Friday, July 23, 2010

Nifty PreMarket View.

The 2nd wave of the rise from 5350NF took 9 hours. Wait for the 3rd wave to end(a second high of the day). The 4th wave may take 9+ hours and the 5th of this upmove may happen on Monday. We should study the price upmove for the intensity or the lack of it to know whether it is the terminal one or part of an extended wave for much higher targets. Staying with the trend ( a simple 5sma/ema helps)keeps you safe.
Knowing that a correction is on helps you to weather the frustrating phases of the market and stop you from commenting "market is going nowhere" but sense the strength/ weaknesses of the bulls & bears during that corrective phase.
Robert Beckman says, " The best phase of the market during which the strength & weaknesses of the bulls & Bears are tested is during the corrective phase and you learn a lot about the market & its likely future movements by mastering, studying the types of corrective phases". That is 80% of the market hours (sitting tight...Chumma iru as Lord Muruga said to Lord Shiva)(Mortals will have tough time sitting tight) and the remaining 20% is harversting time - closing out as well as initiating positions.OR is it 85:15 or 90:10.


31 comments:

Local said...

Just to put it out there: there could be more than one 3rd wave.

(That being said, I'm still stuck and want the nifty to crash.:)

Prabakar said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir, Yoda and all.

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

BP means?

golfdude said...

Yoda,

I have 4 lots short from 5350 from 2 weeks ago. Ouch !!! Still holding for a miracle expiry week :)

Ilango said...

@ Fire: BP means Book Profit.

r m said...

Good Morning all!

Local said...

If it comes near 5431 (hour high ema) or 5437 (day high) even, better to offload, gd.

San said...

Good morning everyone

Nifty daily chart analysis

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/07/nifty-daily-chart-analysis_23.html

Thank you

Harsh Mehta said...

Dear Ilangoji,

I am a silent follower of your technicals for quite
some time.

Can you throw some light on wave structure
of BN for positional trade.

I am always comfortable with shorts rather than longs.

So am looking for down side possibilities
in 1-2 weeks time frame.

Regards,

gauresh59 said...

Hi Friends,

Here is the link for Today’s MySAR_A levels :
Added TataPower, Suzlon, Sterlite, Wipro, Ranbaxy…......
http://www.4shared.com/document/LDbqLiAe/MySAR_A_Future_for23th_.html

The following link shows how much profits this positional trading system has given so far in the last trades entered into. :
http://www.4shared.com/document/_bVf-JN6/Summary__upto_22nd_July_.html

For detailed summary of trades of Nifty 50 scripts, the link is :
http://www.4shared.com/document/GL6kD1ys/MySAR_detailed.html

To view how much points the system has earned during the last 6 months, the link is :
http://www.4shared.com/document/4EUsPZA1/Points_earned_22th_.html

In fact, this is the positional trading system, but one can get benefits of intra day volatility using the MySAR_A levels.

Keep long position above MySAR_A and short position below MySAR_A level.

Always initiate trade near to MySAR_A level.
Never try to catch the running train just to avoid the risk of accident. First wait for MySAR_A level hit, and then initiate trade accordingly.

Moreover always wait for 5 – 10 minutes after MySAR hits soasto confirm the trend.

-gauresh59

Rajagopal said...

Good Morning Sir and Friends.

Decided to be IMMORTAL today(!).

Sunny said...

hi
dear sir ilango good mornning,
whats is ideal level for buy in nifty and bank nifty?
regards,
alpesh

Local said...

Thank heavens the vix is rising.:)

sryasdmurali said...

Good Morning Sir and All

Have nice profitable trading today

satheesh said...

Good morning Ilango sir and all

Sir, As per the instructions given in the chart my plan is - wait for 5425 levels and if it finds support at that area, book out the current shorts else wait for more downsides and hold the shorts" Will it be okay sir??

Sunny said...

sorry for reposting........,
hi
dear sir ilango,
good mornning,
whats is ideal level for "buy" in nifty and bank nifty?
regards,
alpesh

u.k.Raj said...

Good Morning ALL

wormwood34 said...

gm ilango and all..

gm IMMORTAL rg sir...

wealth creator said...

GM ALL

I am holding my RIl long and 2 lot shorts on nifty, Looking for exit oppurtunity, and looking further for sir's comments

Rajagopal said...

"(Mortals will have tough time sitting tight)"

Tech term for Sitting Tight is "Immortal". Even Mr Subba Rao is not visible-the only sign of Fast Fall set up.

Chandra said...

Hi Gauresh59,

I am refering your MySAR levels daily for trading. However, dowmloading file & read during market hours sometimes we may miss chance & can't male pre-plan for trading.

Requesting you to inform us method of calculation of SAR level. Useful for all readers of this blog.

Bose

Bhavan said...

@Yoda My personal feeling (suggestion) is that you should not worry much about ur shorts today as today is the last of the dabba trading of the week and so will b volatile you may get chance to get around 5390 levels Find the TA levels arond that or POC )and monday will most likely b a down day to enable buying before RBI 27th meet as no rate cuts at increase at present are anticipated and that is why a off loading of SBI and othr bank yesterday.LOL

Ilango said...

The sharp up opening may have ended the "iii". A prolonged "iv"th wave correction may be on till Monday in the range of 5475-5490 to 5435-5445.

Sukanya said...

good morning! Yesterday I have sold nifty @ 5385 with sl of 5412, but my sl did not execute and it exploded upside. What can be my strategy for today, Ilangoji, please advise. Sorry for asking advice for indivisual position, but this may also help a few others. Some people visit temple during during distress !

Rajagopal said...

"Some people visit temple during during distress"

dukh mein sab kar sumiran-sukh mein kar na koi
agar sukh mein kar sumiran,dukh kaan sae ayee?

Sunny said...

hi sir plz give nifty and bank nifty "ohlc" value
regads,
alpesh

akki said...

Dear Sir & TA family very GM to all .
Regards

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

@ SKMishra,

Apne andar mandir ko rakhein, kahaan doonduraheho yeh Bhagwan ko.

You are good. Plan & revise the strategy.

Look for 5425-5435 and while it comes on the screen, see how the TA looks and take a decision then. As long as it trades above 5408, it is UP.

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

Rajagopal said...

9-10am Volume Toppers

SCRIPT % OF 5DAY % OF YDAY Trend
CAIRN 73 26 UP
HEROHONDA 42 34 UP
ICICIBANK 42 40 UP
IDEA 75 59 UP
TATAPOW 51 39 DOWN
WIPRO 137 138 DOWN

Sukanya said...

@ Rajgopal take my painful smile.. let me see how to come out of this!!

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