Friday, September 23, 2011

Nifty PreMarket View

Below 4890(61.8% retrace for the rise from 4720-5169), the vth wave down starts to get more prominence and below 4810(80.0% retrace for the rise from 4720-5169), it gets validated.Until then, keep your options open while trading the down direction.
Hour TA is oversold and hence some intraday bounce may be expected after initial weaknesses which may be used to resell with the help of fibonacci calculations.
A weekly close below 4911, last week's low, will bring in the weekly downward momentum.
How do I exit may trade: It depends on which "study" you are following..? If classic TA based on Macd/ stochastics and which T/F of it..? If EW..? If just Price pattern with the help of trendlines..? If market Profile numbers..? If you are following any one of these, you'll have the answer yourself. Put forth your observations based on these above studies and I'll put forth my views on these too.


37 comments:

Bala C said...

Good Morning Ilango Ji,

SGX Nifty trading @ 4835 with high/low of the day 4888/4816 respectively.

HSI Futures down 420 points now.

chetan said...

good morning,master & friends.have a nice day.:D

Parminder said...

Master Ilango, Good morning

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Master & Friends

golfdude said...

Trading plan for today -


Aggressive trades -

Long if stays above 4890-4910 with target of Pivot - 4964 and R1 - 5020 ( at best ).


Conservative Trades -

Add to shorts as sell on rises ( since less than DLEma - 4999 )


Notes -

Monthly trend down.
Weekly trend neutral as below 5Ema but above WLEma.
Day trend down ( sell on rises to LEma ).


EW analysis -

Has all makings of wave 5. Never know till the 80% rule is done.
But if Wave 4, then bounce from here to atleast 80% of 5168-4910 for
continuation of complex correction of 4 has to happen.

Whichever way, I am expecting a bounce from here. If Wave 5.i was
completed at 4908, then a minimum bounce of 38% of W1 is expected - 5005 -
( usually 50% - 5040 ).

Till the bounce happens, we wont know about continuation of correction.

golfdude said...

SGX Nifty hints to 80% rule of ilango sir. This might
be Wave 5 then. How is this impulse then going to work ? Are we in iii of 5 of still in i of 5 ???

Bala C said...

How do I exit may trade ?

I trade using 5-min T/F and exit by spotting an antenna of my shorts and inverse antenna of my longs. All my trades are intra and do not carry forward any positions overnight.

Real Pilot said...

Sir,
the 5 th wave behavior will comprise of sub wave 1 2 3 4 5?
please guide on
#1 the possible time & size of 5th
# 2 on reversal identifications.
regards

San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

NIFTY Channel resistance: CLICK HERE

Bharat Kumar said...

Guys... How the VIX meter doing? Panic on it...?

shreyunik said...

viz at 33.88...

Pullad said...

Good morning Master & friends

Unknown said...

Thank you Master and Seniors for the inputs...

venkatapathy l said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and fellow bloggers

LV

venkatapathy l said...

@ Ilango

Normally SAR moves in the same direction as Nifty. Today it is in the opposite direction. Can you explain the reason.

Thanks and regards,

LV

Yash and Dhan said...

Good morning Sir, Hi all..
@ Bala sir, " What is spotting an antenna"
Could you please tell me I have not come across
this term. Thanks

sudharsan said...

Good morning All... golfdude if W 1orA of 5th is completed..W2 or B minimum target is 50% ret (5016)

golfdude said...

@sudharsan,

38% is also possible. Commonly seen is 50-62%.

Unknown said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Unknown said...

@ Bala..exit by spotting an antenna of my shorts and inverse antenna of my longs....what does this means... please explain for learning purpose

mynac said...

GM Everybody,
Big volume first trade for NS @ 4873 & @ 4876 and
for NF are @ 4881 & @ 4879 respectively @ 9.15 AM and
immediately started to trade below that trades indicates
the tug of war around those figures.
Initial actions likely to concentrate around those trades.
Let us see who will dominate in the latter trading Hrs.

POWERTRADE said...

Good Morning Sir and Warriors

Prabakar said...

VIX is up by 1.27 points to 35.15(3.74%)

Bhushan said...

Good morning gurudev & friends

Sujatha said...

GM sir and all :)

Mynac - thanks for the alert. hope then v may see gap 5806?? Panic october comes early??

K7 said...

Hi Bala

Could you pls explain what is "spotting an antenna"

Can i have your mail id, so that i could send an email regarding my few queries

K7

POWERTRADE said...

@Mynac

Good Morning -- Today to me it looks like the The Volume trades are buyers and may be after the first session they may take nifty higher

varun said...

triple bottom is made if low is not broken

varun said...

goin long sl low

Parminder said...

sujatha ji what is 5806 typo error

gauresh59 said...

Namaste ilango sir and friends,

Today's quote received :

Life is like a Flute....
It may have many holes and emptiness…
But if you work on it carefully, it can play magical melodies…..!!!!

Sujatha said...

Parminder - If i am not wrong that's a "gap" area . sir or experts comments need :)
like piyush, fire, kumar sir. confirmations from them is impt.

Ram Charan said...

Sir..this question is for you.

i follow lead indicator in hourly and daily charts. now that daily has come down. would it be safe, to hold one lot for next 2 -3 days and selling and covering another lot intraday for next 2-3 days until day lead indicator comes down to 20. Is this fine sir?

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

mynac said...

Dear PT bet.9.15 AM & 9.18 AM the action was
concentrated bet.4873 & 4886. So let us see whether,
it will able to cross and sustain above that 13 points band

Piyush Sharda said...

@suja,
do u mean 3806?

Anonymous said...

Good Morning............

Post a Comment

Retracement strategy, a must for traders.

 Trading strategy that works wonders besides the supports & Resistance is " Retracement strategy ": The strategy that has wor...