Thursday, May 6, 2010

NIfty Intraday update-II

82 comments:

Ilango said...

As Nifty is closer to our target zone, start part booking in the "Shorts".

Mark said...

Hi Ilango sir,

My Short SL hit at 5051, I am waiting for bounce
back as 5050 gave some support. Please suggest me a
level to initiate short again

Mahes

rahul said...

ilango sir can buy nifty now

Prabhakar said...

I booked Full profits in NF conservative short (only one lot) at 5037 initiated at 5300.
Thank you very much for ANALYSIS.

SMALLTRADER said...

illango sir

this level is it advisable to take a long in jspl

abhishek said...

Ilango SIR,

Thanks for replay, booked 1 lot
@ 5041 .
Thanks .

assortZ said...

sir,

conservative shorts carried from 5300 levels..100% booked at 5255 now...intra longs entered at 5080, still holding to exit if i get the entry levels..i hope we will see again 5080 today...

golfdude said...

+ve div in nifty. Small upside.

gd

assortZ said...

sir,

conservative shorts carried from 5300 levels..100% booked at 5055 now...intra longs entered at 5080, still holding to exit if i get the entry levels..i hope we will see again 5080 today...

Piyush Sharda said...

sie

pos divergence visible in 5 min and hourly

Rajvada said...

Ilangoji,
As per pre-market chart, we may be completing 3 rd wave around 5020-5040. Then go up in 4th upto 5145-5165.
Is there any possbility that we may be in 5th itself now and may goaround 5000 straight from here and then bounce back from there.

Ilango said...

Nifty can still go lower to 4980 to 5000. + ve div is developing. We will wait patiently to initiate a long closer to 5000.

Rajvada said...

At 5000, we will intiate long for 4th up or C comletion?

Prabhakar said...

Ilango Sir,
Can I resell my Covered NF here, for lower level 500? I covered my Positional short at 5037.
Thank you

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

ilango sir,

Booked NF 100% @ 5040/- The shorts created @ 5270/-

Now waiting for your signal to go long.

Please suggest the level from which level to go
long for conservative trade.

-arpit

Prabhakar said...

Correction: For lower level 5000?

rahul said...

sir i had buy niftt at 5028.5 can i hold

Sirisha said...

Hi Mr. Illango,

I'm in knee deep trouble, couldn't get out of my longs in TATASTEEL & TATAMOTORS{due to power failure & then internet problem}. Now when I'm back then market is totally crashed, so I'm sitting on HUGE loss. Plez advice me now what should be my strategy...
Best Regards,

Sirisha
Hyd.

Ilango said...

@ Rajvada,

I have often got this confusion in a strongly trending down markets whether 3 rd is over & so on.However, a new low results in quite a lot of +ve div.

A long here still gives us 100 to 125 points.

Will look at the EW possibility later.

San said...

Hai everyone

There is clear positive divergence in 30 minutes chart of reliance
industries. I am posting the chart here.

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/05/reliance-industries-positive-divergence.html

thank you

Anonymous said...

Sir,

finally booked real profits at 5045 NF and 9477 BNG. Thank you very much for helping all of us. Neengha neriya punniyam seyrhaavangha. (Translating to my best possible. You sacrifice a lot for the sake of others. I feel my translatn is not proper at all).

God should and will specially bless you and your family for providing all your humble sacrifices.

Off Topic,

What iundia must do to win vs Sri lanka today in T20 WC?

Ilango said...

Only if you are able to monitor closely, sell for 20-30 points.

If you have booked your shorts, then buy either here @ 5035 or lower @ 5000-4980 or on a reversal above 5060 for an initial target of 5125-5150.

@ sirisha,

If it is Cash market, you have less time.. Tisco may move upto 568 to 570.

Sirisha said...

Hi Mr. Illango,

Actually I've taken positions in Call Options.

Best Regards,

Sirisha,
Hyd

manu said...

Sir & family..
GA..

ths link ws gvn by GB fr EW..
http://www.marketcalls.in/2010/04/elliot-wave-forecast-nifty-at-6000.html

chck at 2.25sec..imp..
sir plz comment n ths ew analysis

thnx gauti

Rajvada said...

Ilangoji,
Along with trading , this is for academic interst.
1. We may be in iv of 5 now and this could take NF 5055-5060. Then we may go down in iv of 5 around 5000-5005. That could be the end of this down move either of C or major 3. This may provide trading opportunity for 3-4 days for upside.
You guidance please.

Rajvada said...

sorry it is v not iv

Prabhakar said...

Thank you Sir. Now NS is above 5060. Can I go Long here?

Ilango said...

@ Rajvada,

It looks like a completion of 3rd wave from the high of 5342NS.(It could go make another low before starting the 4th...what kind is the 4th..??)

