reposting @prabhat... panic lows made during already extremely oversold zones usually hold out and a shift in trend takes place against contrary expectations. thats the earliest way of catching lows with a highly favourable risk reward ratio.
Saibhakht more or less I agree with you. It seems Panic bottom has been formed. Todays closing should give some indication (if we happen to close nearer to opening) and in next 2/3 sessions we must get the confirmation
Sticking to my trading plan is a challenge for me everyday. It is all about the "Temperment" Oscillator :) Working to build on it for better trade execution.
@ prabhat from a longer term perspective i maybe the most bearish guy out there on the street as long as the high of 6300 odd that v made is not taken out. but as of now in the near term i am bullish until this low of 5195 is not taken out. i think for the near term the low has been set and only taking it out will change the whole count & game :) till then cheers !!! :)
another attempt might be made to take out the low of 5195 and we may drift towards it and the failure to do so will set the stage for a rally... +ve factors... 1. extremely oversold zone inc world mkts 2. falling crude a big +ve for our economy 3. the low of 5170 defended as of now.
Every plus position was squarred off just after a close below 5350, panic button triggered within next 5-10 minutes...now that level will be heavy to bulls:)
Friends nifty continuesly trading below BBBOTTOM 5337 It is very bad sign for market. Banknifty bounced from BBBOTTOM so currently in sideway mode once banknifty will close below BBBOTTOM real panic will come.
@Kumar-ji - i didn't change my colour yet positionally. :P yes i took long nd closed @ 5305 spot with my calls not nifty. Nifty future breakes 5237 morning that is -ve. again breakes will give good downside again. I am a chotta trader. don't want 2 lose something. hence i went small long and enjoyed the ride & will enjoy again if any opportunity comes again. not scary :D
Yes 5177 breakes decesively means my "long term" calculation will change. the way shows it will break :P . missing PT :) the big bear
few days back posted 5572 as point 4 and point 5 coming near 5252/5050. Now it is done for today,,, get ready for the upmove with 5050 as stoploss on EOD basis.
Very much possible today after 2.30, bcoz it was made in hurry & now it should come little slowly. I am also greedy like you but brij & Sujatha not giving any chance, lets wait for 2.30:)
short nifty at 5285 - with target of 5257 -- stops at 5394
reasoning - possible falling parallel channel in formation (5 min charts) - stops are quite close because this parallel channel could also turn out to be a bull flag so need to be careful
That was my trading against my original sell @10600, perhaps u missed my original call:
KUMAR TECHNICALS said... Dear Cooldent! Bank Nifty future is best to sell between 10600-10650 with stop loss of 10700 & target is 10300. I shorted just now at 10600:) June 20, 2011 11:29 AM
77 comments:
Photo of the day
https://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/a7SYR8-Ea77Piud6Q0p3-BXJ74YEFxurDDODP-_F0rU?feat=directlink
Sabhi Bandhoo logon ko pranam !
reposting
@prabhat...
panic lows made during already extremely oversold zones
usually hold out and a shift in trend takes place against
contrary expectations. thats the earliest way of catching
lows with a highly favourable risk reward ratio.
@ sujatha maam...patience patience :)
Saibhakht more or less I agree with you. It seems Panic bottom has been formed. Todays closing should give some indication (if we happen to close nearer to opening) and in next 2/3 sessions we must get the confirmation
Namaste Dear Kumar Sir,
Agree with your views on charts v/s news.
Sticking to my trading plan is a challenge for me everyday.
It is all about the "Temperment" Oscillator :)
Working to build on it for better trade execution.
Regards,
BNS
@ prabhat from a longer term perspective i maybe the most
bearish guy out there on the street as long as the high of
6300 odd that v made is not taken out.
but as of now in the near term i am bullish until this low of
5195 is not taken out. i think for the near term the low has
been set and only taking it out will change the whole count & game :)
till then cheers !!! :)
Kumar sir, Just confirming.The 5500 ce which was used to hedge our earlier nifty short also has to be squared off. isnt it?
another attempt might be made to take out the low of 5195
and we may drift towards it and the failure to do so will set
the stage for a rally...
+ve factors...
1. extremely oversold zone inc world mkts
2. falling crude a big +ve for our economy
3. the low of 5170 defended as of now.
ilango,
downtrend over only above 5445?
CD: u have a way of expressing things with your photo's... double like!!!
Thanks RC :)
Dear cooldent!
Every plus position was squarred off just after a close below 5350, panic button triggered within next 5-10 minutes...now that level will be heavy to bulls:)
yes sir, thanks
Friends nifty continuesly trading below BBBOTTOM 5337 It is very bad sign for market.
Banknifty bounced from BBBOTTOM so currently in sideway mode once banknifty will close below BBBOTTOM real panic will come.
Bharti 380 to 388.50 high
Check the worksheet "Weekly 5D" in Master's Excel file. ---
"If stays below 5450, likely to IMPULSE down to 5000(+/-)."
Kumar sir ,,U seller at rise .. me bought with s.loss 5250 : D
Master,
What is your critic saying at this juncture? Bulls are to maximum pain by this expiry?
brij: what is your target?
