Thursday, September 15, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-II


67 comments:

Sujatha said...

Satheesh - check nifty spot 5 days 30mins. chart strong support 4984 decesive break means straight hit 4930 that is the next support as per my "ZERO KNOWLEDGE OF CHARTS"

Ilango said...

@ PS,

The rise from 4720 to 5169 could be labelled as 5s as well as abc. It suits the market to keep us guessing. But if we know a reasonable direction, we could use these studies.
we don't want to be among the men who look back and count but we do so in the "playing field".

The more we get closer in T/f, it is challenging as well as damaging.

Nevertheless, we attempt, wearing safety wear(SL).

MD said...

just sharing following info:

The VIX made a high of 36-37 in previous panics

ATM vols of 4900 around 31%

OTM vols put 4600-4700 at 36-37 %

OTM Vols of calls at 28-29%

The last two two times INDIA VIX was
above 32 was on 09/08/2011 –
Nifty was 4950-500 it bounced to 5195 and
next on 26/08/2011 it traded at 32 –
Nifty was at 4720-4750 it bounce back to 5150 +.

Only time Index has traded above 38-40 vols
has been in 2008 Lehmann collapse period.

now india vix is 32

golfdude said...

.
Wave 4 theory has timeframe support on its side. Wave 4
is usually Wave 3 timeline, especially in daily and above.
Given that, we are looking at end of month for Wave 4
to complete ( Wave 3 was 23 days ). Just during/begin
of next month, Wave 5 might start :)

sometimesbullsometimesbear said...

Thurs Fri could be a down day as per vedic astrology.
Just an additional input. Please use this whilst
making back of the envelope calculations during trading
Hope it helps. Thks.

Dinesh Rishi said...

dare

same analysis Sis mailed me yesterday

:)

Dinesh Rishi said...

STBSTB

Bro ealrier we had lots of debates on Astro and stock market

if you have any past data (back test report)
in respect of planetary move plz post it

we are sick of all these types of studies/posts

Fire said...

Nice Bearish Flag in 5-min. chart. Also MAC is seen. So a big intra-move may come anytime today.

MD said...

@ Dinesh rishiji,

yes........ i also recd the same type of mail...
so felt to share here

golfdude said...

.
If Wave 4 zigzag is on, and timeframe is to match 3,
then Sep 28-29 we end Wave 4. If 4.a is 4720-5170 and it took
7 days, then Sep 20 ( next week Tuesday ), I expect
C to start ( same in timeline and size as A ).

All timelines approx.

shr said...

Good afternoon Sir and friends.
Kumar sir, nice call in the last message. And I would say no stop loss on those buys :-)

Piyush Sharda said...

yes sir,

it can be labelled as 5 too.

sometimesbullsometimesbear said...

Dear DR data is from modernvedicastrologydotcom -
70:30 reliability per my experience.
Actually all studies and analysis r concepts only and
we put our faith in the best tested concept and move
ahead. No concept is foolproof.
Best to keep an open mind. Thks/Lots Rgds.

Ilango said...

@ FIRE,

When in downtrend, always look for bearish flags...they help a lot. Good obs..

Natti said...

Bear flag in 5 mins???

Option Millionaire said...

DR sir,

Today's pre-market High 5191.90. Any chance of reaching
there ?

DCStrader said...

@Ilango

seems that could have worked
lets see thought :)

satheesh said...

Sujatha,

I do not maintain 30 mins chart as per 5min NF charts there is are price clusters at 4970-80. Once this breaks there will be crossovers of the MA's and a fall would be present. As per the Bullish Gartely formed now the retracements are 4970,4944 and 4925 - your TGT achieved. (I say Insha Allah)

Bullish gartley 5min chart:
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8emPxHESSNs/TnGfUx_X1iI/AAAAAAAAATA/1wWUzzAmf2k/s1600/Bullish+gartley+in+5min+NF+sept+15.bmp

Fire said...

Master,

All learnt from you only.

Though I have been beaten too by the pole at times, still I wave the flag whenever I see it. :P

Dinesh Rishi said...

STBSTB

Bro you also try JNSAR

and dont distract us from our time tested study

we know how to filer noise but new fellows get trapped

ad I dont think Master will like posting links of websites

which are providing paid services

golfdude said...

.
If this is 4 zigzag, then we are playing 4.B.c
4.B.a = 5170-4910 ( 260 ) - 14 hours
4.B.b = 4910-5066 ( 156 ~= .628*260 )
4.B.c = 5066-4810 - ending at Friday or Monday morning.

So even with 4 possibility, we are in an impulse down.

Ram Charan said...

head and shoulders in 5 min charts... 4930 target?

Dinesh Rishi said...

Option Millionaire

pre-open price has no significance

due to pre-mkt open

I study NF chart now a days

Option Millionaire said...

Dear DR sir,

Thank you so much.

sometimesbullsometimesbear said...

Dear DR got your point. Thks for highlighting. Will
take care. Just presenting an astro view. No ulterior
motives.

Must also say Ilango's TT is a super system - But the most super
is Ilango as a good human being.

Thks for this wonderful blog and nice people Ilango.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Thanks 2 u also

STBSTB :)

Cheers!!!!!!!!!!

Ram Charan said...

sujataji- in 30 min charts, 2nd sept high of 5064.9 and todays high, can we consider them as 2 shoulders and 5168 as d head as a valid HNS pattern. am not too good in patterns so askin.

