Friday, June 24, 2011

Nifty PreMarket View

Line charts are more reliable for Labeling.Glitches/ dilemma in labeling comes often at 4th wave. Hence, "the trading time" starts at such a juncture when both bulls and bears slug it out.
As per the bar chart, the "iv"th has ended at 5331 of yesterday. As per the line chart, the larger ivth is likely end @ 5350-5365 zone. The former gets confirmed with a swift move below 5296 in the opening session. And the later case will be updated as the prices unfold.

69 comments:

nifty said...

@Ilango,

Good Morning. What a turnaround. Yesterday nite, Dow was down by more than 200+ and today morning SGX is up by almost 20 pts. Looks like yesterdays Bullish Engulfing is taking Nifty up albeit temporarily

chetan said...

good morning,sir,seniors & friends.

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

Line charts of NIFTY and BANK NIFTY: CLICK HERE

nifty said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
nifty said...

Thank You for your charts.

Can you give us an idea what sort of price confirmation
is required today for yesterday's Bullish Engulfing
pattern to remain valid ?

San said...

@nifty

Confirmation for Bullish engulfing as i read

"Bullish confirmation means further upside follow through and can come as a gap up, long white candlestick or high volume advance."

Sunil Sehgal said...

Dear Ilango,

JNSAR SL mentioned in TT is 5363 whereas in trade table it is mentioned as 5383. Which one shall we take.

Sunil

parimal said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and all friends.
@San a big turnaround it was unexpected also
SGX Nifty is +35. we expect a gap-up opening today.
Thanks San for your charts

Nifty futures said...

sir GM, JNSAR in Trade table is wrongly shown as 5383, it should be 5363

nifty said...

LOL. Nifty is trading 75 pts down in Pre-Market. Bunch of Jokers.

MarketMentals said...

good morning Ilango sir and friends!
Happy Trading! :)

Only Nifty said...

GM All!

EGOM meeting today deciding on diesel and LPG

Ilango said...

@ Sunil,

Keeping the bearish scenario intact, Nifty could rally higher towards 5400 in a day or two.

As long as it stays above 5300-5315, such a rally is possible.

Earlier supports of 5350-5365 is the immediate resistance. I have given a filter of 20 points.

Alternatively, go long at the open with a SL of 15-20 points and if JNSAR triggers, hold the same & raise the SL. This is the most practical strategy.

Hour TA is up. But a threat of sudden reversal from 5365-80 zone possibility exists.
Hence, trade with strict SL and do not hesitate.

Leaving the world mkt aside, Nifty's ST TA was up & stopped exactly at the res. of 5330 but didn't break below 5296(last hour low). A move past 5330 will continue the "UP mode".

Watch out the 5365-80 zone.

Nifty futures said...

thank you Ilango sir for clarification

jay shah said...

gm sir and freinds

SAM said...

@Cooldent what would be stoploss for BNF

Prabakar said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and JN Family.

Dear Ilango Sir,

Thanks for providing the labelling of iv wave.

cooldent said...

@SAM. 10700 hrly closing?

venkatapathy l said...

Namaste to everybody

LV

Sujatha said...

Goodmorning sir and all :)

Direct hit JNSAR. Dishyummmm, Dishyummmmm punch on bears by bulls :P

Prabhakar said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all

SAM said...

Thanks Cooldent.

Krishna said...

Sujatha ma'm sounds happy... Good for her...

Unknown said...

More pain to bears or any hope left for bears?

Kumar Technicals said...

Good Morning everybody!

Added more shorts in Bank Nifty future @10680 & spot Nifty @5375. Its wonderful risk reward ratio, if stop loss hits after hourly closing then accept it. Its market & can suprise anyone but as of now looking overbought on hourly.

Rgrds,

Kumar

gauresh59 said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
gauresh59 said...

Namaste ilango sir and friends,

Today's prayer recevied :

O Lord, make me an instrument of peace;
where there is hatred, let me sow love....
where there is injury, pardon.....,where there is doubt, faith;
where there is despair, hope.....,where there is darkness, light;
And.......where there is sadness, joy.......!!!!!

Real Pilot said...

Kumar SiR,
What is sl fo BN?

cooldent said...

@real pilot. 10700 hrly closing

Only Nifty said...

ORB too on upside...

Neha said...

Hi, I think that since reliance has started tanking, we should soon see Nifty follow suit.

rajiv123 said...

kumar sir... ur stop loss in NF??

Unknown said...

5387 70 hr EMA last hope for bears....let c...

Dinesh Rishi said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Prabhakar said...

@Ravii ,
Meeting by what time?

cooldent said...

