Monday, January 10, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-III

70 comments:

Fire said...

A small positive divergence seen in the smaller time frames?

prashant shah said...

ty v much sanjay jaiswal for RSI

rani patel said...

prashant, sujata,
i downloaded that link prashantji but what is the hawala?
Please give a small explantaion?

Hitendra said...

Sir - Nifty reached 5795. Any case for a long position now?

jay shah said...

Sir higher rsi on the current fresh low in nf hourly

prashant shah said...

RANI... hawala is exp close rate eg... last months hawala is 6103.. if price trade above 6103 then mkt is go up and if price below 6103 mkt go down this is hawala and working for feb expir

prashant shah said...

sorry working for jan expiey

Prabhat said...

This is looking like a exact replica of last month behavior. Everyday more & more calls are getting added (6000 CA, 6100 CA). Considering the force of the fall, can we say hello to 5690 & if broken, 5550?
Illango sir, when can be initiate fresh intraday longs .. I guess SL got hit for your earlier prediction of intraday agressive longs ..

Hitendra said...

2:30 effect - +ve or -ve today?

gsingh said...

sir..can we go long now???

Fire said...

5785 looks like quiet a good support. A long here with a SL below 5780 might give some points. Master could tell more.

rani patel said...

thanks prashant!

India Horse Racing said...

buy niftyfut@ 5803 with SL of 5780

Ilango said...

Nifty never closed above the Hour Low ema..and the weakness continues breaking below 5810. Why take only long calls., take also the shorts when certain lows are broken for intraday points.
"5782-144 ema" is another point where a bounce can emerge.
It could be just a small one. It'll be still a sell on rises.

Currently the subwave "iii" of the fall from 6181 is nearing end. So a small iv and then a vth to 5690 or lower is possible.

5600 is the 200sma.

Rajagopal said...

Hitendra - I have noted it as +ve. - The run up between 2 to 2.30 gives indication towards the trend. Wish it remains +ve. Tue is also +ve. Wed is -ve(trend changed last week),Thu +ve and Fri -ve. Me and my friend Suja are fond of putting our neck on the block !!!

Crorepathi said...

Today's last half an hour would say if people will do value buying or not?

Ilango said...

The only number that has not become red in the TT is "5597(Month Low ema) & 5604(Month JNSAR).

That is the point for a confident rally. All other rallies would be of smaller in sizes.

Hitendra said...

What does 9 RSI moving up indicate while price moves down on BN?

Unknown said...

point of reversal= nearing now

Hitendra said...

Deepak - what is that point?

Unknown said...

better to start longs here n buy till 5751

Rajagopal said...

"Rajagopal said...
Wish Nifty gets back into -100 in the next 20 mins. Otherwise, Red Monday?
January 10, 2011 2:14 PM "

Said with 2.30 in mind. My observation is that on majority days, 2 to 2.30 gives indication if the day 2.30 trend is in tact. Nifty did not come within -100 before 2.30 and Monday is defeated.

Prabhat said...

I remember Oct 2008. Nifty is just getting obliterated ... It may be good to buy at 5550-5600 levels ...

Crorepathi said...

"It was never my thinking that made me money but my sitting tight"
-Jesse Livermore
How many of us have sit tight? with JNSAR almost 1000 Points in BN and 300 points in NF

KRG said...

On weekly charts, 5600 becomes critical being the low of sub-4 (ending diagonal count since June 2010 ?); the next being 5400 being the low of sub-2

The turn at 6154 (62% of major A) doesnot augur well for the bulls. Needs to get above this for bullish comfort

https://sites.google.com/site/krgishere/Home/Nifty-Jan-2011.doc?attredirects=0&d=1

cheers

rani patel said...

Nifty is just getting obliterated----------meaning???

Ilango said...

Sometimes look at the market from the perspective of a trader who is holding futures long "hoping" a reversal will emerge. And these are the longs which come to unwind on every rises.

Short covering may induce a small rally and this "Relay" is not picked up by delivery hands and take further up, the "relay game" ends with a bounce and fresh selling emerges. This continues till the previous highs are conquered which indicates "Change in demand - supply equation".

Unknown said...

Buy Bajaj Auto with a SL at 1255
Buy Bank Nifty for 11200

Unknown said...

spot sustaining above 5773= may trgt 5800 for now

Unknown said...

http://img262.imageshack.us/img262/1563/banknifty.jpg

Rajagopal said...

Lovely Sir. Infact those are the 90% Trading community.Believe me.
===

WWI : If you see BN to 11200, naturally you must be seeing SBI to reach 2770 atleast.(I have no position).

Unknown said...

Jindal Saw moved from 214 to 204 = 10 K profit per lot

Unknown said...

http://www.inditraders.com/journals/4245-50-turning-points-high-probability-setups.html#post119272

Unknown said...

my high probability setup trades being tracked here.

