Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Elliot's Impulse waves.(Part-5)
IMPULSE WAVES :- The Basics Waves that move the market in the direction of its main trend either up or down are called Impulse waves. 1....
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5010-5039 supply zone proved a ST resistance. 5002 proved a break down point. 4945 to 4982 proved a corrective rise, monitored with an ...
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I 'll always be there for you. To make you feel that you're secured. And even if the rain is pouring hard and the sky is almost dark...
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Trading strategy that works wonders besides the supports & Resistance is " Retracement strategy ": The strategy that has wor...
196 comments:
Happy B'day Cooldent.
Master ilango,
Good Morning and in Premkt view u have righty said
Never tell the teacher...how he/ she should teach you.
and u will always be a TEACHER and a PREACHER.
Regards
Hi Cooldent,
Happy Birthday to u and wish u all success in life.
@ Cooldent
wish you happy birth day and a successful and eventful yr ahead. .
http://nnumbergame.blogspot.com/2011/11/sachin-tendulkar.html
thanks.
Thanks once again.
DR sir thanks for the bubbly :)
Good Morning Sir and Friends.(What a great feeling !!!)
May God smile on all your dreams this day Cooldent. Many more returns of the day.
Watching Crude?
===============
Pivot - 98.92. Must clear 99.55 to encourage longs and hard stop loss till it crosses 100.02.
Expected VIX Range for the day - High 100.78 Low 94.16 - crossing upper Vix range will encourage
positional Longs. Weakening INR may favour trades on Long side.
Will catch up later in the day.
Have a great time.
(DR'daa - done my i/d post. Give me the song. Hope it is not "Yaen pirandhai maganae yaen pirandhayo")
I may not return for the day.
Energy level is at its lowest. Must rest.
Best Wishes.
Take good care sir. Bye
Master mail sent pls check as and when time permits you.
Take care sir.
Good Morning Master and Friends....
Good Morning Master & everyone!
Enery exchange started, You may have SBL no.24 four tablets 4 times in a day for all kind of low energy. Its also known as FIVE PHOS-6X.
Dear Cooldent!
Many many happy returns of the day, Happy Birthday to u & best wishes too. Enjoy the evening & take care:)
midcap index making lower lows
Thanks Sandy, Parminder, Number gene, RG sir and Kumar sir
@ilango sir,
Thanks.
Master...
Next?
Rest...
Enjoy d comedy
Happy B'day CoolDent
Take Care Sir.
Kumar Sir what about
Japp
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cmBTsQ7-eS0
Bestest wishes sir , take care.
@Kumar Sir: In your blog you have mentioned that you
have entered longs @4815 & that 4785-4815 is a good area
to accumulate more longs. But nifty now has broken 4780.
q1. What is the SL for longs taken @4815.
q2. As per JNSAR we are short from 4790.
q3. Is there any point above which you will attempt
intraday longs? GDP nos will be out anytime.
happy birthday cooldent
ilango sir take care
@Kumar Sir: Sorry, I did not see the comment section. I got
my answers there.
GDP out... 6.9 against 7.7
@ DineshRishi sir,
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HNNH5R8MfQ&feature=related
GDP came out with 6.9%
Dear Prabhat!
Dont mix-up other system with JNSAR, JNSAR is pious & exclusive. Every system has a beauty, its our attitude that how we look it:)
Dear DR!
Your Japp looks better than 24 NO., it looks like E-31:)
Falling wedge in NF 5 min
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-3XofTkLXZ-A/TtXCloYyxlI/AAAAAAAAAAc/oDH9WeW2KVw/s1600/falling%2Bwedge.gif
@Kumar Sir: I was not trying to mix up as I clearly understand
that each system has its own characteristics, behavior & scope.
I was only asking your SL levels. Thats all. But I got the answer for them
huge O.I is built up in 4100pe of dec series on yesterday and today??what can be its implications...any advice plz
Just wake up to comment:
I am expecting big gap down opening day tomorrow, if today
we hold. It may open below 4640.
Again going to sleep.
Dear Prabhat!
I am sorry, i thought u r mixing both. But after reading your questions again i am still confused:
"q1. What is the SL for longs taken @4815.
"q2. As per JNSAR we are short from 4790."
Rgrds
Kumar
Get well soon sir
@fire
take ur charge :-)
Is someone responsible here for pankaj shukla wake up, then they will gety punished from all of us!
