Thursday, May 17, 2012

Nifty Intraday Update-II


68 comments:

Ilango said...

This is a clear 5-wave decline from 4922.

If it is a correction, it would be a zigzag kind retracing not more than 80% and another 5 wave decline.

that leaves for a lot of "grind" ahead.

shriram said...

illango ji ,

Short straddles sir ??? :-)))

SANPOT said...

Master is it a 5 wave decline or ABC correction from
4922? Pl guide.

sometimesbullsometimesbear said...

Kerala Nifty it is JNSAR and not Jansar.

At least get the name rite before even thinking of understanding the
funda :) :). I guess u need a lot of reading and paper
trading to do before u try to swim. Not discouraging but
just trying to help :):)

Check J. Julius post with links.

shriram said...

recalib ...

12:30 price close possible < 34EMA @ 4898

Time to short if we close 13:00 hrs < 4892 (5hrEMA will turn again to down)

Else, wait for EOD, turn of 5DEMA ...

Ilango said...

@ Shriram,

A challenge is always made closer to 4930-80% mark confirmation for a reversal.

@ SANPOT,

These are very tiny T/F and fast changing. The 5 waves changed to abc-x-abc kind..

Kavi said...

GM all,
Refer to EOD charts. Turned down from 5DEMA.
In this entire down move, whenever it came close to it,
it moved down. Today also.

sometimesbullsometimesbear said...

Has anybody noticed J10 moving above JNSAR yesterday.

shriram said...

tks sir,

wot bout @ other end, supports @ 4870-4878 ??

Co-relating with EW

A: 4837 - 4922 = 85
B: 4922 - 4887** = 35 (39% ),

End of B if 50% comes @ similar Support zone 4880 sir ??

Then C up to =A = 4965 (again a 30mins RES Zone)

Or is this too much to speculate sir ??

SANPOT said...

Thanks Master.

Ilango said...

4880(50%) to 4869(61.8%) are the supports.

"4854"(80% of the last rise from 4837 to 4922) would be bearish.

shriram said...

tats fantastic illango ji , tks :-)

J.R.Julius said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
shriram said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
shriram said...

F. Fall set up on Dev hr TA

5-10 hr BEAR x-over if close < 4865 @ 13:00 hrs !!!!

Ilango said...

Remember the most important technical fact:

Till EOD confirmation, intraday rises would be challenged most often.

Sujatha said...

DR - ji - this time 9025 breakes then 8922/08/8825???? so that nifty may place @ PT's place.

PT - ur views too welcome

shriram said...

yes sir :-)))))))))))

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:
CMP : 4874 12.47pm
Now Consider H4[BUY]&L4[SELL].

Anonymous said...

premarket statement "mild support above 4882" worked
wonders ilango - shorted at 4910 (day high) purely trusting
this and now holding.

sandeep bhoite said...

Master & Blogmates,

I am thinking to add some stocks to portfolio add this
level.
Any suggestions?
How is TATASTEEL ,TCS , Coalindia are looking to you?

Thanks

shriram said...

Illango ji,

Below 4854

wud u b inclined to relable the seeming 5fifer 4837-4922 as a simple ZZ ??

or do we wait for close below Dev DLEMA to relable ??

Ilango said...

@ sandeep bhoite,

Consider "Cairn" on any declines.

sandeep bhoite said...

Thanks master ;)

Sujatha said...

Sir - Voltas also a "buy" upto 75 levels...pls. can check

shriram said...

5hrEMA has changed direction to DOWN @ 13:00 hrs,

second close below < 34EMA,30mins....

Bhushan said...

Fast rise setup?

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:
H4 BUY@4883 with 20pts Stop.

Manish said...

@ Master

If you allow me somebody interested in buying can also
look at ITC at 210-220,Yes Bank already 18% down at 300
Indus Ind bank at 280-290 if it comes.

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:
H4 BUY triggered!

Manish said...

@ Master

I am starting SIP on "Cairn" now.

Regards always !

Ilango said...

@ shriram,

Intraday low of 4872 is almost closer to 4869-61.8% retrace of 4837 to 4922 rise.

Break of 4872 would be first danger signal to bulls. This is the point "Bulls" need to resume upmove. Failure at any of the retracement points for the current fall of 4922 to 4872 @ 4897-4903 would signal weakness resuming. 4912(80%) would signal strength.

shriram said...

tks sir,

but if we r playin out a ABC ZZ from 4837,wid
a: 4837-4922,

thn isnt it expected to do c=a , wud cross 4912 easily to ruffly 4965 & yet may b followed by a higher degree Impulse down ??

how do co-relate lables wid the h-lo concept sir ??

