Monday, March 22, 2010

Nifty Intraday update-III

57 comments:

assortZ said...

2.00 pm close is below high/low ema..can we consider as confirmation for conservative shorts?

KGovind said...

Ilango sir,

Can i keep conservative short posn open as per pre market call. My avg cost is 5237 snd future is now trading at same price.

Niftybaaz said...

illangoji and raja ji

i have exited short in banknifty and now holding nifty short only......can we carry it if it close below 5 ema 5236

regards

Rajagopal said...

Stocks set to retreat at open
by CNNMoney.com staffMarch 22, 2010: 4:41 AM ET


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- U.S. stocks were poised to open significantly lower Monday following the House vote to approve health care reform.

Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were down ahead of the opening bell

Is 2.30 On?

Viren said...

RajaGopal,

ES has already bounced off 1147.Below that I see 1141.

Manu/

For Unitech I had mentioned a test of 72.3 earlier on the blog.Close above that is important for longs.

Viren said...

Intra shorts try to book out on this leg down.

5220 is a known buy zone.

Rajagopal said...

Welcome 2.30.

Viren - just thinking whether US -ve will set the tone for the day.

Rajagopal said...

Viren "for the week". With one holiday for us in between can there be pre-poned profit booking ?

satheesh said...

Ilango sir,

Can the shorts be carried forward as conservative shorts?

SMALLTRADER said...

DEAR rajagopal Sir,

i am short in renuka can i hold or ?????

Viren said...

I already bought some April PE of 5300 for my ST portfolio. The Low IV's make buying options lucrative.

Viren said...

That last comment is an answer for you RajaGopal.

If IV's increase now ( I see it happening) I will gain price wise and volatility wise.

Rajagopal said...

Small Trader.
I don't know. Have you covered your TMF short?

golfdude said...

Question for all the option experts - when options expire, is there a change/effect to the next months options ? Meaning, I see April 5000 PE at 54. There are more than 1 Cr Mar 5000 PE going to expire this week. My assumption is that these 2 are not related at all. Is that a valid assumption as far as any effect on April ? Assuming the market stays the same, Will there be a difference in option prices whether one buys the next month option before or after expiry of this month ?

Thx

gd

SMALLTRADER said...

Rajagopal,

No sir ...........

Rajagopal said...

Thanks Viren. I am learning. Thank you for sharing the knowledge.

manu said...

@viren sir
thnx..price action gvn by sir also suggests that

Rajagopal said...

Small Trader - Exited 793 short. Afraid about the Car.

Prabhakar said...

Dear Mr.Ilango Sir


Can I carry forward NF short initiated at 5255 as conservative shorts?

Thanks

SMALLTRADER said...

RAJAGOPAL SIR

As you mentioned its a crazy stock but i am waiting anither small hit????

Niftybaaz said...

Dear illango sir

sir please give us final words for today regarding traders holding shorts pl.

carry? /// exit intra?//// banknifty??

regards
vikram

Rajagopal said...

SmallTrader (ST) - ATB. Still holding Bharti? Do you track ABB?

SMALLTRADER said...

Rajagopal sir,


i have covered my short in abb and long in bharti sir

Babu said...

@Prabhakar
logically we should hold shorts coz, Sir asked to trade between 5140 to 5240.

lazydude said...

Anybody can help me with JSW Steel charts ?I am struck short in the stock around 1130.

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Mr.Babu.

Ilango said...

A most likely close below 5220(Day ema) confirms the sell.

The Conservative shorts were created after making a "Long trade" in the morning.

This is a "mild sell signal".

Starting the fall from "OB" area gives us confidence to carry over.

Rajagopal said...

Thank you Ilango - will carry my Short.

Thank you 2.30 for the Axe effect on 5220.

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Ilango - I will carry my Short.

manu said...

sir
can i hv view of ur critic on suzlon as sl ws 73..any changes do tell me..?

and ur sl fr unitech intact or ny changes?

Babu said...

Sir,
Please tell CARRY SHORTS :) , Coz last few days i am holding shorts which i started @5134... keep shorting from that day.. avg 5222.. and my normal QTY reached

Babu said...

