Friday, November 20, 2009

Nifty PreMarket View



40 comments:

DKG said...

Hi, Good Morning Ilango !!

Ilango said...

GM, Dinesh.

DKG said...

Hi Ilango,

What about nifty? I sent u a mail yesterday evening please reply...

Ilango said...

Hi..Dinesh,

Check your mail..I did reply last night.

You will get info. on that from "Rajandran" of Market Calls.(Link provided in my "Blog List".)

rajnish kumar said...

sir, i want to learn EW and channeling techniques. . can you please guide me where to get the tutorial on the internet.

Renu said...

Dear illango ji,

have we finished 1st wave at 4946 where will its confirmation come.

Thanks

Ilango said...

Hi..Rajnish,

Learn simple TA such as Channelling, Chart patterns, (Reversal patterns, consolidations, etc), Simple Momentum indicators(Roc, Stochastics) & Directional indicator (Macd) from some of the links in this blog such as "Traders Ring", "Education TA/ EW".

As you get a grip over these, trade based on these with very small quantity of shares(You don't get hurt but learn & you will have less fear to handle small).

After these, if you still want to learn more, learn the very basics of EW and start seeing waves in each chart & market moves..

As they say, "Best way to learn a language" is to think in that language. I did that with Hindi & English.(I was a graduate and couldn't speak a sentence in English...that was our Educational system then, now improved , I guess).

Similarly, if you want to master EW, look for waves..you may make errors in labelling initially but you will get over them soon.

Thats it for the day..

Ilango said...

Hi..Renu,

There are few possibilities there..We may have ended there or one more downswing after a sideways move.

Even if we have finished the "i" wave, the "b" of the second can be irregular if bearishness is strong..Lets keep that in mind.

Best thing is "Calculate how many points it has retraced during this down move from 5079". When ever, it retraces that much, fine tune & sell till a HH & HL is formed.

Renu said...

illngo ji,

Best thing is "Calculate how many points it has retraced during this down move from 5079". When ever, it retraces that much, fine tune & sell till a HH & HL is formed.

didnt get it properly could you please tell again.

Thanks

Unknown said...

hi llango,
do u think option prices too must be following ew count?? if not all then atleast at the money nifty strike options, giving an early signal....although risky they can give hansome returns...can we try this on a trial n error basis once? worth a try i think...

d.a said...

sir i hav a doubt ...as u say about opening brkout if it crosses above 4983 we got to buy nifty keeping pivot ie 5002 as a target na sir ..or is there anything wrong in my perception ....

Ilango said...

Hi..ankitsolanki,

Why label the "Options" but follow the EW of its underlying and trade in them. One should also remember to "BUY" in a big move and "Write" in a Sideways move. Judging such a possibility is crucial for Option trading based on EW.

"Sitting tight" is the ultimate challenge. And ability to accept our mistakes & rectifying them promptly.

Ilango said...

Hi..d.a,

Firstly Refer the "Always start trading with these" link at the top of this blog.

1. Trend: Just reversed to Down. Follow up confirmation is required.
2.Pivot, support & resistances: As we have been falling since yesterday, with -ve global cues, we took the first support @ 4950 and bouncing. SO if you want to go long , then 4950 should have been the right one.(And remember you are trading against the trend). As I have shown in the chart, the moves were expected to be choppy.
3.ORB- works in a trending market well. So I would mostly use this to trade a long in an uptrending mkt & short in a downtrending mkt. Also on critical reversal days..
4.Divergence: As the fall is after a multiple negative divergences, trade shorts with appropriate levels.
5.SAR: SAR gives whipsaws in a sideways mkt. So far, not worked today..

So the best way to trade today is keep the levels, use intra charts with stochastics & rsi, play for small moves.OR sell at higher level once & hold.
3.

Hemanta said...

Dear, d.a,
Pls note: previous day closing price is also a cirtical resistance(specially when the market trend is down).
Unfortunately today it appears just above the ORB and restirct the nifty b4 pivot. Next time be prepare for such a common scenario. Also, it indicates more bearishness in the market.
Happy Trading.

d.a said...

thank u very much sir .. i very clearly understood ...there are so many technicals that is to be taken into consideration ...

