Tuesday, June 8, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-III

Aggressive Sell @ 5035-5045 with a SL.5065.

86 comments:

SuchIsLife said...

Dear Ilango Sir;

You mentioned about 5030 NS earlier do you think this break down till 5025/26 is breach of ur level or we have to see if it will hold.. now it is at 5034...

If you think breach.. should we close our longs and SELL on rise??

please advice

SIL..

San said...

5020 achieved

Manni said...

@wormwood34
As per last data...4 lacs added so far in 5000PE...total OI 70lacs. But don't rely on that....it can totally reverse by end of day.

Manni said...

down to 68.9 lacs by the time i posted :)

Ilango said...

@ SIL,

I have suggested to sell @ 5035-5045 above. Exit longs.Sell.

SuchIsLife said...

Dear Ilango Sir;

Yes, i saw it late and closed my longs.. and waiting for a SELL on rise ;

Thank you sir

SIL

San said...

Hai everyone

5 minutes chart updated

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/06/nifty-5-minutes-chart-with-trend-line.html

thank you

wormwood34 said...

thanks manni

Ilango said...

Now NF is trading below 4988(VAL).

A J said...

REPOSTING

@manu bhai
thanks...i'll wait for your mail...
trapped in tisco?
I guess you buy one stock and sell another one...
spread trading or arbitrage kind of strategy?
So you have one position in nifty other in tisco...right?
Let me know eod ...if you are busy with markets
I was interested in spread trading
Cheers...reply at leisure

GaneshaSays said...

Bears coming out of woods...its going to bleed more tomorrow.

Manni said...

@Ilango sir
As per pre market view red line graph coming into play??

Ilango said...

@ this rate, spot will reach 4965 ...

Piyush Sharda said...

sir

i didnt see the sell call took longs at ns 5000,
can i hold with sl 4965

Manni said...

market breadth negative now

assortZ said...

for comments

Anonymous said...

Dear Piyush!

This is not correct way of trading, now when u know that u r trapped so u must sell in double or atleast exit from longs & try to buy near 4965 if it comes. All the best, take care...

Rgrds,

KUMAR

ToT-Amit said...

Manu Bhai,

Tisco is lagging behind.. Nifty moved more than 300 points from the low of 4786 but TISCO was not moving and infact is making new lows.

Unitech is also showing weakness as mentioned yesterday.

golfdude said...

@ankur,

Amazing call. At 1:15, you said Nifty might go down to 5000. How did you make that call ? How did u do that ? Just learning.

Thanks

-- gd

San said...

Hai everyone

Nifty hour chart updated

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/06/nifty-hour-chart-showing-next-support.html

thank you

SuchIsLife said...

Piyush...

I agree with KUMAR.. trend is ur friend.. learn from others mistakes.. (i did a lotz of times..)

goodluck

SIL

Piyush Sharda said...

@kumar thanks for the reply,

bought at nf 4975 no great loss yet,
4961 ns previous pivot low will anyway be the
stop support, nifty was/ or is in range so
buy low sell high

gaurav said...

sir shorted at 5060 ns should i cover or wait

gaurav said...

when i asked at the closing below high ema

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Golfdude...

You need to see my Blog..There I said we are going to see a Big and Sustaining fall....2 hours ago...Just my technical trading system brother...It alerts me well before a fall....and experience also counts...I have been seeing Nifty from last 4 years continuously...

I have literally died many times to reach this heaven.. So, enjoying and sharing the fruits now.. Enjoy !!

My Blog is http://indianiftyanalysis.blogspot.com ..Please do visit for your own benefit.. Regards...

Manni said...

nice work ankur....keep it up :)

SuchIsLife said...

@Ankur
"...literally died many times to reach this heaven.."

Congrats.. you were spot on today.. Thanks for the alert..

SIL

abhishek said...

Ilango sir,
Few days back you posted link of QUOTE.com,
Which is you use for nifty hour rsi.
Plz post the link ones again.
Thanks.

Ilango said...

@ Piyush,

Ilango said...

If it is resisted @ 5065, it may correct 20-25 points again.
June 8, 2010 1:20 PM

The above statement was made expecting a corrective fall. From 5062, when it broke 5030(@ 5024), it was clear, it is an impulsive move down. Subsequently it moved upto 5038 where it was suggested to sell.

A 100 point fall is the norm - accg. to that 4971 possibility.

Ankurbbhatt said...

