Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-II


48 comments:

Anonymous said...

ilango do you suggest shorts at cmp

Ilango said...

"OB" hourly may be traded with a "Writing of 5100 CE".

A J said...

Hi Ilango,
I am planning to make an EW calculator in excel
Now as we know there are various possibilities in EW ,the idea of calculator sounds weird....but still i want to start and see where I end up
can you tell me which values of retracement I should consider while calculating retracements?

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ot1WH5p4Xr4/S1LM-_Gc25I/AAAAAAAAGG4/K2SmTh-lEfo/s1600-h/0.PNG

Check above this is from your EW post some time ago...
Retracement values are given in Blue (most common) and Red (common)
Which values should i consider....Blue ....or should I take average of blue and red value?
Cheers

Ilango said...

Intraday "Turn time" - 2.30PM.

IT index intraday candle shows a topping out. To be watched..

Ilango said...

hi..Anuj,

Try with the "Blue" ratios.

I would like to see the results though I feel it can not be mechanized. However, I feel, it would prompt us to consider the critical points of turning.

Good luck to you.

Umesh Javeri said...

Hello Sir,
"Writing of 5100 CE" means to buy 5100 Call or Sell ? Please explain.

Umesh

Babu said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Babu said...

@umesh
Its selling 5100 CE

prakash said...

umesh means selling of 5100 CE ie shorting..

Ilango said...

Interesting retracements:

5309 to 4675 in clear 5 - waves = 634 points.

38% retarce @ 4917 - Market corrected from 4930.

50% retrace @ 4992 - Market corrected from 4992.

62% retrace @ 5067 - Will the market oblige..?

Now the "Risk-reward" has changed.
This uptrend from 4675 has consumed 15 days.

Umesh Javeri said...

Thanks Babu and Prakash

Anonymous said...

scalp trade

sale 5023 nf
sl-5040

A J said...

@ilango..
Ok thanks I will use blue values...
even i have read that people have failed to provide a mechanized way to EW...the way i think it will help is finding the possible point of reversal or wave end ...and then switching over to lower time frame to see divergence and taking position as per wave direction
It will help to quickly identify possible wave in all stocks and give a broad view...Let's see

mm said...

sir
hw u drived at 5067 and 62%?
regards

Babu said...

Sir,
i need your words in Laymen language :) if you don't mind

Prabhakar said...

Hi! Rajnish,

How to trade Scalp trad? Any trading tools required?

Thanks

Anonymous said...

hi prabhakar

scalp trade is to take quick profits

no tools required except brokerage account and capital

r m said...

@Manu
It is 62% retracement of fall from 4310 to 4675.
Regards.

r m said...

error.. fall from 5310 to 4675. :)

Anonymous said...

book profits 5013 nf scalp trade

10 p gain

Prabhakar said...

Mr. Rajnish Sir,

How can we identify Entry, Exit and SL?

Thanks

Anonymous said...

prabhakar

with 'OB' readings you can identify opportunities.

mm said...

Hi rm//long time
why 62% is taken as we didnt reached 5067?
i m poor in ths retracement thing

r u still member of kadiyali blog

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Mr. Rajnish

Anonymous said...

prabhakar

scalp trade gives quick 10 points after entry

google it for more

rajnishp78@gmail.com

r m said...

@Manu,

I am technically illiterate but all charting softwares provide fibonacci retracement levels!
I am only member of "Just Nifty" now!
Regards.

Ilango said...

Retracement calculations.

Fall from 5309 to 4675 = 634 points.

38% of 634 = 242 + 4675 = 4917
50% of 634 = 317 + 4675 = 4992
62% of 634 = 392 + 4675 = 5067

Keep doing retracements for all time frames for initiating a trade.

mm said...

thnx
rm ..i think u r prabhanshu guided me 2 ths blog..
thnx again
and good to hear that u r out of that tukka(kadiyali) trading blog..

Anonymous said...

i have uploaded fibonacci calculator

link:

http://www.4shared.com/file/232698998/2d363f2b/Fibonacci.html

thank you

mm said...

thnx sir
cant be much simpler than tht

Anonymous said...

thank you ilango for giving wonderful platform to share my work

Ilango said...

@ Rajnish

:)

Ashish said...

"""IT index intraday candle shows a topping out. To be watched.."""

sir whats view on IT index now????

Hitendra said...

Sir

Nifty is at near day high, Short for next day?

Thanks

Arunima said...

Dear, Anuj,
There is a world famous software to provide a MECHANIZED WAY TO EW...
called ELWAVE, [LAETEST VERSION ELWAVE 9.2]
The ultimate trading and learning tool for the Elliott Wave Principle.

see the details:-

http://www.traders.com/Reprints/PDF_reprints/PS_ELWAVE9.PDF
=============
ELWAVE Supported data feeds and formats with METASTOCK(esignal data feed).

Thanks & Regards.

Anonymous said...

ashish

it index in range from 2 pm

ilango is right

Anonymous said...

it is not advisable to short nf for tomorrow

buy 5020 nf
sl-4980

square off tomorrow morning

Ilango said...

hi..Ashish,

That 5-minute candle failed to put pressure on IT Index.

I generally do not suggest taking position at the last hour. As has happened in the past, both possibilities (gap up/ down) exists with US dollar index at its top.

Babu said...

Sir,
Part booking done at NS@5025

Ilango said...

This is the first day of closing above 50 day average(5013). It needs to be followed up with an upmove tomorrow.

Ilango said...

Good job, Babu. :)

Anonymous said...

bye all

thank you

Ashish said...

thnx ilango, got ur point!!!!

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

Ilango sir,
As per TA, one should go long at about Low EMA and go short at around High EMA. But what should be the strategy after the break out of High EMA....? if after break out of High EMA, long trade is intiated when profit should be booked...?or else after break of High EMA, at what level one should go in short position...?

-arpit

Babu said...

Sir please answer to @Arpitg. i am also trying to learn.. (your EOD Analysis made me to learn). beginers will have this type of questions

Ilango said...

hi..arpit,

After the day high ema , there is week high ema from where the intraday sell off took place on Friday and Nifty has closed above that now. We will look at Month high ema which would come around 5075+.

62% target @ 5067
Zigzag target @ 5090
Inverse H&S target @ 5100+

As we get closer to these levels, look out for daily OB or -ve div as well as a -ve div in Hour.

Market can still surprise us inspite of all that. By then, we would have ridden 50 to 75% of the move in profits.

A J said...

@arunima
thanks for the link
Probably Ilango is a better person to review it....we are good in download it!!!(if its free....he he )
I will work on Excel calculator and see if something simple and effective can be made....
Effectiveness Ilango will test !!!......:)
Cheers

mm said...

sir
chart update at close or closing price..

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