Thursday, April 21, 2011

Nifty Intraday Update-II

75 comments:

Only Nifty said...

Any idea when is RIL results anouncement?
Usually after market hours...

Buying CALL n PUT in equal parts is nice idea?
5% up or down movement on monday would give nice return right?

Please advise.

above strategy worked well for infosys and hcl result.. just my observation.

Bhushan said...

lol Dinesh bhai

Piyush Sharda said...

dinesh bhai :-)

Ram Charan said...

Alert- daily n hourly JNSAR numbers are converging. Usually we get good trades.

Sir- i remember before nifty fell to 5175, there were so many whipsaws and nifty was in a range of 5400 to 5500. People were writing deep ITM calls and then there used to cut in OI the next day. I see similar pattern here.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Mail received

Presently Mars is aspecting Jupiter and there is Mars+Jupiter
conjunction on 1st May. So this uptrend in Gold may continue upto
1st May (may be roughly upto 22500). Again further trend will be
decided after 8th May when Jupiter and Mars enter Aries.
(But we should take astro as guidance and depend more on EMAs)

Prabakar said...

Nifty Spot Low's this month.

Date Low
06-Apr-11 5868.8
07-Apr-11 5866.25
05-Apr-11 5855.85
04-Apr-11 5833.2
08-Apr-11 5822

And 5858 is yesterday's High(Gap which needs to be filled)

Unknown said...

any idea what time TCS results expected ?

Fire said...

@PS,

For you -- (changed my mind a bit :))

https://picasaweb.google.com/yinyangfire/FIRECharts#5597925983563542658

cooldent said...

DR, RG sir. If someone wants to invest in silver wt target can u expect?

nifty said...

TCS usually reports after the market close. Perhaps around 5.30 - 6.30 PM

Prashant said...

On earlier occasions when it fell from above 5900, the fall was quick.
This time it is a slow corrective fall, the resistance may be cleared in the next attempt if these levels hold.
it seems that even holding above 5850 till 1:30 will be enough to scare the bears.

vAsiSTha said...

bearish wolfe wave activated. First target 5820. Next 5760.

Ananyavrat said...

what is a bearish wolfe wave misnomer?
how is it activated?

Piyush Sharda said...

thanks fire.
heard this for the is time target
will be 6338 isnt it ?

Fire said...

@PS,

Yes.

vAsiSTha said...

@ananyvrat: its a trade setup like any other (eg h&s) with a price target.
The breakout over channel upper boundary was a false one. It has reentered the channel to activate it. Targets will not hold if downmove is sluggish.

Satish said...

DR,
your trading rules are very interesting and realistic.Please share other rule you follow.This will help to new comer.

Rajagopal said...

Cool : DR indicated 08.05.11 + dates. To invest we have to wait. I remember one friend expecting 10-15% correction .... must be 5 to 7k low. One long story read:

JPM has covered 1/3rd shorts. Balance to be covered. The covered Silver short is in physical and is held back in inventory. If the wait is for the balance short to be covered and then if the physical is released back into market, it will trigger a deep correction. What say?

cooldent said...

Thanks RG sir. Dont know anything about commodities. A friend asked for advice hence posted the query

Unknown said...

sir,from where can i download the excel sheet which
u are posting daily?

aktainwala said...

@DR
Excuse me for correcting.
Mars is with Jupiter in Pisces, Mars aspects any planet
when they are in the 4th 7th and 8th house from it.

Ashok

cooldent said...

@bhageerathi. Right hand side. EW/Technical analysis. Justnifty TA

Unknown said...

@DRSIR @RGSIR
i was expecting gold 22k, silver 67k. Now i prefer day trading. No positional in gold. In silver 69k possible but no positional long too in silver.
10 to 15% correction is expected at anytime in PM. will update more after little more study.

Dinesh Rishi said...

jiggggggggggggggggg where were u

so may absent marked

Dinesh Rishi said...

Ashok ji

I am Brahmin but dont know anything about Astro

it was mail received from 12th standard girl
she is learning astro from her father :D

Unknown said...

@DRSIR
Was present sir but not able to post.
Too much rush of customers to buy silver and gold too.........

Dinesh Rishi said...

Head and shoulder pattern in BN

is turning out to be

pain in Head and shoulder pattern

gauresh59 said...

@ jigs,
Here in Ahmedabad, silver in physical is quoting at 68K at present and delivery is to be given after 3-4 days...not immediately.

Unknown said...

Bluechannels and newspapers giving target of silver 1lakh 2lakh. People do not want to miss this rally.
Where were there BC and NP when silver was trading at 7k or even 15k

lalit said...

Ilango for nifty positional which chart and which method u use

Unknown said...

thanks cooldent

Rajagopal said...

Thank you Jigs. Same pattern here. Just a beginner in Comm trading. Intra itself is enough - to hit the pillow happy and relaxed. Risk is to the extent of leaving 1/5th of traded qty for over night benefit. Even then Silver gives pleasant surprise so far. Please keep guiding us.

Hi Gauresh. How r u? Correct me on my Comm view - focus is only Crude and Silver.

Ilango said...

@ lalit,

For positional trades, rely on day macd & Stochastics with 5 D & 14D combination. Daily Tech table values, especially DLEma helps to hold.

sreyO... said...

sir, can i buy here again?

gauresh59 said...

@RG,

I trade only in silver and trade like an investor. I have been long in big silver since 42 k for 2 lots and go on trading in minisilver 2lots each time for each decline and rise of 400 points ...keep booking profit in each trade step by step. I keep funds spare to buy at decline upto 6 times. Yesterday night got good opportunity to buy at 1200 points dip from the high.....

Parminder said...

Ilango SIRwhat will be the stop loss for longs if taken today

gauresh59 said...