Sujatha said...

http://vix.co.in/indiavix/live-chart/

abv is for who loves to compare VIX and want toknow more dig stockcharts.com for short term use P&F

ram - v almost in week end take just frm 8th to 14th just draw the supp/resistance this is for short term trading atleast u r not too good in pattern? me :P BIG ZERO :D

golfdude said...

.
I am really lucky to start my EW education in
a Wave 4 in both Nifty and S&P. And very irregular
corrections in both.

DCStrader said...

@Ilango

on 5 min EW
ii doing abc
a b done c started targeting 5012-35 :)

Dinesh Rishi said...

BN leading

and a joke

Wife : Do you want dinner? Husband : Sure, what are my choices? Wife : Yes and no.

Prabhakar said...

@Dinesh Rishi,
lol....... Just power came and saw your posting)

golfdude said...

.
@manish,

Have same count. But concerning that it reached
previous impulse down's wave 1. So maybe counts are
wrong at a degree above.

Prabakar said...

@Prabhakar,
you too facing power problem. r u from chennai?

DCStrader said...

@ jnsar NOW

shreyunik said...

Now what? Long or short?

DCStrader said...

@gd

till 5042 Nifty spot & 5048 for Future not crossed can go with the 5 min EW count posted by Ilango

DCStrader said...

abv that count will have to be changed

golfdude said...

.
All safe shorting zones with 5050 SL ???

POWERTRADE said...

Perplexes sate of market and mind tooo :(

Dinesh Rishi said...

Sis to me
show details 1:13 PM (15 minutes ago)
thank u sir mm..long position no guts to post @ JN newcomers may affect becoz of my comments as i can change my coat suddenly

4974 20 sma + 4982 intra cam L3 // 50% fibo @4958 + 4952 intra short breakout was my SL OMG it didn't hit :) bach gaya

another fooling thought - sept. is mostly mkt friendly except in bear market .... lolz

=============
pcsmitpra

I trade long only so did not initiated Short, and mine SL are bit relaxed

If you are trading in this kind of Mkt and have to pay 2-3 whips dont worry you will end in right direction only

and when direction is established 2-3 whips will be covered in single trade

cos after whips trend tends to be strong

engineer2020 said...

Dear Sir today first filter short and second filter long
trigger.Now No trading in nifty.

Sir,
Is the concept is correct.

Prabhakar said...

@Prabakar,
This not power cut.They are changing electrical lines.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Lunch is ready

http://barfani.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/dsc086171.jpg

abhishek said...

Friends ,

Now we are JNSAR @ 5038 LONG.

DKG said...

Is JNSAR Triggered Long??

Dinesh Rishi said...

PUNTER'S CALL

http://www.sharekhan.com/CMT/Upload/NewsLetter/Report/Highnoon-Sep15_11.pdf

shreyunik said...

Sir,
The upmove almost retraced 80% of the fall today... is that ok
if we are considering the fall as i of iii of v?

A J said...

@pcsmitpra
"Any Comment to invest in KingFisher ?"
What do you mean by King Fisher...let me assume

King Fisher stock = don't invest, stay away from airlines stocks in recession, KFA has bad margins. TA = momentum, trend down.

King Fisher calender = BUY BUY BUY! :D

Final call by Brij Sir

Dinesh Rishi said...

AJ

King Fisher calender = BUY BUY BUY! :D

Plz mail me latest catalog for KFA calender

satheesh said...

Today has been a day of 61.8% retr:

61.8% retr of 4090-5047 = 4960
61.8% retr of 4959-5013 = 4981
161.8% retr of 5013-4978 = 5035

Todays NF movement

5047 -4959-5013-4978-5044
The power of fibo!!!!

cooldent said...

AJ one for me too pls

Anonymous said...

Ilango Sir said….

“”Why one must have confusion with JNSAR...?

JNSAR for the day is 5037... (I have made it 5027 to initiate it after profit booking- you could ignore it if it leads to confusion)

Being an "eventful day" with RBI rate decision, make use of the volatility to capture some points. “”
I Agreed ………….thats why I written…

For day traders, every day is good DAY, The period 11 AM to 1 PM having good momentum, specially range breakup or down.....So just play, keep away long term , short term etc. specially when big event coming…

DCStrader said...

upload n post that link here better :P

Prabhakar said...

@Dinesh Rishi,
The lunch is very small, is it because it is Thursday?

Unknown said...

@ dr - '0cos after whips trend tends to be strong'

noted

DKG said...

Sir,

What is JNSAR trade now, Long or Short?

Anonymous said...

Sir NIFTY unable to cross JNSAR is it comfortable to
take fresh shorts here again for any dips upto 4985.

golfdude said...

@manish,

Amazing.
Wave a - 50 pts - 10:30 - 12
Wave c - 50 pts - 12:30 - 2

Traveller said...

JNSAR IS LONG

I guess tough it touched 5015

A J said...

@pcsmitpra

More info

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/buzzingstocks/auditors-paintdire-picturekingfisher-stock-down-4_586456.html

@ DR and cooldent
May be we can get it from "pcsmitpra" if he doesn't invest in the Stock
I won't mind even if it's a 2008, 2009 or 2010 year calender!

Prabhakar said...

@DKG,
My system shows previous low is 5016.50. So it is long as per my view

vksoni said...

jnsar long triggereddddd

DCStrader said...

@gd
hoping that c ends there
5042 watching

abhishek said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ilango said...

New Post Done.

cooldent said...

banghead.

if taken long at 5037 then sar at 5017
if taken long at 5027 then sar at 5007

write 100 times

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