@manu
we both are in diffrent directions :) Suzlon also i am in short

Rajagopal said...

Babu - My dear partner in crime. I am rescuing my short from 4940 to current level. Thank you for being in the boat. Very hard lesson learnt.

manu said...

is 2mmrw a holiday? confirm

manu said...

seems i m on the wrong side..but in nifty i m along with u..writing 5200 ce aprl @153

SMALLTRADER said...

no day after tomorrow ram navami

satheesh said...

Ilango sir,

Tatasteel has reached a low of 626.9, where it has just touched the channel line. What are the chances of breaking the line - you have mentioned breaking 625 will lead break the channel. Break the channelupto???? Please guide.

assortZ said...

@raja..am not in any crime for last one week..enjoying and learning with ilango sir’s and other fellow friends guidance here…long@5135 booked and 5257..and short@5260.. carrying

Viren said...

Closed my intra short early.

But I think I will get a chance to reload tomorrow morning at 5220.

Ilango said...

@Manu,

There are no positions in Unitech. It got stopped out @ 73.50 on 16th. Subsequent buy @ 69 - 70 did not come through and looking at the "OB" conditions, I withdrew the buy the next day.

Babu said...

@assortZ
what to do sir, to save few points... did mistakes...

Rajagopal said...

assortZ - good for you. As I mentioned very Hard lesson learnt. Will NEVER go against the trend. Worser is 4 lot short is rescued with another 20. Shame on me.

manu said...

thnx sir
suzlon stopped out today..hard luck..

Ilango said...

@ Satheesh,

There was one long trade in Tata steel this morning and I have not seen that till now. I generally bring the "finished trade" below the watch screen.

I will update in the eve.

satheesh said...

Rajagopal sir,

BRAVO - first and bold step for a successful trader -accepting mistakes.

Rajagopal said...

Bad Mistake Satheesh. I wrote it down and read it to myself.

assortZ said...

@babu,

Since joined this forum, only this is first time am seeing you in a crime .. I knew raja sir who is fond of crime and clever to get out of that :)

Rajagopal said...

Thank you All.

Dear Mok,RV9,Viren for contributing in the knowledge sharing(wrong word)/ GIVING noble act.

Thank you All again. Will Nifty see 5178 tommorrow?

SMALLTRADER said...

Rajagopal Sir,

tata motors bursted sir....

satheesh said...

Rajagopal sir,

I remember reading an article in another blog "chartreader.co.in" - from where I followed the link to Ilango sir's blog.

The author had mentioned that first all traders would make mistakes and blame market for that.

Next after trying out all tools will get few wining trades and get a feel that they have won over the market.

Again market will humble them by making them give "donations" - and finally the trader would oblige and listen to the market and become a seasoned trader.

I liked the word "DONATIONS" very much - apt for the situation.

Rajagopal sir my confession - I have donated quite a sum this March.!!!!

satheesh said...

Ilango sir - one request. Please post the charts of Reliance and SBIN also in stock wealth blog. Thanks

mo h said...

satheesh, in another site it was mentioned as "Tuition Fees"
:)

by the way, did you try SGXnifty in the morning ?

Babu said...

@assortZ
Friday i thought to exit my nifty short, and suzlon. but my broker stopped that and asked to exit tata motors and sesagoa which was in long.
Now holding nifty, tata motors,unitech,suzlon shorts. God only can save me i think :)

assortZ said...

@babu,

You have “midas touch”..you will be rescued :)

bye

Babu said...

@assortZ
I used to play CARDS when i was in college & University days. That time belief was, winning hand wins always until 1 lose reach. The same way belief was never change winning place.
With that belief only, I am doing trading. In Blog, I never lost any trade. Last trade I felt bad to close for loss even though Bank nifty given very good profit. So I started averaging it to make it win…. Very bad belief and bad habit…need to change

rochak parekh said...

dear rajgopal
what do u think now about my mcdowels long @ 1395, bharti long @ 292, infosys long @ 2745 hedged by mini short@5262 and RIL put 1050 march @ 2rs, now trading @ 3rs, kindly advise and obilige @ asap
thanking u
rochak

Paresh said...

can anybody tell for sure whether i should exit my 5200 put or not ?????

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