Thursday, May 31, 2012

Nifty Pre-Market View

5010-5039 supply zone proved a ST resistance.
5002 proved a break down point.
4945 to 4982 proved a corrective rise, monitored with an "abc" move.
And market fell again to 4945 & paused with a feeble abc at close thus setting itself for a continued fall.
A corrective fall could niormally retrace 50% to 61.8% @ 4913 to 4887.
4894-weekly pivot falls right in the middle of it.
Beyond 4887, the last reversal confirmation is @ 4848(80%)
If 5020 to 4946 was "a"; 4946 to 4982 was "b"; "C" could be 4982-74=4908 as equality or more depending on other fibo.relationships.
JNSAR traders could opt for a filter around weekly pivot or golden ratio-4894 or 4887.

161 comments:

Kiran said...

New look

I Trade 4 Profit Daily said...

Congrats on the New look.

But a title to the post would have been useful.

BTW we have got 2 NR7 days in a row. Expect huge gyrations today.

Waquar said...

Waah...waah, naya look, me likey likey :-P

Gm to all :)

madamuniramaiah said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
eevra said...

Thx IlangoJi..

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Master & Friends

I like this new Chang.

satheesh said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and all,

Nifty Week Bar Chart:
Click Here

Nifty Week Chart:
Click Here

Nifty DAY chart:
Click Here

Nifty Hour Harmonic Pattern:
Click Here

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

TATA MOTORS High Volume breakdown: CLICK HERE

Anonymous said...

ha ha..good look..gm every bady

Bhushan said...

I like new look

Good morning Gurudev and friends

Satheesh mam good to see you

Unknown said...

good Morning ALL !

I like this new look TX !

Now we can see images as per regular times.

Please sir dont change this look ; atleast for some days.

Waquar said...

Ilango ji, arnd what lvl shuld i look to sell ?

Parminder said...

Master ilango,
Hearty Good Morning and Best wishes for a Broad New look to the Blog.
regards
☺☺

Nitin Kadam said...

Good Morning Sir & Blog mates,

Overall View for today:-

Nifty fail to cross 4995-5020 and fell to 4945. Now below 4931-4900 bears would try to take control.
Strong support area 4900-4880 is last hope for bulls.
Below 4860 bears will win the battle.

4900 - Major support for nifty. (First Sign of Weakness if broken this.)

4880 - Support area (One can Initiate Longs here with small SL )

4901-4931-4950 - First resistances to continue up move.

Targets after clearing resistances: - 4995-5055

4860- Trend will reverse below this.

4830-4789–Immediate targets after breaking trend reversal level

4860.

Changing your sentiments as per the trend from bulls to bears or vice versa is hardest thing, but the most required for successful TRADING. TRADING game is always against human nature,
Winning our own emotions makes our way to success easier.

Current Trend - UP with selling pressure on upper sides.

Trend Reversal: - Below 4860

Possible Movements:-
1. 4945< = > 4880< = >4931< = >4950< = >4995< = >5055
2. 4945< = >4880< = >4860< = >4830< = >4789

Two best rules for successful trading:-
1. Initiate position in the direction of trend near support & resistances.

2. Max stop loss - 30 points.

Happy disciplined trading to all.

Have a nice day!

Unknown said...

Good morning Ilango Sir & all Blogmates,

This new look is Fresh & Excellent, Change is good....

Rgds
Saravanan

Parminder said...

Master ilango,
The technical file is not updated on the right hand corner.
Thanks& Regards

Shradha Saburi said...

good morning all

Unknown said...

Friends today
is expiry and lets have a contest here.
May Nifty Expiry Guessing Contest.
The rules are simple- There are only 3.
a) Just call out the series close for may
b) No wild guess. A reason is must. Everyboday must give a expected close figure and reason for that.
no range (4000-4050) ,only one figure e.g.4000
c) You need to do it After 9.15 today and before today 2.30.
Seniors plz contribute.

Arif said...

Hi Ilangoji,

New look is not good to read.
Please do not mind, I still will be reading all the posts and comments all day.

Jagan said...

Namaste Ilango Sir And All.

durga said...

master,good morning to all.the new look is hitech.lost th eclassic feel.all the best.

Sekhar said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and blogmates..

Mr. Sultan said...

