Thursday, December 9, 2010

Nifty PreMarket View.

Price has corrected 50% of the rally from 5690 to 6069 @ 5880 and the oscillator has completed a trip from Overbought to oversold region and developed a minor positive divergence too. This action of oscillator v/s price move's length suggests that this fall is of "corrective nature" only.
The corrective move from 6069 to 5880 has unfolded in a clear 3 wave form in a channel and this channel resistance comes @ 5925. Trade above yesterday's high,5960, will give short term strength whereas moving past 6001 may reverse the short term trend.
NF channel shows a bit different channel resistances..NF 5960-70 would be a critical zone to cross at the open and thereafter the value comes down.



50 comments:

aktainwala said...

Good Day to Ilango & All.

Ilango,
I am a bit confused, with the few last words
'value comes down'of the statement.

'NF channel shows a bit different channel
resistances..NF 5960-70 would be a critical
zone to cross at the open and thereafter
the value comes down'.

Means if unable to cross value would go
down ?

Probably , it's clear now.

Thanks

Ilango said...

@ atain,

At the open, the channel resistance for NF is @ 5960-5970. As it is a downward sloping channel, the channel resistance values for a break out will start to come down from 5960-5970 to 5955-5960., 5950-5955 and so on.

As you understood, it is also possible that the resistance may lead to a fall to test the previous lows which will depend on the volume and OI changes ..

aktainwala said...

Ilango,

Thanks a lot for the clarity.

Yogesh said...

Ilango,

Bonjour.

I must appreciate, your quick response atain.

I have read in one God's Pothi ( Holy Book )

That god always rushes to help followers.

May God Bless You.

Yogesh V. Abhyankar

Yogesh said...

Sujatha,

I am in your Boat since Friday.

Quantity of Cargo is Huge.

Do keep on posting when to cover.

Yogesh V. Abhyankar

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

LINES OF NIFTY: CLICK HERE

abhishek said...

Ilango Sir,

Good morning,

Sir in above table JNSAR shows DOWN but j10.SAR

shows UP , i think some typo err or my understood

is wrong ?

Thanks.

Bhavan said...

Sir;GM
A querry on understanding on the longterm(Weekly) and shortterm(daily)charts on icharts of nifty,the nifty13 and 34 EMA exihibits a different pattern of crossovers.In weekly the bullish crossover still persists whereas in the dailies a bearish crossover is there so how to take this for positional understandings.

Ilango said...

@ abhishek,

Thanks. It is "Down" and I've corrected it.

@ Bhavan,

Trade with the daily indications but keep in mind that at "supply zone/ resistances", it may find difficulty due to weekly pressures.

Trading based on week is difficult as daily swings are so huge. But keeping the weekly TA alerts you to be cautious at "Overbought" situations. If weekly is up and daily is OB, the OB can persist for a long time due to the strength of week TA.

prashant shah said...

GM TO SIR AND ALL AND NAMASKAR NAMSTEY TO ALL

prashant shah said...

Bhavan Jsk (Mota Mansoo ) :)

Bhavan said...

@Prashant JSK

Sukanya said...

Good morning all!

Rajagopal said...

GM SIR & FRIENDS

prashant shah said...

jai jinendra to all

Prabhakar said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all

Bhavan said...

Thanks Sir

prashant shah said...

5983.30 100.00%
5969.30 76.40%
5960.63 61.80%
5953.63 50.00%
5946.62 38.20%
5937.96 23.60%

prashant shah said...

5909.94 23.60%
5901.28 38.20%
5894.27 50.00%
5887.27 61.80%
5878.60 76.40%
5864.60 100.00%

prashant shah said...

all r retsrcement

Unknown said...

Sir...thanks for those beautiful and simple charts..

my small input if you think is valid...i see a possibility of 5934-5955-5965 as resistances as per 5 min future charts...and trading above VAH of 5934 is must to take long positions....right sir ?

regards

RishiM said...

good morning everyone

INDITRADER said...

Gm Illango Sir & All

RishiM said...

