Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Nifty Intraday Update-III


22 comments:

Ilango said...

Whenever prices move above 8001, 5 sub-waves done from 8160.

Always monitor the prices using "last rise/ fall retrace" to stay with winning trades.

CDG said...

Supreme court de-allocate all coal blocks. More pressure might come combined with the expiry tomorrow

Piyush Sharda said...

sir,
5.1 wud be 8025-7992.7

Raman Kapoor said...

BUY THE RUMOUR SELL THE NEWS

Ilango said...

8025.35 to 7991.8 was read as "b" of "iv" and "c" ended at 8015

V.(i) was from 8015 - 7996.75.

V.(v) was the truncated low at 7960.60

Hence, monitor the rise from 7960.60 and there could be an irregular "b" below 7960.60 and this should be kept in mind..

I would not recommend to follow 2-min sub-waves unless they are confirmed by technicals.

Ilango said...

7993 7985 ... is 50%-61.8% retrace of the last rise from …… 7961 to 8025

80% is - 7974

If strength to return again, it should be around 7993 7985

Weakness gets confirmed Below 7985 OR 7974

Ilango said...

For the 5 wave fall from 8160 to 7950.
Bearish:
8055 8080 ... is 50%-61.8% retrace of the last fall from …… 8160 to 7950

80% is - 8118

If weakness is to return, it should be around 8055 8080

Strength gets confirmed above 8080 OR 8118

brijsolution said...

nifty Dsma 50..@ 7950... Nifty low 7950.05

Ilango said...

@ brijsolution ,

Correction:

Nifty 34-Dsma @ 7950... Nifty low 7950.05

sudharsan said...

Dear Master weekly trend is sell on rise ?????

Ilango said...

Other bearish scenario:

1/ A with 5 sub-waves done from 8160 to 7979.80

a:7979.80 to 8025.15
b:8025.15 to 7950.05
c:7950.05 to 8024.80.

3/C started at 8024.80.

This view negated above 8025.

Ilango said...

@ sudharsan,

Though week trend is "UP", there were -ve divergences and there is exhaustion above 8100 and WHEma has risen to 8104 with prices trading quite far from it.

If prices close below 8023 on Friday, the week trend would turn down.

Hence, we kept repeating in our pre-Mkt view of this "weekly weakness" and when day became overbought, the selling emerged swiftly.

Ilango said...

A small correction:

3/C started at 8024.80.

This view negated above 8025.
September 24, 2014 at 3:04 PM
===============================

3/C starting is yet to get a confirmation...

2/B could rise towards 8050, if holds above 7980 approx..

Prakash Tamilnadu said...

Master in retracement table Rise from 7540-8160 or 8180

brijsolution said...

Thanks sir..

Ya it was mistake..

Nilesh said...

@ sir,

if close above dlema 8000 than should we close short?

Raman Kapoor said...

Dear Sir,

Why are you not considering end of 4th wave from 7422 at 7950. Is it too early to consider it

Thanks

Ilango said...

@ Prakash Tamilnadu,

7540 to 8180.

Ilango said...

@ Raman Kapoor,

It is possible as there have been occasions the "c" has truncated.

Prices moving past "8065-85"/ "21/34 Hr smas" would be an early indication.

Ilango said...

@ Nilesh,

A suspected 5 wave - part booking alone could be done as these ST waves are deceiving while the ST trend remains down.

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