Monday, July 26, 2010

Nifty PreMarket View.

If the steady FIIs inflow reflects in the prices, 5405 should be protected going ahead and market may encounter minor corrections and keep moving higher. This "5405" will get revised upwards as a bearish trigger based on the prices in the coming days.
"This week for RIL" mentioned 2 weeks ago did not oblige but this week/ today might do it. Above 1075, it would show a breakout with 1050-1055 as the support to be intact for upside potential.

158 comments:

Unknown said...

Sir,

Price should reverse to mean. From what level - Bollinger band upper levels can give clue.

Ultimate Osc also giving topping out signals.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_ZU53ckHTvwo/TEz4MK1qQWI/AAAAAAAAA2k/xFhovV-1Yjs/s400/bbweekly_final.png

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ZU53ckHTvwo/TEz4N42FfBI/AAAAAAAAA2o/Q7YhY5UUW20/s400/bbdaily_final.png

r m said...

Good Morning all!

Unknown said...

Charts Links on http://niftylivechart.blogspot.com/2010/07/nifty-key-levels-26-july-2010.html

wormwood34 said...

good morning all

gauresh59 said...

Hi Friends,

Here is the link for Today's MySAR_A levels.

http://www.4shared.com/document/JjlzdQ6B/MySAR_A_Future_for25th_.html

For points earned so far, the link is :

http://www.4shared.com/document/DFC67-YP/Points_earned_23th_.html

-gauresh59

Paresh said...

Probable range today.. 5405-5475.

Paresh said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Rajagopal said...

Good Morning Sir
Good Morning Friends.

akki said...

Gm Dear Sir and the whole TA Family .
Regards

Prabakar said...

Good Morning Sir and All Blogmates.

Janak said...

GM everyone - with asia retreating and our markets looking extremely-cautious - we've an interesting day ahead....

Sunny said...

Good Morning Sir

gauresh59 said...

Hi Friends,

On the basis of MySAR_A level Maruti had triggered for conservative short on 14th July @ 1382. Today it is trading at 1212.

-gauresh59

San said...

Good morning everyone

Nifty 15 minutes chart with support lines

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/07/nifty-15-minutes-chart-with-support.html

Thank you

wormwood34 said...

good call gauresh59

Anonymous said...

Dear Ilanog,
One Mr. Rajamankiam is struggling to see the beautiful world outside, PLEASE PRAY FOR HIM, at the moment he is undergoing a bypass surgery. Thank you everyone.
Sudhin

Ilango said...

@ gauresh,

What are you trying to achieve with your daily comments..? Make people "dependent" on you.

What happens to them when these postings stop..?
Do they have to search you..?

I have always worked in a way that my absence should never be felt.

If you have gained something from here and developed a better system, either you share it with everyone here OR

Keep it as your own as you have every right to do so but do not simply post it to make my readers dependent on you....Please.

wealth creator said...

@ Sir

Short term buy can be initiated here?

Ilango said...

A low risk Long entry point for the day.

Ilango said...

@ Sudhin,

Our prayers for Rajamanickam's safe operation and speedy recovery.

ilango

INDITRADER said...

Gm Illango Sir,
Reagarding Gauresh level I made a guess it is 13 Ema of
every script or near to it.
I also Swing trade on the basis of 13 Ema & I find
Gauresh level very near to it .
Sometimes it gas a diference of only 2-3 points.
I will check more & post

Janak said...

Ilango Sir, much needed words from you for all those publishing their blogs and profits earned by their recommendations - thank you - your blog gives a feeling of a family where more stress is on "sharing" the knowledge rather than "alluring" people to certain blogs and links...

satheesh said...

Good morning Ilango sir and all

Sir is it an ORB sell?

sryasdmurali said...

Good Morning Elango Sir and All

Have a nice trading today !!!!

sanju said...

GM ilango sir and all,

please tell me where i can chack VIX live during market hours. thanks

Ilango said...

If this is a normal "abc" correction in the uptrend,
a = 5475 to 5435
b = 5435 to 5465
c = 5465 - 40 points comes to 5420.

The correct SL for any Longs is 5408.

Neha said...

GM All :)

Rajagopal said...

"Rajamanickam" name cropped up when u informed of your visit to native. God be with him and family for a speedy recovery.
===
Sir, your words to Gauresh is applicable to me also since I have not given the formulae in my N50 sheet. But I have confirmed that all the formulae are taken from your tech file only and output generated thro a software. It is not maintained in excel.

