BNF futures likely to fall only below 9660 - If supported here then a rise upto 9750-70 is possible - as the low 9637 of Bank Nifty SPOT is exactly the low of Hourly Channel.
5EMA is 5078 Nifty is not able to sustain above it as of now. 34EMA is 5035 long way from here. DLEMA is 5045 and DHEMA is 5125 so Nifty is almost at the middle of this HEMA and LEMA range. Shriram does this have any signal?
As illango ji said... between Hi-Lo EMAs , Nifty is in CYCLIC mode
So... we are in a intra-day kind of corrective that is the no.1 probability
34EMA, 30mins is @ 5089... will need min 1 hlf hr candle close > it to change stance to BULLISH, that too only intra-day , becoz on LARGER DEGREE i.e Day TA, 5DEMA is Trending DOWN
Sell on rises continues till 5089 RESISTS for min 1 hlf hr candle...
total sell quantity is almost equal to total buy quantity. DR has earlier confirmed that this data is not trustworthy but somehow at this point of time the game can tilt in any direction.
Its not just 20 points, its 40 points loss, cause most of us took short position below @5055 yesterday where JNSAR was mentioned. Today 5095 above sl hit so , 40 points loss
stock4 - cam weekly L3 and daily H3 done i booked out now thing is whether if it resists H3 intra then upmove possible or else where it's retracing is the "Q" and watch as per INTRA CAM am in short now with "my own SL"
What a magic! People eager to short yesterday at 5090, people eager to buy at 5090 today! Where has the effect of RBI policy gone? Sentiment, strength, power, manipulation all reflected in price. Who can dare to fight with price? :-)
Kumar sir, your blog says '5100-5125 area is big hurdle for bulls so use this one to add more shorts & stoploss will be 5145 EOD', what you are following now?
if this is a whipsaw around today JNSAR of 5070 then it will be a sucker rally to trap bulls at higher levels. Just below 5089 Stop losses will start to trigger more and more downside. Lets hope that EOD is above 5095.
Market made be one of the biggest chameleon in this trading universe, when market was not moving as per my observation in morning...i changed my coat shamelessly & gone long. Rest you can see all my act & views there, no need to repeat here:)
parminder - i don't see it's a trigger if 5080/70 holds means it's a retracment and move up again possibility is open unless the senior citizen 65 taken out decesively it's a trading market now
Thank You ,,@ J.R.Julius ,,today my win credited to you & carmilla....thank you,,,+ JNSAR direction...plus my patience I waited until afternoon...already booked partially
If one is using TT properly then he/she will be catching most of the moves rightly today, if using only JNSAR then do not watch other things. JNSAR will take care all other things ultimately, it will keep you on right track finally bcoz it includes avg true range itself.
JNSAR trend is still "UP" as it has not closed below it "EOD" yet.
But when attempts to manage "intraday" due to volatility, one should go by "Supports and resistances "atleast as long as Nifty trades between HEma & LEma".
@parminder if we strickly stick TT todays jnsar is 5070 with filter for long is 5050. so if we create long once it long hit in afternoon. not trigger still.....ofcourse i quite after two times hit. lets see tom. jako rakhe saiya mar saka na koi. SSA.
I am very modest but i am looking a retrace till 4950. thus in my opinion we are in larger B. and if don't stop at 4950 then expect around 4900 before larger C can initiate. But as Ilango said EW is purely SUBJECTIVe.
Life as we find it is too hard for us; it entails too much pain, too many disappointments, impossible tasks. We cannot do without palliative remedies. -- Sigmund Freud
138 comments:
sir ji,
DONE AGAIN,with success,
same as yesterday,same parameters.
WORKED.
thank you
sir ji,
only came out early.
how to know how much time to hold one's position.
pl advice
Tatasteel going down down.....
sir ji,
if i had held my position for
another 10 mts , i would have got 14k more.
@ suresh ,
Keep on doing whatever "works for you".
You should modify only when you gain consistently and you are confident about "necessary changes".
Holding on to a "winning trade" would come to you only with experience. There is no formula for it.
"Trailing" comes for positional only.
For "Intraday", take whatever you are able to manage while keeping losing trades to the minimum.
Reposting:
BNF futures likely to fall only below 9660 - If supported here then a rise upto 9750-70 is possible - as the low 9637 of Bank Nifty SPOT is exactly the low of Hourly Channel.
Charts later.
5EMA is 5078 Nifty is not able to sustain above it as of now.
