Thursday, September 26, 2013

Nifty Intraday Update-II


54 comments:

vksoni said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
vksoni said...

Friends today is expiry and lets have a contest here.
september Nifty Expiry Guessing Contest.
The rules are simple- There are only 3.
a) Just call out the series close for september.
b) No wild guess. A reason is must. Everybody must give a expected close figure and reason for that.
no range (4000-4050) ,only one figure e.g.4000
c) You need to do entry between 9:15 to 2:30, hurry up

Seniors plz contribute.

RS said...

@VK soni,

My guess 5959 Nifty Spot. Reason. I guess downmove from 6142 has stalled at 5800 levels. Before the downwards journey begins, a retracement till 6020 might happen to cover the gap made 2/3 days back. and from there we might see 5500-5600

RS

sudharsan said...

Good Morning master And Friends... My Expiry Guess number @ 5937 ....
Reason a =c ( 5811-5884)- 5864 + 73 = 5937

shivanGupta said...

Expiry at 5841 ...200MA

Ganesh IMR said...

My expiry guess is NS @ 5921
Reasons: Wk HiEMA & 0-b BO/BD point (on daily chart)

Shiv Kumar P P said...

My guess for Expiry is 5929 which 34HrSMA & JNSAR and keep the traders confused to keep longs or short !!!

vksoni said...

My expiry guess is 5905 avg of 21-34 hour sma
since nifty closing between dhema and dlema from past three days so expect rangebound move

Aijaz said...

My expiry guess is 5879 - 10 Day EMA

m.veerasamy Maruthai said...

MY GUESS

NIFTY CORRECTED HOUR TT AND CORRECTING DAY TT. MY EXOIRY GUESS IS 5884 TOMORROWS PVT.

Unknown said...

Based on call and put writing at 5900 level, I think nifty should close closer to 5900/+/-3

Unknown said...

oops..the blogger shows unknown...I am Jyothsna

Aly said...

My expiry guess is 5937. Reason is nifty will try to touch the trendline after 3 pm session and then will fall back averaging to 5937 levels

Bharat Kumar said...

My expiry guess is 5950-5970. Just near the Daily High EMA

NEVER GIVE UP said...

My expiry guess is 5942 developing high ema.

vksoni said...

Bharat Kumar
just one figure not range

ting tang said...

my expiry guess is 6025 , the entire gap filling created after fed event.

Stockathon said...

@ ilango sir,

Now that 5880 has broken which is also the 21 HrSMA,
Would it be right approach to go short here with stops above DEma ?

Kiran said...

There was a rising wedge on NS 5-min chart. which has been broken

RainMaker said...

A possible Head & shoulder formation

link

SJkolkata said...

my guess 5838, DLEMA-20

Sanjay Jaiswal said...

Dear Ilango Sir & Blogmates,

OI Table Update at 1:00PM, Pivot-5878, S1-5832, R1-5935, VWAP-5890

Equally distributed addition at 5900 level with slight edge with the CE writers, the combined VWAP for the same is 46, Probable range based on the same comes to 5854-5946…

Thanks & Regards

vksoni said...

Approx one hour to go for contest closing

bobby singh said...

5795.. Last day to retrace 5798 fastly.

Ilango said...

@ Stockathon,

A small bear flag. Below 5890, fall continues..

salimkabani said...

Based on call and put writing at
5900 level, nifty may
close to 5900

Swami Shivkumaar said...

Closing will be near 5850 which will turn the DAY MACD DOWN.

sarvesh sharma said...

sir, the rise from 5865-5900 is findign consistent support around 5878 61.8%..should not this be considered bullish?

shriram said...

@ Vksoni ji:

Pl accept my expiry estimate as 5793. WkEMA may try to stablize

shriram said...

@ Vksoni ji:

Pl accept my expiry estimate as 5793. WkEMA may try to stablize

Ilango said...

@ sarvesh sharma,

The correction is for the rise from 5811.

Continue to be above 38%-5866. Remains bullish till above 5845, 61.8%.

The bear flag discussed is for the intraday fall.

sarvesh sharma said...

thank you, sir! may do i ask you how to manage two positional trade set ups..one is the longs from 5820 yesterday and then jnsar trade set up is also there..do we have to opt between two or we should trade some ratio of longs:shorts depending on which trade set up we want to prefer to trade?
thanks and regards

santosh said...

my guess 5841- 200dma

sarvesh sharma said...

and sir, thank you for the advice that you gave me few days back..i actually reduced reading ahead stopped applying new things to trades..some of the things which i have started practising have started to produce results..

Stockathon said...

Thanks a lot Sir!

This helps in knowing that 21 HrSMA as many times stated by you turns out to be crucial for aggressive trades as well for adding to existing JNSAR shorts.

marina s rao said...

My guess is 5845 being 61.8% retrace of last rise from 5811 to 5900 - M S Rao

Sonu said...

@Shriram Sir,

You mentioned about the High Probablity WW developing with target near 5950. Is it still valid?

Ilango said...

@ Stockathon,

Preferably "Closing below 21 hr sma" is bearish. Being a settlement day, whipsaws if we take the actual breach. "Closing is better."

Anand Kumar said...

@vksoni
Expiry at 5900 (av. of low, high & close 5ema)
regards

sarvesh sharma said...

@ vk soni ji, my expiry guess is 5890, just below the d5ema and that ensures smooth rollovers and premium eating of calls and puts both

Nitin Kadam said...

Wherever it may go UP or Down it will close here itself near 5890.
So my expiry guess is 5890.

Reason: Option Data signifies a tight range in between 5870-5900.





prashant shah said...

v k soni................. My Expiry Guess is 5968.8..... Month High Ema (prev.)

verash said...

VKSONI

My expiry guess 5800 to break yesterdays low

suresh said...

ns close 5840: between day's lower camarilla

Shyam Biyani said...

Unable to cross above 5895 since morning, attempted 4 times???

Sahil said...

My expiry Guess:5963
Reason:At 2 pm price is above HHEMA, 25th DHEMA and pivot Day R2 very close number.

Stockathon said...

Thanks Sir!

Will wait for the closing to take informed decision based on 21 and 34 HrSMA

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