Friday, January 27, 2012

Nifty Intraday Update-III



51 comments:

mynac said...

Good Afternoon Everybody--

AJ said...

@ Rising Star
LOL, very important post someone wrote :))

http://jeebharkekamao.blogspot.com/2011/03/budget-day-as-exciting-as-india-eng.html

Rising Star said...

AJ: LOL. Yes..dats me.:):) I Had all the qualities which a trader should avoid. Prayin to god when pos gone wrong, looking for every post/blog of others who favoured by position and most important of all- over trading and no risk management. Phew!! Trying time they were. Becoming saner is something takes time to learn. Thats the reason i just watch and enjoy JN and its comment section.

Sujatha said...

Good afternoon sir and all :)

For Tamilians - "Sri Velukudi Krishnan" has started writing "Srimad Bagavatham" in Thuglak from this week. Who's interested may "start buy, read preserve and enjoy the calmness". May God bless.

Nifty is in "ventilation"???who and what news will come and take out the "ventilator"???

Hi dear Gujarat traders - sensex,nifty, BN all at "crucial" sentimentally..anybody knows what is that as u people are the "Key" for this sentiment trading.

Bye all.

AJ said...

@Rising Star
Look over your shoulder....I am standing in the same queue :D

Parimal said...

My Dear Rising Star
you said from my heart, it is my story altogether. no, i
am not ashemed of confessing. that is how my mind is.
now i feel that i should sincerely follow Sir Ilango.

LEARN TO EARN said...

YESTERDAY'S SGX HIGH WAS 5239. THIS SHDN'T BREACH FOR SOME TIME. BREAK OF 5170 ( LOW OF DAY 1ST SIGN OF TODAY 1ST GAP FILLED AFTER HUGE RALLY..AND GIVE SOME NUTS TO BEAR AT 5076 TO 5056 UNLESS UNTILL JNSAR SHORT NOT TRIGGER.

discipline focus said...

@ Blogmates ,
I hav given trades of last 6 months solely based n DAY.JNSAR in premarket vie
Today with trades. Here i give analysis of last 6 month trade on Hr.Jnsar , without
trades as mentioning all trades is not possible-

LAST 6 months HR.JNSAR TRADES-

TOTAL POINTS- 2694
NO. OF TRADES- 270
LETS ASSUME BROKERAGE PER TRADE =2
HENCE NET POINT = 2694-(270*2)= 2160
HIGHEST WIN= 270
HIGHEST LOSS = 93
MAX CONSECUTIVE WIN= 4
MAX CONSECUTIVE LOSS = 11
MAX POINT WIN CONSECUTIVELY = 515
MAX POINT LOSS CONSECUTIVELY= 270

THE ABOVE ANALYSIS IS FOR HR.JNSAR TRADES FROM 1.8.11 TO 25.1.12. NO OTHER INDICATORS LIKE MACD OR SCHOASTIC ETC. HAS BEEN USED. WHIPSAW OF 15-20 POINT MAX TAKEN. ALL TRADES HAVE BEEN TAKEN AND REVERSED HENCE THERE WAS A POSITION IN MARKET ALL DAYS OF 6 MONTHS.


DATA BASED ON SOLELY DAY.JNSAR TRADES HAS BEEN GIVEN IN PREMARKET VIEW OF 27/1/12
WITH TRADES MENTIONED.

regards
discipline

Bhavan said...

Sujatha ur ques answered by the index itself

Bhavan said...

heavy buyers waiting to enter once 200DMA is conquered

suresh said...

don't catch the running train
at top of the mountain

suresh said...

the train (ns) likely to slide down
by about 200 points

discipline focus said...

@ ILANGO SIR,
master i had sent a mail on tuesday and resent on thursday with some doubt
, still awaiting your reply. Please reply when you get time sir

Regards
Discipline

POWERTRADE said...

Reliance >>> Tata Steel >>> Tata Motors have to fall for
nifty >>> May be Monday a good day after so much grinding

Hitendra said...

PT,

best to put today.
dubba cutting started.

gauresh59 said...

