Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Nifty extends in its 5th wave down..

The low that was seen in the morning was the first wave of the 5th down and the same was confirmed on a break below 4670. It is clear that the fall from 4853 is subdividing and we are in its 3rd down and it will pause around 4485 and after a brief pause/ bounce, will make another low to complete a "5" from the 4853 high. Till then "sell" on bounces..
"Pivot Trading" gave a clear sell below 4751, when it broke the morning channel at 4715..we did not sell there..!?. Break of "4670" confirmed a severe fall which is where the Long was stopped out. This is some serious fall. When you look at it relative to the prices you saw a week ago, you tend to go for bargain hunting..Wrong. Time aspect has to be completed.
As Mr.Deepak pointed out, the "Tech table" gave a false buy @ 12.00Noon and reversed to a sell at 1.00PM and confirmed the same at 2.00PM. In a trending market, mechanical systems work best. We may have to leave our "brains" back at home and act dumb..and follow the markets mechanically.

3 comments:

PANKAJ SHAH said...

Dear Ilangoji,
some fibo nos.

we have corrected by 2162 pts from top of 17493.

23.6% of total upmove from 8047 to 17493 comes 2229 pts.

50% of move from 13220 to 17493 comes 2137 pts.

78.6% of move from 14684 to 17493 comes 2208 pts.

we have already retraced move from 14358 to 17493 by 100%.

we r very close to rsi trendline support on trend line running from low of 15332 made on LC day in jan08.

i feel we must seea bounce.

Pankaj Shah

Sunny said...

hi sir ge
plz give me update bank nifty and sbin tecnicals

srinivas murthy said...

sir ,

can you tell me how to calculate the weekly,daily,hourly ema.

please can you guide me
srinivas murthy
4.murthy@gmail.com

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