Monday, December 6, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-III


67 comments:

Piyush Sharda said...

sir ,
we have already reached 6069 is it possible 5th may have
been over?

Piyush Sharda said...

neg div in hourly now

Ilango said...

Yes..PS,

Now the channel too is broken.

Hourly indication was there @ 1.00PM but they managed to close just above 6052. However, intra charts have shown clear -ve div for one to be aggressively short @ 50sma(the day's high)

Piyush Sharda said...

thank u sir, me slightly conservative shorted
only at break of 6040 sl day's high. jnsar still long

Geet said...

Ilango Sirji,
Looking at the -ve divergence have sold NF at 50ma reject. In your article you mentioned that as it is counter trend play we look for smaller targets, could you please advice how to arrive at the TG.
Greatly appreciate your teaching...
Prannams
geet

Ilango said...

@ PS,

If it is just a correction to this upmove from 5690 to 6069, then a retracement of 5980/5965/5935 may be normal.

Last friday's low(5964) may be treated as approximate range bottom & today's high(6069) may be treated as approx. range top and trade.

manu said...

sir & family ..ga..

manojag
hi..

it seems 4(c) over n bn..what would confirm it as 5 th

Geet said...

Thank you Sirji,
You are very kind
Geet

Piyush Sharda said...

sir
if one set of 5 waves are over then the correction shud be bare
minimum of 2 days and 70 points, however if b is
irregular here shorters will not be able to gain much

Prashant said...

sir, the channel break comes at 60023/25 which is also the day's
low, till that area (day's low) is protected one shud stay long

Bhavan said...

Sir has not weekly JNSAR generated a buy today only?

Prashant said...

nifty has managed to protect day's low for the last few sessions,
the breach of that today will be an indication of some weakness.

RishiM said...

Can we start shorting slowly if markets corrects below 6010 (DHEma) or is it still
a buy on dips ?

thanks

Ilango said...

@ geet,

Last low is one target(5964)

Fibo retracements of 23.6%, 38%, 50%, 61.8% are other targets.
(Depending on the strength of the market as well as positioning of emas, the correction may halt at closer or at one of these fibo. targets.

5935 & 5965 have been strong supports in the last many weeks and "price clusters" at that zone is another target that is likely to be tested by the Bears. Holding/ breaking of that level will determine future trend.

Ilango said...

@ Geet,

you may look at the TT to get other emas such as DHEma, DEma, DLEma as possible targets too.

Babu said...

@Bhavan
According to me, Weekly JNSAR pointing to short .. i mean not long if you want to take position based on weekly JNSAR

Piyush Sharda said...

@bhavan,
what i have read by sir remark to me is that
it is for aggresives. conservative is long

Bhavan said...

Thanks Babu n PS but Babu is not weekly long with a filter

Babu said...

@Bhavan
according to weekly you should be in long already. If JNSAR hit happens ( after filter) i think you need to go short. But i never read here from any one who is following weekly JNSAR to correct our conversation

Bhavan said...

Actually today Mind heart n feet of nifty(Read as RIL Tisco N TataMotors)all in conjuction and unidirectinal

Bhavan said...

no no it is not following simply observing to take a view on the daily JNSAR for indications to part book or fully book

manojag said...

manu,
move past 12364

Geet said...

@Ilango Sirji,
Thank you for the explanation on tragets, shall keep in mind.
Feel very fortunate to have wonderful Gurus in my work & life
Prannam
geet

Prashant said...

sir,
if this downmove does not gather some sort of momentum and move below 20 sma in the hourly, we will get a likely fast rise set up, ideal for the third wave in the daily

manu said...

thnx manoj..
will wait till it does ..
aggrsv long can be taken

vaibhav gupta said...

A fast rise setup is here..prices need to confirm.

rpthurai said...

Timely Information to take short gave good profit. Great Master ji. Thanks a lot.

Geet said...

@ San
Sir could you please give values of Stochastic in 30min TF.
Thanks a ton ji
geet

Geet said...

Friends can anyone suggest a FIBO level calculation tool.
Thanks in Advance
geet

Sunny said...

Hi dear sir Ilango,
plz check Fast rise set up emerge or not
plz celar
regards,
alpesh

amrender said...

Sir
+ve divergence in stoch. 5min chart?
pl replay
Thanks
Amrender Gill

Rajagopal said...

Geet : Download the Arunima Fibonochi (5) file. Set the formula in xls. Simple and gives the desireed results. (Arunima file for specimen).

RishiM said...

