In stock market too, the same logic works. But how do you go about finding this "demand & supply"...Yes..by studying the prices bid in the recent past..how high it was bid., how low it went..and where the last bid closed. I have covered the most minimum basics of Technical analysis and they may be found under "Technical Analysis" in my label section.
Start with:
1. Trend Following
2. Trendlines
3. Moving Averages.
4. Macd (Moving average convergence & Divergence)
5. Stochastics.
6. Tech. Table- Part.1 and Part-2. And the Tech. File.
Spend your holiday time & week ends to go over these study materials and practice them during market hours. The time spent and dedication shown will fetch you very satisfying results. After studying and developing a disciplined approach to trading and investing, the most important lesson you will realise is that " It is better to adopt a wait & watch approach (or sit tight in the direction of the trend) when you do not understand choppy markets and act only when you are satisfied with a compelling reason to employ your money".
Once you develop this "discriminating mind" to differentiate a trending market to a sideways market of different time cycles(week, day, hour), your expectations of the market will be so balanced that you will harvest like a seasoned farmer.
Just stay cool..Don't sweat it out. Simply try to understand the various forces at work. If you are relaxed when you are trading, you will make money. Anxiety has no place in this business..Sort that one out.
If you don't enjoy doing this, watch us play it and being a spectator, you will save all your money and still get plenty of action.
The choice will be resolved by the world markets on wednesday morning.
First attempt to go above the "Hour High ema" was promptly sold into.The day low ema needs to be conquered to arrest this fall.
This is a monthly scenario which has been discussed few months(Nov.09) earlier and its still playing out..Watch out for those support levels."B" waves are "sucker waves" and we are in the "b" of "B"..and that is a worst kind.
6 comments:
Ilango, Correct me If I am reading the Montly chart correctly, so by the year end projection for NIFTY will be around 3950-4050?
Good Afternoon Ilango.
Forgot to thank you for the MA piece posted for the last week end. Now a double Thanks for a refresher course above.
Thank you very much and Relax for the day.
Warm regards,
S Rajagopal
HI Ilango,
How should one interpret the low ema @5030 and high ema @ 5186. As I can see it 5030 will be a resistance initially, if taken out with volumes this will be a support? If > 5030 then what will be the likely resistance as 5186 is too far or should one wait for 5186 before going short? Then one keeps quiet between 5030-5186? Please correct me if I have got it wrong.
Thanks,
Sudhin
Dear Ilango,
Now this will be a long debate due to SGX Nifty.To day it went up to 4850 our market was closed due to 26th Jan.and at present it is trading at 4929.Now it will be very interesting to see whether our ORIGINAL NIFTY will touch 4850 tomorrow or not.Because India has definitely shown a impact at least on Asian markets.So now it has become a need of the hour for Asian markets to respect Indian Stock Market. We changed our market timings from 4th Jan.2010 and in a hurry Singapore Market changed it's SGX Nifty trading timing from 11th Jan.2010 i.e.6.30 a.m. to 10.30p.m.(IST).( 16 Hours.By the way 16,this figure is always crucial by all means) )The initial quote deciding factor has become a crucial one.For tomorrow Our Market has a golden opportunity to prove it's supremacy,originality.
hi ilango sir....
i got the calculator to calculate pivot,r1,r2,s1,s2 with ur kind help.now how to calculate weekly ema,daily ema,hourly ema??
kindly tell me...
kind regards....
vicky....
Hi Ilango,
I have received the tech file. The data worksheets in the tech file refers to some other files example:
Data.W Worksheet refers to Data.base.A.xls file with Week.1 worksheet
Data.D Worksheet refers to Data.base.A.xls file with Data.1 worksheet
Data.H Worksheet refers to Data.Hour.1.xls file with Hour.Data worksheet
Data.5 Worksheet refers to Data.5.xls file with Data.5 worksheet
Please guide.
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