Friday, June 11, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-II


77 comments:

AAR VEE said...

Pl. visit the website –www.fishmarket.com

Eating fish you choose is your own responsibility. I will not be liable for any, direct or indirect, consequential or incidental damages or loss arising out of the use of this information. Hence, all visitors are requested to apply their own prudence .

golfdude said...

Hi everyone,

I feel we are going up today - 5150+. Why ? 5L puts added at 5100. And negligible calls at 5100. Same story as yesterday. Will keep track. But "buy on dips" it appears.

-- gd

San said...

Hai everyone

Nifty struggling to cross 5138. Charts updated

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/06/nifty-struggling-to-cross-5138.html

Thank you

AAR VEE said...

Mr. Deepak

Many men go fishing all of their lives without knowing that it is not fish they are after.

Manni said...

@gd
5lac quantity intraday is nothing.....if you look at the overall picture OI in 5100PE is 49lac & 5100CE it's 64lac.

As per OI 5000 is huge support (OI build up of 93lacs) & suggest closing of this expiry above 5000. On the other hand 5200 will provide major resistance (OI build up of 76lacs).

Deepak said...

Dear Fisherman - your philosophy is very deep or perhaps i do not understand your language - I am sure that you follow a very successful method of fishing and I wish you all the very best in life - Best regards Deepak

Rajagopal said...

No Fishing. No Calls. As all friends know, just the Vix targets of N50.
Status as of now:(Equities)


Scrip Name Target @ noon Status
ACC 882.88 882.85 Done
AXISBANK 1274.95 1260.15 Pending
BHARTI 292.94 292.00 Done
BHEL 2359.28 2387.00 Done
CAIRN 303.40 302.40 Done
CIPLA 341.80 342.25 Done
GAIL 463.20 459.90 Pending
HDFC 2791.22 2809.00 Done
HDFCBANK 1942.08 1949.95 Done
HEROHONDA 2045.13 2034.45 Pending
HLL 255.86 255.00 Done
IDEA 56.86 56.20 Done
L&T 1703.71 1685.00 Pending
M&M 612.95 616.50 Done
MARUTIUD 1373.30 1360.95 Pending
NALCO 430.83 424.60 Pending
RANBAXY 432.35 435.90 Done
REL 1159.55 1142.05 Pending
RELCAP 702.20 695.00 Pending
RELICOMM 182.52 177.40 Pending
RIL 1034.32 1042.90 Done
RPOWER 160.23 166.00 Done
SAIL 203.97 204.00 Done
SBI 2374.52 2630.10 Done
SIEMENS 709.31 709.00 Done
STERLITE 664.19 654.20 Pending
SUNPHARM 1734.15 1724.15 Pending
TATAMOTORS 785.91 772.90 Pending
TCSCONS 765.39 763.30 Pending
UNITECH 72.77 72.00 Pending

AAR VEE said...

Mr. San

U are a Sane Fisherman.

Work is for people who don't know how to fish.

U know your work and your Fish.They are always fresh and smell good

Piyush Sharda said...

sir

the macd parameters mentioned are 12, 126 and signal line
18.

does it give divergence more clearly??

Unknown said...

respecter ilango sir can buy nifty 5115 with sl of 5100

Deepak said...

nifty future buyer 12.68 lacs and sellers 12.09 lacs - the trend is still positive - regards Deepak

akila said...

Hi everyone
I bought 4900 put at 75 now 27 what shall i do? pls advice which level i can exit

Saif said...

5k puts continue to add OI..total 93L...and 5200 call writing going on ..total 78L

Ilango said...

@ Manojag,

The link provided by you is the chart followed by my critic during intraday.

It did show a clear divergence when Nifty made the second high @ 5139.

Very good observations and thank you.

http://in.finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^NSEI&t=1d&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=p,e5&a=r14&c=

This link has been there in this blog since inception under "Education TA/EW" at the bottom right side.

S N said...

Sir, Can you please help us understand the divergence at 5139 of the yahoo chart which yu have referred in your blog above..Thanks.

AAR VEE said...

Mr. Ilango

We ask a simple question
And that is all we wish:
Are fishermen all liars?
Or do only liars fish?

~William Sherwood Fox, Silken Lines and Silver Hooks, 1954

Manni said...

@akila
always keep a SL when trading in options....otherwise u'll loose all the money in premium. Put buildup in 5000PE doesn't suggest u'll get ur money back until n unless euro crashes or hns comes into play.

Rest other experts here can tell you better levels to exit.

Deepak said...

According to me the reversal was at 5118 so i bought 2 lots of nifty at 5119 with stop loss of 5110 - if nifty reverses then i loose 10 points but i feel it will rise again from here - its first resistance is at 5120 and second at 5150 - lets see - regards Deepak

Unknown said...

ilango sir the link u provide is not understand by me pls advice me

NIFTY SENSEX said...