Illangi sir if LL nOt breakout so wht to do? Suggest me

Prabhat said...

GM master & to all my friends.

New template giving some problems to me .. the text box vanishes...

@PT: Sirjee.. or the bear or all bears... Due to your presence nifty could not even sustain 5005. Acha khasa chal raha tha nifty ke gaddi.. aur abhi aapne paiyye ko puncture kiya..

Is bache ko ruladiya aapne..

Please nifty ko 4930 ke upare expir hone dijiye ...

Ilango said...

I have changed to this "only to get the chart & Tech Table" readable.

More finer adjustments to colour, etc., will be done later.

= = = = = = =

I have updated the trade table as per readers request.

Take care.

SANPOT said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and all blog mates. Sir, liked the new look.

dayakar said...

Pranams Gurudev.

Good Morning To All.

Sir new look giving strain to eyes.

Thank you.

Unknown said...

Evening Star !!!

venkatapathy l said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and fellow bloggers.

The new look is appealing.

LV

Yogavidya by Parimal Devnath said...

Namaste beloved Master and all good friends
May the Lord bless us all with mental peace and prosperity
have a nice trading day

I Trade 4 Profit Daily said...

Sir,

One suggestion.

Kindly change the background color of your comments and replies, so that they stand out.

Thanks in advance

Yash and Dhan said...

Good Morning Gurudev,
Good Morning Blog-mates

prakashbkc said...

GM Master,
as per trade table conservative trade is to SELL below 4945.
But u advised filter at weekly pivot at 4897 i.e. Sell below 4877
Does i understand correct

Prabhat said...

Sir... any problem with nseindia.com ? icicidirect displaying wrong values for options, nseindia not displaying any value & same is with sharekhan.

prakashbkc said...

Master going to open below JNSar-20 so sell recomended?

Sujatha said...

GM sir and friends :)

Sir - Feel little uncomfortable with the background colour. Super duper contrast black and white :)

Have a good day to all

regards

Just Huge Consistent Profits said...

Good Morning Ilango sir and friends.

Sir you change the text colours and it will be pleasant.

Happy trading day to all.

Remember today is the expiry day.

Prabhat said...

@Master: Me too not happy with the change. Earlier template was better. I vote against this change.

NEVER GIVE UP said...

good morning sir and all friends.

SAM said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Blogmates,

I also agree with Prabhat, this look is not "Feel Good Look",

Previous one was good as comapared with this one.

shabsaif said...

Good Morning.....................

Indus said...

@Ilango

Please reconsider the background colour...hurts the eyes to read

sanyasho said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and fellow bloggers.

eevra said...

what will be masterhi msg box colour now ( earlier we could spot green easily )

Anonymous said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all,

Please revert back to the original settings once the issues are sorted out.

Expiry game????

SANPOT said...

Sir, as mentioned in the conservative it is sell below 4945. Should it be sell below 4845?. I am confused.

mynac said...

GM Everybody...
Again routine problem from NSE front as usual.How much and how long they will hold this market up and up by these types of tactics only God knows..but its not a good practice at all...

POWERTRADE said...

@Ilango sir

Am not able to View in Mobile version .. But as Said na "Change is Only Permanent"

Akash Patel said...

@Ps
how to manage jnsar todays gap down? cover shorts at 4937? and long?

saravanan said...

my vote for green

Kranti said...

Yes..Ilango.. Simple White background with black font is always better and light on eyes.. More relaxing .. Please re consider..

Indus said...

@DR

Bank nifty DSAR and JNSAR triggered....is a filter prudent at this stage?

Prabhat said...

@Mynac: As per the OI is 4900 giving way? I am feeling that real value of nifty is to go below 4900 which might also dip in later session but since it is expiry, it might just be manipulated & lifted to expire above 4900.

Piyush Sharda said...

@anmpatel

as sir said use figure of 4894/4887 since 4894 has held one can use today's low or 4887. always remember nobody on this earth knows or will ever know the future. keeping this in ur mind will give u
more confidence that u r not the only one confused

sushil said...

good morning master and all
good look given to the blog i liked it

venkatapathy l said...

The lines extend beyond the computer edge. Could not be read with ease. Better to have boxes.

