Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-II

132 comments:

Anil said...

@PS

i use ADX, with TT combined... i mean in sideways
trend as per TT when it is trading in between days high-low EMA,
and ADX falling in daily is a sure tool for option writing..

When trend is about to starts, i usually observed ADX
remain below 15 for 10-14 bars, it is a warning sign
of coming trend in hourly, so i just start to focus on TT, so that i gauge where market taking suppport or resistance at monthly(5 H-L Ema's) or
weekly(H-L Ema's)...if it favours trade, with sir's EW, then it is best of trade..
i trade in options only..no futures...
Also you can hav your set of rules, as DMI crossover with SL as high or low of bar on which crossover started...good for options trading...

Anil said...

@PS

also i focus on %jump in value of ADX, i mean going
from 4 to 8 is a strong sign of trend rather than
going from 4 to 5...

Kumar Technicals said...

Bank Nifty future gave 70-80 points from 10780 within 60 minutes:)

Dear cooldent! I love to travel, i never travelled south India. I am trying to set my fingers on laptop & then i will travel RAMESHWARAM 1st.

Ram Charan said...

nifty below DLEMA...hopefully we close the hour below it :)

Ram Charan said...

Kumar sir- Rameshwaram is an amazing place. i went there 10-12 years. be ready to take a holy dip in d cold water of the wells in the temples as per the tradition.

also, wahan jaa rahe toh lanka(nifty) ko jalaa ke aayiye :)

cooldent said...

@kumar sir. Do visit kerala too when u get time. Its beautiful during the monsoons. Just came back day before yesterday.

Piyush Sharda said...

@anil thanks


@ vanquish
whenever u find it convenient its ok.

Ram Charan said...

cooldent: what wud be avg $$$ if one needs to visit there for 2-3 days??

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear Cooldent!

As i will be comfortable to trade on my laptop, i will start travelling. I am very fond of travelling but trading dont allow me, thanx for suggestion:)

prakash said...

Ohh Costal karnataka and ghats is a good place to visit now.. and for next 2 months.. :-) if u like wet weather along with hot coffee.

cooldent said...

@Ram Charan. Just like any other place in India. Its not very expensive unless u want to stay in resorts which i totally dislike as a tourist

Prabhakar said...

@KUMAR TECHNICALS,
Bhagavan Ramana Maharshi Ashramam and Arunachala temple in Tiruvannamalai (Tamilnadu)also good visiting places.

Ram Charan said...

cooldent: so where to stay there? do u suggest motels?

Dinesh Rishi said...

Kumar Sir

Guide free of cost

with own standby laptop


:D

Debdeep said...

+ve div in 5 min chart also nifty at DLow ema

cooldent said...

@RC. Yes. let me know when u plan to go and where u r planning to go i will suggest some places. I belong to kerala. U can mail me for details.

brijsolution said...

now want nifty below 5460 then??

brijsolution said...

now my nifty s.loss 5495

Sujatha said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Kumar Technicals said...

Maasha allah e-Bank Nifty.....Sujatha mam, send me RASAM etc., ur shorted Bank Nifty is 135 points down:)

venkatapathy l said...

@ Dr. Kumar

When you are at Ramesaram do not forget to go to Dhanushkodi.
Travel through that motorable road - on either side vast bay of bengal just hitting the road - will be an unforgetable experience.
There are 32 theerthams. They look unhygeinic. Sorry I did not take any bath. The lodges have basic amenities. Economical. Hotels provide usually south indian dishes. You may get all that are described by Sujatha madam.

Most beutiful place is undoubtedly Kerala. That part of the country is probably, the best in the country. Travel from Trivadrum to Kasargode through roads, taking breaks wherever you feel like. Spend at least one day at Kuttanad.

Cooldent can arrange a day of stay in boathouse, though a bit costly.

Wishing you a great experience in south.

Regards,

LV

Sujatha said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
brijsolution said...

@Sujata mam,,

L5 day 5465???

Sujatha said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Kumar Technicals said...

Dear LV!

Thanx for suggestions, i will go thru whenever possible. I have number of patients in south India so no issue, they all are very keen for my arrival but i dont know when it will happen?

Dear Sujatha!

I dont follow any fund, i suggest you to invest ur money in Power Infrastructure & oil-gas stocks like Powergrid, APIL & Petronet LNG, Gail, IGL etc. in every fall. Ur money will multiply in these stocks in coming years:)

Shekhar said...