K7
Lolzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
K7
you cannot blame anyone for natural calamities
@Kumar Sir: Sorry, the 2nd one was not a question, it was
for FYI.. The text window in this blog continues to give me
problems since (sometimes I cannot see what I am typing)
- I wonder is this a problem with the blog or the browser(since I use mozilla)
Anyways my intent was to know the SL for ur longs taken
@4815. I am seeing that nifty is trying to cross 4800,
but is lacking the strength since every move past 4785
is not supported by the corresponding volumes.
This shows weakness to me. Increasing prices with
decreasing or constant volume. (I am not sure if I am
correct with my observations).
Master said,
Look out for retracement 4797(38%) and 4811(50%)
Nifty came till 4805
@DR
Would welcome your views/inputs at this stage
news of Reliance Industries closes 4 wells in KG-D6 gas field...ril from 765 down to 760
CD: Wishing you a very happy birthday!!!!
Shukla ji: Why this why this "Kolaveri di" comments??
any one confirm is jnsar long now
gaurav
I am at 4800 with SAR of 4780
Happy Birthday Cooldent :)
Please no anshan for today
Thank you Crorepathi, Ashish, VKsoni, RC and AJ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=mcYhNtAZgsA
Mera Bharat Mahan
@cooldent
did u short at 4820 yesterday or 4790
PS
4790
@cool even i did at 4790
@PS
Now pls take nifty up. Dont want one more whipsaw. Will have to cancel all the scotch i ordered for DR sir and Kumar sir :D
pump and dump?
@piyush
can u plz tell me SL for position at 4790
Hello Sir & Friends...
HBD Dr. Cooldent! Wish karo Nifty Kae liyae...its great day
for u so likely chances that it will listen:)
cool :-) even i had many . it shud leave jnsar region seen else will keep on chopping :-(
Dear Cooldent!
Dont cancel order of scotch, i will pray to Nifty as u want but Scotch is must:)
cooldent ..... Have a great day ...... One single malt for me plzzzz......
have the rest of jnsar traders joined long or still holding shorts?
SAM???
I am long now
@ anil bahut dukhbhari kahani hai. reversed to longs yesterday at 4815. and whipsaw in morning too...
longs since 4788 sl 4766 tomm is also 4790. so reversing early means tension :-( opposite global cues more tension :-(
@DR
What I have understood from Ilango's comments this
morning is that retracement upto 4824 is possible and
hence add a filter to JNSAR shorts.....am I correct
in my interpretation?
cooldent said...
have the rest of jnsar traders joined long or still holding shorts?
SAM???
I am really don't know now what to do?
@CD booked profit in long .Bought with sl DLEMA.
So I am on sidelines...
fast fall setup
I thought Ilango was very clear with JNSAR
reversal today.
4866 to 4755 may be treated as "i" and
watching out for the retracement could be
4797(38%),4811(50%) & 4824(61.8%) for
"ii"nd wave.(JNSAR Filter may be altered
with these).
I am holding Shorts with 4830 NS as my SL
and will go Long only above 80% retracement.
Usually the market always does the exact
opposite of what I do, so let's see how
this one pans out.
midcap index at res not crossing days high yet made be4 10am....guess if could not cross abv days high may triger the start of selling in markets again!!!
Euro sudden crash from 1.3318 to 1.3268
@ Indus.
Sir said "If it is a complex "b" wave correction ("a" being 4639
to 4866), look out for 50% & 61.8%(4750&4726) to hold.
It has held these levels.
So lets see. Since these are days of whips I am
booking one lot in 25 points
SAM
As indus just pointed out no need for confusion. If short and want to add filter you can. If long 20 points rule :)
PS
Imagine my condition. My first BN jnsar trade.
I will wait till Europe opens. Looking for shorting
opportunity.
@Nifty
Precisely my logic....thanks
@Piyush Sharda fast fall set up ?Whats the invaidation pt ?
badae bhaiya near to day high..will nifty follow him??
@ cool
banknifty and nifty gave very good returns in last trade. maybe better to wait for 20-30 days
of rangebound movement to be over. few whipsaws
wud be saved. but now u have started so i am not
sure it'll be right advice to tell u to stop
good afternoon! I am still bearish, but may be wrong ..
http://i42.tinypic.com/332orox.jpg
@animoitra,
i dont see it that way. technically fast rise and fast fall setup is different study it can rise to 4840 and fall, fall frm here or not fall at all . setup fails in 3rd case. better strategy wud be to short below 4783 (previous intra pivot low) with 4805 as sl.this wud be helpful for positional traders.