Ohhh….got some mails from JN Blogmates asking for inspirational quotes.
But due to marriage ceremony of my son Dr. Arpit on 2nd February, Thursday, I do not get enough time to share quotes among the JN friends. I will remain sideways from 31st Jan to 3rd Feb and from 9th Feb to 16th Feb due to this auspicious occasion. Will start after 16th Feb…..

Tigar said...

@AJ,
Can you please update me on RIL 200Ema & 200Sma?

POWERTRADE said...

True Hintendra Ji ... volumes are drying day by day
i only fear tuesdays now as they give break outs or
break downs ... Rest all days just grinding

mynac said...

Dear PT,
Probably, next week or two shall decide its faith.i.e. Whether it is real one or a false one? 5100 PE writing since morning very clearly suggesting break out …particularly since last Hr.Even from PE writing evidence, it looks Bulls want to close above 200 DSMA ..Even today,So let us see.

POWERTRADE said...

but looking to the exhaustion ... looks like nifty dosent have
the stregth to move above 5250 ... as such .. rest market is
supreme ..

Hitendra said...

Holding 5200? Not good signs for bears. ...

mynac said...

Sellers try to drag down Nifty since morning but in spite of their huge cash selling today Bulls have maintained the upward momentum, and keeping Nifty above 5199,where only, high volume cash trade is there.

POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac @Hitendra ji,

thanks a lot :)

AJ said...

@Tigar
Me? Reliance EMA on Daily chart 834, SMA 841

Bhavan said...

@Mynac 200DMA might be crossed towards ending of the session so as not to attract sellers

suresh said...

can some one give the link of
EW chart given by sir ji.
of last 4/5 years wave pattern
thanks

Tigar said...

Oh, Yes. Thanks AJ for the Info.

AJ said...

@mynac and other option experts
Any idea which value do we put in "volatility" column in the option calculator?
Is it the VIX value? or annualized volatility, or implied volatility?
Thanks

Parimal said...

EW study
Sunday, August 14, 2011
No study is complete without application.

Tigar said...

@Mynac,
Toady huge addition in OI (first day Of series)
PE5000 - 13L
PE5100 - 15.3 L & PE 5200 - 11.7 evencash though cash
selling & near 200DSma... What does it suggest?
How do we guess is it Buying PUT & not writing?

Tigar said...

Typo : even though cash...

suresh said...

AJ ji,
put daily volatility and then do adjustment
with the volatility to get market call optium
premium value:
that will give you implied volatility

suresh said...

in Blacke and schole pricing model
for options

Parimal said...

on day chart Nifty price is forming a bearish (hanging man)
doji just as it was formed on 1.1.12 and 19.1.12

AJ said...

@suresh
Thanks, you mean in options calculator we use implied volatility?

mynac said...

Thanks Dear suresh.
Dear AJ,
I was not the fit person for the same. So could not answer..

Rising Star said...

Mastr- closing comments pls!

mynac said...

Dear Tigar,
Only “Price” itself is the answer..

suresh said...

one can also use Binominal option pricing
model and get the relavent informations

Hitendra said...

BN almost made up all losses from 9700 ...
No signs of weakness anywhere going into next week.

suresh said...

always plan for delta/theta neutral strategy
before executing

suresh said...

implied volatility,difficult to calculate
directly.
if anyone has the formulae for calculating
inplied volatility itm,atm or otm,
please provide the link/s
thanks

mynac said...

Dear Tigar,
It was not “Buying “,it is “writing”… is my understanding.

mynac said...

Thanks & Bye everybody...

Tigar said...

Thanks Mynac. I had hedged my shorts after found it
sustaining above 5200. Bye all.

Tigar said...

@Mynac, I have read somewhere that Market has a memory
of last big volume trading.Please recollect the last
europe event Nifty close 0n 26th Oct.2011 @ 5201.8 &
open on 28th Oct @5341.9. Will history repeat again

kat said...

Hi AJ,

on ICICI Direct option calculator it is
Volatility (% per annum)
so I guess it is % per annum you have to consider!

AJ said...

@kat
thanks, for the info :)

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