Thursday, March 4, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-III


94 comments:

Unknown said...

Hi ilango

Please discuss in your blog about how to use your tech table for day and swing trading.

markethypothesis.blogspot.com

Piyush Sharda said...

congratulations anandan sir. one more feather on ur cap.

ashok said...

sir
i also request the same done by market hupnothesis
agarwal_a_k@yahoo.com
thnx in adv

manojag said...

Ilango......Hi!
Reading your new post, it seems that either the 5th of C is over or after this dip we coulsd see the 5th opening up to a level around 5100 odd. Now after the C is over do we see a resumption of the larger trend down with the opening up up of 3rd major wave down?

satheesh said...

Viren,

Is it correct to go short if NF breaks 5050 or will the VAL keep changing?

Ilango said...

hi..Market Hypothesis,

You will find all that you are looking for here in the folllowing link:

http://tradeinniftyonly.blogspot.com/2010/01/applied-technical-analysis-summary-wrap.html

Anandan said...

Hi Guys,
Do you know the fact.. today I got a call from one of the big so call operator he have is webpage and he have paid customers..
He wish to have my daily suggestion..
& my so call No.3 big broker also called me an appreciate, the fact is before he use to send SMS calls but I don't follow..But now he is suggeting to have SMS..Calls.. I say sorry.. I can't do..& I don't indent to do..
This is what I am trying to say.. be more specific on our approach and guide the people..
Intention only Not to make loss on F&O trade..

Thanks. anandan.R

satheesh said...

ilango sir,

You had asked lakshmi to cut the shorts. Can we place the stoploss for longs at 5040 NS?

Ilango said...

hi..Manoj,

You have given the simple analysis that One fall from 5309 to 4675 over and the corrective rally from 4675 is over @ 5093 or may have one more push up. This may coincide with daily nearing "OB" zone.

Now the dilemma is that the weekly is turning up and tomorrow's close will be interesting. A close above 5025(Week High ema) will bring in more momentum.

So we await the market to show its hand soon.

DCStrader said...

SBI looking weak intra below 2029

Viren said...

Satheesh,

5040-5035 is support zone again. I will not recommend short at 5050.

mm said...

eu will open down

manojag said...

Ilango,
thanks

mm said...

whr is mynac
ur contribution in oi data is awaited

Ilango said...

hi..Satheesh,

There is a double bottom in the "Intraday chart" @ 5049. So that should be the SL for Longs.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

raj,

I have amobroker 5.20 version. downloaded for trial. Hence require every day reinstallation.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Saif said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
BALA said...

Sir,

Nifty is trying to conquer 5ema and hour ema.However stoc,RSI are reaching OB.Interesting
Bulls/bears/who is to be trapped .Already @lower level lot of RIs have been trapped and any relief for them ?? viz why yesterday I have asked about FIIs TA/software
Interestingly in some other blog FIIs are taking money systamatically in china from retail investors and alterted the tretail investors not to go to the market and put it in FD
In india any FIIs Mutual fund is there and it is possible for any indian to invest what I mean , Morgan stasnly bringing money from US ,Europe and investing here and then taking to Japan (not indian Morgan fund ). Instead of investing here in HDFC etc etc why we should not directly invest in their mutual fund and get benifited
Thanks
Bala

Anonymous said...

700bandsmartmoney lost all his customers. now after filing for yellow notice, he is living on the streets. so he is now angry with ilango and not with his own way of cheating customers by provinding false tips.

Rajagopal said...

Saif - even if Ilango objects that's a Manly advise/proposal - hope sk... understands it. Or we have to repeat 700 times !!!

Saif said...

@Rajagopal @Ilango sorry for that typo..but laathon ke bhoot baaton se nahi manthe...

Rajib said...

@iLango Sir,

Even if it closes above W.H.EMA, don't you think it's completing the B/2 - wave and therefore may be the onset of downtrend!

One more query regarding EW theory, any experience from your side how to differentiate a B-wave from a 2-wave?

Rgds.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

ilango sir,
After crossing monthly high ema 5086, which level one should look to go on short...? or should we go on short at that level ?

