehe) bear veri?? give me all today itself. i close my "shop" and go.

tadhu - y fear if "JNSAR" is here??

Ilango said...

@ Noorie,

JNSAR trading principles have been written quite exhaustively.

I do make some changes based on the "day's set up" while making "Trading the JNSAR positions" based on day's supports & resistances.

You must stick to the 20 points preferably. The hesitation comes when you have to take a loss twice in a day.

But do it nevertheless.

sushil said...

To sujathamam,
jai ho

shivanGupta said...

HEma @ 5393-close above it, reverse to Longs......this mean long if close above Hema at 2 pm as 1pm close was below 5393

Sanjay said...

tat,s gud sis.

Ilango said...

@ ShivanGupta,

Ignore the previous comment. Keep it as simple as it has always been.

Prithvi Raulji said...

Master,

Can i hold in buy as per H&S pattern???

Sujatha said...

Keep it as simple as it has always been - By Sir

The above is applicable for all :)Howmany of us fine tuning his "teachings"?? each and every thing he can't spoon feed..Recent example - 34 min EMA i fine "tune it with something" apart from what he told to do....getting good result. Try on our Own is best.

Nilesh Patil said...

@ Sis,
Is it mean that above 34 min EMA buy and below it sell?

Ilango said...

@ Prithvi,

If you are playing out "Inverse H&S" pattern, then your longs should be closer to 5325-40 level that matches with the 2nd shoulder. In such a case, yes, you could hold on with a SL @ 5340.

This SL should be revised upwards as the hours go by.

And Part book along the way.

Indus said...

@Ilango

I am truly puzzled....the exhaustive JNSAR writeup
clearly mentions to leave a JNSAR triggered day for
atleast a day, "in order for it to survive"....then why
intraday reversals at 20 points? My understanding is that
JNSAR is a positional trade....would really appreciate
your inputs

rock said...

Dinesh Rishi said...
Volatility is not good for traders

http://www.sudarshanonline.com/2012/03/volatility-is-not-good-for-traders.html

Sudarshan Sukhani

Dinesh Rishi said...

PT

======
Break 10500 spot if you can
& Budget is urz
March 15, 2012 8:54 PM

NSB said...

@FIRE


if you don't mind pl elaborate what is the meaning of 5/10 . Thanks in advance.


--------
From what little I have experienced Cam levels, as H4 is the breakout level, price can get exhausted a bit reaching there or test it multiple times there by forming candles with no real body above it, only tails. So, a better approach could be taking longs only if a candle (5/10) closes above it.

Dinesh Rishi said...

One more chance given to PT :D

Anil said...

Premium shedding at its best...in morning i wrote 5400 pe at 95 when mkt at 5399 now mkt at same position put price is 73...

STOCK4SURE said...

expecting ns may not break abv 5445ns till 2.30pm
but in last hr may give 50-60point upmove
trgt 5499-5510

POWERTRADE said...

lolzzzzzz DR sir

rock said...

anil bhai wats d soln for this problem..me always suffer wit same..

Ilango said...

@ Indus,

Its my turn to ask questions..

How have you been trading with JNSAR. Are you allowing "a day" for the first trigger JNSAR and manage it "only" from next day. If so, how has been your experience.

JNSAR write up is an exhaustive one and it has been added with ""intraday day volatility management procedures".

If you have answers to these, then your questions are answered by yourself.

Geet said...

@ Anil ji,

Could you please elaborate on the premium reducing phenomenon
Thank you.

Prabhat said...

OI update: 16 lac OI addition in 5300 put & 13 lac in 5400...

SANPOT said...

Today's low of N.S. at 5341 exactly at the S-1 mentioned
by Sir. Height of accuracy. A great Master.

Dinesh Rishi said...

rock

stop trading options is the answer :D

options should only be traded as covered calls

Prithvi Raulji said...

MASTER,

THANKS FOR REPLY.

Anil said...

@rock

almost for a week its not shedding its premium so fast,waiting for event. now its over..also its weekend..premium shedding is always seen during fridays...

thats why i refrain from buying 5500 CE/PE as cooldent and i discussed yesterday...

no solution avoid buying pricey options...

Sujatha said...

STock 4 - Ameen... thadhasthu :)

PT - BN is trading away very much from 200/ema/sma levels may be DR-ji aiming for 11K/100/200K??

Nobody noticed Sanjay Bhai's comment to go long in the morning??? Thank you Sanjay bhai (huh now u can't "madam-ning" me.

Ilango said...

Inability to move above 5435 would set up a "potential Fast fall" in the "Intraday chart".(Refer Yahoo intraday chart.

One fast fall set up produced 70 points earlier in the day.

Now another one is developing.

rock said...

thankx dinesh sir n anilji..

nifty said...

Bad day so far. 2 whiplash with nifty SAR.
1 intraday and 1 positional. Normally I only
trade BNF positional. But today I thought it
is safer to trade out of BNF into NF because
of excess volatility.

Now back to BN. Playing it safe by going
Long on 11000 CE instead of BNF.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Converged

BN chart

but +ve yet

the next move may give direction and good profit

@ Nifty

11000 CE was having max OI (Resi)

can you check whats situation as of now?

buggie advani said...

@sir
at what point is the fast fall negated
thanks n advance
cheers

Bhavan said...

@Sir
GA

Ilango said...

@ Nifty,

"SAR" is good for "Positional".

"Supports/ Resistances" are good for "Intraday".

buggie advani said...