@neha. or may be reliance will start climbing and nifty too?

Dinesh Rishi said...

cool 100 points in BN option

First time traded BN CE option 10500 wala

BN option very low vol u can see ur order on best 5

the moment u key in order automated system will
will key in price .05 point more than you if ur lucky u get
best price

cooldent said...

@DR. Yes. and so much diff in buy and sell price

Sujatha said...

Sir,

If 5377 not holds more downside possible??? this is upper channel line of 5 months eod chart. What EW says?? and 10 am close below JNSAR is -ve am i right sir??

Thanks in advance.

SAM said...

@Cooldent hourly closing on 10Am ?

Neha said...

@ Cooldent, I think In RIL too, the C wave has completed a set of 5 and then started tanking so abc coorective is over, I doubt that it will climb above todays high now.

Sujatha said...

OOps. 17958 taken out upside then 18017/48 on cards in sensex will decide Nifty

Alisha Jain said...

Gud Morning Ilango Sir..and Frnds...
Nifty Tips and Stock tips

Anonymous said...

Yesterday I made an observation each Hourly closing is
above 5 hema. and the result is seen in the morning.If
10'0 closing above 5325, then the reversal has taken
place for short term. I will not short above 5325.

Nifty futures said...

the power of JNSAR is just bulldozing everything on its way... kudos to you sir..

Dinesh Rishi said...

Alisha Jain

who is ur friend here?

joe said...

can any one update agni level

cooldent said...

@DR. lols
@Sam. Yes
@Neha. thanks.some relief for me. on the short side

shreyunik said...

Ilango Sir, Fire Sir,

Do we relabel this as X wave now? How much can it go? Is there any guideline in Elliot wave for X waves?

Only Nifty said...

5383 also crossed..
All shifted to longs now?

POWERTRADE said...

Good Morning Sir and Warriors

snebull said...

sir

jansar trigered stipp losss???????????????????????????????

Dinesh Rishi said...

Sis suj GM

I know u threw my 10800 BN Fut chart in recycle bin yesterday
and now ur searching it :D

just few points away from tgt


due to bearish sentiments of all I took only CE option :(

Kumar Technicals said...

I converted my 5300 call in 5400, which i bought for hedging yesterday. Sold 5300 @110 & bought 5400 @40. Hedging shorties, dont worry anyhow....we are fully covered but naked shorts must use stop loss of 5375 spot in hourly closing @10am. Cover Bank Nifty future if closes above 10700 @10am & sell again if breaks.

Hitendra said...

Kumar,should bn shorts be closed

Vipin7 said...

Good morning all.

5399NS breaking seems difficult.

Kya se kya ho gaya dilruba tere pyaar mein, morning morning good morning punches to bears.

Ashutosh Agarwal said...

Longs Beware EGOM today.

Sujatha said...

DR-ji - OMG...no never..yesterday also i told u sir i dont hv guts to hold i got down early if at all i know 563 will come :P what a movement in BN :P done one good thing i closed my shorts becoz nifty roaming around weekly CAM L3 that saved my loss :) and i arrived figure of 5420 on nifty.. but confused scare to post my "views" here and not initiated long also
bought a single call of 5300 @ low hehe now sitting ideally watching and waiting for hawala rate 5412

SAM said...

Closed shorts in BNF

shreyunik said...

Ilango Sir,

61.8% retracement of the fall from 5520 to 5198 is 5396 in which case it is still the larger ivth... is that correct?

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

Dinesh Rishi said...

आज की बन गई दिहारी

Vipin7 said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
joe said...

sujata iam holding 5400ce wht wull be your tgt

Unknown said...

http://www.4shared.com/photo/cgtdm2vz/NFMOBEOD24062011.html
http://www.4shared.com/photo/aGwfaxwM/NFEWEOD24062011.html
http://www.4shared.com/photo/DJT7V4dc/NFAMIEOD24062011.html

Anil said...

Dear all,
We crossed high of inside bar, with Gap up, this is
bullish if we hold it. I am now long only in rest
25%, booked 25% at 5490, now SL remains 5355 for
rest of the day.

sustaining above 5360 will TGT 5414 weekly pivot
(Hawala-5412)

Unknown said...

Watch out today pivot 5304.1 and 5404 is good area to
short for 5393.4, 5376.7, 5349,,,,

Unknown said...

Can anyone confirm that shorts should shift to longs
now or can hold further?

Lucky said...

Dear Ilango,

I had gone long at 5300 yesterday as per your rules of trading.
I have booked partial profit of 100 points. Holding the rest at cost.

Thank you

John

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