This is my trading journal I will be tracking Nifty
and the Futures segment here.

vineet said...

IndiaVIX is up ~10% at ~23.

Anonymous said...

@illango sir,

volume 454150 at 2:58:32 NF5786 and 348050 at 3.03.04 NF5776, heavy volume.... sir , +ve or -ve divergence? plz tell me

u.k.Raj said...

@Crorepathi
On 4/1/2011 11.00 Hr SAR trigger sell @6186NF.
I will hold till Hr SAR buy trigger.

Crorepathi said...

People dont see value in nifty!!

Sujatha said...

RG - Bangladesh stock exchange down by 9 %. investors are angry protesting. :P nifty forced to pilgrimage to Kanyakumari by FIIs. (foolishing indians in India??) soon 5200/5300 etc, etc., pending???

Unknown said...

Yes Rajgopal that could be a possibility for SBI - 2750

rani patel said...

thing is who is the greater fool at this point in time?

Unknown said...

I'm still of the view that Nifty can head back up to
6060 not beyond that - May take 3 - 4 days

ToT-Amit said...

@Wolfwave,

Support at 5740??

If you connect highs of 6343 & 6096 the support levels comes at 5740.

pls confirm

ToT-Amit said...

Prices are for NF

Sujatha said...

@ rani patel - i am the greater fool . exited @ 5780 itself.. no positions :)

Crorepathi said...

Sir,
Can we predict a Lower Circuit?

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Sir for your Analysis.
I closed my Intra shorts @5748 NF initiated @ 5820NF

Anonymous said...

Illango sir,

another 389200 NF at 5750(now) hope from tommorow onwards NF will be at discount price

Ilango said...

@ SAZ,

That is a high volume sell off. Negative.

rani patel said...

sujatha me too

Prabhakar said...

@Anuj,
Where are you Today?

Anil said...

@TOT - amit

i see on spot, support at 5740, if you join said points.

Anonymous said...

now 518850 volume ....NF

Unknown said...

Amit - No sir my bad I dint see the chart
- Looks like 5600 / 5650 coming first.

http://img440.imageshack.us/img440/3193/87804486.jpg

Ilango said...

Crorepathi,

In such a downtrend, it is possible. When..? No idea.

It will be a pleasant surprise to those who riding such a downtrend.

Unknown said...

after which we may see reversal back to 6050

Anonymous said...

@ illango sir

astonishing sir last minute 518850 NF volume.is it short covered or short?

ToT-Amit said...

@WWI,

chart updated

Unknown said...

http://img440.imageshack.us/img440/3193/87804486.jpg

Rajagopal said...

NIFTY cannot FALL more. Market is CLOSED for the DAY.

Ha ha Suja.(Was it the same Fantastic Indians in India who took it to 6300???)

Bye Sir. Bye Friends. Thanks WWI.

Unknown said...

Buy only at 5600-5650

Unknown said...

Welcome sir

Unknown said...

Sir

I would be happy to provide a chart that you can upload
for the benefit of members.

Let me know and I will email you.

smokinbeast said...

@ mr wolf.

cud u share some links/theory for what you are trading with.. i mean abt wolfwave's

to me they look like trendlines :)
would like to understand what stuff u look at :)

Arpit

MD said...

Sir,

You JNSAR for stocks also given good result to me..

earn very well in this 3 days in unitech,Relinfra & rpower...future based on ur JNSAR for this stocks...

Thanks a lotttttttttt....
god bless u......

bizagra said...

@Prabhakar
I m here only, a bit busy, but riding shorts. Carrying my shorts.

mynac said...

Just visited after MKT.HRS.
Last hope for depressed Bulls ....Monthly JNSR 5728.

mynac said...

Ohh...Today it has come to 5724.

Unknown said...

Arpit - you can look at

wolfewave.com

I've learnt basic concepts from here and the rest
is all learning by trail and error

ajay said...

Guys,

Just wanted to share with everyone marketview posted by

Vipul Lahiri, one of the finest TA I have ever come across.

Dear Friends,
Bse 30 is at 19275 and nifty 50 is at 5773, another 500 point drop in consecutive day, at this rate in next 40 days bse 30 will be zero.
Now,
as written already in above message that current week is BOTTOM formation week,
those who want to buy may start now as panic bottom often comes and goes at lightening speed.
The bounceback will be also fast.
Bse 30 18987 Nifty 50 5543 supports now within two days reach taking into consideration the speed of decline, BE READY TO BUY your favourite stock for extreme short term good returns.
Sesa Goa at 322 and Tatasteel at 641 look good for short term.
RIL invest around 1036.
Gabbarsingh ye keh kar gaya jo dar gaya, woh mar gaya. (here Ghar gaya)
Overcome youyr fear and greed, take decisions with COOL mind.

warm regards
Vipul Lashkari

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