34EMA is 5035 long way from here.
DLEMA is 5045 and DHEMA is 5125 so Nifty is almost at the middle of this HEMA and LEMA range.
Shriram does this have any signal?
sir ji,
thank you
CDG,
As illango ji said... between Hi-Lo EMAs , Nifty is in CYCLIC mode
So... we are in a intra-day kind of corrective that is the no.1 probability
34EMA, 30mins is @ 5089...
will need min 1 hlf hr candle close > it to change stance to BULLISH,
that too only intra-day , becoz on LARGER DEGREE i.e Day TA, 5DEMA is Trending DOWN
Sell on rises continues till 5089 RESISTS for min 1 hlf hr candle...
Suresh, as Sir says "leave something for others too".
There is small triangle in 5 min charts.
breakout above 5090, breakdown below todays low
sir ji,
for a retracement-both ways,
how to know that the retracement has ended
and the trend likely to continue as per
the previous trend(rise/fall)
Nifty spot forming triangle can be seen on 5 min TF.
5080-5050 breakout pts.
PT
is one berth available in your compartment
4 me?
5089 was never reached since morning. it was 5086 which has been resisted since the opening..
total sell quantity is almost equal to total buy quantity. DR has earlier confirmed that this data is not trustworthy but somehow at this point of time the game can tilt in any direction.
nilish-ji - thanks give me that double digit smallest no.
"Above 5079-82"(JNSAR/5DEma)", strength could return.
ha ha ha nilishjiiiiiiiiii - aagaya mera double digit smallest????
5089 reached & exceeded now ;-)
lets wait till 13:00 hrs
Ilango ji,
Any Alt lables coming to ur mind sir, from 5042?
bearish WW pattern forming trgt 5065ns till 2.15 pm
DR SIR,
IS JNSAR SHORT SL HIT @5096 AND LONG TREND CONTD???
jnsar triggerd again
☺☺
stock4 - thoda wait karo na 2.15 ke liye before that let it complete it's target.. i am hungry
Shriram - u want Alt. lables from my side too??
@master,
For JNSAR short what should be SAR?
hahaha..
sujata: u pls give idlis ;-)
Prithvi
act
dont worry for 20 points SL
& Plz Plz dont type in capital letters
noble. prithvi
why the confusion?
Isnt jnsar already there on the TT and the chart?
This seems to be mother of all battles, both sides will not give up so easily. Let us see which side the global winds favor :):)
pichukooooooo- looks like mayan on the way?? no idlis now that's excellent show by "new moon"
see my alt. lables = My school lable and my D's school label :D :)
@ Shriram,
It could be either the start of "C" wave for the upmove from 4770.
4770 to 5124=A
5124(5189)-5042=B
OR
It is just a bounce for the 5189 to 5042 fall.
Nifty Now above Day Pivot:5098.72 next R1:5155.73
5190-5042 -> 38% retracement done @5098.
To watch out 5116 50% , 5133 61.8%.
Let see does strength take the price there .
@ Prithvi,
Ilango said...
"Above 5079-82"(JNSAR/5DEma)", strength could return.
June 19, 2012 12:35 PM
As DR said, don't hesitate for the 20 points.
JUST FYI..with all due respect ...
Its not just 20 points, its 40 points loss, cause most of us took short position below @5055 yesterday where JNSAR was mentioned.
Today 5095 above sl hit so , 40 points loss
tks illango ji ...
above 5DHEMA , chances of Big C are more sir ??
either BN has to give 200 pnts + or else again downside possible????
sujata mam
whats your trgt for upmove??
Dear Ilango Sir & Blogmates,
OI Update at 1:00 PM
Thanks & Regards
chg in O.I in 5100ce and pe nearly same near 9.4 lakhs
battle on for control
stock4 - cam weekly L3 and daily H3 done i booked out now thing is whether if it resists H3 intra then upmove possible or else where it's retracing is the "Q" and watch as per INTRA CAM am in short now with "my own SL"
ok, time for sapaad , cu @ 14:00
cheers
@ shriram,
Above DHEma+ a filter of 20, momentum would return.
Our Pre-market's observation of "Swing trading mode" has not been understood well and hence the "Unpreparedness".
Sriram, Now you know "What was DR sirs contra trade"...
right sir, tks,
time for lunch break :-)
What a magic! People eager to short yesterday at 5090, people eager to buy at 5090 today! Where has the effect of RBI policy gone? Sentiment, strength, power, manipulation all reflected in price. Who can dare to fight with price? :-)
Sir,
whats the DHEMA for today
Regards and thanks
Master clearly mentioned in pre-market views, weakness below 5112 only.
