Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-III

It is a Photo finish for the Bears..!! at 2.00PM.
(Closed below HH ema)

115 comments:

Admin said...

@Ilango sir, 'Photo finish' - nice one ;)

Ankurbbhatt said...

Folks....Looking at the live 5 min charts...Seems to me NIFTY Waiting and preparing the stage to fall like a knife........

Unknown said...

hello to Elango sir and every one
i am learing by reading all comments

Mr. Anil

how to know this put/call write or put/call buy
thanks for previous one

darshan

assortZ said...

"photo finish" - will it lead to "anti finish" :)

Sukanya said...

market is so calm, getting prepared for a storm?

Jatin said...

a neutral month. Extreme ranges defined

Jayesh Bhope said...

Amazing levels of Master and Mastery of Markets!

Sirisha said...

Hi Mr. Illango,

Looks like, Nifty & especially TATASTEEL are dancing to the tune of Dollar Index. {This is just my observation, plez correct me if I’m wrong}


Sirisha
HYD

Sirisha said...

Sir, I'm looking forward for your comments on it.........

Hitendra said...

Sir

I have no position , can i go short at this level with SL of 5135?

Regards

Anonymous said...

Illango sir!

But my system is giving close of Nifty spot 5082.20 so is it in favour of Bears or still v have to wait for another confirmation???? Kindly reply...

Anil said...

@cogito
Its the most difficult part of analysis here, if you know abt IV's then certainly it vl help, a rise in IV's generally at higher levels after a breakout/breakdown will attract sellers of the options, since they know trend will reverse and reduced in IV's itself will fetch good returns, best way is to i take in the money put call and one strike above and below for IV's analysis, i calculate every hour or at every major support /resistances to know. whether put/calls are trading at higher IV's or lower, it certainly helps, but cumbersome job to monitor and figured it out.

Prashant said...

9-RSI in the hourly is in the overbought zone

assortZ said...

sir,

can we expect little pause around 5045?

Prashant said...

ABC correction seems to have been completed in the hourly
at 5104.95. We are in for a five-wave decline in
the hourly, SELL

assortZ said...

sir,

are we on track as per pink arrows in Pre-mkt view?

Unknown said...

thanks

Mr. anil

IV= internal volumes ?

Anil said...

@cognito
IV - implied volatility

SuchIsLife said...

Prashant.. Good call at right time..
cheers
Sreeram

rahul said...

ilango sir i had short nifty at 5075 can carry it for tommr

MDK said...

TEST

Anil said...

todays high volume bar in 1 minute chart, now, almost 7.1 lacs in nifty futures???

Rajagopal said...

Gold and Silver making minor recovery from i/d OS state - diagonally opposite to Equity? But PS Tuesday 2.30 must be +ve right?

Ilango said...

@Sirisha,

You have picked up the Dollar index co-relation well. Keep it up and do well.

@ assotz,

This is the "b" wave for the fall from 5213 to 4966. SO it will be tricky too. It may or may not go down one way...But the pressure is on.

If 5040 holds, it may attempt the highs again too.

@ Prashant,

You are right on that 9-rsi. It gives good reading on OB & OS.

Ilango said...

Intraday shorts may reduce their SL to 5082NF

mo h said...

hi friends,

nice to see no hangups on comments today...

Hi RV
nice chart, to locate crosses.

Ilango said...

Some big volume coming to NF from 5060.

sanju said...

hello prashantji,

please tell me from where i can check 9 rsi

Ilango said...

@ Kumar,

You are right about 2.00PM close being 5082.20. The same is being considered but the decimals don't show up in the Tech. table.

Piyush Sharda said...

yes rg sir,

thats why we r not falling

Prashant said...

In the hourly, nifty is trading in a steep rising
channel, with the current support @5060, the break
of 5060 will be good for bears.

sanju said...

hello prashantji,

asking again, please tell me from where i can check 9 rsi

i search for it since some days

mo h said...

sanju, ilango sir's tech table

Prashant said...

may i be allowed to disagree about positive
2:40 factor for tuesday, for today only

Anil said...

prices holding at ATP 5062!

Prashant said...

I think we may witness a windfall between 2:40 and closing

Ilango said...

@ Sanju,

You will find the link under "Live markets to watch" as "Nifty Spot hour. You can modify the TA settings. This one may be delayed by a few minutes but useful.

http://www.quote.com/global/stocks/chart.action?s=%24NIFTY-NSE&chartUi.period=V&chartUi.bardensity=LOW&chartUi.studies=RSI(9)%3BSTO(14%2C3)%3B&chartUi.bartype=CANDLE&chartUi.size=620x300&chartUi.minutes=60

Rajagopal said...

Prashant
PS Dismissed it long time back.

Hi - mok. Bank Nifty on Sell zone?

sanju said...

hello mok,

in which column of ilango sir"s tech table we find 9-rsi

sanju said...

thank you very much ilango sir

Ilango said...