@Piyush Sharda thanks.
approx. after 20 days , positional buy signal arrived. hence as per my view it should be buy on dips !!
I think EURO has totally lost it's ground and no longer has any impact on Eguities. Shorting seems to be the only suitable option for it :)
Kolaveri said...
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-p3AteHF1EEM/TtTKCsFg4hI/AAAAAAAAAmc/OgK2XWyhhfk/s1600/hour.PNG
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-TkEQeKst1II/TtTKGT9DwLI/AAAAAAAAAmo/mnMbLSUq1q8/s1600/day.PNG
nifty support is4760..
EOD close has to be above 4800 for bulls to survive...
Dont know whether i can post like this..if i have violated
the rules let me know I will stop...
November 30, 2011 9:33 AM
No body appreciated me.... Nifty low was 4755 and High was 4821...a good 60 points..
The Best Thing About You is You!
Dear pcsmitpra!
You forgot Cooldent name, its his Birthday today so he must be sure:)
ख़्वाब के गाँव में/जावेद अख़्तर
ख़्वाब के गाँव में पले है हम
पानी छलनी में ले चले है हम
छाछ फूंकें की अपने बचपन में
दूध से किस तरह जले है हम
ख़ुद है अपने सफ़र की दुश्वारी[1]
अपने पेरों के आबले[2] है हम
तू तो मत कह हमें बुरा दुनिया
तुने ढाला है और ढले है हम
क्यूँ है, कब तक है, किस की खातिर है,
बड़े संजीदा [3] मसअले[4] है हम
@Mishraji,
Same showing long for me.
Now all are long:)
I can hear people singing at me...
This blog is for JNSAR Boys-u
Others don't make Noise-u
Signing off with tears...
Bye...Bye...
78% retracement done.
midcap index not moving up with nifty
@ Prabakar yes i also got long signal.. :)
can any one tell me nifty fut value thanx in adv
@pcs - hi. why short when ilango sir premarket view
was to have a trading range from 4765 to 4840 ?
mishraji thank you
pcsmitra ji thank u to u too
kolaveri chill
handil glass u
glasssil ice u
icil scotch u
Prabakar said...
@Mishraji,
Same showing long for me.
It changes its calls many times in a day.
@pcs - no idea. If ilango sir's EW count ( wave 5 alternative ) holds true,
then we could have a big down wave. But if it is still
in W4, dont know. ilango sir said above 4840-45, we will
have more than 80% retracement. So W5 alternative
will be negated there. We just hit 4840.
But we are near DHEma now. In trading range - so short here
with DHEma ( 4840+10=4850 ) as SL to DLEma ( 4755 ) might be the
aggressive trade possibility.
Experts - care to comment ?
hi pcsmitpra
ok. i am making my setup for sell if starts coming
below 4832 levels. i am keeping the 4800 call ready.
will sell 4800 call today .
4843 big hurdle is crossed even more to 80%..no need to be in
short mind set, for now...
sold 4800 call @ 160 level. one lot today. expecting
mkt to come down.
HAPPY BIRTHDAY!! :))
@Mishraji
u r using V22.1
small upgrade :)
try this
http://www.4shared.com/file/drzMOgRB/NTS_V271.html
Regards
IT
if in my favour today...ie i get 20-25 points intra day.
i may cover it too soon. else will keep it over nite
position.
In actuality, it turned out to be a 60 pt SL....
Short @4793 NF and Long again @4854 NF. Had to
confirm that 4843 was crossed.
I told ya, whatever I do will always be wrong.
Dear Cooldent!
A birthday is birthday, either profit or loss...sometimes u will win & sometimes me but this day will come only once in a year so 3 CHEERS....Happy Birthday again:)
Thanks Kumar sir. Scotch is on the way. Will have to manage on the terrace tonight. Parents are home. Hope u dont mind :)
cooldent
cheating cheating cheating
@pcsmitra,
Yesterday, all the global indices were in
green, only the SPX VIX was in red (i think)
yet we were in Red.
Today, the exact opposite. Nifty has its
own mind.
this is ofcourse Sucker wave b:( thoda profit hua but sab
chu mantar
here we go again....I take great pains to confirm
that all retracements were achieved and then buy
but this freakin mkt takes a toss.
Already down 40 pts in 15 mins. Story of my life.
Dear Cooldent!
Cheating, my sources informed that Biryani programme in evening at ur place:)
Dear Prabhat!
Market reconfirmed your view very well today that every system has its own value:)
shorted @80% retrace levels (4840 NF). Abhi Ram jane kya hoga ..?