@RG, @jigs,
10% - 15% correction in silver will give us good opportunity to buy more at dip

Rajagopal said...

That's lovely Gauresh. btw your Ahmedabad trend indicates deep Bullishness? Buying at forward price today?

Unknown said...

@rgsir
right way.
@gauresh
Importer do not want to import in advance.
Wholesaller do not want to buy in advance.
Small shopkeepers are short from 40k so...no physical
Only retailers want to buy and they are earning still buying

Ilango said...

@ SreyO,

If you buy now, manage it with Hour JNSAR.

@ Parminder,

manage your positions with Hour JNSAR.

Piyush Sharda said...

@jigs, gauresh bhai,

is physical silver 0999, not always at premium to mcx?

sreyO... said...

thanx for your reply sir. I'm long from yesterday and booked profit at 5908 NS...i wanted to enter.

suresh said...

sir,
what parameters to be used in stochastics
(%k ;%d) and for macd for intraday trades in diff time frames
5/20/60 mts
thanks

Prabakar said...

Back with OI again. I have cross checked with NSE website.

CALL OI +1.27%
PUT OI +6.81%

call
5700 3375900 3185550 -190350 -5.64%
5800 4664800 4184700 -480100 -10.29%
5900 6103900 6223400 119500 1.96%
6000 8802750 9444600 641850 7.29%
6100 5478800 5673150 194350 3.55%

put
5700 8298000 8872400 574400 6.92%
5800 6984200 7726500 742300 10.63%
5900 4962800 7345700 2382900 48.02%
6000 982600 2677500 1694900 172.49%
6100 148700 159650 10950 7.36%

aktainwala said...

@ DR

that's OK, just wished to share.

Ashok

Unknown said...

@PS not understand what u are asking?

gauresh59 said...

@ piyush sharda,

That is not always the case. It depends upon the demand and supply of physical silver. The disparity of price in both physical and forward markets goes on changing as per the situation of actual demand and supply of it.

@ RG,
In Ahmedabad, the trend for silver and gold is bullish, but now a days all traders have become cautious. They do take risk at such a high rate, but calculated and limited risk.

Ilango said...

@ Suresh,

If you download the excel file from the link given as "JustNifty TA" under EW/TECHNICAL ANALYSIS heading at the side bar of this blog, you can get all the parameters used.

Only Nifty said...

I have just seen… one of the higher officials (aged 40) in my office (SW company) reading this blog 
OMG…. Ilango sir’s fame is spreading like a wild fire ;)

Dinesh Rishi said...

Ravi

Now you going to be on task he is reading your post :D

Fire said...

@RG,DR,Jigs, Gauresh,

Two simplistic charts for you ---
https://picasaweb.google.com/yinyangfire/FIRECharts#5597945452660596786

https://picasaweb.google.com/yinyangfire/FIRECharts#5597945531584436578

My question is , is it possible for Gold? I know the charts are too simplistic. Still, expecting indulgence. :D

suresh said...

sir,
pl tell me as per my reguirements
thanks

Piyush Sharda said...

@jigs i was asking that the price of physical silver
0.999 purity is always at premium to mcx. gauresh bhai
is of view it isnt that way always.

thanx for ur view gauresh bhai . here u mean
physical and furure market b cos 68000 is physical
just goods delivered in 4 days due to shortage may be.
usually they have ready stock.

Piyush Sharda said...

furure- future (typo)

Crorepathi said...

RG,
Sent an email to Prabha, can I have yours?

Unknown said...

yes DR, read Ravi post, he should get a task otherwise
he will be busy until 3:30PM.

Only Nifty said...

From next SAR trade, I have decided to do this…

Log into share khan a/c only when SAR hits…. Guess this works… temptation would kept away to greater extent… which is major cause of my losses

nifty said...

@DR

That's a good one. If we don't see Ravii around for a little while, we all know where he was.

Rama said...

Dinesh Rishi@ LoL :) Hope this Ravi is not the Ravi that he knows of.

mynac said...

Dear Prabakar,
Put
5900 4962800 7345700 2382900 48.02%
6000 982600 2677500 1694900 172.49%

IT looks abnormal when Nifty at present is struggling to cross even 5900... Has this rally come to end ??? because still long 4 days to go for next series.. and look at the addition.. it is indicating something else and more over no significant rollover there in Next series... Bulls will have to give a close above at least 5900 for sustain up-move is very reasonable expectation here.Let us see.still 1.45 Hrs to go so let us hope for the best...

Only Nifty said...

I am not Ravii in Off.. hence no issues..
Haha.. DR, good one sir... :)

Unknown said...

looks to be good 2.30 set up....

Unknown said...

@PS some times silver physical=mcx+1%vat. Gauresh is right.
Demand and supply issue is main

vAsiSTha said...

anyone short?

lalit said...

ilango nifty hour and 35hr chart which u use now it is for

Rajagopal said...

Crore : Prabha wl forward to me and I will respond to you.
===

Fire : Good thought. Truth is simple...and why not. Thanks for the effort. Keep indulging.

lalit said...

intra day

Unknown said...

me @5915 shorted, waiting for 5850 to book

Dinesh Rishi said...

RG Sir

2day 2:30 O+ve?

Piyush Sharda said...

thanx jigs

Fire said...

@RG,

Thanks once again.

TCS monkeying around making nf jump too.

Rajagopal said...

Yes DR. It is +ve on Thursdays.
Now must start noting down what happens on truncated weeks...Sir has planted seeds of doubt.

Ilango said...

New Post Done.

Fire said...

SBI making highs all the time.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Weekly candle in BN is Hanging Man

Hanging Man candlesticks form when a security moves significantly lower after the open, but rallies to close well above the intraday low. The resulting candlestick looks like a square lollipop with a long stick. If this candlestick forms during a decline, then it is called a Hammer

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