HI

I am having two doubts and would be grateful if they can be resolved -

1) we were talking of a trading range between 5935 and 6070 and big moves on either
sides. Since we have broken on the downside shouldn't we be short ? Maybe wait for the indicator
35-D to move up and short again.

2) Also JNSAR has been broken on the downside.

shiva said...

good morning,seniors..

Ilango said...

Yes..Ka,

VAH 5934 may coincide with the opening spot high of 5925.

That would be the channel breakout point.

Dinesh kumar said...

GOOD MORNING TO SIR AND ALL

Ilango said...

@ RishiM,

Trading band broken & have seen a decisive move to 5880 beyond which 5865(monthly support)is possible.

For the day, moving past 5925 & then 5960 are strong resistances..

Daily "D" is trending down and if 35 hour "D" gives a buy, it could be short lived..

JNSAR trade - is a mechanical method to keep the emotions out & is DOWN.

Bhavan said...

SBI might be still on a sell due to rights issue matter

Bhavan said...

might go near 2700 range so longs can be avoided

Unknown said...

POC of 5925 is getting rejected and VAL is protecting so far...good to observe this !

Ilango said...

"ORB" is well poised.

High being channel resistance: 5927NS/5941 NF

Low being Last low @ 5884NS/ 5910NF

Trade : <<5884NS - 5927NS>>

Unknown said...

@FORTUNE AND DYS BHAI

THANKS FOR YOUR COMMENTS FOR MY YESTERDAY'S QUERY.

RishiM said...

THANK YOU Illango Sir !!

POWERTRADE said...

Good Morning Sir and Warriors

u.k.Raj said...

Good Morning ALL

Ilango said...

"Short term reversal from here" likely now..

Sujatha said...

Good morning sir and all :)

OMG sir, triple bottom intra if not break again + yesterday 5880 double bottom (slight)??

please all pray for "nifty should protect 5880" hehe, or else gaya upto 5833 62% retracement levels.

Happy trading day.

INDITRADER said...

Sir on downside or upside? reversal?

Fire said...

RIL supporting the market.

Unknown said...

yes sir...'seems' to be as a mild +ve div developing both in NS & NF 5 min chars...plz clarify.

regards

Ilango said...

@ musti,

:)

Prices have been trending down.. so a reversal can be upside.

BN is not making LL but Nifty did and hence the suggestion..

INDITRADER said...

I think sir say for upside!
Me too want 60000 todayyyyyyyyyy

Sujatha said...

Sir - what a telepathy?? thanks

intra gann - If yesterday's low not breached decesively then upside no is - 5898,5917,5936
5956 , 5975. Inbetween watch closely 5943/48 (long breakout may happen at this level) if at all that's false also it may give another 15-20 points. Thinking over +vely?? mm. RG sir against my view na?

Bhavan said...

Sir 5899-5902 was also the range where yesterday good buying was observed and today also the same thing so if 5887 is protected for some time we may again see 5934 in NF

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

INDITRADER said...

@ Sujatha, I it will give Cam L-5 now.

Harpreet said...

Good Morning LORD Illango!!!
Lord i am a regular visitor to the blog and follow JNSAR in some of my trade, just tring to study more about EW!!

If 1 wave downward started @6340 & ended @5724 the 2nd wave completed @ 6088 almost .60% of wave 1. then wave 3 should might be @5601 - 1.18% or 5553-1.27% or 5339- 1.61%.

Lord am i right till here
Assuming this is a simple wave
All NF values

Regards
Harpreet

nitin said...

GUD MORNING ALL AND SIR. I M NEW READER

CAN U UNDERSTAND ME LEVEL OF NIFTY.

S S said...

YOUR ANALYSIS IS NOTHING EXCEPT FEW LINES HERE AND THERE DRAWS LIKE A KID.

IT GOES THERE.YOU RUINED MY CAPITAL .I MADE MSTAKE BY FOLLOWING YOU.

JALLOUS,MANGO PICKED IT FROM OTHER'S MANGO

STOP FOOLING

STOP STEALING OTHER'S HARD WORK

FAKE PROFITS
BOOKING 1 CALL IN 2 PARTS.HEEEEEEEE

WONDERFUL MANGO
CHIKKU PAYYA JALLOUS MANGO

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