ONE doubt about the Tech Table -

If market moves below 5935 in correction and breaks this Week's Low EMA (5896)
by this time even JNSAR would be broken - can this be treated as a weekly reversal and
one can enter into Put options at this stage ?

thanks

Geet said...

@ Rajagopal, you are vry kind:-)))
Appreciate all the blessings of the senior
geet

abhi said...

sir is their a probability of fast rise - considering the fact that it is overbought in hourly chart

Ashutosh Agarwal said...

Sir,
Nifty was unable to close above 6020, this is third attempt failure. Are we going for small/ Big correction?

vaibhav gupta said...

@alpesh
5sma below 200ema (5min chart).. so fast rise set is now not there.

rrknan said...

Nifty below 200 min ma i will avoid going long.

San said...

@terageet It's (5,3,3) in 30 TF.

abhi said...

Vaibhav but 13, 34 & 55 Ema are above 200 ema & 13 ema has just touched the 200 ema but only worry is overbought Hourly charts

Ilango said...

Nifty has entered into a range now : 5965 to 6070.

Break below 5965, 5935 should hold failing which deeper corrections.

A close below 6010 today would weaken the daily bull momentum.

Unknown said...

sir -
is it going to be fast rise set up ? if breaks 6010 or
sustain at this level?

vaibhav gupta said...

@abhi i prefer 5sma and 200ema combo for fast rise/fall setups on 5min charts.

Chandra said...

@ Ilango sir,

Kindly re-check HrJNSAR. @3pm it is around 6030.

IF wrong, pls forgive me.
Chandrabose

Chandra said...

@Ilango sir,

Previous post before seeing your 3pm TA.
Sorry. I was refering 2 pm also
Chandra

Ilango said...

@ Chandrabose,

you are correct.
Thank you.
Updating now.

Sujatha said...

@ RG - time to give downside levels??? here it is

Weekly gann square downside levels - 5986/5929/5909/5890/5871/5852/5814/5795

Geet said...

@ San
Thank you ji

Rajagopal said...

Suja-I was reiterating that you have the downside outlook. When will you reverse it pls? Pls think of Upside levels now. Starting Longs.

jayrang patel said...

SIR CAN I BUY 6000 PUT ?

sanz said...

seems like we may see 5981...and then may be reverse...

naveen said...

@ RG sir,

Hope you are looking at SBI down 4% and Bank Nifty , taking down Nifty as well.

When one son is not well even other elder brothers are there for the long journey as was the case earlier.

Sukanya said...

Hi Sujatha! I think first two of your downside target shud suffice for now! :)

bizagra said...

Ilango sir. is it advisable to conservatives to re-enter longs here???
Thanks

Sujatha said...

mishraji - welcome..nowadays missing?? :P balance 2morrow???? RG sir ur answer is here

Prosenjit said...

Possibility of formation of Bearish Tri-star on daily chart.

http://www.hotcandlestick.com/directory/Bearish%20Tri-Star.htm

Bhavan said...

@Babu you were right in understanding weekly JNSAR as sell.

Rajagopal said...

Noted Naveen.Smells good for conservative start. Consider manojag's wave count reading also.

Ilango said...

It is an "Uneasy zone" where both bulls and bears will really rough it out..

<<5935/5965 -- -6030/6070>>

TRADE.

HOLD a long or Short if your entry is closer to the range ends so that reversal would be easier.

Chandra said...

I think BN broke to-day's JNSAR daily?????
Chandra

Sukanya said...

Ilangoji's words of wisdom says "long to hold as close above 5ema."!

Geet said...

@Sujathaji
Thank you for your levels, they dont let me be complacent...:-)))
regards
geet

naveen said...

@ RG sir,

thanks sir. please remember this was not my call but someone else's. According to him banks are in bearish phase for many months now.

My take is if Metals and RIL support, we should not test the recent lows. lets see.

Rajagopal said...

Bye Sir. Bye Friends. We are enjoying glorious rains and fantastic weather in Chennai.(Sweaters and wind cheaters are out in Chennai !!!).

Prosenjit said...

Prince OI data indicating to favor BEARS...... 6000 to 6300calls OI increased approx 5L each except 6100CA which is 8.96L.

Puts also covered considerable..... Bulls going to back foot.
Moreover till the fall turnover was ~50K Cr.which increased to approx. 1L Cr at end.So fall is with volume.

Piyush Sharda said...

omg rg sir, sweater in chennai!!!!!!

vineet said...

ya .. one of those rare cool days in chennai. :)

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