Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Nifty Pre-Market View

Reader: You have given me enormous knowledge, confidence, system etc., of the market which cannot be termed in any thing, Thank you sir! Guruji, With the help of your Blackboard (BLOG) I could now able to understand little bit trend following, impact of different time frames on trend as well as corrections, likely profit booking/targets and reversal.
It seems, I understand that in downtrend intraday rallies are good opportunities for SHORT again & again similarly in uptrend intraday declines are good opportunities for LONG again & again.
However, every time I wait patiently to complete the rally in downtrend and decline in uptrend but I am not able to take position on right point & time. On the contrary I do nothing instead of thinking let it cross this point then again this point, let lead indicator do this or let macd move somewhere and hence, sit idly surpassing one by one candle and on exhaustion of the rally/decline I curse myself for not-acting on time & point. After the exhaustion of the move, I think with pride that my assumption was correct and should have taken the position at the crossover of EMAs or at the low/high of the candle.
What force is acting upon me? I have gone several time through your lesson "trade based on two time frames" taught on Sunday, April 4, 2010 but not able to grasp any thing about the entry criteria /entry point without fear. It may be the spoon feeding, but kindly do the favour for for me. What I have conveyed my difficulty it seems clumsy Sir, please do spare some time at your convenience to guide me about the simple entry criteria / entry point so as to enable me to take the bid confidently.
Answer: About the simple entry criteria/ entry points, you have stated appropriately, "in downtrend intraday rallies are good opportunities for SHORT again & again and similarly in uptrend intraday declines are good opportunities for LONG again & again".

What force is acting upon me? This too has been stated by you, "I do nothing; not able to grasp any thing about the entry criteria /entry point without fear; I think with pride that my assumption was correct". You know swimming but you aren't taking the plunge. We can teach you swimming but can not teach how to take the coldness of the water & deal with  the "feelings" that form in you when you swim...we can teach you cycling but can not teach you how to handle yourself while cycling in different terrains, traffic, etc. There is something no one can teach you is "to feel & face the reality".

Teaching is always done in "laboratory conditions" but acting or application is done in "real situations".
What you are experiencing is a common problem with most intelligent traders. Your intelligence is NOT THE GOAL. Realise it. Shift the goal post from "finding a trading plan" to "Trading the plan". The real "goal post" is "executing the trade plan" and only when you execute your trade, should you pat yourself and the scoring is done.
Till you realise this most important aspect of all life situations that "acting on your study, hunch, intuition alone will bear result and not getting your degree or certificate or finding a plan".

How to take the plunge: Trusting and believing in your intelligence when it works with total objectivity, initiate the trade as though it is the only right & logical thing to do. Act when you should and never after market has acted on it(that would be catching the running train). You have already done enough mental(paper) trades and now its time to execute few actual trades.....not just any trade but those intelligent trades which you are fond of patting yourself up.
Start feeling the "accomplished sense" when a trade is done and move on to the next trade... Take those trades of "selling into rallies" & "buying into declines" using fibonacci retracements even before the "indicators confirm" (Indicators take the cues from prices and hence act on prices and get confirmations from indicators later).

Start communicating with the market with your trades...she'll reward the sincere.
Get Rich Slowly and Quietly.

54 comments:

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Master & Friends,

dayakar said...

Pranams Gurudev.

Good Morning to All.

The_Unprejudiced_Observer said...

Excellent post.
Good morning.

durga said...

master,excellent write up.deer in headlights syndrome.
frozen.to act on facts need lot of courage,insight
and commitment. iread that there is the KNOWABLE
and the UNKNOWABLE components to ANY ISSUE,including markets
and the dangerous thing is to fill the gap with SPECULATION.
certainly all the positions are speculative in NATURE.
one has to realise the side effects and take the PILL.
good day.

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

RELIANCE Breaking support levels: CLICK HERE

Kranti said...

Thank you so much Ilango and the reader for asking this question..Its my question too..

Unknown said...

Thank you so much sir

Yash and Dhan said...

Good Morning sir and dear friends.
Once again Great post sir. I have understood trading
from you but your command over the language is also
something I am learning. Please start a blog for
improvement of writing skills. I will be the first
member to join it.

Yogavidya by Parimal Devnath said...

Dear Master
Namaste
this is my question as well. it is just very close to
my heart. yet sometimes i face with failure even though
i follow the market. thank you beloved Master for your sustained guidance
regards

Dinesh Rishi said...

Good Morning Master and copy to All

Zindgi kadam kadam pe deti h yu to dhoka ,
uski baat ban jati h jo na ganwaye mauka...

Lal Lal Lal Lal Dikhe Hay Muj Koo

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hc7Ow63KF7E

Akash Patel said...

anybody watching pre market opening? nifty is 5% up. what's the meaning of such session? can anybody explain. thanks.