Ilango SIR CAN U PL TELL WHAT THOSE RED DOTS BEHIND MEAN IN THIS YAHOO CHART

manojag said...

Ilango,
I must have picked the link from here only and saved it in favourites without realising the original source.
thanks
manoj

Ilango said...

@ S and Soha,

If you put a "5 day option", you can see the price from the open coming down a bit and then again moving higher to make a higher high @ 5139 while the "rsi indicator" was making "Lower high" suggesting weakness and the prices fell subsequently - this is called a divergence trade and more specifically a negative divergence.

You can learn more about them in the "Labels" section.

NIFTY SENSEX said...

Ilango SIR CAN U PL TELL WHAT THOSE RED DOTS BEHIND MEAN IN THIS YAHOO CHART

Ilango said...

@ arvinder,

Those red dots and the green dots are the "sell & Buy signals" respectively by "Parabolic SAR" method or S&R - Stop & reverse.

You find some articles under "Always start trading with these" - No.6.(SAR Method)

gaurav said...

sir do we close below 5 ema this hour

sryasdmurali said...

Elango Sir

Is it right time to buy nifty now Fut 5105.

Please kindly reply

Ilango said...

The tussle is for "5096" weekly ema as discussed in the morning.

rochak parekh said...

today seems to be a dooms day

Lalit said...

my personal view,,, at the money and near the money option writers are the smartest of all they do something bfor mkt,,, 5200 CE 15.2 lk written today

Manni said...

as per OI sustaining below 5090 more fall to come.

NIFTY SENSEX said...

Ilango Sir...THANKYOU for explainig to me... do u think we should go long in nifty at this point

Ilango said...

One could go long @5090-5095 with a SL 5080 NF.

Ilango said...

@ arvinder,

As the tussle would be for "5096" weekly ema which is also Day High ema, a 20 point above and below might be a range - 5076 to 5116..!!

assortZ said...

thanks sir :)

Shiva said...

Hi Ilango,

Should we go long even if it breaks 5096 spot ?

sryasdmurali said...

Elango Sir

Thanks for reply.

rochak parekh said...

let me present an example before u , how these TV analyst mislead us, yest. on CNBC aawaj, mr. sushil kedia stated that, tomm if 5150 is not hit, then till tuesday 4800 is surely on cards
he was sounding very confident

i wanted to believe him, but, dont know why, my instinct lead me to GOOGLE his previous analysis,
i found, once on dec. 27 2008 he stated january end nifty would be 3600, nifty then was 3100, when i checked on 30 th january, nifty was 2600-2700
another google i found, in AUG 2007 he said, @ nifty 4200 of a nifty 5100 by sept. but in sept. nifty was at 3850

Ilango said...

@ Hero,

Correctives are difficult: Intra chart is oversold. A bounce is what might be traded..

Ilango said...

This rise has had one fall of 70 points during this upmove and this fall should be around that much only upto 5066 maximum. Any fall beyond it will put a question mark..?

Shiva said...

Thanks for your reply Ilango - got ur pt

Neha said...

today 5000 put... 10 L sold ... n 5200 Call 17 L sold...
upside looks capped...n so does downside fr now

NIFTY SENSEX said...

Ilango Sir, Thankyou

rochak parekh said...

another thing, i wanna tell u people,
ALWAYS go by ur instinct
tday i was first to check a news of a EICHER VALVO JV announcement on MONECONTROL
i checked, then it was trading with a volume of over 4 lacs with 5 day avg volumes around 10000 only, made a high of 915, and at that time it was trading @ 881 with a ATP of 886, i thought the news seems to be discounted in the price, with such a heavy volumes, even then i wanted to buy, so i decided to make a paper trade on it
i bought on 881 on papers
it made a high of 935, again it came down , 2 lacs more shares were traded by now, i felt, now the people who wud hav gathered it @ 886, wud hav sold it on 935, even then i thought of buying at that time @ 916, decided again in the favour of a paper trade, bought it @ 913, it went to UC within minutes @ 961, again with a volume of further 2 lacs shares, it was now sure that people wud hav booked profit into it, so i decided to short sell it @ UC
it fell down to 920 then
but u know
the trades wich u do on papers
never become so successful in real trade
REASON BEING
many of my friends say
FATI KA KOI ILAAJ NAHI HAI

manu said...

sir

fr positional longs a close abv 5137 is a must
?

rochak parekh said...

dont fall prey into eicher motors,
risk rewards doesnt favour a trade over there
i just mentioned an example
regards

mash said...

Rochak and blogmates,
I had worst experience...i subscribed for Ashwini Gujral F& O managed service...and paid 5 lac along with 1 lac 20 tthousand fees..he converted it to 1 lac 30 thousand in six months and then was askng for more money(some cheek)..during this period his staff was arrogant, vague and my requests to talk to Gujral were evaded by giving evasive answers like he is busy...in interviews...
just sharing it to beware all...so that none of you suffer same misery...