LV

sushil said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac

This is Really a very Wierd case ... To use Power to block the fall

Bloody People .. Give me the gun i will shoot them .. Let the Market
Work on the Dynamics of buyer and Seller and Price .. Why NSE interferes

Renju Sivasankaran said...

Real time data charts available freely from NSE

http://www.nseindia.com/ChartApp/install/charts/mainpage.jsp

You can use this site to chart realtime and historical charts for FO scripts and equity scripts.

Bullish Cartel said...

@Ilango @Jignesh

Expiry guess is 4947

nifty cash- hourly chart rise from 4830 to 5020. 38.2% retracement 4947

mynac said...

Dear Prabhat,
Since there are problems here from NSE front..so cannot see any thing except G Finance chart & rate value...And when these types of problem starts regularly...it is clear cut indication for a trader investor that "though it does not look or feel so "All is definitely not well" there.

kerala nifty said...

MY VOTE FOR GREEN OLD IS GOLD

shabsaif said...

NIFTY movement showing that market near to day close, kya 3.15 baj gaye ??

Sujatha said...

mynac/PT - mynac do u think 2nd half may be down??? i really scary they may trap bears today and move up??? all the figures of BN/nifty/sensex exactly playing @ right place how long they will hold 4900?? BN holding 383/450 level will show sudden upside not ruled before any announcement of "blah blah" by TV . 16120/BN 383 taken may show downside upto 4850 level but will it??? becoz sensex low 16134

mynac said...

Dear PT,
Very true...Now a days NSE is controlling market...so they are invited here in expiry contest to quote their Closing expiry price..Only they are in a position to tell it too accurately..

POWERTRADE said...

@Sujatha

May be today a Bull Trap morning low is below 4800
in NS :)

shiva said...

good morning,seniors..

Indus said...

@PT

where did you get that figure from? my terminal
shows low at 4894.45 NS...please recheck at your
end

GaneshaSays said...

All Guys here, complaining about NSE, picking up guns and all, please note that what u see on screen contains all truth. My simple question to all is do u guys complain abt NSE and its so called "manipulation" when things go according to your way? At that time do you believe that price reflects all, yes all factors including strength of big guys? Then accept "price on screen" this time as well.

Prithvi Raulji said...

Wow,nice change
But how can easily identify master's post???

Master,
make your reply in pink

Dinesh Rishi said...

PT

Jaa Aish Kar chottey


http://world.guns.ru/userfiles/images/machine/mg12/m60e4.jpg

Dinesh Rishi said...

Good Morning Master and Copy to All

Bytes said...

Nifty says ..I see all black black ..till Illango sir doesn't change the blog color ,we won't move ahead :)

Indus said...

@DR

Please refer to my question above

mynac said...

Dear Sujatha,
Only NSE people are in a position @ present to tell us... whether it will be up or down in 2nd..3rd ..forth half of the "YEAR" :)

SANPOT said...

Sir, again a C.T. on 2 min chart. ? ivth of C.

Sujatha said...

PT - 4800??? r u talking about premarket open or site is showing??? then almost nearby 2 weeks swing low then whole "scene" will change ??let us see "my intution says" some upside left let me see where it's holding if not holding @ that level then all is well for bears :)

Randhir said...

Dear Sir,

Great new look.....also could you please arrange to highlight
your comment the way you did in old look (green colour)....this is
easy to spot your comment.

Thanks

Randhir said...

Lack of Volume....may be due to Bharat Bandh or waiting for
GDP data ?

Unknown said...

Friends today
is expiry and lets have a contest here.
May Nifty Expiry Guessing Contest.
The rules are simple- There are only 3.
a) Just call out the series close for may
b) No wild guess. A reason is must. Everyboday must give a expected close figure and reason for that.
no range (4000-4050) ,only one figure e.g.4000
c) You need to do it After 9.15 today and before today 2.30.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Filter is SL

20 points in nifty 50 points in BN

if one shorts Nifty @ 9400 his SL will be 9450

if mkt moves above 9450 he has to go long

mynac said...

Dear GaneshaSays,
"Then accept "price on screen" this time as well."
Dear friend we are not able to log in since morning to do "any thing"...so only we are complaining...

Dinesh Rishi said...

Indus

Replied

POWERTRADE said...

