Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Gartley pattern application By Satheesh.

Combining the DAY Harmonic patterns and the Hour Patterns:

Bullish Crab Pattern:

In the above chart - the Bullish Crab Pattern with XA 5944-5328, the possible targets the pattern could provide are:

I min tgt = 5689 -61.8% retr of CD –

This is below the Point B of the Bearish pattern with XA=5912-5195

So the second target is 76.4% retr of CD = 5775.

Bearish Butterfly pattern:

The bearish butterfly pattern starts with XA = 5912 – 5197.

XA = 5912-5197

B = 5740 = 76.4% retr of XA

Possibility 1. C = 5551 (as of now)

Considering the Fact that D finishes above B and not below the Point B, the min target would be 5740 = 100% retr. This almost coincides with the 200 DMA.

Normally as per the Gartley Pattern, D finishes 127% of BC = 5805. This coincides with the Month High EMA.

Possibility 2: Unless NS surpasses B at 5740 to make a D there is always a possibility of NS making a lower C at 5514-10 = 88.6% retr of AB.

To ascertain the value of C (day) the Bearish Gartley formed in Hour TF would be useful:

IN the pattern shown below the AB of the Day pattern at 5740-5497 will be the XA of the Hour Pattern.

In the above Hour TF bearish Gartley Pattern,

XA = 5740 – 5497 = 243 pts.

B = 5653 = 61.8% retr (5647)

(current )C = 5551 = 61.8% retr of AB (5556.5)

Possibility 1. With C = 5551, then possible targets for D = min 100% retr = 5653

Next target is 127% retr = 5680.

Next target is 224% = 5780.

Now going back to the Day TF, the Min Target for D must be greater than 5740. So NS may find resistance at 5680 ( 40 WK SMA) levels, and as per the bearish pattern in Hour TF, would again get back to current low of 5551 or lower and then start a journey upward to complete a target of above 5740 – 5805.

Possibility 2: Next target is 224% = 5780 NS not getting resisted at 5680 but continue its journey up after a small pause or just retracing back upto 5630-40 and reaching the target of 5780 – 5800++.

The target of 5780-5805 coincides with,

  1. Month High EMA at 5802
  2. Day TF’s Bullish Crab Pattern’s target of 76.4% retr = 5775-80
  3. Completion of Day Bearish Butterfly pattern by reaching a point D above B and also 127% retr of XA = 5805.

This possible short term target of 5900+ was also mentioned earlier in JN blog, as-“ with 5450 holding NS might reach 5800++

This is the chart shown in the1 july 2011 EOD post of JN.

LINK : https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSVaDEh7MjgzNXfQVO94jc6paTAc_yrFXD-3zlhyphenhyphenDK11Xz78FOGgc1uL9CIAt0L8HvAcpjPG2YXMe-qa9OtnPHTtHxpHtTYCXRQR7Wym3jEmoFzbXVt9dAbkgXKaPPf1lIJ6r4JIDntuw/s1600/0.0.PNG

Considering EW Possibilities ,

The Wave A ended at 5177

The B wave is divided as ABC at 5944, 5197 and the new High likely to be formed at 5800+ or 5900+.Then the C wave down starts.

Made an attempt to fit all parameters in the analysis. Market is supreme. Must trade with appropriate SL always and keep part booking at the possible support and resistance levels.

20 comments:

Anil said...

@Bala

In JNSAR certain calculations have lagging effect, as you can expect with moving averages same is with JNSAR, so it takes time to turn up...it depends on intensity of subsequent move after crossing JNSAR, if its a sharp and longer one, it may starts rising fast...

Bala C said...

Thanks, Anil'ji - Appreciate much :)

gauresh59 said...

Namaste ilango sir and friends,

Today's quote received :

Do not run behind things and cross your limits to get them.
You can’t keep that which belongs to someone else.
You can never lose anything that really belongs to you.

Instead rejoice what life offers you;
And share it with everyone.

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Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Dinesh kumar said...

GM SIR AND FRIENDS

parimal said...

Hello friends
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POWERTRADE said...

Good Morning Sir and Warriors

Sukanya said...

Satheesh has done a very good analysis, congratulation!
I can not comment on the details of this complex
technicals, but found this a UP and thumbs up ti him!!

Anonymous said...

Good Morning ..............

Anonymous said...

Gm & Jsk to all...

Divya said...

Good morning all

Dinesh Rishi said...

*´¨¯¨`*•~-.¸,.-~*´¨¯¨`*•~-.¸,.-~*´¨¯
Good Morning Master and copy to All

*´¨¯¨`*•~-.¸,.-~*´¨¯¨`*•~-.¸,.-~*´¨¯

Sujatha said...

good morning sir and all :)

mishra-ji - mm..great work . chart "breakfast" :)u know one thing if you eat your "breakfast"
in slow manner also u hv to tell "breakfast" not"breakslow" hehe - my morning bite started :) by the way not "he" "she" :D

Dinesh Rishi said...

: ‘•.¸(`’•.¸ ¸.•’´) ¸.•’´)
«`’•.¸.¤ Sujatha ¤.¸.•’´»
(¸.•’´(¸.•’´ `’•.¸)`’ •.¸)

``````Good Morning```````

POWERTRADE said...

ORB breaks on the Downside

Ilango said...

New post Done.

Anonymous said...

@POWERTRADE..

Steam is still left sir....

satheesh said...

A small correction in the above write up:

The bearish butterfly pattern starts with XA = 5912 – 5197.
XA = 5912-5197
B = 5740 = 76.4% retr of XA
Possibility 1. C = 5547 (as of now)
Considering the Fact that D finishes above B and not below the Point B, the min target would be 5740 = 100% retr. This almost coincides with the 200 DMA.
Normally as per the Gartley Pattern, D finishes 127% of BC = 5805. This coincides with the Month High EMA.

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