Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Nifty Intraday Update-II


72 comments:

Ilango said...

5110 and 5090 were discussed earlier as possible immediate targets.

One should go long here with a 10-15 points as SL.

Prashant said...

Sir, 5180/5190 is a strong support zone for nifty as it
made highs in this area in octber and december 2009.
Bought nifty @ 5115 Sl 5080

Ilango said...

For some clarity, I have uploaded a chart.
The support seems to be around 5090(+/-10).

@ manu,

You see the "b" wave - see its characteristics - whenever you sense too much confusion, simply label it as "b'.

Prashant said...

I think nifty may remain stuck in the range 5100-5200
for some time and it is more likely to breakout on the
upside rather than the down.
The lower levels will invite buying because we have
recently witnessed a sudden steep counter upmove. The
short will therefore remain guarded and therefor no sudden
breakdown seems probable

ANINDYA BANERJEE said...

nifty not sticking below 5100... cover shorts..

lazydude said...

HMMM, when retail starts buying on dips , videshi start press sell button hard.

lazydude said...

its all greed and fear. period.

assortZ said...

@rochak,

Pls clarify your comment about AIRTEL..not able to make out ..

Ilango said...

Bear in mind that Nifty is trading below 5128(VAL).
The suggestion to initiate long was basically because it is near the channel support(See chart above) and at 5 sma support & day low ema.

Watch 5125 - 5130, if weakness is visible, it will be one more round of fall.

manu said...

sir
yeh "B" waves( RG will thnk else if i dnt put waves in it)

are very complex..it goes abv my head..

I m long nw..

assortZ said...

@sir,

My watch point is 5135 (EMA)..if we close above this price during day, I will close my shorts at cost price..otherwise wait for lows either intraday or will carry over..i hope this is fine

Prashant said...

Nifty has taken support @ 5110.
The asian markets are also coming off the lows.
In the daily, if this is an abc correction, then
the c down may have completed and we should move upwards
now.
If this is a five-wave downtrend, then we should soon
break below 5090 and then the recent lows.
I favour the first scenario, but confirmation
will come only after we move out of the range

rochak parekh said...

assortz
trai appointed committee yesterday recommended that
2 G alloted earlier to all telecome operators were cheap and shud hav given a lot costlier
and
it also recommended either to take back the extra 2 g from them or ask them to pay the difference @ 3 g for the extra spectrum they hold
these are recommendations only
not approved
so telecom stocks falling big
also , yesterday some court in delhi had ordered all illegal towers to be sealed immediately
only news, dont react and trade on them
thanks

Ilango said...

@ assortz,

Perfect.

Prashant said...

nifty future is however trading at 10-point discount

Ilango said...

Tested 5125 NS, selling off again.

Anonymous said...

Anybody facing problems with Reliance Money super trader. My orders go into inprocess status. or it disappears. gets traded without knowledeg becasuse trade screen does not tell it was traded.

2nd day it is happenning

assortZ said...

“perfect” – made my day :) thanks

bizagra said...

Ilango sir, its becoming very confusing.i booked my shorts
now waiting for break of 5080 to start conservative shorts today.
plz clear, suggest..

Prabhakar said...

@KGovind,
Some times it will happens, if sufficient funds are not there in our account( don't think otherwise). It is happening to me some times (Not Reliance Money super trader)

manu said...

@Rg
some news n Sugar..
sugar daddy nt able 2 find..search fr me..
cvr ur shrts..

Ilango said...

One Number worth remembering is 5084 - the weekly pivot.
This week started with a gap up @ 5096 with a low of 5080. So moving below it would be "continuation of downtrend".

If not, confusion continues..Scalpers & nimble traders make merry.

Unknown said...

Ilango sir,

apologies for this question. been in meeting all the while and i missed the fall. Would you be kind to tell the levels to trade now ? kindly plz.

regards

wormwood34 said...

dear ilango sir can u give view on infy

Prabhakar said...

Ilango Sir,
Is there any change in SL& R 5075NS for conservative longs
Thank you

Prashant said...

Bharti is down%, idea and Rcom 3% each.They r bringing the
market down. Advance decline ratio is 1:1

Rajagopal said...

Dear Manu - Lot of news in Sugar. But Sugar seems to have diabetics !!! Not moving. Covered Bajhi @ 107.

manu said...

Renuka and balrampur chini both n ban..oi has reachd 95%..
cvr ur shrts..

Ilango said...

@ Prabhakar,

By doing intraday trades, the Long price has been reduced to more than the day's low :)

If NS trades below 5084-5080, initiate shorts.

If holding shorts, Keep 5146 as S & R.

SMALLTRADER said...

THANKS MANU SIR

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Sir. understood.

Rajagopal said...

Is this the famous Dead Cat Bounce? Europe is in Red? Is the Goat being garlanded?

Admin said...

DOW and DAX has shot up sharply now. Nifty reacting equally :)

Prashant said...

bokked long taken @ 5115 ns @ 5137 nf

manu said...

@rG

Fisrt time i hv traded gold seeing u & shrtd @18199

wht 2 do?
no knwldg abt gold..

Prashant said...

Sold @ 5137NF Sl 5150NF

Anil said...

5000 put OI highest 10.5 lacs..

smart writers,

Prashant said...

now, idea also down 8%

Ilango said...

If any one is following the 21 hr & 5-day High/ Low system, the sell trigger for 21 hr low will be 5080 for tomorrow first hour.

Admin said...

@Manu: 18400 - Have it as your S&R for gold short. If gold breaches it, it will zoom to 18900 in 4-5 sessions :-o

Prashant said...

market is making lower highs and lower lows and the
range is moving downwards for now. yesterday's high
5080 not breached. Today failed to cross 5168.
Initial low today 5135 then 5110, next?

