Monday, May 7, 2012

Nifty Pre-Market View

Nifty, breaking below "5170" at the open with weak TA & -ve global cues gave the indications of "sub-dividing "3"rd wave. Below 5081-50%, it is set for 4951-61.8% and looking at the weakening technicals, it would reach for 4800 in May(once 4950 gives way), having resolved to downsides after being in a "sideways mode" for a long period of time.
Each wave within this 3rd wave seems to be sub-dividing and hence utilise every bounces to "sell" and if you are inclined to only buying, then wait for the downward momentum to show weakness with a close above DLEma & the week's also.
Big gains are made by "sitting tight longest", especially in downtrends.

29 comments:

Sanjay said...

Namaste Ilango Sir & Blogmates,

Bears stamped their authority and how? The OI Table looks dipped in Blood; Option Analysis for 04-05-2012

Yearly, Weekly & Monthly Profile Charts and Values

Duplicated at Wordpress Site

Thanks & Regards,

Sanjay Kr Jaiswal

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

Nifty Testing the Channel breakout: CLICK HERE

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Master & Friends,

Jagan said...

Namaste Ilango Sir And All.

jonak said...

@Illango Sir...if u see 2003-2004 charts we are following a similar chart...after a slow correection in whole of 2003....we reaches a Wolfe wave target in 2004...then started corection forming lower highes like a triangle.....breakdown saw a sharp collapse....something very similar is repeating....also Jan-feb rally was not good with plenty of Gaps...do u think its possible to close that GAP at 4640??

Nifty futures said...

Namaste Ilango Guruji,

GOOD MORNING to you & to all fellow blogmates..

Yogavidya by Parimal Devnath said...

Namaste beloved Master and all friends
May the gracious Lord bless us all !!
have a nice trading day

Option Millionaire said...

Good Morning Ilango sir and friends.

May god bless all for a profitable week ahead.

Manish said...

Good morning Master and all JN friends

Have a Great Learning and Earning session.

Good Luck !!!

SANPOT said...

Good Morning Master and all blog mates.

RainMaker said...

jonak said...
..also Jan-feb rally was not good with plenty of Gaps...do u think its possible to close that GAP at 4640??

What do you think about of the gap created by the election
results it close may concide with by the fall of the govt.u


GM to all

RainMaker said...

@ PS breakdown from the hawla was great already 172 point as per opening ticks

Lakshmi216 said...

Master,

As nifty has comfortably broken 5077 and trading below
it, can we consider the alt. bearish scenario C in play.

Yash and Dhan said...

Good Morning sir and all blog-mates

Unknown said...

GM SIR and JNFAMILY friends.
Today's candle is open and tradins outside BB. Nifty should touch BBBOTTOM 5127 to continue downtrend on daily chart

Billgates said...

@ ilango ,
I would appreciate if you can just at anytime during the
downward phase warn of possible trap most times what i hv
seen is people make good gains during the fall but somehow
a sharp reversals gets caught by surprises and erases of gains
sometimes overnite markets make a sharp dead cat bounces
when u r holding short...

noorie said...

Gm sir and all friends

Ilango said...

@ Lakshmi216,

With higher T/F trend turning down, such a possibility increases.

Below 61.8%, we should look at it aggressively. But break of 80% gives it more credence.
During all these views getting validated, you're in "sell mode" as per TA & JNSAR.

dayakar said...

Pranams Sir,

Good Morning to All.

Nilesh said...

Ilango said...

@ Prabhakar,

"Part booking" has to be individual's choice.

A 50 point bounce would make us feel regretful of not having booked earlier and sometimes a continued 100 point fall too will have the same feeling.

Now that 5077 too is broken, Pivot table has "5063"(for the day) as the next target & then 5036.
May 4, 2012 2:43 PM

thats why sir u r great we should search only
green box. u told & happened. saluate

Prabhakar said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all blog mates

4996 < ORB > 5021 (NS)

5013< ORB > 5029 (NF)

Ilango said...

@ Billgates,

I wish I knew the future as you seem to think.

All I could say at this juncture is that having more than 2 lots lets you part book at various critical points or lower T/F(Hour) showing +ve div.

Risk of losing part of the profits forms integral part of "trailing SL for positional trading".
The trade got initiated only a couple of days ago. Today or tomorrow would provide a "part booking points" due to oversold ST.

shabsaif said...

Good Morning....................

J.R.Julius said...

Good Morning JNFAMILY,
Have a Prosperous Day.

@NEW VISITORS OF THIS BLOG - FIND THE TRESURES INSIDE!

For Beginners

Tech. Table made easy.
JNSAR
JNSAR- a SAR Method
JNSAR for Options Trading
JNSAR with TT
JNSAR for good gains
Applied Technical Analysis

Trading with Discipline
Market Wisdom


Camarilla Key Levels
Opened Below L4.
Levels to be Watch.
L3 5058
L4 5028

venkatapathy l said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and fellow bloggers

LV

NEVER GIVE UP said...

good morning sir and all friends.

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:

A Camarilla Trader will wait to the price movement
in Between L3 & L4 as Open below L4.

If Break L3 BUY.

If Make LH below L4 after reach L3&L4 SELL.

Else the Whole day Camarilla Trader will
SOH(sit on hand)!

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

Sara said...

Nifty intraday support placed at 5,070 - 5,055 - 5,030 levels and resistance placed at 5,105 - 5,121 - 5,145 levels.

Regards: share tips for today

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