Anonymous said...

Thanks Ilango for your prayers, I value everyones prayer ver much.
For those who want to trade IN THE SAME COUNTER, IDBI is one which is regularly giving 5 rupees movement. It is at present below the 5highema. Recent hi=126 n low=105.
Suggested method buy a small qty around 110 and then every 5 rupees down, but book profits if the last position is giving profits.
Personally I do not hold any share now, but would buy around 110 if the nifty has a good chance of going higher, if one is not bullish on the nifty then wait for lower levels. Sudhin

Rajagopal said...

OMG!!! - Can somebody check this. MUL has 1300% of 5Day and 600% of Friday's volume average in the first hour.

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

Would 5408 or 5405 be the S&R also?

BALA said...

Men

May GOD bless with speedy recovery. Not to panic.

All the blog memebers and their familys wishes are with you

Bala

POWERTRADE said...

good Morning Sir and Boarders

bizagra said...

GM Ilango sir and all. I m back after a week. Blessed
with a baby girl.

Unknown said...

GM Sir & Frnds...

San said...

Sir,

I am also posting my links when chart shows an opportunity. I too saw too many links appearing in the comments section recently including mine.

The above link that i posted would be the last. From now on i will share my views and any one interested in seeing the charts should see sir's blog roll for new updates.

Thank you

Vajeng Patidar said...

@Rajgopal sir,

MUL?

satheesh said...

Congrats Bizagra,

God bless your family!!!

manojag said...

@bizagra,
congratulations on Laxmi coming to your home.
best
m

Anonymous said...

@bizagra

hearty congratulations!!!

Bhavan said...

@ check when is MUL result/agm as there were very heavy informed rumours of bonus in that counter so again a informed selling to be followed by an informed buying?

r m said...

Congrats Bizagra!

Fire said...

@Bizagra,

Congratulations! We are due for a treat now.

golfdude said...

@bizagra,

Congrats.

Anonymous said...

Ilango sir is there a possibility of a Fast Rise setup on hourly chart 8 and 21 ema??

Bhavan said...

the result was out on 24/07/10 so something else cooking up

akki said...

Congratulations Bizagra for a little star in your family.
Regards

prakash said...

congrats bizagra,

Ilango said...

I have some connectivity & posting problems.

@ Bizagra,

My heartiest congratulations to you.
Let her bring more joy & happiness.

@ Rajagopal,

You have already cleared it & the file size is big too. Besides, your file has all the titles/ headers that anyone can find the workings if interested.

@ San,

I am sure readers can reach you with a click on your profile.

Fire said...

@RG,

What happened to Hero Honda and Maruti today?

Unknown said...

@bizagra

Congratulations

Anonymous said...

Dear @Sudhin!

My sincere wishes for speedy recovery of Rajamanickam's health.

Dear @Bizagra!

Congrats for new baby,God bless u & ur family.

Dear @Bhavan!

MUL result are out at weekend thats why its bleeding.

Rgrds,

KUMAR

POWERTRADE said...

Any clues on BN sir

mynac said...

Dear bizagra,
Congrats on new arrival.Pehali Beti, Dhan Ki Peti.

r m said...

@Bhavan
There has been a sharp increase in royalty paid to Suzuki (5.9% of net sales versus 3.6% of net sales in previous quarter). Since the results were declared on weekend, the market has discounted this news now.

wormwood34 said...

@bizagra

congratulations...

bizagra said...

Thanks everyone. Even we are three brothers with no sister.
And my brothers also having sons only. So she is the first and
my parents are very happy.

mynac said...

Dear Sudhin,
Our sincere prayers for Dear Rajamanickam's speedy recovery.

wormwood34 said...

hi mynac

any options input...

Bhavan said...

@rg i personally feel this is to do with RBI policy as both herohonda and MUL taking a fall soonce the RBI policy is out with norate increase there willbe buying on the expiry day

mynac said...

For next series now it is interesting to see that how many BIG players want to roll over above 5420 because the earning season is going to end.

Anonymous said...

Daughter is a daughter for life and a son! Congrats Bizagra

mynac said...

Dear wormwood34,
Excluding today just 3 days to go for expiry so I am just watching first 5420 and then 5408-5 as Dear Ilango has mentioned earlier.On the contrary I do not expect much movement from here only due to near by expiry.