Sujatha Ma'am

Please guide why 5437, why not 5440 or 5430? Is 5437 a specific reversal point, if yes, then please guide about the parameters used to derive that figure.

Regards

shekhar

brijsolution said...

Ohh ,, i am holding short in nifty,, as per chart,,

Tata motor bought

Crorepathi said...

The following stratergy would give great return with minimum risk if markets fall heavily
Buy 5400 Call 1 Lot
Buy 5600 Put 1 Lot
Sell 5600 Call 1 lot

Max risk 2017/-
Reward expiry @ 5000 - 17800/-
@4800 28000/-
Attached the image of perfomance of the statergy.
Performance

Sujatha said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Pankaj Shukla said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Shekhar said...

Sujatha Ma'am

Thanks for guidance, but why did you say that "breaking 5460 is tough". How did you reach to that conclusion.

Please guide.

Regards

shekhar

Sujatha said...

Kumar sir -sorry i missed ur post. thanks for ur views. It;s my MIL's money. So y risk?? i will go for FD :D :)

Shekar - false breakout chances r there @ 5460 downside. let me see. watchout.
what i posted is "purely for INTRADAY"

Nilesh Patil said...

vix is on on day high 18.77

parimal said...

thanks Kumar for your very kind consideration on my request
regarding BankNifty.

POWERTRADE said...

@Kumar Sir

Party remains due at Baroda -- gujarat

Shekhar said...

Thanks Sujatha Ma'am

Yash and Dhan said...

After a loss of nearly 30k I have finally made some profit today. No matter how hard i studied my stop loss was always hit. After mkt went up yest I thought it was the same story even after following JNSAR.Thank you Illango Sir, Kumar sir and D.R. sir. After reading your comments here I have got some faith in systems trading now. Lot to learn but will not give up now.
Thanks

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear Parimal!

U r welcome, Bank Nifty looks in hurry to break all supports:)

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear Powertrade!

Dont lose hope, tomorrow may be the day to set our party date in Baroda. Only FIRE sir's lose grip needed, he is holding it very tightly & Sujatha also favouring him now:)

parimal said...

thanks Kumar for BankNifty.
Arvee u have done a commendable work on EW Wave and astro
looking for see more such work from u

Prabakar said...

VIX at 18.89

Sujatha said...

Kumar sir :D :) lolz 5460 touched now "Q" false breakout or real breakout?? time will tell

piramal - thanks. "looking for see more such work from u"
good line, i forgot 2 mention in his blog.

brijsolution said...

Nifty in sell trigger with s.loss 5511...

bata india Sell trigger s.loss 568....

Tata motor buy trigger s.loss 980....
June 15, 2011 11:30 AM

Now nifty s.loss 5485

Bata & Tata motors same

brijsolution said...

@ Nilesh,,

Sorry late reply,,

icici bank below 1045 sell trigger 1st tgt 1028

& s.loss also come down

Anonymous said...

I would watch out with extreme detail the 2 bullish patterns in play :

Bull flag will be violated only with a closing below 5420
Falling wedge will be violated with an hourly closing below 5410

if these 2 break it is likely that wave 3 will be in progress -- till then no aggressive shorts to be taken

Natti said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Natti said...

5455 weekly L3 cam level

Raj said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Fire said...

@Kumarji,

You have already made the bulls' grip loose. And it will become looser if nifty sustains below 5457. Below 5422, they can as well be down and below 5380, they will be completely out. :D

brijsolution said...

Even Eod chart giving sell signal from today with s.loss 5500

brijsolution said...

Now s.loss for nifty short 5475

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear Powertrade!

If u hedged Bank Nifty in morning then ur call value will be almost free here or after some time, I am naked short so enjoying double.

Dear Cooldent!

Ur hedged Nifty is also smiling now, only 5420 have some burning fire....once it will go, no support will stop me to go Baroda:)

Dear FIRE!

I know ur power so cautious but once it will trade below 5420, i will jump like HANUMAAN JI.

Anonymous said...

@FIRE - very well said :)

cooldent said...

Kumar sir, Most welcome!!

brijsolution said...

Kumar Sir,,

Welcome to BARODA,, my home town : D

parimal said...

DEAR Crorepathi,
i dont understand option trading. please suggest me
reading material of practical use. thanks
parimaldevnath@rediffmail.com

POWERTRADE said...