I have been collecting 4600 puts at 12 Rs. they are being sold at 30 Rs, now...That's real money making at least risk....

Ilango said...

@ Abhishek,

You find the link under "Live market to watch" in this blog.

http://www.quote.com/global/stocks/chart.action?s=%24NIFTY-NSE&chartUi.period=V&chartUi.bardensity=LOW&chartUi.bartype=CANDLE&chartUi.size=620x300&chartUi.minutes=60

manu said...

sir
can v go long positional intra here and covert positional if closes
abv dlema

INDITRADER said...

Sir can This agressive sell convert into conservative?
can U give closing levels plz?for taking home shorts?

Rajagopal said...

Sir,
Real nice level that you gave at 1.20pm. You don't feel like emphasising when the levels mature, since you have been doing it so consistently and nonchalantly.

So now we expect 4971(spot) to offer the support for an upmove? Some how every "60" becomes an hurdle for Nifty (4960,5060,5160,5260..). Friends will notice that at these levels Nifty slipped many a times. 60 Jinx?

wormwood34 said...

60 jinx...whether it happens or not ....nice observation....RJ

Ankurbbhatt said...

@All,

Looks like FIIs not done yet....

prashant shah said...

hiee llango sir and all friends... good afternoon to all... llango sir what a gr8 call thanxs a lot sir :) globle update dow future down -1o point aginest 85 point plus at 12 pm .. - now watch nifty hawala 4988 its give resitance thanxs

bizagra said...

Ilango sir , is the sceneraio confirmed that corrective abc complete
and now impulsive 3rd wave down started?
Thanks

abhishek said...

Ilango sir thanks ones again.

Piyush Sharda said...

thanks sir,

i saw ur suggestion only after i took long as per premarket/ rsi
had taken a long in morning which i exited at cost after slight negative div in 5 min

Ilango said...

@ Rajagopal,

Market deceive us generally by a day. Sometimes by two.
Our sell on rise was 5055-5065 and came today.
Today's level was raised to 5070-5100 in the chart & it came into it by a point and fell.

This market can still deceive us @ 4960.

But looking at the "daily TA" which is getting damaged now - it would be a sell on rises...the same thing we said earlier based on Hour TA.

prashant shah said...

llango sir and all ... sir bought icicibank at 800 and sterlite at 610 .both in future sir is that rite trade ?? ple sir give me ur valueble guideance ..thanxss

Saif said...

slight liquidation seen in 4900 puts and build up in 4800 puts.. dow futures which were a percent up have been faded away..

Rajagopal said...

Got it Sir. You made repetitive posts for sell @ 5065+ in these past 2 weeks.
Thank you

Manni said...

OI in 5000PE down to 64lacs

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Ilango,

I hope you don't mind me commenting here. I may look like bragging about my self. But, my intention is always to help anyone cut his losses/ make profits.

sryasdmurali said...

Mr. Ankur

Shall I buy Nifty now.

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

ilango sir,

covered shorts created exactly at 5065, covered exactly at 4970...

Thanks......sir.

-arpit

Ilango said...

@ ankurbhatt,

That is very good work.

@ Prashant shah,

I have been thinking about your strategy all these days. "Open of a new series" playing decisive. Thank you.

@ bizagra,

Though the possibilities continue to exist, let me recollect my original analysis and say "4900-4885" break will confirm.

Presently 4965 is offering minor support.

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Sryasdmurali,

Brother, we are in a longer term Bear market, why do you want to go long...instead go with the trend and always try to short at highs. Your profits would be much bigger than what you will make by going long.

mynac said...

Dear Ilango,
Considering the current NF low can we expect a little bounce back from here?i.e. above 4950?NF?

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

ilango sir,

now what....?will wait for eod report and tomorrow's pre market....call.

-arpit

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

@ ilango sir,

shorts created exactly at 5065 covered exactly at 4970

thanks

-arpit

Rajagopal said...

What the Price movement for the day says.
Equities.

