Monday, February 21, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-III

The Inverted H&S bullish possibility pointed out by SAN this morning has the two "s" @ 5402 and today's 5413. The rising angle is more bullish.
Break out point would be 200sma @ 5635-5645
.

66 comments:

gaurav said...

nifty is moving up after missing jnsar by 10 paisa.

Rajagopal said...

Western : Thank you for the valueble OoT. Nimbu,Amla...let's rediscover. Kumar Sir's Dates are also there.

Ilango said...

A 5 wave move is done here. 5559 to 5413.

Retracements are likely to be: 5457; 5484; 5506

And this retracement will not come in one straight line. During this bounce, Nifty might (as in irregular) break 5413 but it should not be today..

Indian Trader said...

Income tax department is probing a case against 15 foreign institutional investors (FIIs) for alleged undisclosed investment

PLEASE CONFIRM

Nifty futures said...

mama miya... talk about on the DOT accuracy... missed daily-JNSAR by .10 points & has rebounded... awesome...

Indian Trader said...

FIIs are facing tax liability in excess of Rs 2,050 crore. TAx notices were sent in early January and relate to assessment year 2008-09.

SK. said...

Excellent Point sir 5413 ? heads off

any advice for me

gaurav said...

yes..no words for the accuracy of jnsar.

SK. said...

Shall I buy Now. with the SAR 5413 for today and tomorrow 5437

Unknown said...

bank nifty is in action.

Ilango said...

Oh.. It is going in one straight line..!

Nifty futures said...

for any buying wait for hourly-JNSAR to confirm.as of now close above 5466 @3p.m will confirm BUY.... till then watch out for hourly close...

Ilango said...

First retracement to 5457 is done.

After a pull back to 5436-5444, it "might" attempt the next 5484(Day's high).

SK. said...

i think it will blow 200DMA .before expiry
lot of people have bought put for securing position and will value zero at end 5600

Rajagopal said...

Paadariyaen padippariyaen pallikudam naan ariyaen...

Sir Thank you. -40 u said Only Intra...got 50pts.

Ilango said...

"PreMarket's Chart" playing out to perfection with EW...

Kurai onrum illai..

gaurav said...

NF crossed dayhigh. sir, what is the next target in nifty?

Rajagopal said...

kurai - "kaamalai kangalukkuthaan" why don't you understand it?

Piyush Sharda said...

yes sir perfectly

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, this is a going on or c??

Ilango said...

@ Rajagopal,

Kurai onrum illai marai moorthy kanna
(I have no regrets..oh! unseen Lord Kanna)

Ilango said...

@ bizagra,

With 3 days to go for settlement, with a 5 sub-waves done from the high of 5599 to 5413, a sharp "a" wave is on followed by a treacherous "b" and then a "c"...suggesting a close near 5500 for the settlement and surpassing 5500 inbetween..
(Provided 5413(+/-15) is held)

Ilango said...

2nd retracement of 5484 is almost done...

Rajagopal said...

Sir - I saw/heard this song(CR-MSS) sung by two "orphaned begger children" in one movie. Just owed that moment to thank almighty to thank everyday for what he has bestowed. It was a moment like "I want this prayers" beaten with chappal.

(I meant kurai is in the jaundiced eyes and why do you bother?)

bizagra said...

Ilango sir , i traded my conservative shorts for 52 points..thanks

Indian Trader said...

GOING SHORT NOW

Rajagopal said...

oh..Ashish - as he has explained it means "kuch bhi kami nahin oh vedpurush Krishna"

Unknown said...

Dear ILlango Sir,
NS crossed day's high , shall go for new short now,
are take long from here plz guide us

Indian Trader said...

TRADING AT DAYS HIGH

Prabakar said...

What else is required to make profit? 40 Points in 5400 CE/lot..

Thank you Ilango Sir.

DAKSHIT said...

booking long here. because crude may bounce more than anybody thought

Prabakar said...

Sir, 3rd Retracement also done 5506...

Rajagopal said...

I think Prabha we must ESCALATE our PSYCOPHANCY levels so that the NON-BELEIVING LOSS MAKING souls will understand. (in between comes the man blessed with many fathers, to curse behind the back and kiss A.. in public).
Sorry for the lovely language.(just pent up anger).

Piyush Sharda said...

sir,
this is looking like the larger c maybe green count

Ilango said...

@ Vijayaprabhu,

The sharp selling on Friday and the sharp bounce of today suggests of a keen tussle and with settlement only 3 days left, trading the range that is being developed would be a prudent thing to do.

Today's close, if above 5464, hold longs.

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, sud i obey SL 5535 for conservatives now?

Ilango said...

Third retracement mentioned - 5506 is also done.

The next, golden ratio, is @ 5528.

Rajagopal said...