Piyush Sharda said...

sir,

closed my shorts fully, cudnt sit tight, taken some longs,
now as u say. if it falls again what shud be sl, days low
or something else

Ilango said...

@ Prabhakar,

The levels I mentioned were all for NF.

I have suggested there to buy @ 5035 or on a crossing of 5060NF.

Next, watch out for 5082 pivot, mentioned in the morning.

Unknown said...

i advised to close shorts at 5050
reverse from here.. or wait till eod .

above 5080 we've completed our fall.. and we will move up

for 5500

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

ilango sir,

BN also covered @ 9460 which was shorted @ 9660

Can I again short at hight level of 9600/-
for conservative trade?

-arpit

Ilango said...

Sirisha,

I hope you are a lot less "Tense"...

May I suggest you to key in your SL when you enter a trade. OR Phone up your broking house incase of power failure. Keep the tel. nos ready.

Always give less & take more from market.

abhishek said...

Ilango Sir,

As per your advise 1 minifty kept trail SL
@5070, its just hit.
Thanks a lot.

Ilango said...

A move past 5086.5NF in the next 20 minutes is a faster retracement of the fall & would suggest of a short term bottom in place.

Prabhakar said...

Thank Ilango Sir

Unknown said...

Rahul hold ur longs with SL of 5050 spot

Sirisha said...

Hi Mr. Illango,

Thanx for your kind advice...

Sirisha,
Hyd

SMALLTRADER said...

ILLANGO SIR

SORRY WHAT IS THE MEANING"of a short term bottom in place".

Ilango said...

@ abhishek,

The trailing SL is only till a target zone reaches. We have shown a target of 5020-5040 wherein you could have booked your shorts.

Besides you could have also brought down your trailing SL as the time passed by as I was not updating any trailing SL. I hope you note this point to maximise your gains..

assortZ said...

Shorts closed @ 5066..it went upto 5025… tense # 1 for missing 40 points..

Intra longs @5080..tense # 2 when saw NF cracking to 5025

Both “tense” are gone when seeing NF again at 5070… “sitting tight“ rally matters and I learnt that only from master here..

Obsessive Lover said...

would suggest of a short term bottom in place.

@Ilango Sir - what do u exactly mean by this..and whats the variation of timelines?? faster retracement or what if its slower..

sir i hv longs from 5040 NF levels..plz suggest some target..

Ilango said...

@ Small trader,

"Short term bottom" is made as there is a possibility of a resistance around 5150-5180 zone and if resisted in the coming days, it could reverse from there and make another low.

Besides we can never be sure of this "bottoms & tops" till after it has occured and in hindsight. This observation is based on short term TA. I am waiting for a conf bu a move past 5086.5NF by 1.35PM.

rochak parekh said...

dear gautam bajaj
yaar 6 th ko yeh haal hai to 7 th tak to jane kya hoga
still u r in views of a low on 7 TH
kindly clarify for our betterment
thanking u
r parekh r

Obsessive Lover said...

Sir,
This seems to be a repeat of yesterday..Markets may recover all losses till close..All technicals applicable yesterday must also be applicable today..

teejay said...

hatts off Illingo sir... 5086.5 is done :)

arpitg345(gauresh) said...

Reposting.......


ilango sir,

BN also covered @ 9460 which was shorted @ 9660

Can I again short at hight level of 9600/-
for conservative trade?


-arpit

rahul said...

ilango sir nifty fut trading adove your 5086.5 can i take long home or book

assortZ said...

Have we done 5086.5 ? I can see only 5082 as max..pls confirm

teejay said...

@ assortz it went upto 5089.95

rahul said...

yes assortZ nifty had made a high of 5092

rochak parekh said...

i see 5087 thru my eyes on NF itself that too within 1.30 pm, but it did not went past 5088
what a levels I LANGO SIR
kindly guide
what shud be our strategy now
as it has passed 5086 as u mentioned before 1.35 pm
but only went till 5088-89
kindly suggest sir

Unknown said...

Rochak - we may have completed downmove as 5050 offers
good support. We cannot be rigid with dates.

Close above 5080 we can expect upmove.. Buy with SL
of 5050

RIL judegement maybe favourable for upmove?

On the downside 4950 will hold. Below that we will test
4650

Next week i guess all bad things come to an end?

San said...

Hai everyone

ABB in strong down trend. I have mentioned possible
support areas.

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/05/abb-strong-down-trend.html

thank you

rochak parekh said...

gautam bajaj sir
i stilll wud want ur views about a bottom to be placed around 7 th may
, if ur views are the same
we may see a panic selling alll around today eod or tomorrow
kindly guide
please pardon me to trouble u
but we havent been provided by ur kind answer, since yesterday i hav been asking u the same
kindly reply for our betterment
thanks

pragati said...