@ sir
Sorry sir got the answer
thanks

raghava said...

Today All Option Premium Eating.

Kumar Technicals said...

What a volatile day, perhaps STI running grinding machine:)

Sujatha said...

Sir - hope bulls will be safe if atleast protects 200 ema line as of now. sensex protects 17900 K will give Nifty good game changer

Indus said...

@Ilango

I mange it with next day trigger only and the trade
has resulted in profits.....I asked the question since
I use JNSAR as a postional tool without regard to any
intra day volatility

This approach has given me favourable results

Bhavan said...

The first indication on this current runup given by VIX when mkt was 5200 level
It reverted from 28.5 to 27 levels
The second confirmation given by VIX again today it is @ 22.65 Current rate
So longs as of now the mkt most likely to cross hawala with a Gap

Ilango said...

Just 2 hours to go....If weekly trend wants to assert itself..Now is the time.

Only a move below 5400-5390 would effect that.

sandeep bhoite said...

@ Master
Now IS 5393 Is Short for JNSAR for Positional Traders,as its 20Points from 5373

Bhavan said...

@Sujatha Sensex has entered the gully to cross the doors of golden cross

Sujatha said...

Bhavan - dokla with Srikannth to you :D :) but only thing is worried about PT bear :P

DR-ji - will it UBB level BNF

Fire said...

Master,

Please check mail at your convenience.

POWERTRADE said...

@Sujatha ..

May be this time if the support held ... me out as
now cannot ignore NAV management by the biggies ..
March End :)

Bhavan said...

It seems PT has to be in sidelines for sometime I m waiting for a bang in April with 100 pts cut with reporate

Fire said...

Master,

Please check mail at your convenience.

Sujatha said...

ஐயோ சார் என்ன இம்சை இது my 9 mil/fils/ are better :P

Bhavan said...

Thanks PT making ways for all us small bull(calves)

mynac said...

In spite of huge intra selling pressure Hr.KST chart mildly suggesting up move from here.if Bulls shall save 5405 for the Hr.Target JNSAR + 100 points ? i.e. 5473 ?

Bhavan said...

were they ill?

shr said...

Good afternoon Sir and friends.

@Bhavan, the huge drop in volatility has not been confirmed by corresponding rise in index value.
I think it is more of normalcy returning to markets and as Anil says the very high premiums on the OTMs have been stripped by the smart players, plus no of days to expiry also coming down.
Now my belief is VIX is in price range where 200+ point move in either direction is possible.

Prabhat said...

@Sujatha ma'm: Simple question, simple answer please.
Are you long or short or out of the mkt now?
In case newbies like me have a long position taken at 5405 level - should we hold it for monday? Or close it & take short position for monday?

Else close all positions & finger on the lips for me?

Ilango said...

@ Fire,

It is a clear possibilty...Hence above 5435, the fast fall gets negated.

And upmove gets strengthened.

Sujatha said...

PT - yeah.. bhavan is right becoz i feel sensex falling time is postponed (as of now) looks like
let us see the close.

vasanthmirle said...

DAER IILANGO SIR,
I AM NEW TO THE WORLD OF TRADING AND THIS IS MY OBSERVATION
THE NIFTY MADE A TOP AT 6338.5AND THE LOW OF 4531.15 THE TOTAL FALL IS 1807 POINTS (6338-4531=1807). NOW BY DIVING 1807 BY 8 GIVES YOU 225.87 ROUND IT OFF TO 226. CURRENTLY NIFTY IS MOVING IN THE RANGE OF 226 POINTS, THE GANN LEVELS TO WATCH ARE:

2. 4757+226 = 4983
3. 4983+226 = 5209
4. 5209+226 = 5435
5. 5435+226 = 5661
6. 5661+226 = 5887
7. 5887+226 = 6113
8. 6113+226 = 6339

THE SQUARE ROOT OF 226 WHICH IS 15.033 ROUND IT TO 15.
THEREFORE NIFTY WILL MAKE TURNS ONCE EVERY 15 DAYS,
NIFTY MADE A TOP OF 5629.95 ON 22ND FEBRUARY 2012
& A LOW OF 5171.15 ON 7 TH MARCH 2012 WHICH IS 15 DAYS.
BASED ON THIS ASSUMPTION WE CAN PREDICT THE NEXT
TURNING POINT WILL COME ON EITHER MARCH 21ST
OR MARCH 22ND 2012 AND THE HIGHER PRICE ON THE NIFTY
YOU CAN SEE IS 5887 IF NIFTY CLOSES ABOVE 5572
BY THE 16TH MARCH 2012 OR YOU CAN SEE THE
LOWER PRICE OF 4983 IF IT CLOSES BELOW 5288
BY THE 16TH MARCH 2012.


I AM AWAITING YOUR VALUABLE FEEDBACK EAGERLY.

REGARDS

VASANTH

Unknown said...

Please answer seriously
Who has money intraday today?
Write points earned only

Ilango said...

Hour set up has changed to "Bullish" with 2.00PM Close.

Unknown said...

Please answer seriously
Who has made money intraday today?
Write points earned only

Sujatha said...

Now my belief is VIX is in price range where 200+ point move in either direction is possible.

shr - that's y telling upside target of 5570 since 2 days our "duo" too protecting well..is it a indication??

Prabhat - y doubt?? JNSAR is in long only na??? y specific"Q" hi hi hi..pulling my legs for "fun" :D

Fire said...

Master,

Thanks a lot.

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Sis

do you remember "Swami" ?

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