@Kumar Sir

Now no Hedge when BN moved below 10730 i sold my calls now naked short in BN part covered at 10660 and rest holding

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear brij!

U r in Baroda...No no, then scarry. U & DR were allotting hospital room number yesterday to Bears, may i know my room no:)

Good Powertrade, now u showed some muscle power.

Raj said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
SAM said...

@Sahilraj Who is Camrilla ... I know Katrina.. LOLZ

brijsolution said...

@ Kumar sir,,

Yesterday our tgt achd,, today for bulls room reserve from morning...

Now today above 5480 again for bears.....

venkatapathy l said...

@ DR

Have you gone on long or not yet.

Thanks and regards,

LV

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear brij!

Oh...U r on daily basis then no problem. I fear alwaz by positional operator, so if 4800 comes then i wl b in Baroda sure:)

Dear DR!

Have u checked my PAN PARAG mails?

Pankaj Shukla said...

Closing level for today may be 5520.

Badri said...

Friends, high/low emas at 2 pm please. Sir is not available.

Pankaj Shukla said...

looks like I am only bull here.

Anyway I have been always approx. on opposite side.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Yenkatapathy = Yes (XL weekly open)

Kumar Sir = Yes

no supply since yesterday evening invertor down

charged laptop from other colony again half hr backup left

SAM said...

@DR Sir ... What is XL weekly open?

SAM said...

SaiBhakt said...
Closing level for today may be 5520.


@Saibhakt I think it is typo may be 5420..

Dinesh Rishi said...

XL=SL

brijsolution said...

@ Suji mam,,

Give us 5437 : D

brijsolution said...

Tata motor can happy Saibhakt

Raj said...

Kumar sir do you see any small pullback of 30-40 points from here .. should that be traded? ( Last two days of ur opinion at the closing made me profitable.. Thx a lot sir.)

SAM said...

@DR Sir Do U mean SL =10674 weekly open .. but presently it is trading below that?

Prabhakar said...

@SAM,
SaiBhakt said...
looks like I am only bull here.
June 15, 2011 2:21 PM

SAM said...

@Prabhakar I was kidding.

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear sahilraj!

I dont focus on short term picture, 1st see bigger then come to shorter time frame. For me, every rally is a wonderful opportunity to initiate shorts with stop loss of 5570. Now 5520 has mulitiple resistance on hourly so this 5520 also will be very stiff resistance if saiBhakt allow:)

sreyO... said...

below 5449 close will be the first indication of beginning of downtrend. below 5417 it will confirm its downtrend and below 5372 fast fall can be seen.

Fire said...

@brijsolution,

I loved the name --- "Suji mam"! LOL

In bengali, "Suji" means "Halwa"...

Prabhakar said...

@SAM ,
I am back bencher!

POWERTRADE said...

@Kumar Sir

Bring Home "JACK DANIEL" now

Fire said...

For Suji mam --

http://www.indianfoodforever.com/images/gajar-ka-halwa.jpg

brijsolution said...

@ Fire sir,,

: D

Ram Charan said...

Cooldent- thanks. Just saw ur post. will email you.

venkatapathy l said...

@DR

Was not weekly open 5470?

If I am wrong please correct me.

Thanks and regards,

LV

brijsolution said...

brijsolution said...

@ Suji mam,,

Give us 5437 : D
June 15, 2011 2:29 PM

Now 5443 hit,,, enjoy

Kumar Technicals said...

If Bear operator has to distribute some more position then 5435 will save today & if their quota is full then nothing will stop bears. They want to print a sharp piercing pattern:)

Raj said...

PLease someone post updated DLEMA and other nos
thx

Ram Charan said...

Further to the below post in the morning, gap between 20 and 50 ema widening and one can book profits around 5389-5410 area.


Ram Charan said...
nifty in 30 min charts

https://picasaweb.google.com/113312275054870812803/Jun152011?authkey=Gv1sRgCP_MgqzahrM7&feat=directlink

June 15, 2011 10:35 AM

SAM said...

Today bears are not in a mood to leave the Show.

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear FIRE!

ILango sir not available today so pls post levels.

Dear Powertrade!

Thanx for mouth-watering offers:)

Prabakar said...

@Fire, Good Catch :)
@Sujatha, just for fun ;)

brijsolution said...

