I want to emphasise that the study of the price behaviour of index and stocks with assistance from few methods is the one and only way to make money in the market. It is like going to the market place to buy something or sell what you have. But to get the best bargain, you need to understand the "demand & supply" for that product. More the demand, the prices will be bid higher and more the supply(with less people to buy) lesser will be the price. If you spend some time to figure this one out, you will be in a better position to "buy low and sell higher."
In stock market too, the same logic works. But how do you go about finding this "demand & supply"...Yes..by studying the prices bid in the recent past..how high it was bid., how low it went..and where the last bid closed. I have covered the most minimum basics of Technical analysis and they may be found under "Technical Analysis" in my label section.
Here is a wrap up of what has been studied:
1. Trend Following
2. Trendlines
3. Moving Averages.
4. Macd (Moving average convergence & Divergence)
5. Stochastics.
6. Tech. Table- Part.1 and Part-2. And the Tech. File.
7. Elliot wave.
Spend your holiday time & week ends to go over these study materials and practice them during market hours. The time spent and dedication shown will fetch you very satisfying results. Once you develop a "discriminating mind" to differentiate a trending market to a sideways market of different time cycles(week, day, hour), your expectations of the market will be so balanced that you will harvest like a seasoned farmer.
Just stay cool..Don't sweat it out. Simply try to understand the various forces at work. If you are relaxed when you are trading, you will make money. Anxiety has no place in this business.
I have selected the last 8 months of daily prices from June.09 to 29th Jan.10 to demonstrate here the discipline with which Technical Analysis could be applied in real time using our recent studies on the following 7 methods.
You may click on the charts to get the complete detailed messages.
1.Trend Following
2.Trendlines
3.Moving Averages.
4.Macd (Moving average convergence & Divergence)
The buy signals were generated when the indicator reached the "oversold" levels with positive divergences appearing in the hourly charts.(Not shown here).
5.Stochastics.
6.Tech. Table- Part.1 and Part-2. And the Tech. File.
7.Elliot wave.
As per this EW analyis, a 4th wave is on and the market would find a bottom in the region of 4650-4750 when it completes a "v'th wave.This 5-wave down could be a part of the 1st wave of the larger down move or a teperory halt to a corrective or end of a corrective which will be resolved in the next few weeks but suffice to state that a temperory bottom will be around the 200sma.
The combination of these methods virtually assures a stupendous returns to a disciplined person and these studies can be carried out on most stocks and indices.
There is no substitute for hard work and discipline.
Armed with the above tools, you may get rich slowly fairly in a faster time.
13 comments:
resp ilangoji please give your view on dlf as it had given inverted hammer and ? positive divergence.please give your view ith elliot wave count.
Dear Ilango, you have summarized in a brief, lucid and chamatkaar fashion !! Congrats Ilango and great job.
Cheers
Illango sir.....thanks for that beautiful writeup. But, one doubt was lingering in my mind since friday. That is, what was the technial reason for you to insist repeatedly and particularly to go long on friday around 4790 to 4805.....you did not give up even when it had stop loss. What was that this signal that is prompting you to be so confident and bold ? And you say the downtred is still on ? What is that indicator that tells you that the downtrend would resume once this so called 4th wave up ?
thanks in advance
And I forgot.....any possibility to change the process to show the latest msgs first and not at the bottom.........that way we stay focussed on the table numbers always prompting our thinking about the price action w/o losing out to the content of the msgs.....
apologies if its too demanding from my side..
Dear Ilango,
How can I miss to thank ?
Thank you. Your educative views have helped me NOT to look at the market as a phantom or mystery which is moved by news,rumours,operators and the animals (bulls and bears).
Today, I look at it as an environment having a method in its madness that has to be studied,analysed and exploited to our advantage.
Thank you for all the efforts and countless hours of painstaking teaching with no ulterior selfish motive.
Thanks also to your family who tolerate your exhausting your time,energy and acumen for the sake of the unknown investors.
Long Live.
Entharo mahanubavulu anthariki vandanamulu.
Regards,
S Rajagopal
Dear Ilango,
What a crisp and meaningful teaching! What a wonderful explanation you gave on high risky and mysterious money market! Luckily I was following you, two months before your selected time frame. April09 onwards I was following each and every word you have narrated in the blog. Now this is the diamond on the crown.
I was afraid to enter in this money market because almost everybody warned me this is a high risky gambling field. Initially I was also experienced such a way only.
Now I realized this is also arts and science. Market has its own rhythm and methodology; your teaching exposed this to me. Your teaching is a light house to those who are all sailing in the ferocious money market sea. If I say thanks it will be very formal.
“Valkha nee pallandu, valarkha uun thondu menmalum”
Hi Ilango, keep this on the top most on the blog, it is one which needs to be read read and over read again and again. Congratulations on the presentation probably the best I've seen in my entire time in the markets. MAY GOD BLESS YOU.
Sudhin Bathija
Dear Ilango,
many thanks for the complete analysis.
posting the link for nifty 60 minute feb fut chart with 5hour high,low and simple average.(old link shows only jan fut)
http://www.quote.com/global/futures/chart.action?s=NIFTY+G0-NSF&chartUi.period=V&chartUi.bardensity=LOW&chartUi.studies=EMA%285%2C5%2C5%29%3BHLMA%285%2C5%29%3B&chartUi.bartype=CANDLE&chartUi.size=650x450&chartUi.minutes=60
"Getting Rich Slowly".
..........I am not in a Hurry
ilango sir,
TO LIVE IN THE WORLD WITHOUT BECOMING AWARE OF THE MEANING OF THE WORLD IS LIKE WONDERING ABOUT IN A GREAT LIBRARY WITHOUT TOUCHING THE BOOKS----(its a spiritual teaching)
thanks for showing us the right knowledge to move in this world.
u bring "ORDER OUT OF CHAOS"
hi sir .. in the chart as per elliot wave u said its corrective since 2259.. i m very curious to no wat level do u see as the top for this rally as per elliot???, wat is the downside tgt do u see if this corrective rally is over???.. y do u see it as a corrective rally from 2259 instead of a new bull market???? and do u think its still a corrective rally in a bear market?? .. i would be happy to no ur views..
resp ilangoji thanks for view on dlf.due to some problem i am not able to post comment on stock wealth.any approximate target for wave iv and wave v in dlf?
Dear Mr. Ilango,
God Bless You and fullfill ur all wishes in life
You are really doing good job for people like me,
i m new, but i can understand whatever you mention
guide us
pls mention about JNSAR i m still unable to understand
this.
thanks
Warm regadrs
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