Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Nifty PreMarket View.

If you are an "intelligent Trader", my humble suggestion to you is to act dumb once a trend emergence is observed. 90% of the time, you will end up patting your back for acting dumb.
Rajagopal's "Ear to the ground" coupled with TA gave one stupendous call on Tata Steel even when the market was going down towards 5349 and he was quite insistent on "Strong money" buying into it which was also quite evident from our own TA.
Rochak Parekh.. you are next.


32 comments:

golfdude said...

@ilango sir,

Based on JNSAR, one bought 2 lots at 5468. Suppose one decides to sell one lot say at current values, and decides to run the next one. Based on the current JNSAR value at 5459, they would be taking a loss. Is that correct ?

San said...

Good Morning Ilango sir and friends

Nifty daily analysis updated: LINK

Thank you

Prabakar said...

Good Morning Ilango Sir and Friends

r m said...

Good Morning all!

gauresh59 said...

@ golfdude,

If you have bought 2 lots @ 5468 and out of them sold 1 lot at current value @ 5577 you are in profit of 109 points for 1 lot and still holding 1 lot.

Now suppose you have to sell this 2nd lot @ JNSAR 5459, you will incur loss of only 9 points. Meaning the net profit of 100 points.

Again you are not closing your trade but going short below JNSAR @ 5459........and will earn in short trade too........

The chances of loss are less and even if there is any loss, it will be not only covered easily but results into profits in the next trards, if you have followed this JNSAR method.

I think you have got the idea of JNSAR.......

shiva said...

good morning,seniors..

GANESH PL said...

Good Morning Ilango sir and all blogmates...

ani said...

Good morning sir and all seniors,friends

Dinesh Rishi said...

GD GM still hangover!!!!!!!!!!

manojag said...

@san,
when ever nifty has hit the upper channel it has given a 300 pts on the down side. As per me the area to look out for would be 5628 where we have a channel resistance.Coupled with - div its better to be most vigilant.

@golfdude,
the idea for keeping one lot till jnsar is hit is to capture a larger move which the system gives quite a few times. otherwise you are out of trade and than keep wathcing the market leading to frustation.

San said...

Hai everyone

an update on reliance industries: LINK

Thank you

San said...

@manojag
that's right i am expecting that to happen. But no action will be taken until the weakness is shown on screen.

Chandra said...

Hi,

From NSE site, I am able to see FII & DII Buy & Sell details on EOD basis after market hours for the day.
Any link to see FII & DII during intraday for same days activity of buy & sell.
Chandrabose

Local said...

This kind of link looks great, San.:) Very tempting to click on too, rather than cutting and pasting the long blog addresses.

Janak said...

Dear Sir,
GM. For those who have missed out on entering at 5468 - what should be the strategy now? till another JNSAR is mentioned by you - can one take intra long/short?

INDITRADER said...

Gm Illango sir & all blogmates
Calculation of profit on Option Hedging Strategy
Sold 5600 Pe @ 210-77=133
Sold 5300 Ce @ 205-288=-83
Profit boked in Nf short-90 points
long Nf @ 5512-5577=65
Total Mtm-133-83+90+65=205 points

INDITRADER said...

Option hedging strategy call closed
Booked out 5600 pe @ 74(profit 136 points)
Booked out 5300 Ce @ 290(loss 85 points)
Booked out Nf long @ 5585(profit 72 points)
Profit in Nf short 90 points.
Toatl MTM-136-85+72+90=213 points in 15 days.
Thx

Crorepathi said...

Musti,
There's a concern with your statergy even it's really good.
How does it take care of black swan event(A market lower freeze), which may occur even tomorrow morning?

Prabakar said...

@Yoda Mam,

You can use CNTRL while clicking the link to open it in New tab or window.

Unknown said...

@Crorepathi
wat is black swan event
explain in detail

Ilango said...

1 Lot JNSAR booked @ 5600.

Crorepathi said...

Any unexpected unfortunate event(eg 09/11 Attack)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory

INDITRADER said...

@ Crorepathi,
This type of event not happens everyday.
& if it hapens we are alreay hedge so no tension.

Crorepathi said...

Musti,
You are not hedged, you have written call option which will protect upto 205 Points.

DCStrader said...

Ilango sir,

thx for the EW daily chart.
i have a doubt.
it can be seen above that the stoch. indicator is showing negative divergence.so we cant be in 3rd wave of wave C right.

INDITRADER said...

Nxt call uptill friday

Ilango said...

NEW POST DONE.

Dinesh Rishi said...

Please dont entertain call givers, Here we follow only Master

Dont you have faith in JNSAR or is it time pass?

INDITRADER said...

@ Crorepathi,
I am hedge with Nf futures & trading with open eyes.
I am not day dreaming of a upper or lower circuit.
I have enough cofidence in my strategy & so I
trade accordingly.

rajiv malik said...

213 points in 15 days is a great achievement musti.....keep it up ! your next call will be keenly awaited. would be easier if you can time to time give calls on buying simple call and put options rather than combos which may not be feasible for everyone to manage. regards

Crorepathi said...

Masti,
That's not the answer to my question,when posting in a public forum there will be lot of queries. IF you have confidence in your system keep it your self.In a market freeze your wealth will freeze with put option written

Crorepathi said...

Masti,
That's not the answer to my question,when posting in a public forum there will be lot of queries. IF you have confidence in your system keep it your self.In a market freeze your wealth will freeze with put option written

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