Now my s.loss 5465 for shorts & above 5465 i wll buy nifty

Piyush Sharda said...

daylema 5463
3pm h ema h lema 5465 5459

kamal said...

@fire
i m short on tata motor should i exit now

Fire said...

@Kumarji,

Any gap down possibility tomorrow?

@Prabhakar,

:D

Badri said...

thanks piyush

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear FIRE!

My all lower targets on ur mercy, hope u will lose ur grip now below 5435 & finally below 5420:)

Fire said...

@Kamal,

I don't track stocks. The other seniors could help you in this regard.

Only Nifty said...

Chanting Hanuman Chalisa...
closing below 5437 pls... ;)

SAM said...

Tomorrow Gapdown expected?

Only Nifty said...

DOW Fut: -61
Hands Crossed now :)

brijsolution said...

Tata motor 995

Prabhakar said...

Hanuman may bless NSE building

Fire said...

@Kumarji,

My bullish hands got very slippery. So in some shorts for awhile. A closing below 5459 would encourage my position. Now only if you decide to rule as the leader of the bears and RBI hikes a good amount... :D

Justin said...

TATASTEEL : is not looking Strong to me...in fact day by day its chart is getting weaker & weaker

Target 490

Regards

nifty said...

Anybody know what the Daily Low Ema for today is when
today's number is also included.

SAM said...

Bears are looking at bulls like this....

http://www.two-shay.com/img/articles/bear.jpg

Bhushan said...

rishika. by-da-way, What are you doing Saturday or Sunday?

Sukanya said...

Contra view(not to be taken seriously): 50bps rate
hike factored in today's fall. If it will be 25bps
tomorrow, +100 nifty! And if it is 75bps, we are as
such in bear market.... :)

Dinesh Rishi said...

SAM said...
@DR Sir Do U mean SL =10674 weekly open .. but presently it is trading below that?


Fut is 660 will take chance :(

Parminder said...

kumar sir good afternoon
watching ur calls great as usual
nifty dancing to ur tune

Sujatha said...

mishraji - there u r :) :)

Parminder said...

kumar sir views 4 tomorrow pl if nifty sustains ur 5435
was out since morning so just bothering u
thanks

Parminder said...

sujatha ji good afternoon

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear FIRE!

RBI may give easily .50% & thats enough to bring down Bank Nifty 500-700 points. Now i am praying to close below 5459 to lead u my camp:)

Sukanya said...

Yes, Sujatha. I am as usual here only.. Lazy typing :)

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear Parminder!

Sit tight on shorts, By 2moro FIRE will lead Bear's camp so no problem. If it happens then H&S will give us 200-400-600 points:)

Fire said...

Now only Suji mam is needed for momentum. :D

Sujatha said...

mishraji- the same view i received from a senior person yesterday tself. just an alert he mentioned. but it's right only i feel. as nifty closing will be around tomorow's cam intra long level i believe.

PS : as per my rough calculation. let us see

Prabhakar said...

@Sujatha,
Are you carrying long in NF?

Parminder said...

now closing will be below 5459 for sure bcos fire.....
is also there

Sujatha said...

fire - very much available..but i will be "away" if i took contra view. :)
will not post much..enjoyed all u people comments :)lighter side :D

sreyO... said...

for tomorrow one can short here with sl 5465..target 5420 and lower.

brijsolution said...

Final Update:

Nifty s.loss 5470

Tata motor s.loss 982

Bata s.loss 568

Bye to everyone

Sujatha said...

@Prabhakar - carrying my morning SL is 5412 :( as you know well i already said always my false breakout level whether short or long..will be 20-25 points. (floating)

Prabhakar said...

@Sujatha,
Thank you for your level 5437. I booked 50% in NF @5452 initiated @ 5440NF

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Mr.Kumar closed my shorts @ 5440 NF initiated yesterday @ 5516NF

Prabhakar said...

Bye Sir and all

Ashutosh Agarwal said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ashutosh Agarwal said...

What is the EW case / chances that markets bottoms at
5380-5410 tomorrow and again rally for 5700.
Few days back Ilango sir told that market can take
supports at 5380-5410. Is that case still valid.

jaspal said...

@Kumar Sir
Can u please prescribe some medicine for knee joint pain
as my mother(aged 55) is suffering from same.
The situation only agrravated during this cold weather.

Thanks In Advance..
May God Bless U..

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