Friday, January 14, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-I

77 comments:

Unknown said...

good OI buildup(buying) in 5800 call.......probably, we might see good bounce later in the day !

Anil said...

Nifty will reverse when all weak bulls, including retail loose hope of recovery. Thats the only point when we see next trend.

Ilango said...

"5873 & 5907" are to be considered as important resistance points.

There are two views currently:
A:Bounce for the steep fall from 6181 to 5698 is done in two days and the next phase of down move has started which may pause around 5665-5685 and stay sideways before resuming downtrend..deep cut.

B."5 sub waves" of the fall gets completed with today's low and a rally for 3-5 days may emerge to be followed by a revisit to the lows or lower.

The above two are bearish scenarios.

For the Bulls: Either today's low or 200sma @ 5595-5610 should hold and FIIs should follow it up with good amount of buying. And VIX staying below 23.5-23.75.

manojag said...

5800 calls are being written.

prashant shah said...

thanxs sir

Chivukula Krishnamohan said...

@ka,

"good OI buildup(buying) in 5800 call.......probably, we might see good bounce later in the day !"

How to distinguish call buying from call writing?

manojag said...

With price behaviour.for every buying there will be a selling.

Unknown said...

sir and all blogmates
good wishes for pongal and makar sankranthi

Ilango said...

@ Chivukula Krishnamohan,

I look at it in a simple way: If 5800 CE prices are coming down and it's OI is increasing, it means the sellers are dominating and hence "Being written". Similarly if the CE prices are rising and OI is diminishing, it means "Writer's covering or buying".

Option markets are used in a major way by funds/instituitions to hedge their portfolios and hence it is widely considered as "Writers dominated market". However, if a retailer does his homework well, he/she can beat them fair and square.

mynac said...

GM everybody,
Wishing you all a very happy Pongal Festival & Makar Sankranti.

INDITRADER said...

Gm sir.

Ilango said...

<<5706 - 5725>> - a short term trading opportunity.

ilan kaalai said...

Hello ilango sir,
your real follwer me ilankaalai sir,
Happy pongal sir,....

sir , i am new to maket sir , but i am very active in subject
now i would like to trade in nifty only, on my search i got you
sir, i am following just nifty blog for past 2 month a lot of guidence
for all blogmates , but i am only watching all of you, initially
i like to know what is tech table, how to use it for trading,
i find it is use ful for mechnical or trend following table, am right sir
can you explain it sir?
ilan(go)kaalai(bull)

ilan kaalai said...

explain tech TABLE SIR

mynac said...

From screen & present Data it is clearly visible that today Bears have sold huge quantity,NF slightly in hurry,at lower rates i.e. 5728,5709,5707 in anticipation of fast fall below 5700.But strong buying there restrict the fall.At least up to this moment so now from here onwards,the real tussle is there.Let us see.

Sujeet said...

Dear Sir & All Blogmates;

Wishing you all Happy Pongal & Makar Sankranti!

Regards,
Sujeet

mynac said...

And good addition of 14 lac O.I. in NF.So interesting day ahead.

Sujatha said...

Good morning sir and all :) Nice picture sir.
Happy Pongal and Makara Sankranthi to one and all.
Bhavan/manu - Missing you. counting INR???
RG = yeah remember that day, nobody is blessing our "dear Nifty" so நிப்டி பல்லாண்டு வாழ என் வாழ்த்துக்கள். தை பிறந்தால் வழி பிறக்கும் / நிப்டிக்கு வழி பிறக்குமா- வலி பிறக்குமா? the whole market sentiment is -ve = that is the only hope for bulls?? ஜல்லிக்கட்டு காளை என்ன செய்யுதுன்னு பார்க்கலாம்.
Crore - yeah..5690 breakes ?? aha bear dance will start, but will it?? let us see.. Sir is excellently giving downside targets :)
Mynac - hi gm :) still some "ray" hopes(based on my own system) got it down for a bounce

Ilango said...

@ ilan kaalai,

Read: "Always start trading with these" -8 subjects

For tech table reading:

http://tradeinniftyonly.blogspot.com/2009/12/nifty-techanalysis-file-explained-1.html

For JNSAR trading:

http://tradeinniftyonly.blogspot.com/search/label/JNSAR

ilan kaalai said...