Sir Looks like the BULLS drank BEAR (BEER) for lunch??? Mon 2.30 Great?

Prabakar said...

RG Sir, you finally let it out. Kurai ondrum illai Maraimurthu kannaa...

ToT-Amit said...

Friends,

if Nifty take out 5600 with volume then a Inv.H&S will be formed with Head height of 400 points.

ToT-Amit said...

on hourly chart

Ilango said...

@ Bizagra,

Trade these ranges...5415 to 5525 for the day.

We'll see tomorrow.

As per Premarket, I would place a sell around 5510+(Near to day high Ema)

Prabakar said...

Sir,

could we consider 5526-28 also be the neckline for the inverted h&S pattern? which will be bullish..

Ilango said...

The sell because, I have already committed it in PreMarket. But I feel, you must trade this market.

Chivukula Krishnamohan said...

RG, Your 2.30 and sir's premarket view made my day.
There were many such days earlier - never bothered to announce. May be it was a mistake.

Thanks - to you and sir.

bizagra said...

Ilango sir that means i m carrying shorts even if closes above 5ema.I shorted @ 5510NF on friday and traded 52 points today.

Prashant said...

sir,
it doesn't seem to be a retracement rally, it seems to be the larger C targetting 5600+, it will also fulfill the so called "Pre-Budget Rally"

Ilango said...

@ Prabakar,

Yes. SAN had given this morning the possibility of an "Inverted H&S" reversal which is very bullish and Nifty took exactly at the low point that he pointed out.

I'll upload that chart now.

Prabakar said...

Thank you sir.

BALA said...

RG SIR
what is 2.30 factor. On what days it is +ve and _ve.Whether if in the morning it is -ve then 2.30 + ve . Please explain the theory behind this
Thanks

Bullish Cartel said...

NIFTY@ 11 POINT PREMIUM

Ilango said...

@ Bizagra,

It is far away from 5DEma now and poised near DHEma. I do not know your selling level.

5535 would be a +10 point from DHEma for a SL.

Chart uploaded.

bizagra said...

Thanks Ilango sir.

Ilango said...

Yes..Prashant,

It seems to be the alternative view larger "C" wave (5177 to 5506=a; 5506-5460-5599-5413=b)

Anonymous said...

Dear PowerTrade!

Ur multi support level 5380-5420 worked well, great analysis and good bottom fishing by RG at -40.

Kumar

rrknan said...

i still think Nifty will hit 5350 this week.

Anonymous said...

Sir,

THANK U SOMUCH! Your warning at 2.10 has helped me to close my shorts. Though i have not bought, can I wait and buy tmw, will I get a chanc?..thx

DAKSHIT said...

crude may rally more be careful with long

A J said...

@Rajapaji
Paadariyaen padippariyaen pallikudam naan ariyaen...
Sir Thank you. -40 u said Only Intra...got 50pts.
February 21, 2011 2:36 PM

Please update your statement before you say "bye" @ 3:30
That should be a fitting reply to blatant criticism

Anonymous said...

Is there a possibility that this is the 2nd wave up, if it is c of 4th wave. then it will break the inverted head and shoulder, which will give around 400 index points. However, 4th wave should not overlap the 1st wave ie around 5700.
Any explanation for this scenario.

DAKSHIT said...

link for live nymex crude oil
http://freeserv.dukascopy.com/chart/?stock_id=504&stock_id=504&interval=10&points_number=200&view_type=line&width=400&height=300&show_labels=true&osc_type=-1&rfi=false&height=300&p1=2&p2=3&p3=7&c=1153632&detach=true&copyr=true&refcode=8770a7fb27ee77df03fc836d9326a8f42757e856e366b79657b8d745077e14a030737379

Raj said...

Thanks Ilango sir

Got profit due to the confidence generated in me by referring your posts

Natti said...

Thank you Ilango Sir,

I watched the pre-market levels and worked Fantastically. I am trading very less quantity and exit too fast. I have to learn to hold for maximum gains.. Hope I will learn from this blog..

Thanks again for installing confidence for trading

Rajagopal said...

Anuj Hi. Thank you for pointing out my "falling". Infact I move out of office by 3 pm and since not logged into my mailid, unable to post. Made it a point to log in now on reading your adominishment.

Bye Sir. Bye Friends.

Rajagopal said...

btw Anuj - it is a ballard...a Tamil country ballard. It translates as "I am ignorant and illiterate" (which I am in TA). Sir said Yes for Intra Long when Nifty was at -40. Thanked him when Nifty moved to +10.

Bullish Cartel said...

RIL SHOULD OPEN 5% HIGHER BASED ON TODAYS MASSIVE DEAL.EXPECT NIFTY TO OPEN 50 PTS HIGHER.GOOD NEWS FOR FDI IN INDIA

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