Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-III

78 comments:

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

Is there a very small positive divergence seen in the 9 RSI in the hourly chart or is it my wishful thinking?

Rajagopal said...

Hour 2 to 3:
Trend UP(First Up hour for the day!)Towards HEMA?
SPOT.
High 5267 - 5283
Low 5250 - 5265
(Wed - 2.30?)

r m said...

Dear PRO TRADER
Please don't spam.
Thanks & regards.

Deepak said...

Dear Friends - From 9.35 nifty is in range of 5265 to 5250 - normally after such a long consolidation it breaks out - any idea in which direction it should break ? - looking at 2.45 for some break-out - Deepak

Ilango said...

@ Fire,

There is no divergence in 9 hour rsi.

Nifty had a +ve div in the 5 minute chart when it made day's low and it has given a 20 point intra rally.

wealth creator said...

call writing still going on. have we seen last uptick in short term? 5300 Ce is written agressively today.

Rishi said...

Ilango, 5267 is Spot level or future level?

INDITRADER said...

Sir on closing basis yt levels to be kept in mind for longs?
As I have to go out for nxt 3 hours so I request U.

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

It WAS my wishful thinking. Now, on the contrary, NF is testing the trendline 25/5 and 8/6 low. Should I exit my long held longs if NF violates this line?

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, if we close below day low ema, can conservative shorts be taken??
Thanks

assortZ said...

Bizagra,

sir said yesterday

//A daily close below "Day Low ema" (Presently 5233) would be the Signal to reverse the Conservative "Longs" to "Shorts" with a S&R @ 5260//

replace the today's low ema levels and you can act accordingly

bizagra said...

Thanks Assortz

assortZ said...

Sorry it was said on 05th not yesterday

satheesh said...

Sir,
" @ Satheesh,
You seem to be covering Tisco and thereby the market quite well."

It is possible for me only with your guidance!!

satheesh said...

@ manu,

I shall mail you the updated tisco file.

Ashutosh Agarwal said...

Can 5th wave be a zig zag wave.

San said...

Hai everyone


The support in 30 minutes chart has broken. But hour chart is showing one more possible support below which a large correction can happen.

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/07/nifty-futures-breaks-support-in-30.html

Thank you

manu said...

thnx satheesh

Rajagopal said...

Economy Recovered?

1. Steel turnover down for June (Chinese import). Expected to be lower in July-Sep,traditionally consumption lower during monsoon. So TISCO,SAIL,... July-Sep Qtr?
2. Real Estate - Mumbai prices up by 15-20%. Good ? No. Price hike due to cost over run. Not due to demand. How? 6000+ housing units of Rs 2Crore + has no takers. Only when Premium/Luxury apartments are in demand can DLF&brothers see money.
3. Inflation - will be controlled? How - fuel raise has fueled raise in Truck hire charges. 70% food articles transported thro trucks.
4. IIP has peaked since May and no growth expected in numbers.
5. Europe situation hitting 20% orders for Software companies.
6. US wants "Outsourced" foreign companies to incorporate in US.
7. More Bank news on due deligence audit report on Euro Banks?

Last time when BJP said "India Shining" - you know what happened.

Nifty + Equity said...

how is it goin?

bizagra said...

Hello GB sir.Plz update now wht??
Thanks

Ilango said...

@ Bizagra,

The strategy has always been that "a close below low ema" indicates bearishness as per the time frame.

Presently our attention is on the "Day low ema" which is @ 5235.

Nifty + Equity said...

ther is no 5400

bizagra said...

Ilango sir can we short @ break of day low ema or wait till closing?
Thanks

Rajagopal said...

Hi GB - It is going SOUTH. You know the destination right?

satheesh said...

Sir,

There seems to be a H&S pattern in NF 5min chart with past three days data. can you clarify?

Rajagopal said...

Wish some one belived my REL and RPower SHORTS yesterday. One Lot each at those levels cud be good return.

Nifty + Equity said...

RG - as someone rightly said no one can predict the mkt

what do u think?

assortZ said...

Bizagra,

Aggressive one can short immediate on the break of low ema with small stop

Conservatives should wait to see hourly close

Sir, correct me if am wrong ..

ravi said...

sundar, my mail id is ravivrindavan@gmail.com

manojag said...

RG,
lakshwadeep or beyond?

Fire said...

Positive divergence in the 5 or 10 minutes charts is still visible.

Local said...

It should turn up from here, otherwise 5170.:)

Rajagopal said...

Manoj - Hope So. GB knows the destination and date of arrival.

I don't listen to everyone GB. So leave someone. As always give your most respected honest view.

shr said...

@RG, Good summation of the "State of the economy".
No worries! The Govt has a Knight in Shining Armour. Walmart. The king of low prices. It will need all the real estate, all the steel and cement that's supposedly going abegging.