DR sir,
No cheating. Check previous comment. Order was placed for you too
sir ji,
a clarification: v need to calculate weekly
H/L/C only on FRIDAY -EOD AND THEN APPLY
or on daily basis
thanks
Now the JNSAR is Long or Short ?
@cool
me reversed at 4800
hi cooldent
sorry i,am late
many happy returns of the day
you are already making nifty inebriated
its swaying to smell of your scotch
thoda kum pilao
@COOL,
is there any empty chair 4 uninvited guest(friends)?
Many happy reterns of the day.
@Master: Shorted @80% retrace levels (4840 NF) & am reaping
mangoes now :)
probably getting support @ JNSAR.
DING DONG BELL..
Can any one tell me what the 34 hr sma is at currently??
wow...wow !!!! i am covering my 4800 call that i sold
@160 levels...20 minutes back....now @125 level....tho not
my birthday today...but anyway i can celebrate...beer +biryani
+big icecream scoop.
2nd wave can not reach at top of 1st wave, 3rd tgt: 1.XXX?wishful thinking?
@Cooldent: Let us know where is the party? Start
preparing the guest list. I know the brands ..
Teachers for Kumar Sir.
Isle of Jura for me.
Apple juice for DR sir.
Glucon-D for Master (since he is low on energy).
there is no doubt more money can be made in a bearish
mkt....that also in a very short time.but better to
keep number of lot size lesser and less frquently.
buy an hold ...a good stock is a game of
patience ....but in nifty ...le lo majaa !!!!!!
JNSAR is now short.
@Indus
35Hr Sma at 4769 , if I am not wrong.
it took nifty 3 hours to climb 40 points ....and took
just 15-20 minutes to fall by more than 45 points.yeh
nifty cheeze hi aisi hai .........!!!!!!!!!!
@smita
thanks...i got 4771
OMG what a volatile market,
dancing
My GOD a lot of whipsaw...
Whipsaw nae sari energy low kar di..
shakeout moves happening
bigmove expected
is it going to be santa surge or firange purge
Anybody know what tomorrow's JNSAR is. ?
I am going keep my Longs until 4750 breaks.
@Nifty: 4791
Thanks Sujeet. I just noticed that myself. I was
first looking at the Pre-Market preview, which
did not contain this info.
Just before I saw your reply, I also noticed
that the current TT carries this bit of info.
Tomorrow JNSAR 4791.
Monthly LEMA is 4833
close below this will keep the Monthly momentum down
Namaste Ilango sir and all,
Facing connectivity problems so could not update earlier. A Bullish Gartley formed in Hour TF - shown in 5min NF chart
Click Here
@nath
Well said :)
animoitra ji,
how have u calc jnsar 4791
of 2mmorrow.
pl explain
thanks
Lower top & lower bottom today.
@Suresh
It is on Ilango's TT table
yest day when nifty above 4850 the P4800 was 105 level.
today if nifty goes above 4800 , ...I WILL BUY 3 LOTS
OF PUT 4800 at around 125 level or so....i expect
mkt to be weak...since lot of US data are in pipeline.
plus as per this blog.....nifty weakness is persistent.
may god be with me .......nifty ka bol bala hai aaj
kal...!!!!!!!
friend/s,
can i know its calculation procedure.
One more whipsaw..........................
PS
now wt?
watt lag gayee..now going long
@cool
4800 means sl 4822-4825
@Satheesh so its a good entry pt for longs.Isnt it ?
@Cooldent,
A late wish (as usual), but wish you a very very Happy Birthday. Cheers... (though uninvited) :)
@animoitra2011
Can you tell me how to get the JNSAR value?, I use
Amibroker and the JNSAR levels in this forum are of
different in Amibroker SAR. Can you tell me how to
get the same value of yours in Amibroker as well.
The default SAR parameters are:
Acceleration: .02
Max. Acceleration: .2
Thanks in Advance,
Wild, real wildish movement of nifty
Well, at least I do not have to go Short as Nifty
is well above 4800 (as of now, who knows where it
will be in 5 mins)
i bot 1 lot of PUT 4800 @ 127 levels....will pick up
more maybe 125...then 122 levels.
DONT GO LONG .....mkt to crack !!!!!
Suren babu M
JNSAR is MAsters Intellectual property, and still no formula
is revealed.
Can any one tell me, as per JNSAR whether it is long or short
trade at this point of time....
4865 to 4755 - triangle forming ? Which way will those
go after tomorrow ?