Saif said...

futures are in premium..and the time correction is helping the bullishness..heavy put writing at 5000 ...

Ilango said...

hi..Rajib,

This shows us that no method can be 100% guidance proof. There are "indecisive phases" in any method. With one's discretion, one can stay away or take a calculated risk or resize their positions at such occasions.

As per my knowledge, there are no way to differentiate a "B" from a 2nd wave as both are deceptive.

To deal at such junctions, Write Calls as time decay will be quite useful when market takes its time to make up its next move.

Rajagopal said...

Ilango - I feel left out. Feel like one of the spectators in US Open - moving my face left and right. I mean the discussions here. Lovely and way over my head. Kindly lift your head above the waves and tell me...
Where is it heading ? Is 5080 proving a tough resistance again that can push the market back?
Almost all sectors have bloated up values. Will it melt the metals ? Will the Cars lose fuel ? Will the Banks again be NPAs?
Kindly put if out for the layman please. After my Amma I am just beginning to understand the EMA. The waves look like Tsunami now to catch.

Anandan said...

Hi guys, see the operators play..
I suggested to exit short and book profits and re-enter shorts at higher levels..now you can see..
anandan.R

A J said...

@manu
I have answered your question...
you need to dump one stock from reliance,icic bank,dlf or tata steel....so that I can include unitech from tomorrow...dlf might be good to dump...its one of my favorites though...that will keep the market calls table balanced with important sector majors having their share in the table...let me know by evening
cheers

mm said...

@ anuj
thnx ..i m fine with unitech..(dlf also moves the same way)
i m obliged

Ilango said...

hi..RajaGopal,

Market has shown huge resistances in 5100 to 5150 earlier before they made their high @ 5309.

I expect that zone to be the major hurdle. In either way, there will be corrections from that zone.

As long as Nifty not closes below Day High ema, the selling needs to be lighter.

Piyush Sharda said...

congrats rajgopal sir. today ur trick worked. it was a brahmastra

sundar said...

Dear arpitg345
Can u give me the website address for downloading the trial version of Amibroker. Which version is this?

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

sundar,
give me your email id, will give you after market hours. If possible will send you installer for it to you though mail.

Rajagopal said...

Piyush - he has to go to a cafe or home to do further posts if he wants. Atleast not from official laptop.

Are you convinced now about P2P - now that you know the accepted tech term - scalping? Past 2 days NIFTY did not provide the opportunity. But BNifty is a darling.

sundar said...

Dear Arpitgg345,
Thanks. My address: ramaswamy_narayan@yahoo.co.in. Thanks again.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

Anuj,
Being positional long in DLF what would be the target for DLF within 3 months of period?

Anonymous said...

Ilango sir,

sent u a email.

Anonymous said...

rajnish said...
hi ilango
hi friends
positive strength in nifty buy on dips do not short
buy 5061 nf
sl-5030
March 4, 2010 9:46 AM
==========================
trail sl at 5061

Piyush Sharda said...

an indian warren buffet is convinced so what am i ???

i have to learn it. will try google and books on it. i dont know how to make points yet so how can i start trading on it.

as u rightly said- everybody has to make his space in the markets. just working on it.

babu erode said...

exactly returning from 5080. does this means a fall. Now should we look for 5040 levels to decide on trend

Unknown said...

arpitg345, plz tell me how to get real time data in this amibroker 5.2, i have downloaded it

Anonymous said...

Hi Anandan sir, why dont u open ur own blog & give trading calls. when big operators gain from ur calls, why we small traders?

Rajagopal said...

Piyush - ring up Manu. You are getting a Libel damage notice from Mr WB.

Please focus on the system as a side trade - very good atleast gives a feeling that your trade is an "Autorick Meter". Very less risk since the desire is also limited.

You will do it.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

raj,
refer www.volumedigger.com there is one tab called "myquote" from there you can do for real time data

A J said...

@Ilango
Thanks
I read ...
1)that Corrective wave B is 50% of Wave A in time
2)wave A and Wave C are mostly of same time duration
Is it safe to assume the abve 2 points?
Can you also tell what is the approximate time relation of ABC wave with respect of 12345 impulsive wave?
For example if impulsive wave (12345) lasts for 10 days....how long(approximately) wave ABC will last ?(how much in percentage terms)
Cheers
*******************************
My morning question Ilango....reply at leisure
that will comple the calculator ...i guess

Ilango said...

