Thursday, January 20, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-II

Welcome Aarvee... Wonderful to have your presence.

87 comments:

AAR VEE said...

Thanks Ilango sir

The warm welcome rubs off some cold here in North :))

Sukanya said...

I will try to translate in brief any imp hints dear Manoj will give for benefit of others, who do not understand Hindi. Let us carry forward.. :D

STOCK4SURE said...

ril near days low of 965 again

MANOJ said...

Mishra ji!

Thank u bhaiya ji support dene ke liye aur ek raasta nikaalne ke liye...

Manoj

DAKSHIT said...

LLANGO SIR, when we were danger of breaking 5700 level each and every expert in media was talking about significance of breaking 5700. if we break that then huge slide. we broke that level with huge volume on 14 januarty and then nothing happened except 45 point slide on closing basis at 5655 and now volue is also completely dry up. we have also boke the rising trend line started from mMARCH 2009 after that we could not even touch it. 5700 is also important FIBO LEVEL fromm 4786 to 6338. DOES MARKET HAS ITS ON MIND WHAT TO DO? YOUR VIEW ON THAT SIR, THANKS

Prabakar said...

Dear AAR VEE sir, Nice to see you back and hope you are doing good.

Miss you in OJN2 along with mok.

Also missing PowerTrade.

abhishek said...

Hi SkMISHRA,

Good afternoon,

Day before yesterday you posted 15 min. high/low EMA system,regarding plz give me/post your MAIL ID.

Thanks in advance.

Ilango said...

@ Aarvee,

wrt your idea of EW labelling TT, the table during intraday update is made compact to give the most crucial numbers only. I would resort to EW tool only when it is compelling enough and the same is marked in the "Charts".

@ Rani patel,

Remember this always: When the higher T/F is not in sync with the lower T/F indications, the counter trend trades should be made with very strict SL. In a spread of less than 40 points, 10 point is the maximum you should keep.
Alternatively, 5640 is crucial for a break down. There are never rules for these but just guidelines. When you mark something as supports, market may, at times, break it briefly taking away one's SL and proceed to move in your direction.

Inability to move higher than DLEma is quite weak.

Crorepathi said...

Manoj,
You can have a disclaimer below your message to avoid new comers taking up this again and again.
Disclaimer :I am good at understanding English but cannot write English
:)

Sukanya said...

pisgoa@gmail.com

Ilango said...

@ Dakshit,

The answer in one word: "Sitting tight".(oh! that is 2 words.)

AAR VEE said...

Hi Prabakar,
Nice to catch up with u too.Hope u r also doing fine.

ya i too miss ojn2.will try to post at weekend if time permits

MANOJ said...

Dear Prashant shah bhaiya!

Kaha tha aapse RIL aur SBI ne bade important levels break kar diye hain so Nifty sell kar lo, picture abhi baaki hai bhaiya..closing me laali cha sakti hai.

Manoj

Unknown said...

option data suggesting some surprise upside !

rani patel said...

Thanks sir.Trying hard to understand your system

RainMaker said...

Hello,

Sabhi bandhoo logo ko pranam.

RainMaker

AAR VEE said...

Thanks sir

abhishek said...

SKMISHRA,

Thanks.

rani patel said...

ka please elaborate abt ur comment on options data?

STOCK4SURE said...

bank nifty has a gap in 5 min charts near 10480-10540(Approx levels),if trade below 10480 may fall more which in turn may take nifty down also

keep close watch on bank nifty for any shorting clues

saath saath mauja hi mauja

MANOJ said...

Dear Crorepathi bhaiya!

Wo fir english na samajh paane walo ke liye ENGLISH me likhne walo ko bhi karna padega, wo lamba chakkar ho jaayega bhaiya. Raasta nikal aaya hai aur Mishra ji & Prashant bhaiya ne english me translate karne ki haami bhar di hai so no problem now bhaiya ji..Thank u aapke suggestion ke liye.

Manoj

Ilango said...

@ Ka,

It is possible markets may move up & make another high past 5680 before falling.

Trading firmly above 5700 alone will be strength.

Sujatha said...

@ crorepathi - இதுக்கு பேர்தான் லொல்ளு..ம் ம்,
@ Prashanth - hi good afternoon
@ AARVEE - good afternoon. pleasant surprise to see u back :) yeah..excellent yearly cam/fibo level so not holding anything positionally, just trading. If not breakes here again then it may be a double bottom?? seniors comments pls. but i am expecting 5610 personally :D I am not wagging my tail there @ "OJN2" becoz experienced people like "u, mok" are missing.

