Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-I

50 comments:

Rajagopal said...

Babu - Jind-Saw can really go low - upto 190.
Arun - TCS is a worthy try at these levels - or will wait for a bit lower ???

Piyush Sharda said...

reposting

sir,

when market rises fast and hits resistance (channel;) shows divergence and spends time there. day hema and ema rises, similarly when market falls shows pos divergence and spendas time there low ema falls.

sir will it not be better to initiate short positions after close below day hema and long above close because hema rises as market spends time on top and lema falls when market spends time at bottom. loke dhema is already 5299 now

youtubeuser said...

Thanks rajagopal sir. I am planning to keep my TCS short until 770 levels. Since I am not following Jindalsaw stock, could u please suggest this - Did u went short on Jindal Saw?

Viren said...

Learning EW,

Yes. But strictly intra.

@ All,

Somebody had mentioned hotel Leela yesterday here, repeatedly. It's up about 3%.Pls keep posting such useful data. Thanks.

Unknown said...

Respected seniors

after entering the 10'clock data 5EMA changed in to green before it was in red ...what is the inferance ....as a new i am not able to understand please any body explain me .....and how to use the given excel tell me please if not possible now after trading hours also ....my mail id is "saptasaila@gmail.com"

thanks
SRINIVAS

SMALLTRADER said...

Dear Rajagopal Sir,

one of the broker said market NS AROUND 5600 THE REASON BEHIND IS ALL CORPORATE YEAR ENDING RESULTS MAY GOOD PLEAASE GIVE UR VIEWS

Piyush Sharda said...

nifty in a equi triangle in 5 min 75% probablity upside 25% downside

Ilango said...

@ Piyush,

Market actions are not similar at every tops.
When we take action bases on the above and market tests our patience, you could do as per TA by waiting for the first sign of weakness and initiate a trade OR near the channel res. and have a SL & sit tight. There are instances where market has fallen steeply thereby not giving a better entry price.

= = = = == = == = = == = = = =

VAL @ 5315 has been holding.
One could attempt an intra long here..SL 5310NF.

= = == = = == = = = = == = = = ==

Viren said...

Narrow range of 16 points in the nifty for the past 90 minutes.Watching VAL as action point.

However if the seller from yesterday afternoon does not return,buyers will take it much higher.

That being said,trade facilitation on the upside is poor as 5334-5344-5351 are proven resistances.

DCStrader said...

Viren

thanks

Piyush Sharda said...

broken down, hope our shorts will be blessed

assortZ said...

gm all

Piyush Sharda said...

thanks sir, those r still for study. money is only put when u say.

Viren said...

Hotel leela- 4%.

Who gave this view? I liked it becuase you spoke about buyers and sellers :)

Babu said...

@RG
Sorry just now got a call from broker, Unitech long only once if crosses 74.20, so my order not executed.

prakash said...

Is this our beloved ilango only or some one else..

http://www.theautomotiveindia.com/forums/showthread.php?s=77d2266fc397a79e61169377b2f859e9&t=351&page=4

Prabhakar said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all blogmates

KGovind said...

Good morning to everybody.

Sir,

u have any idea about Tata Communication?

It is around 280 with 272 as recent low. Ever since it broke 330 support, it and closed below 300, it has never tested the 330 levels.

If mkt keeps going up, at some pt, will these kind of stocks also not test previous support level. So a 20% gain is possible for a 3% risk.

MTNL is also having the same story - although stop loss is much lower than ZTatacomm

Rajagopal said...

Arun/Babu - Holdig TCS short.
Went short in Jindsaw - holding long from lower levels - exited

Viren - This is a hit and run stock ("Punter counter" - even buyer/seller could be manipulated). Please be careful - take what we get and re enter strategy.

KGovind said...

Sir,

The low for Bajaj sugar in July 2009 is 129. That level is providing support now. So why is your stop loss 130 and not 128?

Rajagopal said...

Babu - n Unitech from 72. Holding.

Babu said...

@RG
I am holding short tata motors,jindalsaw,suzlon,unitech. Unitech reverse if crosses 74.20 ( future price). As usual Sir's nifty short.
Any calls from your side?

Babu said...

@RG
TCS short also holding

KGovind said...

Sir,

Please do not mistake me. The way I asked about stop loss for Bajaj is looking rude. I did not write that to point your mitake.

My intention isonly to make sure that nobody suffers because of a wrong stop loss.

Rajagopal said...

Spice Jet is also showing some movement due to take over bid rejection. Price may go up to help stronger bargaining. Keep a watch.

Babu said...

@Govind
Ilango sir told its for investment. If i am in your place, i will not put any stop loss( If Sir mentioned also) . Reset Sir has to say

Rajagopal said...

Babu - RPower and Spice. TataMotor-Long c/f,TCS,

Axis Bank on short call. Pls check.

Prabhakar said...

Mr.Ilango Sir,

I am long in NF at 5314 with SL 5310. Pl.advice exit level.
Thanks

Ilango said...

