Friday, December 9, 2011

Nifty PreMarket View

5sma (ST average) & 50sma (MT average) are poised @ 5006 & 5011 yesterday. A close below 4936(Coinciding with today's JNSAR) would turn down the 5sma creating a potential "fast fall set-up." I say..potential...since follow up action is required. Similar set up is emerging on BN too."4992"-WEma - a close below it today would turn down the week TA.
What can spoil the bear party is close above Low emas, especially the WLEma which would keep the sideways mode on.
The chart below has been added with "quantum of falls and rises" to understand the tendency of the market as well as to choose the more beneficial direction. During the last fall from 5382 to 4639, the biggest drop was of 215-239 points. If similar trend unfolds, "4860" or "4884" is a point from where a 75 to 89 point rally could unfold. This coincides with our 1st support.
A caution here: If this fall is part of the "C" wave down, the intensity could increase compared to the last one. Besides markets behaves differently each time due to changing T/F set ups.
However, this quantitative analysis would help in part booking as well as reselling.





41 comments:

Jayaraman said...

@GM to all Blog Mates,

Yesterday after market closing hour posting,Illango Sir taught me about interpretation of Evening star. It is one of the good teachings. I request you all not to miss it, since the posting was done @ 23.00 hours many would not have seen it.

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

Nifty Analysis: CLICK HERE

Nifty futures said...

Namaste Ilango Guruji, Good morning to you & to fellow blogmates

satheesh said...

Namaste Ilango sir and all,

Sir - yesterday night when I prepared the writeup for my blog (posted today) - I was skeptical about the possibility of C wave beginning - But now I am clear!! Thanks sir.

K7 said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
satheesh said...

Possibility of an Island reversal pattern:
Click Here

This pattern will be valid only if the Gap is not closed. Once the Gap is closed NS would start moving in the opposite direction.

For details refer - http://thepatternsite.com/islandrev.html.

Prabhat said...

GM Master & to all my friends & seniors.

I had mentioned that once nifty broke 5005, it would not sustain
4900 this time which may be proved today since sgx nifty
already broke 4900.
I will now be looking for a small 70-80 pt bounce as
Master mentioned ~4850 levels.. which I believe would
co-incide with the lead indicator chart of oversold levels.

Prabhat said...

@Kumar Sir: ZBlog not updated since 2 days. :(
Kindly update.

Jagan said...

Namaste Ilango Sir And All.

santej said...

gm sir and all

santej said...

Thought away from Nifty..
Hold Gold coz Gold is Hot
32-35k looks very very possible not this month but sooner than later.

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Sir & Friends

santej said...

Technically
Gold is selling off from a major resistance in global market 1750
but this is all poised to be taken out..

Yogavidya by Parimal Devnath said...

Namaste Ilango SIR and all good friends
May the Lord of the heavens and earth grace this blog
with peace and tranquility
best of regards to all and best wishes

SAM said...

Good Morning JNindia

santej said...

rupee is looking so scary ....

Yash and Dhan said...

Good Morning Sir and Blogmates.

K7 said...

santej,

please advice which site you are tracking rupee

Badri said...

Goodmorning Ilangoji and friends.

"Do not look for perfections in the market. Mkts are evolving. What is essential is the "message of the market" with these patterns. And when you do get perfections ( as the golden ratio of 07th Dec), do not miss them."

The Golden words of Ilangoji yesterday. It is time these green boxes can be converted to GoldenColourBoxes, as Ilangoji's words are GOLDEN as always.

venkatapathy l said...

Namaste Ilango sir and fellow bloggers.

LV

Nakshatra said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Unknown said...

@all
Gap down and JNSAR triggered, i use ORB to reverse my trade in nifty and banknifty both

Nakshatra said...

Sonia Gandhi born on 9th December 1946 is going to enter in her favorable 66th year today. Last year was not good for her as she under gone thru surgery and govt. & her party too was on back foot due to 2G scam and on other issues. Now her 66th year will be good for her to reply back all her oppositions.

Being a Sagittarian her personal element is FIRE (hot temper).
She is no.9 which gives her more energy than any other planet, and at this age also she is working more than any other party leader and infact more than her son also. Her lucky nos. 3, 6 & 9 and being in the 66th year she will rise upon all the problems within the party and govt. She has been elected Congress Party leader in the year 1998 (9).

Thanks

Smita said...

Goodmorning Ilango sir and all .

Nakshatra said...

@SAM

posted one comment in Data feed section but didnt got reply kindly check.

Thanks

Prabhat said...

Waiting for the 4850 thin ice to shatter.

ajay said...

GM Ilango sir & all blog seniors
i m just making myself educated through ur write-ups
thanking you all.

santej said...

@KZ
i track it on moneycontrol.com

STOCK4SURE said...

i guess if ns takes support near 4842-4820 range
then another rally towards 5100 is possible again in next week

Sujatha said...

GM sir and all :)

4sure - then i am the happiest person, but "my own level" should protect.. no secondary thought

POWERTRADE said...

4916 now the resistance ....

Ashutosh Agarwal said...

We can buy now with 4800-4780 as SL
Tgt 5200 in dec.

SAM said...

Sorry Nnumber Game ... will check and reply you.

SAM said...

@Ilango Sir Hats Off to you ...for Morning Numbers.

Hitendra said...

what a rally in BN

STOCK4SURE said...

4916 in ns and 8900 in bank nifty may be res

Prabhat said...

Euro news coming out.. be carefull with shorts.

santej said...

sir,
60 points done on the pull back 4843 to 4903

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

STOCK4SURE said...

bank nifty and IT index resisting at
200mema in 5 min intraday charts..nifty main baaki hai
near 4916

silver is king said...

@elango.
the analysis given are of great help. this blog provides
a simple platform for nifty traders.
kudos to elango the master .....nifty ki baaar baaar jai jai
kar.......!!!

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