POWERTRADE said...

DR Sir,

Ameeen

Unknown said...

Get Rich Slowly and Quietly.

Today's pre-market view "excellent excellent"

every trader must keep in there diary.

POWERTRADE said...

ANMPATEL

Only after 9.10 see market

mynac said...

GM Everybody...

mynac said...

Fibo retrac..80% 4886

POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac

Good Morning .. Ur night comments are bearing fruits now :)

Jayaraman said...

Good morning Ilango sir / Blog mates


@ Sujath ji,

Your prayers are answered and God is with you always.
Please pray for us also.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Today shani have moved to my income house

for 2.5 months

Graniers beers

subbu said...

good morning ilango sir and friends

mynac said...

Dear PT,
Very frankly to say so, that when many market players are yet too much bullish and not convinced with down move, when Nifty terribly traded since 2nd May, market likely to behave wildly, is simple logic behind that comment.

J.R.Julius said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac

A game to play with the Mass Perception :)

shiva said...

good morning, seniors..

Sujatha said...

GM sir and all :)

PT - shhhhhhhh crispyyyy dosas i had :) thinking of giving some idlis to others if LBB protected for some time. BN target almost nearby 9025 :D break of will ???? donno i didn't work out :(

Jayaraman sir - thanks :)

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Key Levels

H4 4990[BUY]
H3 4967[SELL]
L3 4919[BUY]
L4 4895[SELL]

Now Scenario 4
Price is outside the H4 and L4
Wait for the prices to come in range
and trade accordingly.

NEVER GIVE UP said...

good morning sir and all friends.

POWERTRADE said...

@Sujatha

Waiting for 4907 or break of 4860 now to short for another
chettinad IDLIS :)

POWERTRADE said...

@Sujatha

another good shorting oppurtunity now

Prabhakar said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all blog mates

POWERTRADE said...

@Ilango sir

Can we say this is the Deep cut that was expected ?

OR more to come

Hitendra said...

It is looking Ominous ...

Akash Patel said...

@PT
4860 gone. what next?

Prabhakar said...

Bears... bears...

SANPOT said...

Good Morning Master and blog mates.

Hitendra said...

As per Fibbonaci analysis, what retracement is now on?

Parminder said...

Master ilango and friends, good morning to all

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:

Let the price come to the mid point(4907) of
L3 & L4.

Then we can trade.

Till SOH(sit on hands).

Bhushan said...

Good morning Gurudev and friends

once again Sujatha ji Prayer listened

Ilango said...

@ PT,

As long as previous day's high or 2 day-high is not crossed, downtrend is intact.

Even if it crosses too, it needs to confirm with closes above DEma with follow up price action.

This, in a nutshell, trend following.

The falling wedge seems to be failing.

"4855"-camarill's L5 is the last hope for bulls "for the day for intra bounces".

It does look like the deep cut but gets confirmed only below 4750, 80% mark of the last major trending move-4531 to 5630.

POWERTRADE said...

anmpatel

May be 4817 and 4780

mynac said...

Dear PT,
One must not get carried away by this down move. Would avoid shorting @ whatever level…Let the market settle for a Hr.then should decide…4874 & 4881 are the high volume trades since morning…

POWERTRADE said...

Thanks a Lot @Ilango Sir

POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac


thanks a Lot

Sujatha said...

Sir - thanks for the green box. 78% is 4800??? will it stop here by a chance??

mynac - tks for the nos.

PT - personal opinion (as usual useless) index may take "breath" here as BN is protecting 9025 let us see

SANPOT said...

Master, as per your yesterday's pre-market view, below
4880&4750, the chances of 'C' wave increases. Sir,what
is the target of this C wave according to E.W.
Thanks.

gkm223 said...

powertrade ji keep it up for tgt of 3800 3rd wave
tgt.

Sujatha said...

Attn Dr Sirs - Mr. Kumar Mr. LV Mr. Cooldent (he may absent) etc persons please give Oxygen to Nifty and BN

Waquar said...

Absolutely true words, Ilangoji..
"Shift the goal post from "finding a trading plan" to "Trading the plan".
" Even i need to do that...

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Ok Sis

arrangement has been made

http://www.jaunted.com/files/4912/glenn_mccoy_airline_fees.jpg

K7 said...

Mynac,

Quote: 4874 & 4881 are the high volume trades since morning…

Unquote: Could you please explain where and how to check this data and do you mean people shorted this levels with high volume, what do we need to watch out if these levels comes next? Please advise.. K7

K7 said...

Hi, when ever i type in comment box, at the right side the box closue line not showing, hence i am not able to see what i am typing,

How to correct this please

Smita said...

Thank you sir for this write up..Thanks to the reader too for asking .

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