@Suren Babu JNSAR is at TT.
@ animotra,
4721-41 is one of the targets. There are possibilites for much lower values. It would always be proper to combine the TA parameters befroe attempting a trade.
ANY ONE SAY SEPT/OCT MONTH CLOSE OF CASH NIFTY
@Cooldent,
A late wish (as usual), but wish you a very very Happy Birthday. Cheers... (though uninvited) :)
@ pankaj Shukla "nifty is in Narsimha avtaar"
Pankaj Shukla
If you had gone Long, then you should have
reverted to Short @4779.xx if you had kept
a 20 pt SL.
Since it did not sustain, I guess you could
have held on to your Longs as well.
In any case, Nifty is well above 4820, so
you should be Longs now.
Uff total confusion.
@ cooldent,
Happy Birthday
i got another lot PUT 4800 at 125 levels....nifty will
crack if not today them tomm !!!!!
REMEMBER, war is 99 preparation and, 1 percent execution.
so get ready , make a good plan , and strike !!!!!
Ahhh we got another expert in silver is king now :)
Guys I think I will stay out of the market for a
few days. Too much of loss to handle. When in doubt
stay on cash.
This wild movement is may be due to month closing. but
i am out from my short, long & short trade.no position
will wait to get in
sorry nifty..............i am a learner !!!! this blog is
a great school....thnx...all of u.....
Mkt trying to close above POC 4828..and MLEMA.
@nifty,
I am short and holding. I can not go long. bcoz i am waiting for
4100 to come.
ok guys as per my plan i bot my third PUT 4800 at 122.50
levels...now with me total 3 lots of buy position in
PUT 4800 Nifty. as per my plan........so now wait and watch..
and learn from this blog......learn ...plan ...and then
execute( strike ) ....wah...wah....nifty tera to jawab
nahin...........!!!!!!!
@ Mridul
as per your ORB guidelines tuesday's 11-11.30 line is
taken around 4840 for this week.will be watching closely
...
@Pankaj
I am long now with SL below today's Low. I also bought
some cheap 4900 calls @77 in this manic dip.
now PUT 4800 available below 120 levels.....i am tempted.
to go overboard....but NO ..better stick to my plan ....
no more stretching myself.....i WILL START COVERING below 120
tomm......upto 75 levels....my s/l is 150 ......
it looks like junta is going long today. 4840 s/l
triggered.....all calls now to BUY....BUY....BUY....
nifty ......teri ajab hai kahani ............!!!!!!
minto mein ulat palat ........never mind i will go
by the plan executed............
If this were a triangle, then we just finished the E leg
around 4840.
@cooldent
Wish you Happy, Prosperous and plentiful Birthday.
nIFTY closes just below MLEMA and WLEMA. Just
missed them by 4 points. !!
Ahh please disregard the week thing. The week
is still not over.
Got rid of all the 4900 calls. Just hanging onto
JNSAR positionals.
@cooldent
many many happy returns of the day !!
Thanks again one and all
so finally tt remained intact and more upmoves soon !!
this blog has all the ingredients of a good platform.
It has knowledge and information......and very important,
there are all kinds of people giving their un-biased
view on the nifty....I get the inspiration to go out
and try my trading luck with the ammunition that i gather
thru out the day , from all kinds of views, etc...looks like
we are all equals among equals ..helping all equals...
to make money in this fiercely competitive mkt....with
games played by FIIs ....margin players ....Algo trading
.....instituitons...MFs..etc....and we have to win ...to
make money.......great !!!!!!!
@all the blogmates
please review my yesterday post and
it happened like that only
still more whipsaws are there.
so not to trade?
no.
we will trade but one way only
that is buy side
i have graphicaly studied Jnsar J10sar
found winner is bull only at last.
may nifty visit to recent lows
but from there it will go up
T formation
wish all profitable trading
@GD
If this is a Triangle, it is likely to be a "b".
Hourly chart also, as of now, shows 'a' as Zig Zag. 'b' is under progress and it is giving the appearance of zig zag in the hourly chart.
@shradha saburi
recent lows means 4750 or 4640 ? jnsar should be above j10sar for going long. is it correct ?
Ilango sir ,
I hope you feel better .
Best Regards
Smita
master should be alright with kumar sir's energy exchange !
master hop eur health is all right. on days of such whipsawa in JNSAR can u please tell us after market hours what u would have done in real time and why so that we could all learn more from u and there would be no spoonfeeding too . thanks
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