D R sir also mentioned, weakness below yesterday's low only.
JNSAR is a SAR, if you are not using ur brain then you must be ready to give 20-40 points sometimes bcoz it gives back 200-300 in one go:)
@SJK
5133 DHEMA
@ganesha
only JNSAR followers!!!
Thanks Indus
Indus
And thats 61.8 % retracement also
Regards
fighting for 5114 5-MEMA!!!
Kumar sir, your blog says '5100-5125 area is big hurdle for bulls so use this one to add more shorts & stoploss will be 5145 EOD', what you are following now?
CAMS expert not seen now -a-days
with his levels
Sorry for typo error: its not 5112...it was 5012.
Good Afternoon everyone,
CAMARILLA - NIFTYFUTURES
Right Now - Scenario 2
H4-5147[BUY]
H3-5103[SELL]
*Personal Decisions Advised.
@PS
now for long trade SAR is 5092-20 5072 or 5052?
thanks.
if this is a whipsaw around today JNSAR of 5070 then it will be a sucker rally to trap bulls at higher levels.
Just below 5089 Stop losses will start to trigger more and more downside. Lets hope that EOD is above 5095.
Dear Ganesha!
Market made be one of the biggest chameleon in this trading universe, when market was not moving as per my observation in morning...i changed my coat shamelessly & gone long. Rest you can see all my act & views there, no need to repeat here:)
@master
now for longs which sl 5092/5072??
thanks.
anmpatel,
sir always says 20 points sl so shud
be 5072
@ anmpatel,
Last Hour Low @ 5069 coincides with "Hour channel support".
Around that would be an ideal SL.
now get ready again to be triggered
@Julius, how do you calculate CAMARILLA levels? Thanks!
Master
5069 was incidentally yesterdays support as well, which took 3 hrs to break,
Regards
hello jr ji
parminder - i don't see it's a trigger if 5080/70 holds means it's a retracment and move up again possibility is open unless the senior citizen 65 taken out decesively it's a trading market now
parmindarji
:)
sorry - ON behalf of SUJATHA - power problem @ her place
Dear PAM!
Dont worry, let it be triggered...more whipsaws mean big move coming. It may give you 5250-5300 or 4950-4900 soon so follow it religiously.
volatility ; consolidation ; time of options writers.
@Shriram,
Did you see that? Bulls must have been sucked in by now? what are the hr 34EMA values now? Regards
stop losss? or next levels for selling?
PT's time has come.. :)
yeh kya hua?
long sl 5070 hit
lots of updown with fast movement
JNSAR Trigger Shorts !!
What a crack! Awesome... SL to longs would be 5050.
im take short 5093-20+5073
5066..trgt of WW pattern done
Fast fall setup.... 13/34/200 Ema ?
pl. read min. Ema
VAH Stock4sure,
Or voh bhi 2.15 se pehle.
Well done.
back--> wow am I lucky or wot... SL was @ 5115 !
@ Ilango ji: tks for ur advice .. it helps, i shud hv re-reead pre-market properly!
@ CDG: its 30mins TA, 34EMA = 5088 for now
Today there was an important learning .. when price oscillates bt/wn H-LO EMAs , always book out below 5DEMA & re-enter near 5DHEMA or 5DLEMA
Active classroom this is :-)
all seniors enjoying fall & i m hitting only SL
nilesh ji
☺☺
done
prakashbkc
me too hit SL
Enjoy
if ns falls below 5038ns today it may develop a bullish WW pattern for trgts abv 5121 ns levels tomorrow
sl below 4990ns
me too on either side of the fence
@Shriram
So if NS remain below 5088 at 2.30 pm we may expect 5045 the DLEMA in a flash?
what you say? Regards
in simplistic manner please let me know what I should do now if I have to follow day JNSAR ? Master only can guide us now
4973 calling...
@ CDG:
yes saw it now... am not sure on the EW lables now,
but am carrying ysdays postions..
if we close @ 2:00 & then again @ 2:30 below 34EMA< 30mins (5088 ruffly) the trade will succeed... SL remains same
Thank You ,,@ J.R.Julius ,,today my win credited to you & carmilla....thank you,,,+ JNSAR direction...plus my patience I waited until afternoon...already booked partially
bulls still have chance as long as 5037 not breached in nf
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FIRING FROM PAK TROOPS ON POONCH BORDER CONTINUES FOR 7TH CONSECUTIVE DAY.LONGEST CEASEFIRE VIOLATION IN YEARS.