STOCK4SURE said...

strong addition in 5600ce and 5700ce...unwinding in 5700pe,addition in 5600pe...may see a jerk down

Sujatha said...

sir - pls. confirm is it double bottom????

Karthikeyan KR said...

CHanges in options OI is reactive and lagging right? Has there been instances of such OI changes being a leading indicator?

AAR VEE said...

Hi Sujatha,

Nice to catchup(if ur in kitchen ,it will sound as ketchup:) with u.
Just wanted to know about 5500 levels in terms of yearly cama/gann level.does it signifies something?
U r my senior here and one of the old students of initial 2008 batch.:)

Unknown said...

yes sir....thank you...

my comment was purely based on option in relation to the current price of NS & NF and i was not sure of the targets..

Ilango said...

@ Sujatha,

As long as 5600 holds, it could be a double bottom.

But one should be cautious here as "S&P.500"(US Mkt) fell yesterday retracing last 4 days' upmove in a single day..

Though weekly TA is nearing bottom, no bottoming process/ patterns are visible.

Even in Hour TA, let Hour JNSAR trigger again for a buy..

Crorepathi said...

Sujatha, LOL

I am a perennial bear, as Aushtosh Goswami said, "Assange is our man"
and in street, retailers are asked to buy.We may fall badly this pause may given for PE writers to escape

Bramesh said...

Good Afternoon Sir and all

Want to share some imp information


“China’s inflation hit 4.6% in December, pushing the full-year 2010 consumer price index up 3.3%, while the national economy grew 10.3% last year, Hong Kong-based broadcaster Phoenix TV reported on its website Wednesday, without citing any sources.” Guess what: it was spot on. Just released CPI comes at 4.6%, just below the “official” estimate, and down from 5.1% before, while 2010 GDP of 10.3% came above expectations (and in line with leaks) of 9.5%. Lastly, the PPI came in at 5.9%, to pretend to offset some of the consumer price inflation, also spot on with the leaked number. Which begs the question: why was this data, as bogus as it is, leaked? Actually, that question, along with the data, is very much irrelevant. In the meantime, the AUDJPY and AUDUSD couldn’t care less, both having barely budged by 10 pips.

Full data:

* December GDP: 9.8%, vs. Exp. of 9.5%
* Dec. retail sales: 19.1%, vs Exp. of 18.7%
* December producer prices: 5.9% YoY, vs. Exp. of 5.8%
* December consumer prices: 4.6% MoM, vs. Exp. of 4.7%

mm said...

is murli deora so imp. for ril.ongc,gail?

nifty said...

@STOCK4SURE

Just to clarify. Am I right in assuming that the gap @ 10480 is Spot and not the BNF.

mm said...

$index up,inr up, euro down sharply

MANOJ said...

Manu Bhaiya!

Murli ho ya koyi aur, cash koyi baapas nahi karta so jo dhan gaya wo ab gaya. Balance sheet na impact dikhaye par Mukesh bhai ki pocket pe to farq par hi gaya aur so called caretaker bhi gaye.

Maonj

RainMaker said...

Manu

Murli Deora was imp for RIL, see how he helped him against Anil and now RIL is at logger's head with NTPC to increase the contracted gas price @ $2.34 mmbtu to $4.5+

Earlier it was a national asset this time it could have been a private asset.

RainMaker

MANOJ said...

Priya Mitro!

Nifty ne aaj gap down open kiya hai aur usey fill karne ki saari kosish fail rahi hain so bottom fishing ki kosish na kijiyega...Picture abhi baaki hai mere dosto.

Manoj

Sukanya said...

by Manoj- friends, do not bottom fish in a gap down day, we have yet to see the bottom.

Sujatha said...

Sir – thank you 
AARVEE - oh. no not much work in kitchen as VIPs out of station :) :D so keeping me busy in other works. Yeah 5500 is the 50% gann level. (5507) from yearly low. Now trading below the yearly cam level. 5677 is the yearly cam level that’s Y each and every time it’s trying to trade above and protect. :) senior is only by "date of joining" i am not a technical senior :P :P
Crore - :) mm..
Manu – murali is important to his “family” why for “companies” lolz.. ril is heavy weight wastage bag now in index looks like spoiling the whole index changes only unchangeable.

KM said...

Where the slide will stop?

MANOJ said...

Dear S k Mishra ji!

Thank u apna waada nibhaane ke liye.

Manoj

vineet said...

No momentum on the downside.

Rajib said...

@ Sir,

Not seen you talking about 'hidden divergence'. What's your opinion on that?