Prashant said...

ecxited short @ 5140 nf and long again

Anonymous said...

sir

because of reliance money site errors i am completely short...it does not even give correct net position. what should i do to my shorts now. pls help me.

i am so worried why i have to pay for super trade and still get problems.

Prashant said...

nifty future goes into premium

SuchIsLife said...

Ilango Sir:

what shd be the SL for the LONGS taken at 5146 S&R?

sreeram

Rajagopal said...

Dear Manu,
Gold is above day,week and monthly 5EMA,having bullish trend. Further upside is seen and the spurt could be sudden. Intra day lows possible on hourly O/B. Please be cautious with short with a strict TSL. Watch Crude closely for Short opportunities.

(Using Ilango's TA Table to get McNas's Gold).

manu said...

sir
c hw much complex"b" is
i always need help here :(

Ilango said...

A: from 4987 to 5205
B: from 5205 to 5098(the testing & confusing part)
C: from 5098 to ..??? (may give 5245..aarvee's)

I just hope that the "c" is not truncated..(ending lower than "A" top-5205)

Sukanya said...

i am completely confused, made 3 trades, just break-even with brokerage loss. Now prefer to watch till a clear guideline. -mishra

Anil said...

If it sustains above 5160, newer highs may be possible..

Ilango said...

@ RG,

One of our most fasvourite movie - MacKenna's GOLD...and you are finding it right at home..

Directed by J. Lee Thompson. With Gregory Peck, Omar Sharif, Telly Savalas.

prashant shah said...

dow in a plus +3 point and ftse +15

assortZ said...

@sir,

From your last comment, should we consider that “B” is done at 5098 ? or still the confusion goes on..

rahul said...

ilango sir as per your s&r of 5146 i had buy nifty at 4189 pls give me tgt and sl

sryasdmurali said...

from 5098 to 5245 then shall I buy bank nifty now

Rajagopal said...

Ilango - just the opening scene and the song with the Eagle as focus...I don't have count of the number of times I have watched this along with God Father,Guns of Nav,Ben Hur,10 Commands,Beautiful Mind, ....,(to be frank I had to watch so many times since I don't understand the language quickly as a Tamil Medium student) Ayirathil Oruvan, Adimai pen...

Life is so beautiful. (in past tense in God Father-Marlon Brando)
===
Honestly, it gives great confidence to have the Table and the plan. Thank you so much.

Unknown said...

Sir is it Possible that if nifty not making new high or not breaking 5166 then negative divergence going to take place in h.s macd?

rahul said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Local said...

@KGovind,

I had an account with RelMoney but didn't like how slow it was. Although it was supposed to be 1 paisa per trade, there were additional costs that made it more expensive than Indiabulls. They won't reply to requests to close it either, like most broker firms. So I stopped using it.

Ilango said...

The small channel for "b" wave got broken @ 5150 and the "c' up is confirmed..

Piyush Sharda said...

sir,

i am paper trading 20 day system, monitoring 20 hr system was not possible.
i do it for n-50. why bother abt nifty?

but mine is selling 20 bar high and buying 20 bar low
it is a 30 year old system frm a foreign author book.

lets see it it works will write more is something positive
emerges.

BALA said...

Rajagopal Ji

You have kindled the sweet memories of seeing the pictures with my father. I am very fond of seeing the Guns of .. . I am searching it in Richee street too but could be able to get a good quality copy. I am too tamil medum student having the same problems @ that time. Honestly still I am not able to grasp the pron.. If you are having old classic movies , I will come for "IT" raid
Thanks

Bala

Anonymous said...

illango sir,
is this a bullish undercurrent upbreak seen @ VAH 5168
will it last till 5300+
i'm really confused pls guide me

Ilango said...

@ risktaker,

Last week fall was from 5250 to 4987 and this week, an attempt is being made to counter that..
So far going well in that direction with one & a half days of correction done.

Longs may keep a SL @ either 5146 or 5128.

Rajagopal said...

PS : Just tell me whether values beyond 100 both +/- is NOT ABNORMAL/WRONG in 5 and 10 Macd ? I am getting such values for commodities. Please advise.

===

Bala : Wife's favourites (she does the translation part also). All gone since our princess is in +2. No TV/Music at home.

I have a friend who is fond of these. Will send a mail on where it is available if he knows.

Rajagopal said...

Manu :

Alert: Spain announces a series of measures to reduce budget deficit. Euro continues to rise. Oil/metals rise. Gold/Silver corrects lower
Last message received on 12-05-2010 at 1:48 PM
smurali: General Trend >>> Reduce Longs in Gold/Silver. Cautious longs in Base Metals. Oil > Turning +ve, but forecasts point to a rise in today in Crude Inventory data

Sukanya said...

Sir, 5174 (high ema) could not be taken out as of now and a cooling off is seen. now will nifty try to touch day ema/ low ema? if it may try, one need to watch to buy at lower as indicators are not in sell mode?

Anonymous said...

so kind of you sir

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

Niftybaaz said...

Illango Ji.....can we also remain long in banknifty for higher targets...what is next resistance in this sir??

regards
vikram

Piyush Sharda said...

rg sir,

with so many pundits around u asked me.
there shud be nothing abnormal as macd depends on asset price
gold must be 18000 so macd higher.
its just difference of 2 ema (close prices)

manu said...

sir
if it s confirmed "C" then 5128 mst b d sl fr longs
hw 5146?

@RG

whn2 cvr gold mini.. gv nm alvl..
i ws under the impression shrtd 1kg
:(

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