Hello ilango sir,
Happy pongal sir,....

can you explain tech table and pivot table sir?
i could not understand this sir,

ilan(go)kaalai(bull)

Unknown said...

sorry CK....was engaged in some other thing in office....did not get the chance to see the page...

there you have....master has given a beautiful brief....thanks sir...

today, 5800 CE has seen rapid rise in IV, rapid rise in OI along with prices from today's low....

ilan kaalai said...

thank you i try and if any doubt sir, honey kisses like child to you sir

Rajagopal said...

Young Bull (Ilan Kaalai) :

Always Start Trading with these
1. Trending or Sideways.?
2. Pivot, support & Resistance
3. ORB
4. Divergences + / -
5. Trade time cycle-Min/Hr/Day
6. SAR signals.
7. Trading Discipline
8. Tech. Table Reading.
======================= 8 is for you. But read every word under other heads also.

SuchIsLife said...

Dear All..

Wish you all Happy Pongal and Makara Sankranthi..

Ramesh - SIL
g

ilan kaalai said...

thank you i try and if any doubt i come again sir, honey kisses like child to you sir

Unknown said...

ANNATTU CK GARU....MEEDHI TELUGU ?! YEVURU ?! KONASEEMA KANI ANDHRA KANI ANIPISTHUVUNDHI MEE PPERU CHUSTHEY !

Prosenjit said...

Happy Pongal and Makara Sankranthi!!!!!!

Market not so happy.... visit to 5500 in this month is of high probability.

Prachi said...

GM Dear Sir and all blogmates
Wish you all Happy Pongal and Makara Sankranthi..

Prachi

Sujatha said...

@ ka - garu, meeru enntiki telegu matladathunnaru?
manavadu, manavadu??? hehe :) meeru peeru kanpadalethu lekapothe neenu septhanu, meru evaru?? :D sorry... just OOT

mynac - booked out 30 pnts + 1 call :) scalping :P

mynac said...

Daer Sujatha,
Congrats.Good trade between bearish atmosphere.

Chivukula Krishnamohan said...

Ilango,
Thanks for the answer. Looks like I understood it... it may take time to internalize it.

Ka,
Avunandi. Padaharanala teluguvaadini. Vizianagaram maadi. meeru?

Sujata,
Meeru ... telugu.. !!!
Telugu, Market, Tamil, English, Hindi... How many more languages do you know?

mynac said...

At least first two trading Hrs.are suggesting,that Bulls have taken the "attack" seriously and would think over for counter attack.The big quantity trades at lower rates are hope for them for intra short covering in the latter hrs.but still long way to go.Still the overall atmosphere is not favorable for them.

Sujatha said...

mynac - wat u mentioned in NF is all cam long period levels. sensex too defending to protect this longer period levels. but how long s the Q? :) abv 5732/45 decesively only +ve as of 'now". just a samosa trading. still "ray hopes" for bulls from my side (temporarily). 5650/5750 very hardnut to crack???

Prabhakar said...

Unable to stay above 5735NF?

Crorepathi said...

I think all the demand is met by sellers.Buying is been absorbed and still selling going on...

Rajagopal said...

Mahanubavula - Andhra Club form chesthunarantae nannai teamlu pettukondi.

ilan kaalai said...

goodmorning Raja gopal sir, thank you sir, i ask doubt you too sir
thank you sir

mynac said...

@Sujatha,
And today it was actual traded rates at 9.19AM,9.40Am,9.43 AM.Now Bulls may try to defend 5720 first and then 5707.Still not that kind of selling visible so the latter trading half shall be very interesting.

Sujatha said...

@ RG - haha :) CK - garu - ka - garu - manaki neeru eche lathu sir :D cheppandi
CK - nenu telegu lethu sir - tamilian
mynaccccc =- 5757/5775 fast raise as per mysystem

Chivukula Krishnamohan said...

RG, Andhra Club... You are too much!! The whole world knows about Andhra Unity... We are about to split. :(
I would be too glad to start/join anything where you are a member :)


Sujata... I know you are Tamil. Exclamation is for knowing different languages.. Specially the second one!!

shyam said...

Nifty trading range for the day 5828-5690.
Break of 5690 may drag Nifty towards the 200 DMA at 5604.Option positions indicate the support at 5600 level.

Ilango said...

Intraday Charts are overbought with immediate resistance @ 5745 and for BN 10720.

