Monday, April 4, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-III

73 comments:

sgx said...

thank u fire...
what is DHEMa level... shall i wait for tomorw..
else must close today ah?

Please

Fire said...

@Manu,

As you are studying the equity market in conjunction with the currency market, you may want to check the CNX Defty index. It has broke out of the channel today, which Nifty is yet break above 5920. So, Defty is leading and now Nifty may do the same.

Fire said...

@Sgx,

You may keep a SL above 5920-25 spot for your shorts.

Fire said...

DHEMA@5830.

Sukanya said...

Dear Bulls, enough killing for now, itching to change my coat :D

mm said...

fire..hi
nifty in $ term is defty..fii watch this..
i m not fii:)

Sandy said...

Seems like oil @118 is a forgotten story....

Last time in 2008, Nynex went to $150 odd, but the Indian basket
was at a discount of 20$ odd...

Dont know the exact peak, but maybe near $130.

We are now near that peak give or take 10%, and seems like its all ok:)

Dinesh Rishi said...

RG Sir 2:30 Affect plz :D

lazydude said...

OIL STORY IS A TRAP, the day you think its ok to have 140-150 dollar oil,they remove the floor below and tell u its all because of oil. then you become a bear and watch 200 dollar oil with equities at all time highs.

lazydude said...

its all mind games. Inflation helps companies , there topline increases multiply that with pe od 15-20, u get 10(inflation) * 18( avg PE) = 180 % increase in stock prices.

Sandy said...

Overbought on weekly , daily and hourly ...:)

Fire said...

@Manu,

You are nothing less to me :D

Jokes apart, sometimes I have seen Defty leading Nifty. Thats all. May or may not indicate anything.

Sandy said...

@fire....

Does the bat pattern that was put up by sir, some days ago, still hold good?

Sandy said...

I think, it was made by you... sorry if I am mistaken :)

Anonymous said...

Dear Bhavesh!

Last week's movement definately surprised all of us but i believe, If any bull run is on cards even then Nifty will come down to make higher bottom. This market has a very bad habit of surprising Bulls, Bears, FIIs, DIIs...and all the analysts so no complaint to market.

Rgrds,

Kumar

sgx said...

nifty wont come down ah?
will it be everyday up?
i thinked 5900 the top level...

Unknown said...

Good afternoon sir and friends.
@sir
Is there bearish flag developing on hourly chart?

Dinesh Rishi said...

Kumar Sir,

Alternate count

can surprise by doing all time high without correction

any chance? :D

Rajagopal said...

DR(original) - Happy to be Long 2.30.(pls don't spoil it Mr 2.30).(Monday,Tuesday,Thursday)

mm said...

lazydude..hi
oil at 200 fine if $inr at 35:)
then only nifty all time high..
we suffer from inflation west from deflation(excl commodity prices)

Anonymous said...

Dear DR!

I m mentally prepared for that so hedged properly since 5500. Above 6150-6200 i will be compelled to change my coat...till then its a wonderful opportunity to increase shorts at every rise for big packets.

Kumar

Sujatha said...

@ mishraji - noooo don't try to change your coat now :D

DR - sorry for "interference" yesssssss possible to straight 6181 line :) if at all ......... holds well :D

Manoj-ji - wow,,,, nifty celebrated the level of 5894 now 5920???? if it closes here tomorow??????? kya bath hai :)

sgx said...

fire shall i cover...?
spot now 5912

huge loss :(

Dinesh Rishi said...

Thanks Sis :D

Chandra said...

@ Ilango Sir,

Forwarded a excel file for your perusal & suggestions.

Thanks & regards,
Chandra

ELECTROCRAFT SYSTEMS said...

nifty is celebrating India's win. i think its the final burst today we may see some correction from tomorrow ....

Fire said...

@Sandy,

That pattern was in a small TF, but its failure showed the power of the bulls (as pattern failures reinforces the strength in the opposite direction).

But the higher TF pattern worked well and achieved all targets. Here is the original chart posted ---

https://picasaweb.google.com/yinyangfire/FibonacciPatterns#5583706744960163058

Sukanya said...

Thanks Dear Sujatha! Wow!!

ELECTROCRAFT SYSTEMS said...

5970 nifty spot to watch

Sandy said...

Thanks Fire...

But I was taking of the bearish bat, that sir had posted on March 28,
in pre Market View

Rajagopal said...

DR : +70 to +70 Mr 2.30 has done statutory 20 points for the day.

Hi Suja.

Rajagopal said...

+70 to +90 DR

Fire said...

@Sandy,

That was in the smaller TF which failed.

Fire said...

NS high@5919 so far.

Sandy said...

@ Fire ...
Failed?

The targets seem to be achieving itself...

Ilango said...

Channel top almost reached..@ 5918.70.

Unknown said...

@DRSIR
Silver on its way. Gold may join silver today or late to late tomorrow.
Kitna leke rakha he sirji?

Sujatha said...

Dine sir - No lolz na?? :D mm.. sure a spurt if 5920 holds
Doji inside bar closing on friday?? i think.

mishraji - i am the "one" always short in advance or long in advance now changed my attitude :)

RG - hi sir give me 6181 :) :D

Unknown said...

