NIfty returned to the 5174-85 resistances for the second time yesterday. The last one produced a fall to 5042 from 5190 (148 pts). A lesser fall would make it "consolidate" to gather strength to push through it during the "settlement week".
Bullish Green: "a or i" could be a leading diagonal fm 5042 to 5141 and "b or ii" done at 5094 yesterday and "c.1" done from 5094 to 5170.
Accordingly the correction in "c.2" should limit itself to 5122/5100. Anything beyond it, would "reject" this scenario.
Bearish red: Larger "B" from 5190 could continue in its complex way. In such a case, stuck in the range of 4995 to 5175/90. "B.a" from 5190 to 5042; "B.b" from 5042 to 5170. "B.c" may be in progress towards 5010-25 or 4985-4995. Beyond this, this too gets rejected.
Very Bearish: Only below 5010 or 4995 may be considered. 5-waves done from 4770 to 5190 with an "ending diagonal in its 5th wave".
The next "1st" wave down done from 5190 to 5042;
2nd wave done from 5042 to 5170;
3rd wave may have commenced from 5170.
Having options such as these and the retracement points for each, would prepare you to initiate trades at critical junctures with very "low risk-high reward" such as the one made yesterday.
Even for the most bearish scenario, there would be a bounce off a negative opening.
Bullish Green: "a or i" could be a leading diagonal fm 5042 to 5141 and "b or ii" done at 5094 yesterday and "c.1" done from 5094 to 5170.
Accordingly the correction in "c.2" should limit itself to 5122/5100. Anything beyond it, would "reject" this scenario.
Bearish red: Larger "B" from 5190 could continue in its complex way. In such a case, stuck in the range of 4995 to 5175/90. "B.a" from 5190 to 5042; "B.b" from 5042 to 5170. "B.c" may be in progress towards 5010-25 or 4985-4995. Beyond this, this too gets rejected.
Very Bearish: Only below 5010 or 4995 may be considered. 5-waves done from 4770 to 5190 with an "ending diagonal in its 5th wave".
The next "1st" wave down done from 5190 to 5042;
2nd wave done from 5042 to 5170;
3rd wave may have commenced from 5170.
Having options such as these and the retracement points for each, would prepare you to initiate trades at critical junctures with very "low risk-high reward" such as the one made yesterday.
Even for the most bearish scenario, there would be a bounce off a negative opening.
62 comments:
Good Morning Respected Mr.Illango, My Beloved Master Mr.Dinesh Rishi & Blog-mates, Have a Prosperous Day.
Camarilla Key Levels
Nifty Futures
H4 5221[BUY]
H3 5198[SELL]
L3 5150[BUY]
L4 5126[SELL]
Good Morning Ilango sir and friends.
Happy Trading Friday to all.
Good Luck.
Good Morning Ilango sir and friends.
Happy Trading Friday to all.
Good Luck.
Good Morning Master & Friends
Good morning sir and fellow blogmates..
Have a great day ahead~~
@Ilango
Thanks for the lucid explanation of various EW scenarios. Easy to learn EW step by step.
regards,
Veer
Good Morning Ilango Sir & all Blogmates.
Rgds
Saravanan
R/Ilango sir good morning n same 2 all reader's.
Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends
Nifty chart analysis: CLICK HERE
Good Morning to LLango Sir and all blog Friends
Namaste Ilango Sir and JN Family
Namaste beloved Master and all friends
May the Lord bless us with PATIENCE
have a nice day of trading
Good Morning Sir and blog-mates.
Have a great trading day.
good morning Sir and all the gems of JN
Jayaramanji good Evening
As it is observed (it does not have any proof)
past JNSAR J10 SAR crossing, whenever J10 sar
below JNSAR market trend remains down and vice versa
at the trend exhaustion this crossover takes place
and market becomes more volatile.
May 20,2012 7:53PM
goodmorning PT :)
"Moody Downgraded 15 Major Global Banks".
Isn't that good for our Commercial Banks. Big clients might shift from those biggie names to our Local banks...
Isn't that positive for our BankNifty.
Good Morning Master and Copy to All
Cooldent cheating party changed?
Namste Ilango Sir and All.
Good morning Master & JN family
DR sir
Not yet. But thank god i clapped yesterday :)
Namaste Ilango Sir and fellow bloggers
LV
good morning sir and all blogmates
Dollar is looking hot for 60
Good Morning Family
Good morning master and blogmates
Quote of the Day:
Always See Good Things.
Always Hear Good Things.
Always Talk Good Things.
Always Think Good Things.
If something Give Bad/negative emotions
in your Mind Stay-away from such
Persons,things etc.