Neha said...

@ Bizagra,

Congratulations!!:)

mynac said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
u.k.Raj said...

Good Morning ALL

Bizagra congratulations.
Next target son?

Prabakar said...

@ Bizagra,

Hearty Congratulations!!

bizagra said...

@u.k.Raj
All targets achieved. No new position.:)

Fire said...

Fortis is looking very interesting. Today,it has bounced back from a year long trendline support, broke out of a month long consolidation range and volatilty squeeze. Looks a good buy in any dips with a SL below 154. Nice volume too.

Fire said...

Reposting,

Ilangoji,

Would 5408 or 5405 be the S&R also?

mynac said...

Last three NF expires,April,May,June 5254.15,5003.10,5320.60 respectively.If anything wrong then Pl.correct me.

Janak said...

Bizagra - congrats man! i personally believe that women are next to God as far as love is concerned - be it a mom, sister, wife, friend, daughter.....if there were no women in world, it wud've already gone to dogs.....and we are entering an era where women are going to rule the world :-)

Anonymous said...

Nifty Creating a wedge (continuation pattern) breakout of this pattern gives appx tgt off 5520.

Janak said...

any technical indication whether market is getting ready for a fast-rise/fast-fall scenario? looking at asian markets - our markets might not fall too much (as europe mostly will open in green) but because of RBI policy/future expiry - markets do not willing to go up also - so????

Anonymous said...

Dear @Janak!

It does not matter if women r going to rule the world. Men dominated long time & women's condition is still very poor in our rurals. Men must support them if they deserve & we must start all these from our own home. Ur thoughts are encouraging & worthy of praise.

Rgrds,

KUMAR

sryasdmurali said...

Bizagra - congrats

Convey my best wishes to your wife and children.

God bless you.

Regards
SRYAS D MURALI

gauresh59 said...

Dear Ilango sir & Friends,

Having read comment for posting links for MySAR_A levels, I would like to clarify that my intention is not to make any one dependent on me. For sharing my trading technique to every one is difficult at this stage simply because MySAR_A levels are derived with the help of several different filters along with 5EMA, 5HighEMA, 5LowEMA in a relative manner and not in an absolute manner. Means filters vary from script to script and hence I share only MySAR_A levels at this stage.
Now onwards, I will not post any link for MySAR_A levels. Of course, one can search me through profile (which I have updated just now), if he wishes to have the levels, I will try my best to send levels through email.

-gauresh59

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, can we take 5405 as a sell level for conservative trade??
Thanks

sanju said...

reposting

@ all

can any one tell me where i can check VIX live during market hours. thanks

MDK said...

Guaresh Like for Nifty, why do not you provide an example for your derivation of SAR

Deepak said...

Dear Ilango Sir - as per Camrilla calculator nifty is buy at 5430.67 with SAR at 5417.54 - Nifty is sell at 5456.93 with SAR at 5470.06 - Regret delay in posting as i was not well so reached office late - Will post these levels on daily closing basis for next days trade as i find this calculator ot be very exciting - regards Deepak

MDK said...

Guaresh,
May you tell how you derived your latest SAR for nifty

r m said...

@sanju

You will find the chart at NSE
http://www.nse-india.com/marketinfo/charting/OnlineIndexChart.jsp?indexname=INDIA VIX

wormwood34 said...

anyone using rkglobal can put their views..i like to open an a/c with them......

sryasdmurali said...

@Rajagopal

Shall I buy SBI at this level 2438.

sanju said...

@ r m sir,

thank you very much for link

r m said...

@wormwood34
Trading on RKGlobal's ODIN is just as good as any other broker. But RKG's website trading was atrocious when i tried it last year, maybe they have improved since.

Janak said...

r m - RKG's offer of Rs. 9 per lot (comes to 18 for both legs and total rs. 80 incl. of all taxes) is irresistible - but HOW IS THEIR SERVICE? If as u say ODIN works fine - i am thinking...

r m said...

@Sanju
Please don't "Sir" me, i have done nothing to deserve that. :)

@Janak
RKG's service are just as good as any other brokers. Nothing particular to grumble about. :)

Neha said...

ALL,

SInce 10:00 today... if u look at the charts on NSEINDIA
of nifty then it seems to be making a triangle pattern EW wise...
3-3-3-3-...which means it shud give rise to sudden n strong upside...
AM I right???