Regards,
Rajib

Prabhakar said...

Ilango Sir,
Holding shorts in NF @5663. Can I close or wait for downside? Please suggest me Sir

AAR VEE said...

Thanks Sujatha,

Bye all,

Thanks Sir,

Take care ,cheers!!

Unknown said...

on the 7th and 8th sept 2010, if anyone is looking
at the EOD charts= please have a look. There was
a double top formation then. It may curtail the current
slide now, and make a IHNS formation. Sujatha maan,
cud u kindly confirm????

Unknown said...

the level was 5635

Unknown said...

Sir cud u kindly enlighten???? Deepak

prashant shah said...

dec 2009 close of nifty 5200 ...dec 2010 clsoe 6135 so 6135-5200= 940...50% of this 5200+420=5620 ,,,5620 numbures good for rest of da year

Unknown said...

at 5635 level or so, longs have been createad by
almost 15 lakhs nifty

San said...

S&P 500 Futures has formed a bearish engulfing pattern. If the trend line in daily chart gets violated U.S markets may turn negative in the short term which may affect the rest of the world. CLICK HERE

mm said...

$ index..79

mooka or dhokha?

Rajagopal said...

What a view - NSE,BSE,MCS,NCDEX all in RED !!!

Pankaj Shukla said...

toofan ke pehle ki shanti, per kis taraf ka toofan, patna nahi

Unknown said...

Illango sir/ sujata maam, M i right about 5635???

Unknown said...

@Sai Bhakt= yae toofan bahot shorts ko maar daalae gaa

Unknown said...

Illango sir, I m presuming that neck/head@5595, and
shoulders at 5635, for IHNS formation. please confirm

Unknown said...

Sir I mlong at future 5636

Chivukula Krishnamohan said...

RG Sir,

Thursday Toofan?

Or has it changed colors recently?

Piyush Sharda said...

@ deepak, let a hns or inhs form first.
then we can analyse.
how do u know market will reach 5595,
if it will reach it will stop there.

Unknown said...

even on a 60 min chart= stochastic is pretty sharply
down, hence not much downside seems to b there

Unknown said...

Sir, even the WMD2( williams acc/dcc )type 2 is now
almost at its bottom ebb

Unknown said...

@piyush= we got 5595 4-5 days ago= hence m assuming
that 5595 is the head, n 5635 the shoulders

Unknown said...

BABY oh BABY= what a jump

Unknown said...

watch spot above 5667= 5695 =1st trgt

Unknown said...

there is also the risk of spot visitin 5640 once
again. but if this sustains= I think the IHNS
formation will stand

Piyush Sharda said...

5595 must be a premerket level not there in charting packages/tech table

Unknown said...

@piyush= did spot not touch5596 a few days ago??

Unknown said...

now the option scene is exactly opposite........showing signs of exhaustion and downside probabilities....lets see what market will do !

Unknown said...

apologiese piyush. I meant 5621 as the head, n 5633
as the shoulders. Cud u kindly see an EOD chart for
7-8th sept 2010, and kindly confirm??? Thank you

Fire said...

Resisted at exactly the DLEMA.

Unknown said...

@piyush= watch spot sustaining above 5666.= 5695 -5725

Rajagopal said...

Ck:Regular is +ve. I hope for a +7 to +12.Rest with Mr Market.

Unknown said...

5657 shud act as a support now

Bhavan said...

GA
@Sir and all

INDITRADER said...

Below 5652 dont hold Longs.
Abig Volume bar @ taht price

If holds & cross 5668 sucessfully can see a new day high today.

Piyush Sharda said...

@deepak it is downward sloping. not a proper one.
it may form or may not.better treated as downward
channel than inhs

Unknown said...

watch for a sustainence at/above 5666-5670 range=
FIIIIRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

Rajagopal said...

2 PM update will have another "WELCOME" sign. Hi Bhavan - where were you holidaying? Looks like day of return of the prodigicals...cut the "fattest camel" !!!

Unknown said...

YES!!!! YES!!!! YES!!!!!!

INDITRADER said...

As I post & it start flying

Unknown said...

WHAT A CLIMB BOSSSSS. HAHAHAHAHAHA

Unknown said...

NO ONE BELIEVED ME

Unknown said...

HAHAHAHA.JESUS MAAN =90 POINTS IN 5 MINUTS

Unknown said...

I COVRD ALL LONGS AT 5723

Unknown said...

WILL BUY AGAIN ONLY IF 5726 SUSTAINS NOW. ALTERNATIVELY
WILL SELL THERE WITH A 5 POINT SLOSS

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