Ilango Sir,

Please advise if i can go long in Bank Nifty and Nifty.

Thanks,
Pragati

assortZ said...

thanks teejay and rahul and rochak for confirmation on 5086.5...

am carrying longs till eod..

Ilango said...

@ arpit,

I am not watching the TA of BN as I do Nifty.

Price obs: Earlier low of 9455 is more or less held. And it is "OS" and a rally is on.Stay long for the short term or stay back to watch EOD analysis.

abhishek said...

Ilango sir,
ok, next time i will keep in mind your point
of trl. SL & maximise the gains.

Thanks.

Unknown said...

rochak - our low today could be the bottom.

7th need not be a low day

Sunil Sehgal said...

Dear Rochak,

Key word is around 7th may. So 1-2 days here and there are acceptable,

Sunil

Ilango said...

@ arpit,

Let me add: The broader range is 9600-9650 to 9450 as of now. Any longs should be closely watched and closed. Reshort near the higher end with a SL.as short term trend is "OS".

veer said...

Dear All,

My intuition says formation of inverted Head & Shoulder in 5 min chart. 50 points from 5080- it will go (expected) till 5130.

Veer

bizagra said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
arpitg345(gauresh) said...

ilango you

Thanks for your guidance. Benefitted with the levels
given by you in conservative trades.

-arpit

Rajagopal said...

Thank you Ilango. Closed the balance.
Now will worry about the next mischief.

===

Thank you GB. Your second opinion gave great confidence. First opinion was from Saint RV.

Ilango said...

@ Pragati,

You can Buy Nifty @ 5060-5070NF with a SL 5050.

San said...

Hai everyone

I am posting nifty one minute chart. this one shows todays reversal of nifty from day's low

http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/05/nifty-one-minute-chart-inverse-head-and.html

thank you

teejay said...

above 5087 again :)...

workfromhome said...

Dear Illango Sir
I have been reading your blog. It is immensely informative and a good guide for new persons like me.
I wanted to take your advise, I had got into ITC May fut for Rs 268. and have been holding it thinking this being a defensive stock. May I request your advise what I should do.
Thanking you
Regards

assortZ said...

San,

its a long due..i really appreciate all your charts..its like studying a fresh page of TA book everyday with live examples..great work...

Unknown said...

Veer - good observation :)

RG - thank you!

SuchIsLife said...

Dear Ilango sir..

Are the following which you mentioned in one of ur msgs earlier are the resistances to watch??

"(5094-38%; 5101-50%; 5108-61.8%)"

Sreeram

Ilango said...

A consolidation may be on @ 5070 to 5095NF

INDITRADER said...

Thank God Nf retrace back
I couldnot put Sl in my morning trade as per
Illango Sir says trade on ur intiution.
Now sitting tight for a bigger target.
THX Alot sir for intiution.

San said...

Thank You assort7

Rajvada said...

San,
Another IHS on bifgger scale. Shoulder at 5070 and neck at 5089

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

rochak parekh said...

well,
gautam
thanks answering
so prompt and early
sorry to bother
u were so helping
I LANGO SIR
hatttttttttts off to ur levels
u said 5087 , it hit 5089
u said 1.35 pm, it hit 1.28 pm
WHAT A LEVEL
come on board
let us all say


KYA BAAT KYA BAAT KYA BAAT

for i lango sir
dear san
i hav been following ur blog
since day u wrote about ashok ley land and then andhra bank
i hav been judging ur calls,
i feel attached to them
u said ashok leyland 65 this week
it touched 65 this week
is there any way , i may know exactly the time u update ur blog
thanks answering
r parekh r

workfromhome said...

Dear Illango Sir
I have been reading your blog. It is immensely informative and a good guide for new persons like me.
I wanted to take your advise, I had got into ITC May fut for Rs 268. and have been holding it thinking this being a defensive stock. May I request your advise what I should do.
Thanking you
Regards

Anil said...

@ illango & Gautam, Rajvada

This seems to b completion of 3rd, and 4th up is seems to be restricted upto 5160-5180 max

all setup including macd, price oscillator points a high possibility of 5th down.

so is it advisable to trade long in the mean time, or remain out, and wait for 5th down to initiate,

huge call OI outstanding seems to b supporting this view, v shld look at eod basis thats ok..but as of now, what?
today almost as of now on an avg 7 lac positions got added in 5000/5100/5200 calls

plz reply..

Rajagopal said...

San,
aZ and rpr are late. I conveyed my appreciations first at y'day's eod post with a request. Also in your blog. Hope you will consider.

Thanks once again for the inputs.

Incidentally ALwas in my radar since it accumulated heavy OI with +ve price movement.
Is it time to exit AL - I go by the TA and holding it from lower levels.

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