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Sir for your Analysis
booked 50% profit 5750NF in intra longs

Sujeet said...

Dear Sir;
Can we sell here?

Prabakar said...

Intra NS is above 10EMA crossed Intra 100 SMA and in the verge of crossing Intra 200 EMA. I believe if crosses above 200 EMA an upside breakout possibility..

Prabhakar said...

Closed remaining Sir. Thank you Sir

STOCK4SURE said...

can shorts be created here??ns at 5741

Prashant said...

although there has been 20% addition in 5800 call today,
5700 put still has more open interest. Only a decisive break of 5690 will
shake the confidence of the 'remaining bulls'

KRG said...

desabhashalandu telugu "less"a!?

the latest SMS: Noone killed Jessica..... She was long Nifty

Cheers

Shenita said...

Good Morning Sir,

Happy Makar Sankrantri and Pongal
to You and all blog viewers.

Prabakar said...

India VIX came down from 23.48 to 22.74..
Dollar Index at 79.18.

will the above help Intra NS to move up?..

Sanjay said...

Dear Friends,

As per OI data, the range is contracting to 5700 to 5800 with huge addition in 5800CE

Thanks & Regards

Sanjay Kr Jaiswal

Prabakar said...

Above mentioned Intra 10 ema, 100 sma & 200 ema in Intra 1 min/TF. 5 min/TF has different view.

Prashant said...

as it has held 5690 low, it may turn out to be a flat correction

narasing said...

i feel it will attempt to close the week above 5795, the weekly channel bottom. Sir, pls comment.
-Narasinga

mynac said...

Dear Sanjay,
Regarding "huge addition in 5800CE",what's your guess? would be from long side or?

Rajagopal said...

Something wrong with my system. Seeing Nifty in Green letters !!!

mynac said...

50% rise in 5900 CE from today's bottom.

narasing said...

sorry, i meant the daily channel.

Chivukula Krishnamohan said...

RG,

Will Friday 2.30 spoil the whole thing?

Prabakar said...

gap at 5752 to 5756 will be filled before any further upside move.

Sujatha said...

mynac - my 5757 done :D

Rajagopal said...

CK : Funny right? How to beat a dead horse? Wish "Budget run" Fridays are back(+ve).

Prachi said...

nice one suj

bb said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sujatha said...

@ RG - :) :) it's better look nifty with "red colour" specs

Ilango said...

As long as Nifty is closed below 5DEma, every rise is a selling opportunity.

rrknan said...

Just like yday 2 white candles full reveresed by three blue candles in google 2 min chart.

Sujatha said...

@ Prachi - tks sticking with "purely technical today" not with my "ego/hopes" . :P not above this 5755 decsively nifty will back to "RG"
@ bb- we discussed nothing :P just time pass OOT and especially if "my name visible" you can blindly go to next :D that's good for you hehe:)

bb said...

Dear Boarders:
An humble request, please do not use any regional langugage to communicate (including Hindi). Some of us who do not know the langugae find its frustrating as we may miss some valuable communication.
Regards

BB

bb said...

Sujatha Ma'am:
Your communication is very valuable to me atleast. Actually most of the boarders are so knowledgeable that I am a keen reader even if it is silly information.

Regards

Basab

MANOJ said...

Dear BB Bhaiya!

Regional Languages se aisa behave na karo, kabhi kabhi insaan ka man apni roj wali bhasha me baat karne ka hota hai aur kuch log doosri bhasha jaante hi nahi. Aap ko jitna samajh me aa raha hai usi se santosh kar lo pls, ye meri aapse request hai.

Manoj

smokinbeast said...

i have this trendline in nifty futures.. which is currently @ 5766.
nifty has been resisting it for some time now.. and 200 ema @ 5 min chart.. now support
if it crosses it .. might see 5790

Arpit

Crorepathi said...

This is called "theliya vechi, theliya vechi adikarudhu"
AS we net get more juice from bulls.
The ralies are because of profit booking by bears.
Infosys leading this rally lol...

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

Sanjay said...

Mynac Sir,

Sorry for late reply, I feel as per the order book there were more sellers then buyer, so most probably its SHort.

Thanks & Regards

Sanjay Kr Jaiswal

Kavima said...

@ crorepathi

your "thelliay.... " is good!!:-))Looking out fore the next short trade
opportunity.

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