AAR VEE said...

big fisherman get big fish

Piyush Sharda said...

@manu

if we close above 5090 it will make week positive

Neha said...

Thanks Mash fr letting ppl know... I used to think they used to dupe them on TV...
n make more fr their own clients... now we all know otherwise

Shiva said...

mash,
there are few blogs using which u can trade urself.Ilost lot of money using paid service and now started to trade positional nifty and some times intraday by myself.

there is swing trading methods here :
http://www.icharts.in/forum/viewtopic.php?t=2230&sid=d8f3ea2353a43f83130fc8cec7691e4f

sameways Justnifty is a gr8 educative blog.

All the best

manu said...

Ps

thnx ..i really missed 5090 5ema

Ilango said...

@ manu & PS,

If closes above "5096" Week ema/ day High ema - it will be good.

If not, the position may have to weather some choppy moves next week.

mash said...

Neha,
Along with loss of money, it was the feeling of helplessness which i went through, The man behaved like a low level cheat, i was aware there could be losses but he was non transparent and not reacheable, except his paid hands who are low level workers...
regards

Unknown said...

ilango sir i had buy nifty at 5094 what should be the tgt

Piyush Sharda said...

thanks sir,

Anonymous said...

Dear Mash!

Thanx for sharing ur bad experience, these kind of people can give u return only in Bull market. In sideways or bear market they ruin ur money, Its better to do it at urself. If u need any help regarding low brokerage etc. then mail me at FUTURESFINCAP@YAHOO.CO.IN, i would love to help u in recovering ur losses.

Rgrds

KUMAR

AAR VEE said...

All fishermen are liars; it's an occupational disease with them

Shiva said...

Mash ,
If u want any help,mail me at unbeatable.hero@gmail.com
I can give u some links where u can learn and trade urself

rochak parekh said...

does brokerage really matters, untill we are scalpers

AAR VEE said...

Mr. Kumar

you catch more fish, using more hooks.uhhh?

Ankurbbhatt said...

Fisherman...interesting theories you got...mate...:)

mash said...

Dear Kumar,
It was a fierce bull run between jul 09 to jan 10...this is the time in which he converted 5.2 lac into 1.3 lacs...:)
thanks friends for the offers to help in learning...i will get in touch..
I am avidly reading and following Illango;s views, though not very successful so far...i guess mind needs time correction before it can instinctivelt learn new views.
regards

AAR VEE said...

Mr. Ankurbbhatt

U also mate.sydney uhhh?

why blame net when fish slipped away yesterday

Unknown said...

Sorry OoT
This fishing business looks like all a fisherman does is fish for complments....
just kidding ...
Shazia

rochak parekh said...

GUYS, watch out for HDIL and BEL on DIPS towards 228-225 and 1710-1690 next week, they might ready for a fire now, next week only, dont jump now

GaneshaSays said...

@Aggressive Traders,

Can create shorts here as all over world markets including US will close lower towards end of their trading sessions since people won't like to carry positions over weekend. This will have an impact of Asia trading lower on Monday morning. Already, Sydney, Japan, Hong Kong all closing at their lower ends.

rochak parekh said...

in HDIL i meant that, only if crosses 237 today on trading basis, then only go for it next week around 223-228 levels, rest BEL is a sure shot buy next week between 1710-1690

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Fisherman,

Sometimes you have to leave small fish to catch a big fish. Sometimes you have to be hhappy with a big fish then waiting for a shark.



:) How is it ?

Piyush Sharda said...

sir,
9h rsi triggered and again closed above

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE

AAR VEE said...

Mr. Ankurbbhat

To talk much and arrive nowhere is the same as climbing a tree to catch a fish

No fish to sell today?

gaurav said...

sir 2 pm update pls

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Fisherman,

I dont sell stale fish...so no selling today...

golfdude said...

mash,

that is a tough experience. I have similar experience with US mutual funds. It is all the same. You need to do your own research and invest. If you dont have the time, there are safe investments that give 5-8% now - it is afterall your hard earned money. Above that, you have to put in the effort and time. You cant trust anybody. So many factors have to come together to make you a great trader who works for their clients - integrity, experience, smart, conservative/aggressive at the right times, luck etc. You are in the right group now. Selfless the folks here are. It is refreshing. Even if I dont make money, i just enjoy seeing folks being honest.

-- gd

San said...

Hai everyone

If nifty holds 5105 we might see a rally before end of day.

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/06/nifty-5-minutes-chart-with-todays-range.html

thank you

jay shah said...

Ilango sir Jim rogers told on cnbc that he expects dollar and euro to reverse so that could be bullish for equities

golfdude said...

OI - CE/PE in lakhs

5000 43/94
5100 68/51
5200 84/21

5100 - 8L puts added
5200 - 19L calls added

So we might trade in 5000-5200 range. Again all these calls/puts could vanish after day's close. Advantage of being on the inside i assume.

-- gd

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