Lack of Volume ---- Lagta hain kya

Gore log ka gorakh dhandha to kabhi bhi chalu hoga
aj

bb said...

I do not like the look at all as it is not legible. Earlier one was better. This is clumsy to say the least.

navtash said...

gm to everybody !
we are unable to copy the teachings of ilango sir , on word , which we are used to do. for further reference. in this new format , and want to see the colour of ilango sir's green box

SANPOT said...

Sir, if c=a*1.618, the target comes to 4860. Is it right sir?. Thanks.

jagannathan said...

Today nifty may end at 4954 the earlier resistence

Indus said...

@DR

Sorry...unable to locate or see your response.
Can I request you to repost? thank you

mynac said...

"Lack of Volume ---- Lagta hain kya" ??
Dear PT,kam se kam vo dekhne ke liye to scren par kuch ana chahiye ? :)Is vakt ham Dhrutarashtra hai....:)

Parminder said...

PT, Good morning
where is this low which u have seen

POWERTRADE said...

@Parminder

Pre Market Opening --- But may be that has no Relevance :) ---

POWERTRADE said...

Lolzzzz :D Me to Ab Sanjay Banne ki soch Raha hun ---- Usme jyada paisa hain ab hahahahahaha

Parminder said...

PT,
Tussi great ho.
u always see the unseen
greaaat
☺☺

madamuniramaiah said...

Dear sir
Regarding BLACK colour ,is not aspicious

Unknown said...

@sir
@JNFriends
JN May Series Close Contest

Prithvi Raulji said...

DR sir,
Can i enter in short now or wait??

MK said...

master sir, the background colour is not good for eyes.. reading also very difficult. "old is gold"

mynac said...

G finance chart shows.. 5 min.34ema 4961.14 @ 9.15 AM and the way price is controlled so well... now @ 10.25 AM it has come down to 4925.60... so probably this "problem may go on for next 2 or 3 Hrs more,...to bring down that 34 ema bet.4910-20 to hold market above 4920 for rest of the day is guess..Chalo....AAj ka din to nikala :( girane se bache...

Prabhat said...

@Mynac: Today, to make matters worse, GDP nos also expected at 11:30 am.

shankerlal0007 said...

good morning every one

bharadwaj said...

Ilango Sir,

The old template was better ...

shriram said...

Morning everyone,

Developing 5DEMA which closes FLAT ysday, has turned DOWN now...

30mins T/F offers supports @ 4843-4847 & 4863-4868 zones.

Resistance is the 34EMA itself @ 4955

Cheers!

PS: Illango ji: Honest feedback - Missing ur green boxes.. this look is too dull, makes me sleepy, pls revert to Old format :-)

satheesh said...

@ Jiggs,
My entry for expiry contest - 4925 - 10DMA,13DMA and just above Day LEMA.

Sujatha said...

ha ha mynac - u r right that's y i told PT that one upmove pending how it hold will decide there :) and may be bear trap also. y i am thinking always "ulta" pulta?? :D

Anonymous said...

Today nifty may end close to 4955 the earlier resistence

sushil said...

To jigneshbhai,
expiry 4949 5DEma and 13 DEma
also early resistant level

Unknown said...

@satheesh
noted

POWERTRADE said...

LOLZZZ Sujatha

Indus said...

@Ilango

Update please

Sukanya said...

good morning all!
I would prefer the old look in the comment section, if given a choice.
My expiry guess @ 4934, close to 10ema.

SANPOT said...

Sir, the vth of c starts?

daiyamt said...

pl consider changing BLACK back gound to WHITE.
black font on white is more readable. [white font on black is used to highlight something. never for main text.]

sanz said...

Morning Sir & everyone... :D

Unknown said...

Nifty below 5 DMA and JNSAR,

next level is 0.618% fibo retracement of rise from 4788 to 5020.

Dinesh Rishi said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Unknown said...

image ULTA please correct it.

Prabakar said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and JN Family

Dinesh Rishi said...

Re-posting Masters comments

IlangoMay 31, 2012 8:57 AM
I have changed to this "only to get the chart & Tech Table" readable.

More finer adjustments to colour, etc., will be done later.

NOBLE said...

@ master
tata steel giving any clue ?

SAM said...