Babu,

Holding 5065, it can go higher.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

Anuj,
Being positional long in DLF what would be the target for DLF within 3 months of period?

Unknown said...

to arpitg345 how to import data in amibroker can you give me your email id

Anonymous said...

I registered for nifty future 5 free call at www.niftyfuture.co.in

Now i get a call SELL nifty future > 5082, Target 5042, SL 5112.

I am not trading the call. But anybody can go and register for free call from that site. I am only checking to see what accuracy these ppl have against Ilango sir.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

raj,
my email id : arpitg345@yahoo.co.in
we will talk after market hours on messenger if possible to you.

yahoo messenger id : arpitg345

Sunil Sehgal said...

Govind,

Then ppl who are long, there target is 5112, which will be hit for sure.

Sunil

Sunil Sehgal said...

Govind,

2nd aspect risk 30 and reward 40. Very poor.

Sunil

manojag said...

@Govind..
Have been following many paid subscriptions But from my experience of last 25 years in the stock market and 10 years on nifty trading I can vouch that Ilango is better than either Vivek Patil/Mushtaq Khair/Glen Neely/ Robert Prechter or you name any one. So please do not experiment any further.

Rajagopal said...

raj said...
to arpitg345 how to import data in amibroker can you give me your email id
=========
Other than my regular brokers, I have this broker also and my problem is the same. Kindly advise me at lvaadhoc@gmail.com

Babu said...

@babu either you change your profile, or shall i change?:)

Ilango said...

hi..Anuj,

"Safe to assume" is difficult to say.

I have seen "b" waves taking up more time too.

Take 61.8% for B and
equal time for A and C.

I am still working on how best to present "Elliott waves - Corrections-Part-5". They are so complex and so many too.

It will be wonderful if you could find some order in them.

Anonymous said...

Sir

r u even better than Prester? Then u r "God of EW".

BALA said...

Sir,
The market is in the strong hands of bulls.For the rise, the correction seems to be normal Buy @ dips only benifical.Dont think of short
Thanks
Bala

manojag said...

Govind,
prechter has been calling short right from Set 09 and since than Ilango's coservative calls has made nearly 3000 points profit on the nifty. what more proof do you need? Have trust and patience.

Ilango said...

hi..Govind,

Please. Robert Prechter has proved his mettle beyond doubt over 30-40 years. No comparisons.

we are trying to do our bit with limited knowledge.

BTW, this looks like the 5th wave.

A J said...

@arpitg
3 months!!!....thats too long for me(first tomorrow will come then we will know what happens at the end of three month)...as I am involved in markets on a daily basis...I dont take that long a call...I traded only short term on high volume...lots can happen in 3 month ...one rate hike will make realty stocks tumble...as of now it is trending in a down channel for long term....all target if any will be on down side unless ...making lower low and lower highs...260 is long term support
I hope it helps you in some way
Cheers

Ilango said...

So now we have two "Babus".. :)

Anonymous said...

rajnish said...
rajnish said...
hi ilango
hi friends
positive strength in nifty buy on dips do not short
buy 5061 nf
sl-5030
March 4, 2010 9:46 AM
==========================
trail sl at 5061
March 4, 2010 2:35 PM
===========================
book at 5087
25 p gain
bye ilango and friends

DCStrader said...

Ilango

5th wave of C of 2 on hourly?

Ilango said...

It could also be the "b" wave (up) of the 4th wave (dn) and one more round of corrections possible as a (c) wave (dn).

Anonymous said...

Sir

I just realized an error. Somehow, 2 sell order got executed for stop loss of 5055 long this afternno. Now i am trapped in short posn from 5053 level.

where i can exit now?

A J said...

@illango
Thanks...
One last question...
Can you also tell what is the approximate time relation of ABC wave with respect of 12345 impulsive wave?
For example if impulsive wave (12345) lasts for 10 days....how long(approximately) wave ABC will last ?(how much in percentage terms)

That will complete the basic framework of calculator...may be by tomorrow i will upload it
Cheers

mm said...

sir
wht will confirm it a 5th wave?