Renu said...

illango ji,

we have retrached 133 points from 5079 to 4946 and u said "Calculate how many points it has retraced during this down move from 5079 ,When ever, it retraces that much, fine tune " ......wanted to know what does that mean .

Thanks

Ilango said...

Hi..Renu,

Since 5079 NS top, Nifty did so far 29 to 39 points pull back on three occasions during this down move(5017 - 5046 = 29; 4964 - 5002 = 38; 4946 - 4985 = 39).

Knowing the first 2 retracements, one would have sold @ 4984(a 38 point retracement) and even if the market rallies, the loss will be minimum or a rally could be sensed & could get out with profits. So far in the hourly charts, it is making LL & LH(Lower low & Lower High). So selling into retracements is the best strategy. That is what an EW does..

madhu said...

DEAR ILANGO
PL WILL U SEND ME UR EXCEL SHEET

Ilango said...

Hi..Madhu,

What's your mail id..??

DKG said...

Hi Ilango,

Please send me excel file also.

dinesh.dkg@gmail.com

MD said...

Dear Sir,

Plz send me excel file with procedure..

raj lakhani said...

Hi Ilango,

Please send me excel file also.
captrajlakhani@gmail.com
Thanks

Dr.G.RAMANI said...

Dear Mr.Ilango,

i strongly feel we can wait for a fresh shorts/sell in Nifty at-4929.if it breaks this level we expect a aggressive bearish trend.

for aggressive trader may go short at 4943 (will be the ideal break out for short.)

i need your opinion in this regard.


Illango,can u send me the excell sheet.
my id is focustheuniverse@gmail.com

Ramani.G

market-gyaan said...

Hi Ilango,
Nifty Future is trading near its 200 min ema on 20 min chart. If closes below it then see some more downside. Close at 12.40 is crucial. 11 candles taken support on it. So it will change the picture.

Regards
Amit

MD said...

Dear Sir,

Plz send me excel file with procedure..

my email : dare44uu@gmail.com

Ilango said...

I have sent the file to Dinesh.

I require your mail id - Madhu, dare..

Anandan said...

Hi Illangoji,

Can pl. send me the Excel file with guidance..
Thanks,
anandan.R

Anandan said...

Sorry my email ID : anandan777@hotmail.com
Thanks,
Anandan.R

Ilango said...

Hi..ramani,

4942 is the 5 day low. Yes, that is a better confirmation of a reversal.

5 day low is the basis of conservative trader but I have combined it with EW and selling into strength at the wave completion and now awaiting a confirmation.

i am sending the file to all who have given the mail id..

Share your experiences..

San said...

Hi Ilango sir,
I want to know wether the reversal in dollar happend or not. Because that may also add to the bearishness of the market. thanks in advance for your views.

Dr.G.RAMANI said...

Thanks illango,for your confirmation.

Ilango said...

Hi..San,

Dollar has not yet confirmed a reversal.

It might coincide with breaking of "4925 NS", I guess. If not, we are in for some surprises or choppiness..ahead.

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DKG said...

Hi,

I forwarded to all guys.

Dr.G.RAMANI said...

thank u dinesh&illango 4the excell sheet

Unknown said...

Sir kindly send your excel sheet with procedure .My ID: rboopathir@gmail.com

Koteeswaran said...

Excellent blog--
You said at 1230 pm today--
4942 is the day low. Yes, that is a better confirmation of a reversal.

5 day low is the basis of conservative trader but I have combined it with EW and selling into strength at the wave completion and now awaiting a confirmation.

"That is what happened----great...."

Please send me excel sheet with guidance. My email id is songainnatesh@yahoo.com

madhu said...

DEAR ILANGO SIR

MY EMAIL ID IS hnkascil@gmail.com.
PLEASE SEND ME EXCEL SHEET

Kamlesh said...

Respected Mr. ILANGO
I am regular reader of your blog. I do not have any knowledge of exel sheet. I will be thankful to you if you will be post me with some explaination please at krd53695x@gmail.com
Thanks
Kamlesh.

Anonymous said...

Dear Sir,
I am also like Kamlesh a regular follower of your blog and would be grateful if you could forward me the copy of excel sheet which you will be sending to Kamlesh or shall be grateful if Kamlesh can forward at ask1255@gmail.com

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