@ Govind,

I do not follow Tatacomm. And MTNL is a dead stock..I have watched it over 10 years.

Stop loss varies to each individual based on their criteria and each one will justify theirs.

My SL is generally small as I try to pivk the tops & bottoms with my little knowledge of EW. I get stopped out at times and often I get good entry prices. I try to give back to the market less than I take from it.

Even now, when I gave an intra buy suggestion near VAL @ 5315, my SL is 5310 based on intra chart's "OS" position. If I go wrong, it is a 5 point loss. If I get it correct, 20-25 point gain.

I did not find anything rude in your question. If I don't answer sometimes, it is not because I am upset but it could be because I may have been busy or did not have a good answer..etc.

Ilango said...

@ Prabhakar,

If POC @ 5323NF is crossed, then 5334(VAH) is a logical target..

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Sir

Babu said...

@RG
RPower, i made blunder at the time of IPO.. applied on 17 accounts.. was able to sell only 9 accounts when listed with 15 rs profit. After that keep averaging it :) I hate this stock :)

Prabhakar said...

I agreed your WORD Mr.Babu

KGovind said...

Sir,

Thank u for replying. Now my mind is at peace.

I agree about MTNL. I remember buying MTNL for Rs 155 in 1999. I sold in 2006 for same price.

I only suggested because both MTNL and Tata Comm are near lows just like sugar stocks.

manu said...

@ govind

if u look d past if anybody invested in any tata group stock march 09 ..gets almost 200 % return tl date..but TC(earlier VSNL) saw a steep fall frm 500 lvls to 280(fii liquidated long positions)evn n bad times it ws always abv 500..

Vsnl has a huge land bank

Ilango said...

@ Govind,

Sugar stocks are commodity type and they tend to move in one direction after reversal well like steel, cement & oil stocks. That is a difference worth remembering...it helps in your trading of these stocks well.

Telecom stocks are often affected by news events. However, they too will work with TA.

If you are able to spot divergences, then make a trading plan and execute it.

Babu said...

@Govind
I think in all cases it not like that. For example, when i completed my 12th, My aunt given me 108 reliance shares( she got those as bonus) before reliance demerger. Still I am holding it. Can you guess how much worth it now?.after demerger I got 108 shares for each different reliance company

Viren said...

RajaGopal,

Which was the stock you were talking about?

KGovind said...

Babu sir,

I remember buying SAIL from 1997 onwards till 2000. I bought it for Rs 20, again averaged for Rs 12, again averaged for Rs 8, again averaged for Rs 6, again averaged for Rs 4 and when it came to Rs 2 range, I decided SAIL was only going bankrupt and stopped averaging, but did not sell my investnents. From Rs 2 or so, it multiplied more than 100 times in 10 years.

I have never seen an index stock multiply 100 times in sucj a short time in my life. I do not think I will ever see such a stock ever again.

I sold most of SAIL between 50 and 60. On that day CNBC said SAIL was the 7th biggest market cap company, so I decided SAIL was no longer value stock. I used SAIL money to buy e0serve, HTMT, geometric, etc

bimon said...

tata chem looks like on the verge of a good upmove of 40-50 rs. in next few sessions.

KGovind said...

And I sold e-serve for Rs 975 tender offer. HTMT for Rs 360 and geometric for Rs 130 (before split of 5 for 1 ???)

Rajagopal said...

Viren:
Hotel Leela - punter's delight. Though it was spotted well by our friend - i am just entering/exiting 1 lot at a time.

Fun is it allows both side trading intra.(Promotor Leela Penta very enterprising Lady in 70s and 80s).

Viren said...

RajaGopal,

It was a good spot.

It also looks to have broken above a horizontal TL from mid-jan with good volume.

On a lighter note, you seem to be well versed with all punters. How about anothet excel- "Punter's calls"

Prashant said...

If the 4th wave terminated with the downmove to 5205, this fifth can extend upto & beyond 5400. Personally i think this scenario may work out. Long @ 5305 (NS) SL 5300 Target 5340 and above

Niftybaaz said...

GA all Blogmates and Illango ji

sir conwe initiate a fresh short at you given logical target of 5334, for positional shorting as per all disscussions going on here

regards
vikram

waiting for reply from all also

SMALLTRADER said...

rajagopal Sir,

i am short in tcs can i hold the same

Prabhakar said...

Prashant Sir, target 5340 is NF/NS?

Ilango said...

= = = = == = = = == = =

NEW POST DONE

= == = == = = == == = =

Prashant said...

@ prabhakar
its spot

Unknown said...

hi
i have tcs 2 call 840 shorted at 20 now its 9.50
can i book it ?

bank nifty i have shorted at 9160
can i avrage

anyone guide me please

Post a Comment

Retracement strategy, a must for traders.

 Trading strategy that works wonders besides the supports & Resistance is " Retracement strategy ": The strategy that has wor...