Local said...

But there's enough volume at this to think its may go up.

Nifty + Equity said...

ur next dates r aug 9 - 28 and oct 17-28

manojag said...

GB,
Aug 28 more appropriate.

Ilango said...

@ Assortz,

Aggressive trader would have sold at the open today and seeing the weak intra bounce would be holding still.

Conservative would have lightened positions once 5250 was broken.And would have hedged the remaining longs.

As for EW, a 5th wave do not retrace so much...5233 to 5297 and back to 5234...!!!

So the stalemate continues with a bias to the "Shorters" as it is always in a corrective phase.

Not closing above 5 day ema is a big weakness especially after such a rally yesterday.

Fire said...

CNX IT straight rise!!!

Rajagopal said...

Thanks GB noted. More than enough.

Nifty + Equity said...

manoj - all dates r of importance just as todays is

sundar said...

OI data
5200 Call - 282700, Put - 93000
5300 Call - 907700, Put - (396200)
5400 Call - 472900, Put - 39750.
So Nify going towards 5400 is a distant dream. Looks bearish at this point.

sundar said...

All OI Data - Additions/reductions today.

ravi said...

sundarji, my mail id is ravivrindavan@gmail.com

Fire said...

3 pm close @ 5235.90. Just a notch above day low ema.

INDITRADER said...

Gb Sir Plz remind again
7th July after we reverse or corection over?

manojag said...

GB,
Taken notes of the dates.
Thanks

Rahul said...

@illango, have taken a short on the break of 9450 on BNF. let me know wht sl should be kept for the same.
rgds
rishav

assortZ said...

Sir,

Thanks for “ knocking at my head” :).. will improve myself on reading the table

San said...

Hai everyone

Nifty 15 minutes chart showing a possible head and shoulders break down targeting 5200 levels. The pattern is not a perfect H&S But still the chart is looking bearish.

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/07/nifty-futures-15-minutes-hs-break-down.html

Thank you

Ilango said...

@ Rishav,

9495 should be OK.

Nifty + Equity said...

san - since u like patterns - what about a 5 min 5 day chart? ur views?

bizagra said...

GB sir, can we take short here??
Thanks

Ilango said...

@ Assortz,

One more point from the TT: Week High ema is 5289. And the prices have closed below it last week. So one should sell above 5289 as per week TA and it coincided with the "OB" hour TA.

Nifty + Equity said...

im on mobile.. looking at the.chart.

do u see a hns and whats the tgt ?

btw u remember my comment on rcom?

San said...

@Nifty + Equity

I saw satheesh asking about H&S in 5 minutes chart but for me it looked better in 15 minutes.

Thank you

Nifty + Equity said...

hns tgt for 5min 5day chart

ravi said...

hi ilango, can we hold longs if nifty spot keeps 5235

Fire said...

Ilangoji,

Should I keep my longs if close is above day low ema or should reverse it?

Nifty + Equity said...

ok tx

manu said...

sir

shld we carry hedged conservative longs if closes abv
5233

assortZ said...

Sir,

I carry shorts since two weeks with some hedging longs..last week close gave me confidence to carry them this week two..and three days consolidation gave me further confidence to hold shorts..but yesterday’s rally was unexpected but still I carried my shorts as I considered yesterday’s rally would not sustain if DOW cheers less ..today’s action and likely close below 5EMA still push me to carry the shorts,..

manojag said...

DOW suddenly positive 55 pts?????????

manojag said...

again minus 55

assortZ said...

Manoj. I see just 10 points swing only at dow..currently at 9626

Rajagopal said...

manoj - don't c a single green.Where +ve?
http://www.cfdspros.com/indices/futures-indices

manojag said...

high 9755 low 9670 current 9685 base 9743

Anil said...

a positive div in 5 minute charts

manojag said...

cdfs may have blundered as I also follow it.

Anonymous said...

nifty forming a hammer and a harami as last candle on hourly chart, formation says the previous downtrend may go sideways or up.

Fire said...

DJIA INDEX 9,617.00 -65.00 9,684.00 9,687.00 9,615.00 05:33

Fire said...

Bloomberg futures data

CMP change open high low time

Fire said...

Discard yesterday's session and we are back to monday's closing values.

Rajagopal said...

Bye Sir. Bye Friends.

manu said...

@manojag

Cfd ticker fr index at front shows immediate up/down..
the fig. +/- is with d price..

earlier i also used to get confused


Sir

i m with Jay mam ..still carrying hedged longs

Janak said...

i don't read too much here....it is just because of European market - our market has gone down but still NF has closed above 5240 - tom., it should be fine - Ilango Sir?

Janak said...

check now, European markets have recovered almost 50%....

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