3.00 PM fight is to close below 5069(Hour ema)...May not be successful if 5060 is protected.

Prashant said...

there is also a falling channel in 5-minute with resistance
at 5070. So a tug-of -war between 5060-70

sanju said...

ilango sir,

i am searching for a right place for learning technical analysis since long time. now i feel i am at right place and safe hands. you are very helpful. my blessings with you forever. thanks again

mo h said...

hi RG,

i have sent a msg to you on gtalk.

hi sanju,
sir has given you a live chartwatch guidance.
:)

satheesh said...

Sir, if 5060 is protected then will it not be right to cary the
shorts initiated today at 5090levls?

mo h said...

5067 also seems to be current POC ? with current VAL at 5046 ?

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Prashant... Yesterday it was Shanghai.....Today looks like NIFTY.

sryasdmurali said...

Dear Elango

I bought tata steel 500 put optn @6.50 shall I hold tommorrow

Prashant said...

rising channel violated

rahul said...

illango sir last hope is for bulls is 5040 am i right

Ilango said...

@ MOK,

Where have you been with all those "live VAH, POC & VAL".. Thats very relevant input..

Sudheer said...

Sir
Bit confuse with Long n Short Here..plz Give clear picture for Holding For tomorrow..Thanx in advance.

Prabhakar said...

Ilango Sir,
Intraday shorts profit booking level please.
Thank you

mo h said...

@ sir,
got tied, and went positional.
trying to get reliable idata, once arranged it should become possible sir,
going to consult RV,RM and Shai, Viren on it.
:)

Ankurbbhatt said...

@Prashant... I think Violated for good for all of us.... :)

Ilango said...

@ Sudheer,

As long as Nifty is below 5135, it is safe holding shorts.
Daily stochastics too trending down suggesting continuation of this down trend.

Holding shorts also depend on at what level you have initiated.

We have all kinds of traders trading various time frames - by half hour to 3-6 hours & days.

For positional plays, the "Premarket update" is sufficient.

Rajagopal said...

BTST
Scrip Name Projected CMP
ABB 876.29 829.50
BPCL 552.80 543.80
GAIL 449.88 443.10
HCLTECH 406.90 398.00
ITC 271.07 268.20
L&T 1695.09 1664.85
M&M 571.57 560.10
NALCO 418.03 411.00
ONGC 1056.74 1044.70
SBI 2324.54 2279.70

STBT

Scrip Name Target CMP
ACC 846.69 860.80
AXISBANK 1225.89 1251.00
BHARTI 261.08 268.05
CIPLA 305.81 312.05
HDFCBANK 1872.00 1901.00
HEROHONDA 1801.13 1828.05
HINDALCO 158.27 162.60
ICICIBANK 872.92 890.75
IDEA 55.64 57.35
MARUTIUD 1225.34 1242.65
POWERGRID 102.36 103.90
RANBAXY 444.39 451.55
REL 967.73 999.00
RPOWER 137.96 141.90
SAIL 204.32 209.15
STERLITE 674.15 691.55
SUNPHARM 1534.03 1560.00
SUZENER 62.64 64.15
TATAMOTORS 746.54 769.00
TATAPOW 1280.85 1300.50
TCSCONS 723.62 735.50
TISCO 516.00 531.25

Please check TA table - for OS & Divergence.Trade with the Trend.

Ilango said...

@ Mok,

You noticed the buying near your VAL(5046) level..

mo h said...

@ RG
did yu check my msg to you on gtalk ?

Ilango said...

@ assortz,

You too raised this "5045" level in the afternoon - a likely pause.

Ankurbbhatt said...

NIFTY Keeps on bouncing back from Bollinger band lower band...Fall is not very strong yet...

sryasdmurali said...

Dear Elango

I bought tata steel 500 put optn @6.50 shall I hold tommorrow

mo h said...

@ sir,
yes sir, POC moved to 5066, VAL 5043

R.GURUMURTHY said...

@Iango,
"We have all kinds of traders trading various time frames - by half hour to 3-6 hours & days".

well said sir, depends on our time frame.

Rajagopal said...

mok - Done. Thank you. Got home.

assortZ said...

@sir,

5045- I got the level from low ema levels..i was expecting a pause in the range of 5035-5045

mo h said...

@ RG :)

@ assortz, mmm... 160% :)

Ilango said...

Intraday Shorts, if not exited already, should do so now.

Pawan Jangid said...

Today POC is 5090

Unknown said...

Hi
@Rajagopal sir,
whats the time frame you take when you suggest targets for STBT and BTST?
awaiting answer
Thanks

Niftybaaz said...

RG / Illango sir i urgently need views abountjindalsteel ....i am trapped in short sir in that.....@633....lot size is big please

waitingggggggggg

regards
vikram

R.GURUMURTHY said...

@Ilango,
Shall i comment here sir? bcoz sometimes
my view may differ from you and others. If anybody
feel disturbence i will quit myself from comment.
please comment sir.

Pawan Jangid said...

Dear Illango Sir,

If Nifty close above 5 day Low EMA than any change in view of Positional Short hold.

mo h said...

