Monday, December 28, 2009

An Invitation to enter the world of Elliott waves.(Part-1)

Success in the stock market is measured in terms of money earned. Luck is how the envious describe hard work and the successful use of skilled judgement.
Stock market offers no absolutes that it will do what it wants to do, when it wants to do it.
You need a guide to help define probabilities and the knowledge to weigh them, followed by the confidence to act on your own judgement and not be thrown off-balance by the arrival of the improbable.
The most rewarding aspect of the wave principle is that when only one option is offered, the probability of success is extraordinarily high. Markets are efficient but 90% driven by emotions and these emotions are reflected by the Nature's Law called "Elliott waves" named after Ralph.N.Elliott who discovered it and effectively applied to US markets on a larger time frame.
Most important intellectual quality for successful investment is the ability to keep an open mind. The biggest mistakes are made by those who do not know what they do not know. Genius is nothing but a great aptitude for patience.
The precise order of wave formation can often seem obscure, riddled with random noise, leaving you totally confused as to the position of the market within the framework of the overriding elliott trends. The forecasting error is not due to Elliott's wave principle but to our misuse of it. Markets and Elliott wave principle are like the Delphic Oracle; neither are ever right or wrong, they just are.
Be realistic - that is the best way to make money from the wave principle. When in doubt, Stay out. Even a slight acquaintance with the wave principle will reinforce your performance.
Markets are technically strongest after a sharp decline and technically at their weakest after a sharp upmove and EW suggests to sell into the strength and buy into the weakness quite contrary to the crowd behaviour.
Before you'd have been petrified by the falling markets. Now you can place them in context - a mere corrective wave, possibly time to buy in with both hands.
Before you were tempted to get wildly enthusiastic about bull markets getting yourself right at the top of the market every time. Now you see that the prices are rising in the fifth wave and you sell the market when there is euphoria all around.
Market's movement is a psychological phenomenon. The stock market is a creation of man and therefore reflects human idiosyncrasy. Wave principle represents this rhythm of man's response to external stimuli which shows itself in price fluctuation.

I feel no opportunity should be lost to help you understand this extremely valuable and potentially highly profitable investment tool. I want you to think, live and breathe Elliott and his wave principle.

I have put up a Elliott wave Tutorial Link in the blog. Go through them which are quite simple and lucid to understand. Spend your valuable time on them and allow it to take you through the whole teaching....and do not struggle to understand. If necessary go over again. From next week, we will start discussing various application of the Wave principles to our trading strategies.

15 comments:

GSM said...

Dear ilango sir,

This EW is totally new subject for me.For your teaching i want to say HOLEHEARTEDLY THANKS to you.

Sanjay said...

Dear Ilango Sir,

As far as I am concerned, this act of yours (of teaching the community) will make us best community in the whole of India. We will always be your disiplined pupil for the rest of our life.
Thanks you again for all the good work.

Sanjay Jaiswal

ramsfm said...

Dear Ilango..
I am very much intersted to learn EW..
I heard that EW is very difficult to understand from many of my friends... Now with help of you i can able to finish this without difficult..
Thanks,
Ramesh

Sathya said...

Dear Ilango Sir,

Thanks for Moulding us in a phased and disciplined manner.

Sir i think the words have been mistyped "Market are technically strongest after a sharp decline and technically at he weekest after a sharp decline".

With Regards

Sathyamurthie

Ilango said...

Hi..Sanjay,

Though learning is a continuous process, I expect you to be as independent as I am sooner and you'll start to contribute to others your experience.

Hi..Ramesh,

My father would always encouraged me with these words.."If someone can do "this", you can also do this". Add to this Swami Vivekanand saying, "Everyone is created similarly but it is how we apply ourselves bring about the difference".

I assure you EW is just a kindergarten stuff of "counting" (as well as remaining not counting at times).

hi..Satyamurthie,

Thank you for correcting my "mistyping". It is a very important point that separates TA from EW. After steep declines, TA remains in sell mode while EW starts to BUY seeing a completion of a particular wave.

Best regards.

ilango

Unknown said...

Sir,
You share your immense knowledge, teach us, make us to learn and earn...what more can we ask from you...
Wish you and all the readers a HAPPY NEW YEAR..
Thank you,
prabha

MD said...

Dear Sir,

I have no words for you efforts towards enlightening others by sharing your knowledge.

This is the best thing i have learned from you.

I have made your site as my home page and always very keen to see your updates.

Thanking you,
Dare

Saif said...

This is another nice initiative sir..The content in Elliotwaveclub from Robert Prechter is especially good..i myself have been going through in the holidays and trying to relate to this ongoing ABC correction...
thanks

Elliot Wave India said...

Can you present EW counts on Gold? I did counts and we are in 5 wave on Monthly basis since 2000 but on daily basis I am undecided!

ATMO said...

hi illango,
i am very much impressed by your work and the simplicity shown. After doing such a great work you did'nt expect anything from anybody, that shows - you are in the path of seeking the ultimate liberation.i bless and wish you attain what ever you may wish..let it be your's very soon.

love,
Atmo

madhu said...

Dear Ilango sir,

There was complete darkness around me.A ray of light emerged from deadend of my life.It was a ray that enlightened me , shown me the path, gave a new lease of life,taught me to keep an open mind,be realistic.Sir,I am a Hindu by religion but you are my Jesus .
May God bless you and your family with all happiness.

satheesh said...

Thank You Ilango Sir for your efforts May god give you all the health and prosperity for your everlasting selfless service. I sincerly hope and have faith that the year 2010 will be a year with less mistakes (hopefully NO mistakes)in trading for all your followers with your valuable guidance.

enkay said...

Ilango sir,
can we derive at the monthly range of nifty using EWT ? pL. guide.

madhav said...

can any one of u explain about this Fibonaci Calculator
my mail id:m.sripathi18@gmail.com

Prasanna said...

Ilango Sir, Thanks much for such an interesting article

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