Ilango said...

Govind.,

"5040" may come tomorrow.So wait.

babu erode said...

I have changed, sorry babu

Piyush Sharda said...

i fully agree with manojag . anybody can try any sub, some charging 15000-30000 pm also.but u can make more points here in nifty

Ilango said...

If it goes past 5095 decisively tomorrow without breaching 4992.

Prabhakar said...

Dear Ilango Sir,

Any conservative call?

Thanks

Anonymous said...

Thank u sir.

I almost bought again at 5077

A J said...

Two babus!!!!...OMG
I just noticed...One BIG B "Babu" one small b "babu"
Adding to my confusion!!!

BALA said...

Govind ji

come nearer 5060 close to day .If you want carry over to day for 10 points gain in any ORB

Those trapped @lower levels based on various broakerages recommendations ??

I am trying to send anandan mail and blog address to many to help them because my self sufferred irreparable loss
Thanks
Bala

Prabhakar said...

Correction: Any conservative short call?

mm said...

sir
"If it goes past 5095 decisively tomorrow without breaching 4992."
this is ws fr my question..

Ilango said...

Hi..Prabhakar,

Though corrections are possiblw but no positional sell yet.

Babu said...

Miss uisng my name :)))

Prabhakar said...

Thank you sir for your quick reply.

BALA said...

Manu

How would you expect the nifty goes to 4992. unless some drastic - news is there. Nifyt is moving orderly fasion and coming down only based on FIIs salesand DIIs buy
Thanks
Bala

Babu said...

carrying remaining conservative longs

babu erode said...

Anuj Joshi,
No confusion, I am new I have added my place with my name.
And I am only a learner, will not comment much on others.
Good day
Bye

Anandan said...

Hi, Bala, I am not sure what you are trying to say about my suggestion..
But today I suggested Exit shorts if you are in profits..and re-enter short side again when Nifty move's up.. and also I indicated.. today may be possible to close flat..
See what happens..
What is happening is operators trying to trap short sellers and force them to cover the shorts..
In that process Nifty moves up..But ultimately will come down..If the Global clues negative.. see more down side then up side..
Anandan.R

Babu said...

@babu erode,

Take it easy... even i don't know any thing. Its just kidding

BALA said...

Anandan Sir.

You are doing wonderfull job.Illango blog is enriching. What I want to convey to friends who are trading to see the blog and addto their favourities. I have not given your email address since with out getting your permission it is not nice. Clearely what I wanted to convey, follow this blog what Illango and Anandan is syaing ,obey it blindly .

Illango ji for the benifit of all as you done in exfcell sheets in the 4 shared .com, will you put a flash in this page , so that as and when you intiated a trade , others follow blindly

all other TA materials are learning purposes and discussions are further learning. Only conservative trade flash for some fifty to 100 points as the case may be

Thanks
Bala

Babu said...

@BALA
Confused about your posting. i mean what you are trying to say...

BALA said...

Babu @ pune Sir,

I am not confussed .Perhaps my language . All those who are traading nifty etc ( in broakerage houses etc ) to see this blog. Dont go for paid calls etc. Dont belive in tips etc. Try to follow the blog simply ( in this blog there are friends.Like this in life /office etc friends are there. Some of them may be in trading etc.buying and selling shares for them I am telling ) Some body are asking question how you have or Sir intiated a trade like that . So for that people only (retired people doing some small trades @ broaker house ) asking me . Hence I put up a request.Not any other thing
Further more and more people coming to this blog and clicking advertisement it means more revenue to Illango ji ( sorry myself I am not doing every time Ivisited this blog)
Thanks
Bala

Thanks
Bala

SMALLTRADER said...

I AM NEW TO THIS FORUM PLEASE HELP ME OUT

SMALLTRADER said...

CAN ANYONE SUGGEST ME ABOUT TATA MOTORS AND TATASTEEL IS IT BUYING MODE OR SELLING MODE

SAP said...

hi

SAP said...

thanks for your sma reading.

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