Friends today is expiry and lets have a contest here.september Nifty Expiry Guessing Contest.The rules are simple- There are only 3.a) Just call out the series close for september.b) No wild guess. A reason is must. Everybody must give a expected close figure and reason for that.no range (4000-4050) ,only one figure e.g.4000c) You need to do entry between 9:15 to 2:30, hurry upSeniors plz contribute.
@VK soni,My guess 5959 Nifty Spot. Reason. I guess downmove from 6142 has stalled at 5800 levels. Before the downwards journey begins, a retracement till 6020 might happen to cover the gap made 2/3 days back. and from there we might see 5500-5600RS
Good Morning master And Friends... My Expiry Guess number @ 5937 ....Reason a =c ( 5811-5884)- 5864 + 73 = 5937
Expiry at 5841 ...200MA
My expiry guess is NS @ 5921Reasons: Wk HiEMA & 0-b BO/BD point (on daily chart)
My guess for Expiry is 5929 which 34HrSMA & JNSAR and keep the traders confused to keep longs or short !!!
My expiry guess is 5905 avg of 21-34 hour smasince nifty closing between dhema and dlema from past three days so expect rangebound move
My expiry guess is 5879 - 10 Day EMA
MY GUESS NIFTY CORRECTED HOUR TT AND CORRECTING DAY TT. MY EXOIRY GUESS IS 5884 TOMORROWS PVT.
Based on call and put writing at 5900 level, I think nifty should close closer to 5900/+/-3
oops..the blogger shows unknown...I am Jyothsna
My expiry guess is 5937. Reason is nifty will try to touch the trendline after 3 pm session and then will fall back averaging to 5937 levels
My expiry guess is 5950-5970. Just near the Daily High EMA
My expiry guess is 5942 developing high ema.
Bharat Kumar just one figure not range
dv pandit reason?
my expiry guess is 6025 , the entire gap filling created after fed event.
@ ilango sir,Now that 5880 has broken which is also the 21 HrSMA,Would it be right approach to go short here with stops above DEma ?
@V.K Soni - 5960 then
There was a rising wedge on NS 5-min chart. which has been broken
A possible Head & shoulder formation link
my guess 5838, DLEMA-20
Dear Ilango Sir & Blogmates,OI Table Update at 1:00PM, Pivot-5878, S1-5832, R1-5935, VWAP-5890Equally distributed addition at 5900 level with slight edge with the CE writers, the combined VWAP for the same is 46, Probable range based on the same comes to 5854-5946…Thanks & Regards
Approx one hour to go for contest closing
5795.. Last day to retrace 5798 fastly.
@ Stockathon,A small bear flag. Below 5890, fall continues..
Based on call and put writing at5900 level, nifty mayclose to 5900
Closing will be near 5850 which will turn the DAY MACD DOWN.
sir, the rise from 5865-5900 is findign consistent support around 5878 61.8%..should not this be considered bullish?
@ Vksoni ji:Pl accept my expiry estimate as 5793. WkEMA may try to stablize
@ sarvesh sharma,The correction is for the rise from 5811.Continue to be above 38%-5866. Remains bullish till above 5845, 61.8%.The bear flag discussed is for the intraday fall.
thank you, sir! may do i ask you how to manage two positional trade set ups..one is the longs from 5820 yesterday and then jnsar trade set up is also there..do we have to opt between two or we should trade some ratio of longs:shorts depending on which trade set up we want to prefer to trade?thanks and regards
My Guess : 5878
my guess 5841- 200dma
and sir, thank you for the advice that you gave me few days back..i actually reduced reading ahead stopped applying new things to trades..some of the things which i have started practising have started to produce results..
Thanks a lot Sir!This helps in knowing that 21 HrSMA as many times stated by you turns out to be crucial for aggressive trades as well for adding to existing JNSAR shorts.
My guess is 5845 being 61.8% retrace of last rise from 5811 to 5900 - M S Rao
@Shriram Sir,You mentioned about the High Probablity WW developing with target near 5950. Is it still valid?
@ Stockathon,Preferably "Closing below 21 hr sma" is bearish. Being a settlement day, whipsaws if we take the actual breach. "Closing is better."
@vksoniExpiry at 5900 (av. of low, high & close 5ema)regards
@ vk soni ji, my expiry guess is 5890, just below the d5ema and that ensures smooth rollovers and premium eating of calls and puts both
Wherever it may go UP or Down it will close here itself near 5890.So my expiry guess is 5890.Reason: Option Data signifies a tight range in between 5870-5900.
v k soni................. My Expiry Guess is 5968.8..... Month High Ema (prev.)
VKSONIMy expiry guess 5800 to break yesterdays low
ns close 5840: between day's lower camarilla
New Post Done.
Today expairy @5841(200 DMA)
Unable to cross above 5895 since morning, attempted 4 times???
My expiry Guess:5963Reason:At 2 pm price is above HHEMA, 25th DHEMA and pivot Day R2 very close number.
Thanks Sir!Will wait for the closing to take informed decision based on 21 and 34 HrSMA