This Comment is not removed by Author :)D

Sourav Kundu said...

Sell sell sell... broken below master's 4887.

Unknown said...

India Q1 GDP 5.3% y/y Prev: 6.1 FORCAST: 6.2 Mkt: 6.1

Yash and Dhan said...

4887 broken!!

Randhir said...

FY 12 GDP at 6.1 and Q4 GDP at 5.3

Sujatha said...

OK Acted down now upside??????????????

Randhir said...

FARM Sector GDP at 1.7 v/s 7.5 ......this way their will be huge
shortage of food thus rising the inflation.

Sourav Kundu said...

@Sujata,
Not yet acted... wait for the waterfall.

gkm223 said...

time to buy for filling yesterday's and today's gap??

nifty rider said...

gdp supporting final E

Sourav Kundu said...

@gkm223,
Buying now is against the trend... just a caution.

Badri said...

Nifty going to close below 5217 [January high]. A threat to Bulls this year as per JANUARY HIGH CLOSE STRATEGY?????.

gkm223 said...

if nifty will go near 4990, good for me.

Dinesh Rishi said...

gkm223 :D

POWERTRADE said...

JNSAR to short hai na Bhai Log

Prabakar said...

Dear Jiggs,

Expiry at 4834. 15 day Cam L3

Sourav Kundu said...

PT sir,
You are right... JNSAR is short and moreover Sir's conservative 4887 also triggered once... but currently above that.
But atleast JNSAR is short and so SL for shorts would be 4937 on NS.

STOCK4SURE said...

ns may trade today in 50 point range
cosidering if lows have been made may trgt 4935 which may be very stiff res to cross today

my trgt for expiry is 4910...mid point of 4885-4935

Indus said...

@Ilango

Updates please

Sourav Kundu said...

Master please delete this message if its uncalled and unnecessary.

I get a feeling... that what's happening now is the start of a capitulation... more bad news will follow in the months to come... and by October of this year, we may be all the way down to fill up the election gap.

This is just a feeling... I do not have any material substance to validate this.

Traveller said...

Master please update.

I Trade 4 Profit Daily said...

Expiry prediction

4845

which is DH - ATR * 0.8

Thanks

prakashbkc said...

Piyush shardha sir,

Is JNsar is short is short trade now?

Prithvi Raulji said...

yes,
JNsar in short

Unknown said...

Sir please update JN blog please

Unknown said...

expiry prediction at 4888

prakashbkc said...

Prithvi,
SL for this JNSAR shart is 4917

Piyush Sharda said...

@prakashbkc
jnsar is short

sanyasho said...

Sir
It has been observed by me that sometimes after breaking resistance price falls considerable below my stop loss and after taking support price rise above my stoploss level. sometimes I have to hold the position very long with anxiety. How to understand the support held or resistance broken correctly and take the bid accordingly.
Sir please spare some time and kindly answer my quarry.

Unknown said...

ISLAND formed at 4911-4920 range.

sanjeev said...

dear sir
todays expiry at 5day ema 4949

SAM said...

Expiry guess... my guess --
expiry will be near 4930 DEMA.

Post your expiry guess also.

mridul said...

http://i50.tinypic.com/2rm5zsg.png 4877 the meditation number ahead

Bytes said...

Is GDP data out ? Why market is doing chillar grind again ?
Aaj toh expiry hai ..kuch dhamaka hona chaiye

prakashbkc said...

thanx piyush sir

Just Huge Consistent Profits said...

May 2011

Intraday Closing

High = 5775.25 5551.45
Low = 5328.70 5476.10

446.55 points 75.35 points

May 2012 till yesterday

Intraday Closing

High = 5279.60 5086.85
Low = 4788.95 4891.45

490.85 points 195.40 points

Expiry closing may be around 4986.85

ie. Closing high 5086.85 - 100 points

Sujatha said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ilango said...

NEW Post Done.

Sujatha said...

mynacccccccccc - 34 ema is very much near by will it cross and give 3-4 big candles jump???

chetas said...

Expiry guess : 4937

Reason : this being a expiry coupled with monthly close, the monthly levels are more relevant. The lowest bullish case possible as per monthly TT is LEMA @ 4937, henec a expiry at 4937

swami said...

my target of this expiry @ 4935

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