5090 may be the VAH ?

Ilango said...

@ Vikram,

I do not watch stocks much.

Always cut your losses to a minimum.

Trade good set ups.

satheesh said...

RG sir,

Your ONGC call tgt achieved now itself

Ilango said...

@ Market follower,

Please feel free to express your views.

Rajagopal said...

Anil:

Only 10 of the N50 crossed 100% of 5day avg volume. Of the 10, 6 have gone down and indicating down move. What happened to the volumes.

Some one is sitting on Cash and Lying on Shares.

Bye Bye.

Hi MF : Can't you see me posting comments. You cannot be worser than me. Carry On mate - this is absolute Democracy. We had nonsense like mine,barking,bragging,wailing and absolute delights.

Pawan Jangid said...

Dear MOK

POC as well as VAH also

R.GURUMURTHY said...

@Ilango,
Thank you sir.

Ilango said...

@ Pawan,

If Nifty closes above 5-day low ema, it just means the trend may have a pause. Depending on the coming day's move , further action will be known.
Some profit booking could be done and reselling at higher levels OR just Hold.

Rajagopal said...

Hi Satheesh - Power of TA.

Pussy cat pussy cat where have you been?

Pawan Jangid said...

Thanx Ilango Sirji

Anonymous said...

Thanx Illango sir for 1st reply of my all queries & for clarification. So nice of u...

Anil said...

@ RG

cash turnover - 12,800
f&O - 93000 as of now..

good cah vol
may be in midcaps yoday..

mo h said...

thanks pawan,

the values here shows 5088 5066 5044 now.
will check it out.
:)

R.GURUMURTHY said...

@RG
Sometimes comment impact on trader's psychology
that's why i ask.

Anonymous said...

Sir

Thank you for all the help.

I reduced short posn to half by booking a little bit of profits. I am still feeling US mkt will rally, so we can again sell at higher levels.

satheesh said...

RG sir

Children are at home due to vacation. Also went for a tour
& returned only last week. So trading light.

mo h said...

yes market follower, you said it well
"Sometimes comment impact on trader's psychology"

If thats taken into consideration before putting it it would be fine indeed
:)

Nixon Rodrigues said...

Good Group

Rajagopal said...

Satheesh - Have a nice time.
MF : You mean traders could be so weak?(but your point taken) (Ilango says "ignore the song and dance sequence)
Mok : You seconding MF's opinion sends some message to me.(ha ha)

Bye. Will work on the N50 for a 7pm update.

Rajagopal said...

Shazia : the "T"s denote today and tommorrow. Calls meant for next trading day. I am an impatient guy.

mojib said...

MOK WHERE DO U SEE MP VALUE IS IT POSSIBLE TO SEE IT IN AMIBROKER

mo h said...

RG, Rg, rG, rg
whichever form, you are always RG only
:)

Unknown said...

Hi - hope everyone is short?

Rajagopal said...

Thank you mok. Will rush. Got an ex girl friend waiting for lunch. (now my wife).

mo h said...

@ mojib
i suppose you can, but i will prefer a more knowledged person to answer you, since i am a greenhorn on both.

mojib said...

hello gautam sir ,what u think of market tomorrow plz give ur view on tata steel and bajaj hind

Anonymous said...

Nifty bearish scenario for tomorrow.

http://stocktipsatobeya.blogspot.com/

mojib said...

mok , if u know procedure to establish MPsystem in amibroker then plz tell me

mo h said...

Gautam
yes, positionals in Short ..
Hope you are able to be in touch in blog ...
Coz people wish for your thoughts

Unknown said...

I had already laid out the path for nifty hope you follow

when2buy.blogspot.com

Unknown said...

Mok - my dad met with an accident.. in the hospital now
getting operated tomorrow.

pray for us

MOK - stay short - 18th was a reversal short term..
big fall in a few days 4850 / 4750 / 4625.

We may reverse from 4850 to 5200 before July 1st week

mo h said...

Gautam, oh my ...
May God bless him to recover fast and may he be blessed with good health!

Forget the shorts,,,, just go be with him when he needs you most.
Take care, Gautam,

satheesh said...

Gautam Bajaj,

All our prayers are with you. Don't worry. With god's grace your father
will have a very fast recovery.

Unknown said...

Thanks all

Paresh said...

i ve got NIFTY 5200, 5300, DLF-340 and IDEA-65 calls. Is there any hope to hold on???

Sukanya said...

@ gautam, I wish your father an early recovery and pray for him!

Unknown said...

i dont think so paresh

r m said...

Dear Gautam

Praying for your father's speedy recovery.

Regards.

Unknown said...

thank ps & rm

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

@ Gautam Bajaj,

All our prayers are with you. With god's grace your father
will have a very fast recovery.
We all wish your father an early recovery and pray for him!!!!!!

-arpit

assortZ said...

Gautam,

dad will be absolutely ok.. Wish him for a quick recovery..

autostrada said...

God Bless you & your family Gautam.... He will be fine....

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