Local said...

hi everyone, looks like a breakout?

Manni said...

Good morning sir & friends !!

@wormwood34
Well no doubt RK Global is d cheapest when it comes to fno or bulk trading. However if you choose to go for it....i'll say go for odin. They charge Rs. 300 p.m. for odin & Rs. 99 p.m. for browser trading. But the browser based s/w is pathetic. Even on odin u'll find issues of problem connecting to the server at the time of login but still its far far better as compared to browser s/w.

wormwood34 said...

a big thank you to

rm manni janak...

satheesh said...

Can anybody give updates about RBI credit policy reports?

Neha said...

uh-oh....
Not so... else it wud have made aother 3.... made complex B thats all

Fire said...

@Yoda,

Breakout seems to be above 5460-63 levels to me.

Neha said...

RBI policy is due tomo

Janak said...

FIRE, YODA - GM!
are we bears or bulls today? :-)
I am a BULLISH BEAR TODAY :-)

Local said...

alright, Fire, Neha.

Janak, I'm a bull today. I think I've got used to taking longs.:)

Fire said...

@Janak,

I am bullish yet. here is a NS 15 min. chart -- http://picasaweb.google.com/112295801969323600289/FIRECharts#5498106226316648322

I hope posting a chart is alright. :D

Fire said...

Better see this --

http://picasaweb.google.com/112295801969323600289/FIRECharts#5498107282408414706

mynac said...

56000 Cr Turnover up to 12.30 is not a bad one when Nifty is trading between just 25 points in real sense.

Prashant said...

Sold Nifty future @ 5443 SL 5452 Target 5420
bought 2 lots of nifty 5500 put @ 69 SL 62 Target 85

wealth creator said...

market holding quite well, inspite of sbi and maruti and others at day lows.

Piyush Sharda said...

ga sir and friends,
congrats bizagra

Local said...

Congrats, bizagra. :)

Anonymous said...

Dear ILango sir!

Today Hourly EMA updation Tech Table is missing, is there any problem or some error at my end?

Rgrds,

KUMAR

Prashant said...

trailed stop loss in nifty 5500 put to 71

Prashant said...

trailed sl in nifty future to 5438

Prabakar said...

@ Ilango Sir,
is the TT updated today? I am not able to see the updates? Pl. help.

manu said...

Sir & Family
GA..

@Bizagra
welecummm to d club of D's:)

wishing fr her good health..

bizagra said...

@Everyone
Thanks

Anonymous said...

Ilango sir no comments from you for long time today???

Prashant said...

booked nifty 5500 puts at 75
exited short future @5436.50

Fire said...

The master seems interested to see today itself, if his students can themselves well in his absence.

Fire said...

Some intraday positive divergence seen.

Local said...

lol, Fire.:) Ty for your chart.

I get in a bad mood too when I have to say anything unpleasant to anyone.

wealth creator said...

today FII figure must be -ve as selling is on in cash shares.

Manni said...

Today again market breadth pretty bad.

wealth creator said...

are we going to break 5420??

Prashant said...

bought nifty 5400 call 2 lots @ 48.60 SL 45 Target 58

Dinesh Rishi said...

How to Download and Use New Indian Currency Symbol from Keyboard http://www.blogsolute.com/how-to-download-use-write-indian-currency-symbol/9376/

POWERTRADE said...

with the intraday charts oversold a bounce is due after 2.30

Sujatha said...

Sir,

Tech table updation please

thanks in advance

regards

Bhavan said...

@Yoda The market usually in a very strong trend always faces a strong resistance going the other direction but is defenitely drifting towards second suppot or 5405 as from opening itself it is continuosly trading below pivot so atleast will touch 2nd support and VIX continously rising

Bhavan said...

@ Sujatha THe sir has posting problems but in the morning has already given 5405 a exit/point to watch anyways market trading below VAL levels And what are your fibo levels

manojag said...

at 10 37 Ilango wrote:

I have some connectivity & posting problems.

veer said...

Dear All,

The Tech Table upto EMAs alone is as follows:
Time High Low Close 5-EMA 5- HEMA 5- LEMA

10 5,466 5,429 5,430 5442 5460 5436
11 5,444 5,429 5,436 5440 5455 5434
12 5,441 5,431 5,435 5439 5450 5433
1 5,444 5,431 5,433 5437 5448 5432
2 5,433 5,416 5,422 5432 5443 5427

Regards,

Veer

satheesh said...