Ilango said...

@ shriram,

It is one of the possibility of a "mid month relief rally", if there is one.

Also remember this possible ZZ could be part of a larger ZZ also.

By merging TA & TT, we could understand them better.

POWERTRADE said...

@Sujatha .. Good Noon .. We are at Midpoint crisis and Lead Indicator has turned down . . . Also 4927 been not scaled ... Dow has been off highs also id today a close below 4880 ... Gap down and tomorrow is friday so friday selling cant be ignore in this volatile environment globally ...

gkm223 said...

without europe support it is not possible to
hold gains. now no decoupling. all are in one
direction.

eevra said...

down to 4870.75 !!!

shriram said...

tks sir,

going for lunch now... enjoy ur meals !!

"chotta" X-panded flat possibly played out... we may be going down on Hr TA again :-)

gkm223 said...

but i am in favour of 4943 gap to be filled.

gkm223 said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
gkm223 said...

spanish bunds auction at 2.00p.m.

Manish said...

@ master

Your valuable insight for "SBI".

Result is tomorrow.

POWERTRADE said...

mAnish .. Sbi heading for 1623

sometimesbullsometimesbear said...

gkm bund auction? :):) LOL

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:
H4 BUY@4883 on HOLDING
with 20pts Stop.

sandeep bhoite said...

BAJAJ AUTO declare 45 Rs Dividend ,, Good Na :)

eevra said...

Gone Julius !??

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:
Trade 1:
Stop matched.

Ilango said...

@ Manish,

SBI Tech.Table is available in Stock wealth

1700 is its major support. Any buying should be closer to it with a small SL.

puravi said...

Dr Sir
Nifty shakes a leg & got my Mango Shake...Thanks

mynac said...

Afternoon Everybody...

puravi said...

@ Illango Sir
Last 2 days this 80% thing worked for me.
Lets see how long the streak runs
Your blessings are sought...Thank you

J.R.Julius said...

Camarilla Intraday Update/Follow Up:
Trade 2:
As H4 & H3 range too Slow. We can Take our SL
point as SAR.

If give the opportunity to enter SHORT@4863
with SAR of 4883. If it gave one more opportunity
we can consider trade2 triggered!

Note: Already 1 SL matched. I stressed H4 BUY
because of trendline break & MACD. But It failed.

Pramod said...

Dear Ilango sir,i have sent u 2 emails 1 week back,but u have not replied
yet.Please reply.

shriram said...

back ->

and smiling , nifty ji ki krupa amar rahe :-)

bizagra said...

GA Mynac..

Dinesh Rishi said...

Puravi

Had nice breakfast

now planning for Lunch

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_CXn2y5B1Ra0/TPsVeYnoA1I/AAAAAAAAFHA/YesQpDmnAKY/s1600/DSC_0008.JPG

Bytes said...

@PT

Is this all or something more to come ?
Thoughts ?

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

mynac said...

Dear bizagra,
Good AN,
You must be happy @ this moment,& sure about it,that
following & with the trend:)

J.R.Julius said...

Change in Approach.

If H3 & H4 and L3 & L4 Range too Small as today.

From next time
Condition1:
if market runs max time inside H4 & L4.
We give entry preference to H4 & L4.
Condition2:
if market runs max time away from H4 & L4.
We give entry preference to H3 & L3.

20pts Stop & Reverse opposite direction.

My intuition says this approach will work on
such low range days. Anyway lets observe this
few days.

Badri said...

Ilangoji newpost not visible.

bizagra said...

@Mynac...i m sitting tight..learning from u all...:)

Prabhakar said...

@DR Sir:Lunch is nice Sir with 15 items

Manish said...

@ Powertrade

You can have a Party from me if SBI touches 1623.

"Bear" Party !!!

That suggests it will bring BN and Nifty both down.

J.R.Julius said...

Trade2: SELL@4863 triggered.
Low risk traders stay away.
And paper trade.

Manish said...

@ Master

SBI is weak as per the Stock wealth excel data.

Trading below 5 SMA since last fortnight.

Breaking channels downside.

Below Monthly Weekly and Daily Pivots.

Lead Indicator showing downward momentum.

GIRISH FORMULA said...

contact : dayakarreddyalluru@gmail.com for
nifty formula file performance report

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