STBT
Scrip Name LOW-Rs
BHARTI 252.49
BHEL 2246.67
BPCL 529.54
CAIRN 281.19
DLF 249.95
GAIL 444.27
GRASIM 1665.20
HCLTECH 355.74
HDFC 2666.37
HDFCBANK 1832.21
HEROHONDA 1902.00
HINDALCO 127.88
ICICIBANK 797.26
IDEA 51.40
INFOSYS 2613.59
L&T 1592.90
NTPC 196.50
POWERGRID 101.49
RANBAXY 407.44
REL 1027.38
RELCAP 637.94
RIL 977.60
RPOWER 147.11
SAIL 183.13
STERLITE 587.36
SUZENER 52.02
TATAMOTORS 710.83
TISCO 438.59
UNITECH 65.31
WIPRO 630.68

BTST
Scrip Name HIGH-Rs
HLL 255.63
SIEMENS 707.46

Taken @ NS -51. Verify Tech table.

Ilango said...

@ Ankurbhatt,

Forget about what anyone will say.. You are doing good work. Continue to share your views...

@ arpit,

That is a very good trade.

Keep up that plan of yours consistently.

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Ilango,

Thanks, I would like to hear from you when you disagree with me on any given call.

Thanks again and my pleasure to comment here..

Ilango said...

@ Mynac,

As Rajagopal's reseach says...."60 jinx" may be @ work again.

"4961" being the last low, bulls may attempt a rally again.

A parallel channel bottom comes @ 4935-4950 which would be the last hope for bulls.

mynac said...

Thanks.
Dear Ilango,Dear Rajagopal....

Rajagopal said...

Gold conquers new high of Rs 19198 per 10 grams MCX.

JFYI of friends with daughters.

mynac said...

At this moment it looks like that 4950 is likely to give intraday support for NF.

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Mynac,

Brother you came into the Bear camp or not ?

ToT-Amit said...

anyone carrying Long??

San said...

Hai everyone

Nifty hour chart updated

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/06/nifty-hour-chart-showing-next-support_08.html

thank you

Ilango said...

"5004" is today's low ema(Day) coincides with yesterday's low. A close below this would give confidence to Bears to hold their shorts.

mynac said...

Dear Ankur, I am there but as I used to square up intraday so it was just a thought.

Piyush Sharda said...

@tot amit . i exited at 10 point loss have any message for
bulls?

Anil said...

@all
Hope is dangerous, whenever your trade goes into looss, just put your stoploss, exit.
Thats the hard lessson i learnt by paying into market...believe me many think i should hold my long tomorrow it 'may' bounce then i will exit..thats the hope of exiting the trade, and 'fear' of pulling your stoploss button..

manu said...

i m long..hedged

Babu said...

@manu
I am with you :) both in NF and BNF.. not many lots.. so taking risk

Neha said...

I agree with Anil.... not exiting on SL ..... makes u loose capital...I learnt the hard way too.

Anil said...

@manu

just my observation, a 5 minute nifty chart showing positive divergence may be a pullback upto 5020 nifty spot

Rajagopal said...

Bye Sir. Bye Friends.

Piyush Sharda said...

@anil that is why i didnt take short today, may be i may get
sir's level tomm to short. keeping fingers crossed
sorry sir for wishing u wont wish!!!!!!!

ToT-Amit said...

@PS,

I get into risky long @4955 NF.

14RSI is at Oversold & 9RSI has not cut the redline yet thus making it as positive divergence considering yesterday's low at 5005 and today's new low @4967.

I might be totally wrong as I am new to this system.

mynac said...

Dear manu,
Must have got some relief because at least the "cut" was limited up to 4940.NF.Dear Gautam has already mentioned 4940.( It was and is for NS)But today applicable for NF.Now it will be interesting to see,whether it will bounce back or not!The overnight clues will be important as usual.

mynac said...

Bye everybody.

prashant shah said...

i think all depand on a dow jones if dow jones up +100 point then we r back to the 5060 or if down down -100 point then we seen nifty 4900 as par my reading may b m wrong but hawala of nifty 49888 in future and today close below 4988 so its enter in bear mkt but agin i tell u its depend only on dow jones (father of all indieses) thanxs

prashant shah said...

corr== nifty hawala of 4988 not a 49888 --sorry about the type mistake --thanxs

Unknown said...

hello

Unknown said...

a bounce tomorrow probably to 5020 n then down again
4920 maybe

Unknown said...

thats where ur buying opportunity may come for 5250

Unknown said...

but strangely down needs to fall to 9550 or 9600

Unknown said...

DOW

Unknown said...

tomorrow will suggest where we go up or down

Nifty futures said...

thank you so much for the correct analysis

Bramesh said...

http://www.brameshtechanalysis.com/index.php/2010/06/nifty-technical-view-7/

Nifty Weekly View

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