If one is using TT properly then he/she will be catching most of the moves rightly today, if using only JNSAR then do not watch other things. JNSAR will take care all other things ultimately, it will keep you on right track finally bcoz it includes avg true range itself.
@shriram,
What is your stoploss. wasn't it hit today at 5108
Kerela Nifty,
Ye to hona hi tha, 2-3 days back drugs worth 85 crores were seized while crossing over from pakistan border.
Its a huge amt for any1 and any govt also in this time of crisis.
Regards
SL = 5115
actually CDG, to be honest...
If i had been in front of screen i close the SHORT trade if Nifty trades for 2 half hrs > 34EMA
Lunch saved that from happening today .. thats the real brutally honest answer i guess :-)
Wot EW lables are u seeing now ?
Charts are not uploading.
3.00PM Hr JNSAR @ 5076
hi Shriram , why was the stoploss at 5115.
☺
After seeing channel support in chart of master & now JNSAR is 5079 i m fearful to short though nifty at 5074<JNSAR. any advice from master seniors
SIR NOW IM SHORT TAKEN @5070 LEVELS WHICH LEVELS IS JANSAR DEVELOPED?
Hi parminder,
June 13th, 14:00hrs ka 30min candle REAL BODY close , the highest fall-arrestor level = 5115-5116 :-)
@mynacji,
Where are you? Miss your open interest analysis and view at this crucial levels.
prakashbkc
Not a senior. But one advice. If trading jnsar follow the number.
DRSIR,
can I short now ??
alos the 50% pt for retracement of 5189-5042
5189 5042 -147
5042 5115.5 73.5 -50%
I too shorted nifty at 5070NS
But I got loss today in futures not dare to take long and close shorts in losses.
Thanks shriram for the information.
☺☺
@Ilango
Totally lost today....currently short as per JNSAR
Could you give your inputs...will be really helpful
Sir,
Yesterday JNSAR triggered short.
Today JNSAR triggered Long with filter of 20 points = 5090
now the SL of this long should be 5050 (5070-20 points) which is saved till now.
I have kept SL at 5040 = yesterday's low.
am i following it correct or shall i need to review it.
master , now i dont believe that Jnsar will trigger again.
Kindly guide
today we saw more that two day JNSAR whispaws. Wait and watch , something big is coming up on either side, need master to comment on DAY JNSAR trend.
Can we have a hat-trick here?
dips are bought immediately after 2 times whipsaw i quiet. lets do it tom. thanks.
@ Indus,
JNSAR trend is still "UP" as it has not closed below it "EOD" yet.
But when attempts to manage "intraday" due to volatility, one should go by "Supports and resistances "atleast as long as Nifty trades between HEma & LEma".
bears pls dont scare my little bull till 5120
"now the SL of this long should be 5050 (5070-20 points) which is saved till now."
why to put 5050 as SL , can you explain Amit ? 5090 was long JNSAR today so if we add 20 points filter , SL comes around 5070 ///isn't it ?
good afternoon everybody
@parminder
if we strickly stick TT todays jnsar is 5070 with filter for long is 5050. so if we create long once it long hit in afternoon. not trigger still.....ofcourse i quite after two times hit. lets see tom.
jako rakhe saiya mar saka na koi. SSA.
JNSAR trend is still "UP" as it has not closed below it "EOD"....
Master thanx for these words, EOD this JNSAR may save bulls & big reward in coming days:)
@ Shriram
I am very modest but i am looking a retrace till 4950. thus in my opinion we are in larger B. and if don't stop at 4950 then expect around 4900 before larger C can initiate. But as Ilango said EW is purely SUBJECTIVe.
New Post Done.
Congrats,
again whipsawed thrice today.
☺☺
Kumar sir, this is what experience brings out of you, follow the price and not assumptions!
Again long. I am loving this.
@ CDG,
thanks... so it is!
@kumar ji: u may be right ! EOD close > 5085 will turn 5DEMA UP again!
My SL is about to POP :-(
todays quote recieved
Life as we find it is too hard for us; it entails too much pain, too many disappointments, impossible tasks. We cannot do without palliative remedies.
-- Sigmund Freud
what i see is abcde done from 5042, 5086-5047-5108-5058-5106, so breking 5060 levels can go down, is this correct reading ?
Test
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