KUmar sir, 10600 ka bus miss hogaya :(
@ raja,, after taking position ,, raise s.loss ,, Like SAR,,
I sold 5490 & just follow SAR,, today it triggered @ 5270...
Now 5250 s.loss for my buy position,
@Kumar Sir 100 pts in BNF
Dear Cooldent!
I booked partial profit at 10500 & it will engage me in trading:)
Dear brij!
U r gr8 & already supported by Sujatha technical Institute so nobody can beat you:)
okay, will hold the longs taken with the same s/l
brijsolution said...
I sold 5490 & just follow SAR,, today it triggered @ 5270...
Hi Brij what is mean triggered @5270 can u pls tell which system it triggerd?
@ brijsolution
Hi sir
Please let me know how you got your SAR number of 5270
@ Brijsolution,
SAR method being used by you is manual calculation or Chart indication? Any AFL, please forward.
Chandra
Nifty -79 banknifty -79. Banknifty outperforming. Ilango sir your view on banknifty!
i am filter SAR levls with using ,, cam ,fibo, kamo, Ma etc. files..
I am updating here ,, track for time being , then take trade...
Anna hazare zindabad. Lagta hai sara kaala dhan jo FII ke haath mai thaa, vaapis maanga jaa raha hai.
@Brij ... thanks ... but when u get time pls elaborate for learning purpose.
sell on every rise. Forget about Teji.
brijsolution said...
Hindalco & bharti bought
June 20, 2011 11:31 AM
Same bought as SAR ,, now bharti trading @ 388,,
SAR @ 383 now
SIR MISSING YOUR OPINION ON CRUCIAL TIME..
@Kumar-ji - i didn't change my colour yet positionally. :P yes i took long nd closed @ 5305 spot with my calls not nifty. Nifty future breakes 5237 morning that is -ve. again breakes will give good downside again. I am a chotta trader. don't want 2 lose something. hence i went small long and enjoyed the ride & will enjoy again if any opportunity comes again. not scary :D
Yes 5177 breakes decesively means my "long term" calculation will change. the way shows it will break :P . missing PT :) the big bear
cooldent buying5100ce and 5500pe is good incase some panic
risk is only 30pts reward ?:)
nifty hawala first give 160 point gain after that close below 5412 ..200 point givan
@Illango sir: Can you please let me know what the current
JNSAR position? Long or short? I have missed it.
Beautiful strategy Richard!
Power of ITM options.
sir, 1pm update please
Bank Nifty completed 3 wave up move - atleast thats what it looks like to me - Buy 10,300 PE option at 10,505
Prashant shah - yes, very sorry thought of u while typing i forgot :D hats off no indicator needed :)
Bulls singing
Bears who shorted at low also singing
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnHmqhkBcCU&feature=related
Sorry for my poor knowledge .. but what is mean by hawala levels?
sir 1pm TT update please...
@ps ur hawala number is very useful. thanks
Good Noon Sir and Warriors
sir, 1pm lowema and close please.
1 PM Close -- 5286
H-LEMA -- 5282
thanks fire.
Shorted Bank Nifty Future again @10540:)
few days back posted 5572 as point 4 and point 5 coming
near 5252/5050. Now it is done for today,,, get ready
for the upmove with 5050 as stoploss on EOD basis.
Vanquish: was it 10550 or 10505.
@rajapvt - my values are always index spot values
and i meant BN spot at 10,505 :)
Can we get bharti airtel 393 today??
391 EOD basis is crucial brij for Bharti
Kumarji,
Can we expect the retesting of the low today itself? (Getting a bit greedy I know :P )
@FIRE, after Bn comes up to 10600 ;)
Dear FIRE!
Very much possible today after 2.30, bcoz it was made in hurry & now it should come little slowly. I am also greedy like you but brij & Sujatha not giving any chance, lets wait for 2.30:)
HELLO KUMAR SIR,
WHEN WILL U UPDATE UR BLOG ?
@ raja,, ok i am watching ur level 391 but 393 intra if i am getting then good for profit booking,,
In my EOD chart also gave buy signal yesterday
jay bhai Jai Jinedra kayan choo ?
Dear TRADINGTAMILAN!
I will update today in evening sure:)
short nifty at 5285 - with target of 5257 -- stops at 5394
reasoning - possible falling parallel channel in formation (5 min charts) - stops are quite close because this parallel channel could also turn out to be a bull flag so need to be careful
@POWERTRADE,.. Hi..
@prashant shah (How is your terminal(business) .. Hi...
Hi Kumar sir,
Can i short NF at current levels?
Kumar SIr,
What is SL of Bank Nifty that shorted at 10540??
Bharti air tel 391 now....
From 380 to 391
Hi Prashant Shah,
Your mail id please..
@kumar sir @fire banknifty is not in mood to give up. Only hope for nifty is its lead indicator banknifty.
@Kumar Sir: I am support of Sujatha maa's for today :)
Dear DKG!
That was my trading against my original sell @10600, perhaps u missed my original call:
KUMAR TECHNICALS said...
Dear Cooldent!
Bank Nifty future is best to sell between 10600-10650 with stop loss of 10700 & target is 10300. I shorted just now at 10600:)
June 20, 2011 11:29 AM
Correction: Sorry Sujatha Ma'm
:)
New Post Done.
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