Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-II


42 comments:

POWERTRADE said...

@ilango sir,

Can we expect 6075 where a superb neagative divergence may develop ???

Prashant said...

The lead indicators and RSI may remain in the overbought/oversold territory for a long time when the trend is very strong and momentum solid. This does not seem to be the case right now, as there is no strong trend/momentum. The index may therefore react whenever we have an oversold/overbought condition. It did that yesterday near 5982, when hour was overbought. similar set up developing right now. Such conditions can be utilised for intra-trades of 20-40 points. I mean to say that in such sideways zone, such technicals conditions should be pounced at at the earliest. These may be ignored in a strong trend.

Prashant said...

though the hourly chart look overbought, the daily chart has entered positive territory

This is still being considered a corrective upmove till it moves past 6070, being the C wave of this correction; it may end anywhere in 6005/6070 area
we are waiting for the confirmation signal first signal wud be when it starts making lower lows and lower highs in hourly frame, it has still to cross 6006, th eprevious hour high
so when the momentum subsidises in the lower time frame we will have the warning

Ilango said...

@ PT,

The sudden steep fall from 6339 to 5690 is being corrected.
It would involve a lot of "time correction" as market breadth during the fall was quite negative.

Unless that changes, trading these smaller moves and finding a lasting trend would be elusive.

Now to your question: It is possible to move towards 6074-6100+, provided the corrections from here holds above 5905.

POWERTRADE said...

Thanks a lot Sir

Prashant said...

6100 put is piling up open interest continuously, 40% added today.

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, the possibility of 5th up of weekly B is gone now??
Momentum says it is gone??Thanks

POWERTRADE said...

@bizagra

What does that imply ????

Prashant said...

it looks all set for a visit to 6025 zone now

POWERTRADE said...

@bizagra

CZ currently still i am neutral on market

Prashant said...

6000 call has still not shed any open interest

POWERTRADE said...

@prashant

So of NS moves 6040-70 we would not get any good prize in 6000 calls

bizagra said...

@Powertrade
I m asking sir ,if very bullish possibility of 5th of 5th of B,
still exists or not??

Prashant said...

if it closes around 5995 this hour, it will be the third close at 5995 for the day

Prashant said...

and it shows some strength

Prashant said...

didn't make a higher high this hour

Niftybaaz said...

Respected Illango Ji and Blogmates

as shown in charts.....nifty is struggling in this area......sir can we go short in banknifty and nifty for intraday only

regards

Prashant said...

lower high 5997 lower low 5981 for this hour

POWERTRADE said...

the huge OI of 6000 calls is making difficult fo r nf to move up

Piyush Sharda said...

at 5984 based on equality wave 1=wave 5 was achieved
if this is 5 wave move. but ususlly c in a flat is more
dynamic than 4a and larger too. this has lacked
in this upmove. this may not be 2c

POWERTRADE said...

All we need is a movement above 6017 NF

Crorepathi said...

Prashant,
Thanks for your step by step logical analysis with timely update, learning to breath intraday market slowly.As usual very beautiful analysis.

Piyush Sharda said...

typo 2a instead of 4a

prashant shah said...

yaar Nimesh bhai 6000 call bull ka bhi hoo shakta hay na ?? why its hurdle ?

Unknown said...

Sir Kindly confirm nify close value at 11:00.
It is 5995.3 but tech table showing 6004.

POWERTRADE said...

@Prashant Bhai,

Reason che ke 6000 na call ma oi nathi ghati rahyo ne window change nathi thai rai

Prashant said...

sir,
what r day open and low values today?

Bhavan said...

@PT
Again as the 6000 call is not breaking 34rs. it is not crossing 75 range also since past 8 days . The OI is increasing it would also mean there is buying in it n so NS will move in the last week or last day of this week. I also feel thatRIL will hold the key to the direction of nifty the way it is consolidating at this level 50 no zatko ek diwas ma maarse.
kayi baaju te nathi ky=hyaal aavto.

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, can i go long above 6025NS for target of 6075+?

POWERTRADE said...

@bhavan,

Ek dum bekar diwas che aje koimoment nathi

Bhavan said...

start watching IT they give good movement these days

MANOJ said...

Priya Bhaiyo!

Nifty aaj gap open huyi hai eur tamaam kosish ke baad bhi wo gap nahi bhar raha hai, agar nahi bhara to kapdautaaru teji aayegi...

MANOJ

Bhavan said...

aaj agar mkt + me bandh raha to phir necche ka level bhul hi jaao

Bhavan said...

sujatha we are all on your train kindly direct us when to get down

Bhavan said...

@PS bahu diwase bhai? JSK

Sujatha said...

Good afternoon sir and everybody :)

Hi bhavan - necche ka level bhul hi jaao , mera week end target yadh hai?? still waiting :P but very slow grinding up.. sideways with upside???
Why fear sir is here??? :) following me is dangerous hope you know :D. If i post some level means i hv to give follow up, no time hence not posting anything.

Piyush Sharda said...

sir
can we say that 5990-6015 resistance is currently resisting
and break of this gives a probable 6075 as 6006
already done

Bhavan said...

sujatha we both r in the same train since the down n upmove my tisco 700 has yet to come n today is also ur gann turning date?

Bhavan said...

@Sujatha I have made a good table form of analysis based on hawala rate i will mail u the excel sheet since i donot know how to upload it here so u can do it for me but that data roughly suggests that we are haeding towards a higher level.

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

Prashant said...

@ bhavan
open interest increases only when there is selling in a particular option.
constant price dosn't mean we will have a big upmove, it only means that the market is range-bound
we r between 5860-6000 for the last seven days.
Though i won't say that it can't go up, but the premises of your reasoning are not correct.

Prashant said...

6000 is a level which is just 10-12 points away, and still
we have 81 lac open interest, while 5700 (far away) has a similar O.I.
So people seem to be sure that it won't move much above 6000 and below 5700.
gap-down yesterday, and gap-up today also indicates the indecisiveness and range-bound nature of this market. May be a gap-down again tomorrow.

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