Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Nifty PreMarket View

"5040-5057" are the maximum a bear bounce could go beyond which the uptrend could resume.
Incidentally the 50% & 61.8% retracement falls at 5040&5070.

51 comments:

Option Millionaire said...

Good Morning Ilango sir and friends.

Have a nice trading day.

Bala C said...

Good Morning Ilango Ji,

SGX Trading @ 4970 with the high so far @ 4989.

HangSeng is closed today.

chetan said...

good morning master & friends.

Indus said...

Ilango

With reference to your query on JNSAR trade initiations
yesterday.....Sold at 4965 after the ORB at 4967...the
stop loss will be JNSAR

My understanding of the tech table is that if there are
gap up or gap down openings, trade in the direction
of JNSAR....this cuts out the confusion and clutter

As always, many thanks for this level...would welcome
your feedback

Parminder said...

Master Ilango,
Good morning

Bala C said...

Agreed with Indus, It was a "sell on rises" yesterday in the direction of JNSAR.

NIFTYPOSITIONAL said...

closed the long position at 4965 and initiated sell at 4965, since there was a gap down.

San said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
San said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

Nifty Daily Analysis: CLICK HERE

Lee said...

GM All,

Blog Updated.

Is a small squeeze on?

Best,
Lee

cooldent said...

Hvent reversed jnsar yet. Didnt reverse at open expecting a bounce :(

bullvsbear said...

GM Ilongo Ji and all!

Regarding ur JNSAR query, 1 lot @ at the break 4943 as per pre-market view and
1 @ 4965 on the bounce..

golfdude said...

.
gm everyone...
.
Trading plan for Tuesday:

Aggressive trades -

Cant break 4985 ( R1 ), short to 4950 ( pivot )
Long after 4985/4990 ( R1/DLEma ) to 5042 ( 50% retracement of wave 2 )
If 4920, then buy ( WLEma ) with SL

Conservative trades -

End of wave 2 trade - Short at 5042-5070 ( 50-62% retracement ) with SL of 5080/5110 ( DHEma/WHEma ).
JNSAR trade - buy at 5040 ( contradicts above !!! - but larger trend is down )


Notes:
Still sell on rises to 5080
Monthly trend is down.
Week trend is neutral.
W-5Ema is 5008. So below that, short term trend is down.


gd

parimal said...

Namaste Ilango Sir and all blogmates.
all have presented quite nice analysis. what a happy
home this is!!

Sanjay said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and friends!

golfdude said...

.
@san,

How do you get hourly/weekly chart with chartnexus ? Paid version ???

Thx

gd

Fire said...

Master,

I think JNSAR shorts can be initiated today or tomorrow on the rally expected. Yesterday even the day high was too far away from the JNSAR level to be comfortable.

Yash and Dhan said...

Good morning Sir and friends.

Piyush Sharda said...

sir,

i shorted on one hour orb break, later when bounce
was materialising in afternoon closed half
position at cost to be added today at rally
sl 5039

Anonymous said...

Good Morning...............

Sujatha said...

fire - yes 4986 holds chance to 5035 the gap area?? lookslike me too will close my longs and ......

abhishek said...

Good morning Ilango Sir & friends,

Sir , regarding JNSAR trade ...

Short NF @ 4973.15 & 4976.00 ,

cover one lot @ 4923.65,

again short @ 4962.00

at present 2 lot shorts .

Prabhakar said...

Good morning Ilango Sir and all blog mates

Dinesh Rishi said...

Good Morning Master and copy to All


Sis, plz let me know when you close your long position

golfdude said...

@ilango sir,

JNSAR strategy - go short at 5040.

gd

Sujatha said...

DR - closed :) happily as 4987 to 5008 20 sma levels

parimal said...

Dear all
please let us know at what level should we start shorting
thanks and regards

golfdude said...

@all,

Where can i get a nifty 5 min chart spanning 3-4 days ? Google finance can go only 2 days and it doesnt have 10/15 min chart.

Thanks

gd

Hitendra said...

DR - Long only after 9600, will that be the area of strength?

Dinesh Rishi said...

Match not started yet


and Sis out for tea break on toss itself :(

Dinesh Rishi said...

Hitendra

Me trading Nifty this time and my long level was

4980 NF with SL of chinna 20 points

Yours

Chinna Thambi

San said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Fire said...

Nifty trading around 38.2% RT & W-EMA.

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir & Seniors

Hitendra said...

Not trading yet and wanted to long on a dip, but you had said yesterday abt 9600 levels and hence the query.

Thanks, now me waiting for a dip.

Sujatha said...

DR - :) :) learning tamil?? by the way i am not a big player like u chotta player so i will book out wat i calculated don't bother where it's going will catch it later our mkt running up Courtesy - DOW + general global cues. expecting......in short term

Ilango said...

I'm quite happy that most have done a reasonable JNSAR trades. Those who part booked it, got it absolutely correct.

It is the challenging "iv.b" wave possibility that makes it quite challenging.

Hour TA is turning up from the bottom-OS levels.

If it is the "b" wave, it will be a challenging trading zone in the 4945/60 to 5015/45 approximately.

Above 34Hr sma, a likely "iv.c" may open up. If not, it would be the end of "v.ii" and downmove resumes in the later half or tomorrow.

RainMaker said...

sabhi bandhoo logon ko pranam !

Badri said...

goodmorning sir and friends.
@Golfdude, chek if this is useful. http://www.bazaartrend.com/nsecharts/intraday_free.php

RainMaker said...

@Golfdude

Try this Futures charts /stocks /commodities absolutely free all time frames with drawing features.

http://www.cbloomnews.net/

Hitendra said...

good morning blogmates,
38.2% retrac lvl is 5010.
nifty made high of 5014.95 so far.
pdd

Dinesh Rishi said...

Hitendra said...
Not trading yet and wanted to long on a dip, but you had said yesterday abt 9600 levels and hence the query.


Bang head I never mentioned 9600

Dismiss the charge

Dinesh Rishi said...
Hitendra

BN long only above open Day/weekly price
September 12, 2011 11:55 AM

golfdude said...

.
@all,

I got confused with JNSAR direction. I assume yesterday was a short with JNSAR ( 5026 ) and so today is a long at 5040 ???

Thx

gd

Jyothienterprises said...

A close below 4890 will make NIFTY to test the august lows and a close above 5046 will provide a good short term buying opportunity.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Jyothienterprises

Ru form Coimbatore

Jyothi Mam?

Hitendra said...

DR - yes, you are right. I was mistaken with something else.

Ilango said...

4911 to 5015 may be treated as "a' wave of the 2nd of vth wave presently. And a "banghead" b with a sideways action is unfolding to be followed by the 'c' wave of the 2nd wave into last part of the day and into next day opening session possibly.

- Above view is for the "v.ii" scenario.

-80% retrace of 5169 to 4911 comes at 5117. From 5070(61.8% retrace), the negation starts.

golfdude said...

.
@ilango sir,

Understood v.ii explanation. What was the 80% retrace note about ?

Thx

gd

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

golfdude said...

.
v.ii.b can come as low as 4950 then ( 61.8% of v.ii.a ). And v.ii.c will be 5055 ( same as v.ii.a ).

EW is as complicated as it gets. But so much fun.


gd

manojag said...

Captain,
This could also be possible?
4911 to 4965 --a
4965 to 4934 --b
4934 to 5015 --c or could go upto 5021 to do a 1.618 of 'a'.
104 pts retrace=40% of 5169 to 4911

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