RG sir any news about RBI credit policy? Is market reacting to the adverse news which is to follow tomorrow?

Neha said...

The 50 min sma ... has crossed the 200 min sma mildly(as of now) on the downside...intraday

Fire said...

Recently I am testing an indicator called GMMA (Guppy Multiple Moving Average). It is basically a collection of different EMAs. The attempt is to understand the difference of pschology between the investors and traders of different time frames. I can't vouch for its accuracy right now, but it gives a fresh perspective. Applying it on the hourly chart of NF, it shows the current fall as a temporary correction, not any serious reversal yet as the longer term EMAs are maintaining their separation (sign of confidence among the positional traders). Though the shorter EMAs are contracting and crossing each other (sign of nervousness). The importance, justifiably, is of the longer term positional traders. The first sign of real weakness would come from a contraction of the longer term EMAs, which is not seen yet. From the perspective of this indicator, the scenario looks very similar to 14th - 15th of this month.

I have been interested in the importance and different applications of MA after coming to this blog. So, studying this indicator is an attempt to expand on the knowledge I got here from Ilangoji. Take all my words from purely an academic perspective.

Ilango said...

Exit longs.

Create shorts in the region of 5420-5435.

Rajagopal said...

To the relief of many friends, I also have net connectivity issues. Making multiple tries to

Wish Bizarga's daughter a great life and future. "Lucky men's first born will be a girl child"-Chinese Proverb. (Disclaimer... he he he...). Congratulations friend.(Start SAVING and buy GOLD).
---
SD : Banking (SBI) can go anyside. If it is only 25 bps raise may be tolerated. Otherwise boomb....

Fire said...

NS corrected exactly 61.8%@ 5413 of the last rise from 5372 to 5477.5.

manojag said...

5 DEMA ON Friday----------5418
5 DHEMA Fri------------ 5440

Ilango said...

Do not short immediately. Wait to see this intraday bounce & its resistance @ 5435.

manojag said...

@rg,
can vouch for the luckiness of a first born girl child.

Prashant said...

exited 5400 call @52

SuchIsLife said...

Dear Bizagra:

Congratulations!! You are really blessed by GOD having a girl child; Wish you all tons of Health and Happiness..

Ramesh - SIL

Prabakar said...

@Ilango Sir,

Thanks for the post. Waiting for so long. Importance is felt, when missed.

wealth creator said...

5L PUTS 5500 UNWOUNDED TODAY. iS THAT A CAUTION SIGN OR WE WILL SEE THIS ON EVERYDAY BASIS NOW?

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

Exited longs and took 1/3 shorts@5419 immediately after your 1st message. What should be the SL?

Prashant said...

bought 5400 put 1 lot @ 83

SuchIsLife said...

Ilango sir:

thanks for ur timely post.. hope this will be a CONSERVATIVE SHORT position which we are about to take;

Pls respond if possible;

SIL

manojag said...

Prashant,
July 5400 puts are at 27 and Aug is at 103
So which month put are you talking about?

Prashant said...

sorry its 5500 put

manojag said...

must be 5500 put

Prashant said...

SL for 5500 put 78 Target 95

Ilango said...

@ SIL,

Take 1/3rd qty first as the close will be below 5448(High ema).
Another 1/3rd if closes below 5418.

SuchIsLife said...

Thank you Ilango,

Regards,

SIL

Prashant said...

throughout the day, the 5400 call was being sold at
high premium. This suggests that market may not
expire much above 5400

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE

Ahead of 3.00PM

Anonymous said...

current wave count invalid if 5400 spot gets breached...

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

The rising wedge breaks below 5399. Can we go total short if NS comes below that?

Anonymous said...

Hi Everybody!

I cautioned all of you before friday's closing to reduce long bcoz Nifty was making a doji & Advance decline ratio was in favour of Bears. Today a Black candle after a doji, looking like a Evening star pattern. Ilango sir will clear picture better but for me its looking a reversal now.

Rgrds,

KUMAR

Janak said...

can anyone pl. tell me what are the European indices? usually, i chk. them on moneycontrol.com but the site seems to be down at the moment - any alternative site to see the indices?

Piyush Sharda said...

@janak

bloomberg.com

Local said...

Bhavan, right. I guess the time for longs is past now.

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