Hi GM all
good morning,seniors..
Master ilango and DR sir,
Good Morning
☺
Camarilla Intraday - Trade1
Nifty Futures
L3 5150[BUY]
L4 5126[SELL]
20 Points Stoploss.
Personal Decision Advised.
Nifty futures open and low same
5110
@DR sir,
Your BNSAR is with filter today? Means 9940-50=9890 or only 9940?
good morning sir and all friends,
Goodmorning sir and everybody :)
Julius - in other words 'Gandhiji's 3 monkeys" :D
Cooldent - mm..me too clapped yesterday itself actually i was expecting 176/94 levels suddently a wild guess splashed previous high 5189 then again if suppose touch 5180 level means then double head for short term??? now too clapped at the opening watching BN's reaction with my "mayan" :)
@Sujatha Sister,
Good Morning - Have a Nice day.
Here extra one monkey.
The 4th Monkey - Thinking.
Nilesh Patil
Friday, June 22, 2012
BN, in minor consolidation channel, has some minor corrections left as long as it holds above 9820.
Author: Ilango | Posted at: 6:40 AM
ORB HIGH: 5135.50
ORB LOW : 5097.75
ORB BROKEN UPSIDE
Good Morning....................
Julius - thanks for ur wishes. 5th monkey is reading your post :)
BSE site is giving problem from monday any alternative site for viewing sensex???
Thanks DR sir,
Good Morning ILango Sir & everyone!
Dollor-INR is not going anywhere above 57.25, Tabhayi only a close above 57.25. Its looking another trap, bears may be happy if Nifty sustain below 5090 either weekly closing will make its path at own:)
@Ilango Sir,
Bullish Green ("c.2" should limit itself to 5122/5100)
Nifty opened around 5097.75
can we consider above scenario rejected??
Thanks
May i short or sell? Confuse
Aaj kuch toofani karety hai
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-4uvqgYKNs3A/T9Xv_t5DQuI/AAAAAAAAA0w/DazyRgPG-R0/s1600/aaj+kuch+tufani+karte+hai.jpg
Sorry short or buy ? Below cam level 5144 spot or abov 5 dema 5122 wht should i do? Illango sirji julias rishi suggest me
@ Mr. Sultan
What is your Question ??
Please Read pre-market view and take your trade as per plan.
Kya tufani bro?
Uncle Sam closing big downmove, rupee crushing to new low, FII negative numbers, Friday syndrome, all these reasons good enough to pull down nifty to big downmove today. The people get hesitant to short bcz they saw sharp move towards closing yesterday but forget to see bigger picture that nifty made a new lower high yesterday (5189.95 is the previous high) so definitely big correction will happen!
Nifty gaped down due to negative clues from world market. Now attempting to fill the gap , Hourly closing above 5136 makes bulls comfortable to next resistances 5168-5217. Unable to do so, Bears try to attack & break support area 5095-5065.
Supports & Resistances for today:-
5136-5168 – Resistance.
5095-5065 - Support area.
Current Trend: - UP, But Weak Global clues & selling pressure.
Two best rules for successful trading:-
1. Initiate position in the direction of trend near support & resistances.
2. Max stop loss - 30 points.
Happy disciplined trading to all.
Have a nice day!
@Mr.Sultan,
Don't BUY or SELL.
Paper trade the levels till you
don't have questions.
Good Morning Bears and Bulls
@Ilango sir ,
I am also having same question as hemant . Opened at 5097 , should we reject c.2 scenario OR it is still valid ?
Actually illango sir mention 5 dema 5122 or cam level5144 abov this bulls or beliw short n abov 5 dema bull or below short so wht i do? Short or buy??
You can view sensex in calloptionpuroption.com/select livechart and select sensex
Hi sultan sir u should buy above 5dema wit a reasonable stoploss below yesterday low
i.e 5090
Good Morning Ilango sir and blog mates.
Nifty needs to cross 5190 for further upmove. Bank Nifty has again reached the pre RBI policy levels and had a steep fall after the policy which again indicates that events dont affect the prices and has only a temporary effect.
Now strength is also seen in Mid caps and small caps indicating positivity.
Both the upper and lower Bollinger Bands have turned up and nifty is now trading in the upper half of this range indicating posivity in the medium term. Close above 5190 can push Nifty towards 5300 to 5450 levels.
Any move below 5090 will suggest correction is still ongoing.
Dr SAAb ,
Am i right
regards
New Post Done.
@ Nitin Kadam
yes I agree with you!
regards!
Thnk u dosto dua me yaad rakho
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