@Ilango sir
For my knowledge chances for bear flag on hourly chart?
Possible?

Dinesh Rishi said...

jigs I see some correction in Yellow Metal

todays closing may change charts

let see

Ilango said...

@ Jigs,

"Bear flag" is possible only in downtrends. Hourly prices have been uptrending.

If 5920 is not breached and if Nifty falls & consolidates later, that would qualify as "Bear Flag".

Dinesh Rishi said...

Sujatha said...
Dine sir - No lolz na??


By God no Lolz

Sis thers only one Sir here

Im Sirfira :D

Anonymous said...

Hi Kumar Sir,
Should we move to 6000 call or wait for tomorrow?

mm said...

sir ..
few days back i gv u a fancy chart..

is this still qualifies as "B"..sucker 'B"
0r 3.3

Unknown said...

@DRSIR
Thanks for answer sir.

Chandra said...

Wk-R1 5918 resisting NS
Chandra

Unknown said...

@Ilango sir
Thank you sir for your quick answer.
Will keep in mind now.

Anil said...

Its a result season coming on, so its expected to be maintain it UP for few days, to take advantage of exit at higher prices 5900-6000 levels, rest market will give direction.
But dont try to accumulate shares here, at this level.Its a solid game of distribution going on in midcaps and small caps, just they r catching, or rather moving for final leg up, before a correction or consolidation.

venkatapathy l said...

Sir,

Next Post.

LV

Anonymous said...

Dear Debdeep!

Temptation is on to convert 5900 calls in 6000 near 5920 spot but Camarilla operator is holding 10K nifty and greedy for 6181:) so i m worried, Important thing is she is completely right since 5600 so i will sit with patience since 6100. Big hats off to her...

Rgrds,

Kumar

mm said...

sir..by nirav..n jan he posted..
http://passionatetrader.blogspot.com/2011/01/same-cycle-same-pattern.html

Fire said...

@Sandy,

My apologies. I was thinking about my last study, which failed. But the beautiful study by Harpreet is really going on well. According to his exhaustive study,5966 is the PRZ. So, we must keep a sharp watch at that level.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Camarilla operator Lolzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Cinderella operator

sgx said...

illango sir / fire
shall i hold short or cover...

Sandy said...

@ Fire...

:)

Thanks...

What do you think are the chances of an even bigger fall.. after the pattern gets complete?

My Apologies too since I thought that your a study done by you:)

Dinesh Rishi said...

BN could not break 31 Mar 2011's high

not a good closing

Sandy said...

As far as I can see, there is some serious capitulation by the bears

nifty said...

Today will be the 10th consecutive day of NF closing in the green. Does anyone knows whatz the record ??

Fire said...

@Sandy,

Now I am taking one day at a time... :)

Dinesh Rishi said...

@Nifty

I think it closed in red on 1st

mm said...

DR,,ssa..bn looks r deceptive..dont take panga..
warna :)

sir/ps..

nirav w
av expecting a motive wave after 3.3 trgtng 5900
done 2dy..he reads high with 5 waves ..crrctn n 3 waves abc done..

Sandy said...

@manu....
there is some difference in the pattern..

In the first chart, we made a double bottom, compared to the current phase
where we were 10% lower...

Comparable?

Sujatha said...

@ DR - yeah.. right. But pity see sometimes people are madam-ning me too  for me it’s unavoidable :P
nifty's weekly health is very good, daily health is only slight -ve each and every mild pause and correction is adjusting/adjusted by our dear FIIs, DIIs. Still bear possibility is open technically but bulls not giving way. If bear comes I can expect upto 5778??? Too greedy early!! But always “home work is good” Need some strong external –ve news???
@ Dr. Kumar – Lolzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz :D anyway 100% believing me is like “suicide” :P another clue – unless I turn “bear” nifty will not come down??? Hehe 
@nifty – can u give me another 3 days upside please???
Anyway I hv to thank my “D” today as she allowed me comment 

Unknown said...

Ya it closed red on 1st

Prabakar said...

100% increase in the volume & 124% increase in the OI of 5900 put

Nilesh Patil said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Unknown said...

manu said...
DR,,ssa..bn looks r deceptive..dont take panga..
warna :)

this time BN is lagging

Rajagopal said...

Bye Sir and Friends.

Chandra said...

@ Ilango Sir,

File re-send
Chandra

Harpreet said...

Good Afternoon LORD & Family,

@Sandy, Fire.
Was not around so could not reply, will try to update the chart in the evening and mail it to lord, if he finds it of any use he will upload it.

Regards
Harpreet

nifty said...

@DR

NF closed 5858.70 on 31/3. The next day's close was 5861.35. The Nifty Spot did close in the negative, but the Nifty Futures didn't.


http://www.nseindia.com/marketinfo/sym_map/symbolMapping.jsp?instrumentType=FUTIDX&symbol=NIFTY&expiryDate=28-04-2011&optionType=select&strikePrice=&dateRange=15days&fromDate=&toDate=&segmentLink=9&symbolCount=2

Krishna said...

Nifty closed above 55 day high 5871-5874 today.

Dinesh Rishi said...

@Nifty

Yes ur right I just saw candle was red

candle was red due to it closed below its open price

Cheers its making new record :D

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