Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Nifty's volatilty increases with the rise in VIX.

VIX range for tomorrow comes @ 5195 to 5375.
5375 coincides with 5372, 61.8% of last fall.
The impulsive characteristics of the downtrend are intact so far.

14 comments:

suresh said...

sir ji,
can u please give the calc for vix range.
how to arrive at the range.
thanks

venkatapathy l said...

Sir how to calculate Vix range?

LV

Capgainers said...

Quite significant numbers for tomorrow;
5195- also 61.8% retracement of today rise from 5119 till 5318
5173 is L4 and L5 at 5080
5197 is H4 and H5 at 5490

If anyone followed cam levels today. . will appreciate it's beauty.
Today L4 was at 5204 and L5 was at 5134.
Today L3 was at 5246 and H3 was at 5329

I am in love with 3 as of now. Ilango sir, JNSAR and cam. . All three rocks.

Capgainers said...

Typo- tomorrow H4 at 5397

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...

Master & Shriram

In the long time frame

A= 6093 - 5487 = 606

b= 5487 - 5755 = 268

c probabilites are
a=c ie 5755-606=5149
or
a*1.618 ie 5755-980(606*1.618)
now c has done 636 points(5755-5119=636)

i remember you telling C wave is of 3 wavaes and should do a simple abc.

should this raise be taken as d or c.d( if our view has changed...)

if any of the above said d or cd limits itself to 5324 50% of the current fall or 61.8 golden ratio 5372.. how to calculate targets for the next wave...
should i take it as c on the run still or d/c.d....

Teach me pls

Anonymous said...

Master & Shriram

In the long time frame

A= 6093 - 5487 = 606

b= 5487 - 5755 = 268

c probabilites are
a=c ie 5755-606=5149
or
a*1.618 ie 5755-980(606*1.618)
now c has done 636 points(5755-5119=636)

i remember you telling C wave is of 3 wavaes and should do a simple abc.

should this raise be taken as d or c.d( if our view has changed...)

if any of the above said d or cd limits itself to 5324 50% of the current fall or 61.8 golden ratio 5372.. how to calculate targets for the next wave...
should i take it as c on the run still or d/c.d....

Teach me pls

Ilango said...

@ Ashwin,

Learn to follow.

Only when the current labeling gets negated or an alternative label presents itself in a compelling fashion, should we shift our views.

You are looking for prediction.

I never said "C" waves are of 3 sub-waves.

I'm telling you now:

The current "C" wave has been assumed as an impulsive 5 waves from 6229.
c.1 completed at 5566
c.2 completed @ 6093.
c.3, the most devastating one is unfolding presently.

This impulsive kind gets negated if prices move above 5450 in the next 2-3 days.

When you combine higher T/F technicals, there will be hardly any "doubts" about the downtrend.

Our doubts, irrelevant most of the times, prompt us to do a lot of guess work; that is how one gets distracted.

I did not find one reason to doubt this downtrend. Let the price compel us to change direction. Until then, stay with your original view, the simple view.

Anonymous said...

Master

thanks for the guidance...

" stay with your original view, the simple view "

these words of wisdom teaches a lot

thanks a lot

Sanjay said...

Namaste Ilango Sir & Blogmates,

(Bearish: Bulls made a huge comeback after being down and out within the first hour of trade, but based on option table Expiry could be around 5300 with huge intraday volatility …: Option Analysis for 28-08-2013

Dedicated Option Open Interest Blog

Duplicated at Wordpress Site

Thanks & Regards,

Sanjay Kr Jaiswal

Kumar said...

Thanks Master.

You gave the range and initiated the expiry contest.

Hope, Mr. VKSoni would conduct the contest.

Thanks for your kind support.

Good Night.




shriram said...

Haven't read a better answer,

Salute my Master :-)

Trader Junkie said...

C can be 3 or 5. I use to believe that C is always 5 subwaves. Master, in your EW training material you have mentioned that I guess " C- always 5 subwaves" and B always 3 subwaves !

http://tradeinniftyonly.blogspot.in/2010/01/elliot-wave-principle-rules.html

Bharat Kumar said...

One of the best EW Explanations I have ever seen/heard. Great Master! :-)

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